Alberta politics started October 31, 2018

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voice of the damned

JEN GERSON: What really happened inside the Alberta UCP’s ‘kamikaze’ campaign

https://tinyurl.com/y6z822cy

Fairly comprehensive who's who and what's what of the controversy. The money part is a little hard to follow, except to say that, at the current time, there doesn't seem to be any hard evidence of improper payments.

NorthReport
bekayne

https://pressprogress.ca/ucp-candidate-complained-white-supremacist-terrorists-are-treated-unfairly-leaked-messages-show/

One of the star candidates for Jason Kenney’s United Conservative Party argued white supremacist terrorists face a double-standard compared to Islamic terrorists and echoed white nationalist rhetoric in a Facebook conversation following a 2017 terror attack perpetrated by a neo-Nazi in Charlottesville, Virginia.

Caylan Ford, who is seeking to represent the riding of Calgary-Mountain View in the 2019 provincial election, also expressed anxiety over “the replacement of white peoples in their homelands” and suggested “Western culture” would collapse if “another race” takes over in Europe and North America.

NorthReport
voice of the damned

Looks like Happy Mann needs to brush up on his Aesop...

Mann was disqualified from running for the UCP after it was alleged his team was involved in the assault of a local reporter, and Gill quit the party after allegations of ballot stuffing.

He said it's hypocrisy for conservatives to laud Jody Wilson-Raybould, a Liberal MP who spoke out against her own party recently after stepping down from the federal cabinet, but not him.

"If Jody Wilson[-Raybould] is a hero for conservatives, then why is Happy Mann and Prab Gill sour grapes for Albertans? If you want Canadians or Albertans to know the truth, then let us also speak as you want Jody Wilson[-Raybould] to speak." 

I think he meant to say something like "persona non grata", rather than "sour grapes".   

https://tinyurl.com/y67yjxgx

 

 

 

quizzical

bekayne wrote:

https://pressprogress.ca/ucp-candidate-complained-white-supremacist-terrorists-are-treated-unfairly-leaked-messages-show/

One of the star candidates for Jason Kenney’s United Conservative Party argued white supremacist terrorists face a double-standard compared to Islamic terrorists and echoed white nationalist rhetoric in a Facebook conversation following a 2017 terror attack perpetrated by a neo-Nazi in Charlottesville, Virginia.

Caylan Ford, who is seeking to represent the riding of Calgary-Mountain View in the 2019 provincial election, also expressed anxiety over “the replacement of white peoples in their homelands” and suggested “Western culture” would collapse if “another race” takes over in Europe and North America.

she stepped down last night.

quizzical
quizzical
josh
Nam

And we are off.  Election happening April 16.

NorthReport

How does a white supremacist supporter get a nomination in a major Canadian city, for a significant political party in Alberta, a political party that is presently favoured to win the election!!! 

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/White_supremacy

NorthReport

Star UCP candidate resigns in wake of leaked messages about white supremacists

 

https://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/calgary/caylan-ford-resigns-ucp-candidate-1.5062198

NorthReport

Well Trump won.

The Trump-like hallmark of Jason Kenney's campaign: Its singular lack of ideas

David J. Climenhaga

March 7, 2017

POLITICS IN CANADA

Jason Kenney (David Climenhaga photo)

Jason Kenny, the social conservative social media enthusiast who will almost certainly become leader of the Progressive Conservative Party of Alberta and begin the process of dismantling it in less than two weeks, naturally hopes he can duplicate the success of Donald Trump's successful U.S. presidential campaign last year.

This is understandable even if Kenney's dog-whistles and Trump-like social media bluster seem to speak to an Alberta that is fading away in spring of 2017.

A Trumpist campaign could in fact work here in the face of the wrong strategic response by the government of Premier Rachel Notley, just as Trump's campaign to make a version of America that is rapidly slipping into history "great again" worked against the odds south of the 49th Parallel.

In Alberta as in the United States that won't change the arc of history -- but it could do a lot of harm in the short term.

But Kenney's campaign resembles the Trump campaign in another significant way: its singular lack of ideas.

Indeed, Kenney -- like Trump -- really has only one idea, a profoundly negative one. To wit: dismantle everything the government now in power has done.

This is likely to work out about as well as Trump's effort to dismantle former president Barack Obama's legacy is unfolding. Not very well at all.

On Feb. 25, Kenney expressed this thought explicitly in a sophomoric social media post, an activity characteristic both of Kenney's campaign and its model-in-chief south of the border. "There is no obstacle in the NDP's legacy that we will not be able to undo," Kenney crowed on Facebook, apparently an excerpt from a speech he gave to the increasingly far-right Manning Centre.

"I would have the longest ever sitting of the summer session of the Alberta Legislature in 2019," he went on. "I call it the 'Summer of Repeal,' we’ll turn off the air conditioners in the Legislature to focus the mind. We'll start with Bill 1, the Carbon Tax Repeal Act, followed by a succession of repeals of the NDP regulatory and legislative agenda."

Does this sound like Donald Trump level maturity to you? It does to me.

As Nobel Prize-winning economist Paul Krugman said of Trump's Republican Party just yesterday in his New York Times column, "they have no idea how to turn their slogans into actual legislation, because they’ve never bothered to understand how anything important works."

He was talking about the Republicans' "plan," or lack of one, to undo president Barack Obama's Affordable Care Act, commonly known as Obamacare, and to "reform" (meaning slash) corporate taxes with no thought about the consequences beyond the sloganeering symptomatic of believers in voodoo economics.

What we're witnessing south of the Medicine Line, Krugman explained, "is what happens when a party that gave up hard thinking in favour of empty sloganeering ends up in charge of actual policy. And it’s not a pretty sight."

Now, in truth, at this moment such rot goes much deeper in the U.S. Republican Party than among Alberta's Progressive Conservatives, who still include some pretty sensible people. But all that will change when Kenney becomes leader on March 18. Notwithstanding his experience in Ottawa, which means he should know a thing or two about how our Parliamentary system works, his promise to dismantle everything willy-nilly is hardly evocative of thoughtful leadership!

Republican-style intellectual rot is likely to be made permanent among the PCs when they choose Kenney because he has pledged to destroy the party and roll it into the more extreme Wildrose Party. Even if the Wildrosers resist, that means at a minimum there will be no room for the PCs’ progressive wing. "Red Tories" will be purged, just as they were by Kenney's mentor Stephen Harper in the federal Conservative Party. Kenney's supporters have already managed to harass several more progressive candidates out of the leadership race and, in one case, into the NDP.

It is likely in the event of his choice as leader that genuinely progressive conservatives will exit en masse, as many of them are already doing, and all that will be left in the party’s hulk is the new leader's sloganeering and dog whistles.

How else can we describe Kenney's plan when all it boils down to is the reimposition of the failed policies of the late Ralph Klein -- which Alberta is still struggling to overcome?

As the Parkland Institute’s Ricardo Acuna wrote last year in the Calgary Herald, it was Klein's policies that got Alberta into its current mess.

Never mind that Alberta's spending was far from "out of control" when Klein got into power in 1992, Acuna wrote. "With revenues from oil and gas dropping by more than 50 per cent practically overnight, the lowest taxation rates in the country, a 15-per-cent reduction in program spending over six years, and over $11.2 billion in subsidies to agriculture and oil and gas over the same period, we are expected to believe that, somehow, the best way to move forward in 1992 was to gut public spending and decimate public sector salaries."

Then there was Klein's selloff of public assets to friends of the government for less than they were worth -- to "pay down the debt." Plus the multi-billion-dollar infrastructure deficit he piled on, which we are still paying off. And the huge tax giveaway that made the province even more dependent on the proverbial resource rollercoaster.

What did the "Kleintastrophe" really achieve? Acuna wrote: "Just as the international price of oil was starting to climb and the economy was recovering in the mid-1990s, Klein actually slowed down the economic recovery by putting thousands of people out of work and greatly reducing the purchasing power of those public servants who got to keep their jobs."

Fast forward to the present, and Alberta's right-wing leaders -- especially Kenney -- are advocating exactly the same thing all over again.

This, Kenney claims, will "renew the Alberta Advantage (and) get Alberta back on track as the beating heart of enterprise in Canada."

Fat chance! More likely, it would do just what Klein did: Stall the recovery, put another 30,000 public employees out of work with no corresponding increase in employment in the private sector, build another huge infrastructure deficit and strengthen opposition to Canadian pipelines from Alberta -- perhaps fatally so.

We sat through this movie once before. Now we're watching the horrifying big-budget sequel next door.

Well, that's what happens when you elect people who don't really have a plan except to dismantle what the last guy did.

 

http://rabble.ca/blogs/bloggers/2017-03-07t000000/trump-hallmark-jason-kenneys-campaign-its-singular-lack-ideas#at_pco=smlrebv-1.0&at_si=5c9148dc8f939f1a&at_ab=per-2&at_pos=1&at_tot=5

swallow swallow's picture

What made that person a “star” candidate? I can’t find any media reports saying why she is or was a “star” though clearly Jason Kennedy really liked her. 

kropotkin1951 kropotkin1951's picture

swallow wrote:

What made that person a “star” candidate? I can’t find any media reports saying why she is or was a “star” though clearly Jason Kennedy really liked her. 

In a party run by a cabal of nasty boys doing dirty tricks in the backrooms it means any intelligent sounding woman. 

bekayne
NorthReport

There is no question the NDP are rebounding. Will it be enough to stop Kenney and his ilk? 

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2019_Alberta_general_election#Opinion_polling

NorthReport
voice of the damned

That's still a pretty huge lead for the UCP. And I'm guessing most of the bounce for the NDP is concentrated in certain electoral districts, mostly in Edmonton. But I haven't studied the poll in depth.

voice of the damned

Braid: Attacks on Kenney's social record coming from left and right

https://tinyurl.com/y5fpkk7l

While those may very well be sincere opinions on Fildebrandt's part, presumably he also thinks they're gonna win him some votes. I'm wondering where he thinks those votes could be coming from, though. The Alberta Party would seem to be the logical choice for someone who wants social liberalism and conservative economics, and right now, they're way more on the radar than Fildebrandt's group.

 

 

 

WWWTT

voice of the damned wrote:

That's still a pretty huge lead for the UCP. And I'm guessing most of the bounce for the NDP is concentrated in certain electoral districts, mostly in Edmonton. But I haven't studied the poll in depth.

No not really. It's less than 15%. The huge number to look at are the NDP support growing. The trend is there to allow a victory of some sort Or at the very least, a better than expected showing come election day compared to say 8 months ago for the NDP. 12 months ago?

And this is all due to an implosion that can Kenney can not stop. Come debate time, Notley can pull in another 5-8%. This could take the NDP to possibly 45%? If the UCP can not stop the bleeding, and fast (like yesterday!)  come election time, they could be as much as 5% behind the NDP.

All speculation at this time. But the polls so far are firming up this trend.

WWWTT

Should also point out that the federal budget goodies for home buyers will alleviate some stress for home buyers in Alberta. This will/should favour the NDP.

It only adds to to Notley's sarendipity election call, perhaps she had some insight?

 

Aristotleded24

WWWTT wrote:
voice of the damned wrote:

That's still a pretty huge lead for the UCP. And I'm guessing most of the bounce for the NDP is concentrated in certain electoral districts, mostly in Edmonton. But I haven't studied the poll in depth.

No not really. It's less than 15%. The huge number to look at are the NDP support growing. The trend is there to allow a victory of some sort Or at the very least, a better than expected showing come election day compared to say 8 months ago for the NDP. 12 months ago?

And this is all due to an implosion that can Kenney can not stop. Come debate time, Notley can pull in another 5-8%. This could take the NDP to possibly 45%? If the UCP can not stop the bleeding, and fast (like yesterday!)  come election time, they could be as much as 5% behind the NDP.

All speculation at this time. But the polls so far are firming up this trend.

I've said repeatedly that the NDP has a good chance of receiving its second-best ever level of popular support in this election, both in seat count and the percentage of the vote. I will also point out that even at the high points of PC popularity during the Klein and Stelmach eras, there were seats in Calgary and Lethbridge that stayed Liberal. The conventional wisdom is that the NDP will be beaten back to their Edmonton stronghold, however I can't see seats that consistently stayed Liberal for decades (all but one of which is now held by the NDP) suddenly going UCP this time around.

josh
quizzical

yup. matches what's happening on the ground. even the independent farmers are aiding with Rachel. they say they like having their workers covered and dislike Kenney's plan. 

Kenney's staff changing the road sign isn't playing well  either. and when he just did a photo OP and left well icing on the cake.

https://mobile.twitter.com/cbccalgary/status/1109241738999283712

bekayne

quizzical wrote:

yup. matches what's happening on the ground. even the independent farmers are aiding with Rachel. they say they like having their workers covered and dislike Kenney's plan. 

Kenney's staff changing the road sign isn't playing well  either. and when he just did a photo OP and left well icing on the cake.

https://mobile.twitter.com/cbccalgary/status/1109241738999283712

https://twitter.com/RachelNotley/status/1109527279447633920?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw%7Ctwcamp%5Etweetembed&ref_url=http%3A%2F%2Fhfpolitics.freeforums.net%2Fthread%2F13%2Fpolitical-canadiana-another-day-pmo%3Fpage%3D63

josh

That’s just sad.

Aristotleded24

I've been wondering for a long time if it's better in the long run for the NDP if Notley wins or loses this election. I've come down on the side of thinking that it's better if she loses. Here's why.

The main economic issue in Alberta right now is the fate of the oil and gas industry. That is beyond the control of any provincial government. Since it happens to coincide with the election of an NDP government, the narrative is that it's the NDP's fault that this happened. If they lose now, they will still, even at current polling numbers, elect the largest NDP caucus Alberta has ever seen. Should they be re-elected, the problems with the oil economy will continue, the frustration with the NDP will continue to build up, and may one day trigger a defeat that beats them back to pre-2015 levels of support. Additionally, there is no difference between the 2 big parties on the issue of forcing pipelines through regions where the locals don't want them. To have one NDP Premier openly undercutting not only another NDP Premier but the federal party will be very problematic. A stint in opposition will allow the NDP to reflect and refocus, and hopefully remember that they were first elected because Albertans were tired of being dominated by big oil.

Kenney is going to yell and scream about the pipelines. That's all he can do. He has no power to make anybody do anything. So why not let him get caught holding the bag? When he is a few years into his mandate and people see that the oil and gas economy hasn't improved, Kenney will be without excuses. That anger can then be channelled onto Kenney, and will present a stronger case to whoever wants to replace him that yes, we can govern Alberta in the best interest of its residents without having to capitulate to big oil.

quizzical

Aristotled can tell you don't live in AB nor care about the destruction of gains made by Rachel. 

oh no better for everyone elsewhere if Kenney gets in. ffs.

do you know i actually had a landlord in Grande Prairie tell me he doesn't usually rent to women and they think it's just fine to do and say this shit. 

can't imagine what AB will be like in 4 years under woman hating Kenney. 

Aristotleded24

Do you know how to score in curling? Sometimes it is actually beneficial for a team to let the other team take the end so that they get an advantage down the road. Politics can be like that. Sometimes losing now can open up the opportunity to take an advantage long term down the road.

The oil and gas aspect of the Alberta economy is still going to struggle regardless of who wins next month. A struggling economy is generally not good for the incumbent party in power. Why not let that happen under Kenney's watch? He will be without excuse, and then it will be clear for all to see.

nicky

Don’t be too concerned w Aristotle, Quizzical.

on anotherthread he is calling for the defeat of the NDP in the upcoming Nanaimo by-election.

as far as I can tell the only politician pure enough for him is the unelectable Jeremy Corbyn.

Aristotleded24

quizzical wrote:
Aristotled can tell you don't live in AB nor care about the destruction of gains made by Rachel.

What goes on in Alberta is up to Albertans to sort out for themselves. The pipeline issue affects people outside of Alberta. Instead of personal attacks, can you say if there is any discernable difference between the NDP and the UCP over the issue of extending pipelines and oil exploration in Alberta?

quizzical

you what for some this isn't politics as usual it's our lives.

it's not fking curling or any sport. 

as for your accusations of personal attack against you bs. 

Ken Burch Ken Burch's picture

nicky wrote:

Don’t be too concerned w Aristotle, Quizzical.

on anotherthread he is calling for the defeat of the NDP in the upcoming Nanaimo by-election.

as far as I can tell the only politician pure enough for him is the unelectable Jeremy Corbyn.

Corbyn is as electable as anybody in the UK...the fact that he's had Labour in the lead in three out of the last four polls shows this...there's nobody in the UK to Corbyn's right who stands for anything different than the Tories there.  There'se no meaningful differences between Theresa May and Yvette Cooper.  Cooper isn't even an all-out defender of NHS care free at the point of service.

WWWTT

@A24

Thats crazy!  I’ve heard this before from a NDP member that was also a neighbor. Turned out she went back to the greens and she was just a plant. 

 

nicky

Ken, there you go again.

Labour has led, not in 3 of the last 4 polls, but in ONE of the last NINETEEN..

https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Opinion_polling_for_the_next_United_Kingdom_general_election

epaulo13 epaulo13's picture

Alberta issues 97% of reclamation certificates without ever visiting oil and gas sites

Documents obtained by The Narwhal reveal that, for the last four years data is available, 2014 – 2018, less than three per cent of oil and gas sites certified as reclaimed have been visited by an inspector from the provincial regulator — a far cry from the 15 per cent the public has been long told.

quote:

This wasn’t always the plan.

In a 2014 report, the Government of Alberta noted there are “randomly selected field audits on approximately 15 per cent of all sites that have received a reclamation certificate.”

And at a 2015 landowner oil and gas information workshop, government and regulator officials — including Kevin Ball, senior advisor with the Alberta Energy Regulator — told participants that 15 per cent of sites are visited for a field audit.

But this is certainly not the case under the Alberta Energy Regulator, which oversees the certificate program today.

2015 – 2017: not a single subsurface audit conducted

The Alberta Energy Regulator took over handling reclamation certificates from Alberta Environment in 2013. It launched an automated approval system online, called OneStop, in 2016.

Though the audit system is often understood as a way for the regulator to go out into the field to assess the work of the contractor who applied for the reclamation certificates, it has largely come to mean a human eye looking at an application’s details, and has rarely entailed a visit to site.....

NorthReport

 

UCP leadership investigation should be 'paused,' lawyer argues in seeking emergency court injunction

https://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/calgary/kenney-callaway-ucp-oec-investigation-court-injunction-calgary-1.5078972

robbie_dee

Notley will stay on to represent Edmonton-Strathcona, lead official opposition (Global News)

Quote:

After losing Alberta’s premiership Tuesday night, NDP Leader Rachel Notley announced she will stay on to represent her riding, Edmonton-Strathcona, and lead the Official Opposition in the legislature.

Notley said it was an honour to serve as premier and will be an honour to be the Opposition, professing her gratitude as the crowd chanted, “Rachel! Rachel!”

She said the province is a better place because of her government’s work, mentioning achievements such as lower child poverty rates, action on climate change, a higher minimum wage and advocacy for pipelines.

“To every girl and every young woman watching tonight, I believe in you and never stop believing in yourself. I hope that we have shown you that in your life anything is possible.”

NorthReport
Aristotleded24

I guess this must be Notley's fault as well:

Quote:
Add the Calgary Flames to shocking Stanley Cup playoff exits this season.

The Colorado Avalanche defeated the Flames 5-1 on Friday to win their first-round series four games to one.

kropotkin1951 kropotkin1951's picture

Aristotleded24 wrote:

I guess this must be Notley's fault as well:

Quote:
Add the Calgary Flames to shocking Stanley Cup playoff exits this season.

The Colorado Avalanche defeated the Flames 5-1 on Friday to win their first-round series four games to one.

I thought it was Instant Karma for the voters in Calgary.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=NVoeNxWxjdA

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