Alberta NDP Seat Predictions?

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pebbles

NorthReport wrote:

Not if the Alberta Liberals get wiped out.

 

There is basically zero correlation between AB Liberal and federal Liberal (or NDP!) performance in AB.

David Young

pebbles wrote:

There is basically zero correlation between AB Liberal and federal Liberal (or NDP!) performance in AB.

Very much disagree.

After the Alberta NDP won 16 seats in the 1986 provincial election, they elected the first Alberta NDP M.P. in the federal election of 1988.

When the Alberta Liberals elected 32 members in the June 1993 provincial election, they elected four M.P.s in the October federal election.

There is definite evidence that when Albertans vote one way provincially, they follow up by voting that way federally.

 

bekayne

David Young wrote:

Very much disagree.

After the Alberta NDP won 16 seats in the 1986 provincial election, they elected the first Alberta NDP M.P. in the federal election of 1988.

When the Alberta Liberals elected 32 members in the June 1993 provincial election, they elected four M.P.s in the October federal election.

There is definite evidence that when Albertans vote one way provincially, they follow up by voting that way federally.

 

Though that was helped by a split Reform/PC vote

NorthReport

Too bad you don't back up your comments with any substance whatsoever

pebbles wrote:

NorthReport wrote:

Not if the Alberta Liberals get wiped out.

 

There is basically zero correlation between AB Liberal and federal Liberal (or NDP!) performance in AB.

Orangutan

pebbles wrote:

There is basically zero correlation between AB Liberal and federal Liberal (or NDP!) performance in AB.

Disagree.  Not that it matters as both the Alberta Liberals and the federal Liberals are minor players on the verge of becoming irrelevant in Alberta. Outside of the 1993 federal and Alberta elections, the Liberals have not been a major player.  The NDP have never been a player federally yet, though provincially now they have been a major player in three elections (1986, 1989 and 2015).  

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