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NDP Growing in Popularity in PEI

jerrym
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Joined: May 30 2009

The NDP's popularity has increased dramatically in Prince Edward Island since the October 2011 election when it gained only 3.16% because it ran only 14 candidates for 27 seats. By November of 2011 it was polling 9%, while it reached 11% in February 2012 (http://www.electionalmanac.com/ea/prince-edward-island/).

In September it reached 18% in a CRA poll while it climbed to 22% in the latest CRA poll from November 8th to December 1 of 600 voters with a margin of error of 4%. The governing Liberals are at 45% popularity compared with 42% three months ago, while the Progressive Conservative Party have fallen to  28% from 32% three months ago. "Support for Mike Redmond of the NDP stands at 15 percent (compared with 11%), continuing a year long increase in support on this measure."

http://cra.ca/islanders-continue-to-be-dissatisfied-with-the-liberal-gov...


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felixr
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Joined: May 6 2012

Hopefully Mike Redmond can continue to capitalise on public disatisfaction with the PC opposition. The Ghiz government must be held accountable.


jerrym
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Joined: May 30 2009

A Corporate Research Associates poll released in January, shows a large significant drop in support for the federal Conservatives in PEI even with its  large margin of error of 5.7 percentage points. While satisfaction with the Harper government fell from 53 per cent to 31 per cent from November 2011 to November 2012 in Atlantic Canada, the fall was especially bad on P.E.I where the Cons fell from 50% to 23%. While most of this support went to the Liberals who rose to 52% on PEI, the NDP were in a statisical tie with the Cons at 22% on PEI, something not seen before on the island. The poll "also shows a great deal of indecision amongst voters. Almost half of those polled, about the same as last year, said they were undecided about how they would vote."

"UPEI political scientist Peter McKenna believes there have been a number of federal government policies that have annoyed Island voters, starting with changes to Employment Insurance. Also, there was proposed changes with respect to the fishery," said McKenna. "I think there was concern here about that on the Island. And probably if there was a third issue, I probably would think it would be Maritime union, P.E.I. is most resistant to Maritime union." While not a policy of the government, the idea of Maritime union was recently moved forward by a group of Conservative senators, including Island Senator Mike Duffy (who has further endeared himself to Islanders since the poll with his $33,000 housing subsidy for his Ottawa home while rarely visiting his alleged primary home in PEI).

http://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/prince-edward-island/story/2013/01/09/pei-...


jerrym
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Joined: May 30 2009

The NDP are continuing to grow in popularity in PEI and have reached second place in the polls for the first time in history in a CRA poll from February 11 to March 2, 2013 of 300 PEI voters with a margin of error of ± 5.6%. The NDP have gained 4% to rise to 26% while the PCs have fallen a steep 12% down to 16%. The NDP leadership rating of Mike Redmond has risen from 15% to 18% while the PC leader has fallen all the way to 7% from 19% in November. 

“This is maybe the start of a real, true three-party jurisdiction,” CRA chairman and CEO Don Mills said in an interview Wednesday. “(The NDP) certainly seem to be a credible force now in P.E.I. They’re certainly poised to elect someone with these numbers.”

http://www.theguardian.pe.ca/News/Local/2013-03-06/article-3193718/NEW%3...

 


David Young
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Joined: Dec 9 2007

jerrym wrote:

The NDP are continuing to grow in popularity in PEI and have reached second place in the polls for the first time in history in a CRA poll from February 11 to March 2, 2013 of 300 PEI voters with a margin of error of ± 5.6%. The NDP have gained 4% to rise to 26% while the PCs have fallen a steep 12% down to 16%. The NDP leadership rating of Mike Redmond has risen from 15% to 18% while the PC leader has fallen all the way to 7% from 19% in November. 

“This is maybe the start of a real, true three-party jurisdiction,” CRA chairman and CEO Don Mills said in an interview Wednesday. “(The NDP) certainly seem to be a credible force now in P.E.I. They’re certainly poised to elect someone with these numbers.”

http://www.theguardian.pe.ca/News/Local/2013-03-06/article-3193718/NEW%3...

 

There is already a thread on this topic, jerrym.

Not that I'm complaining about the reason for the thread...but it's a repeated duplicate redundancy....again! Wink

 

 


jerrym
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Joined: May 30 2009

Megan Leslie was guest speaker at the NDP Prince Edward Island annual convention in Charlottetown. 

Although she called the growth of PEI NDP " 'stunning', she said there is still lots of work if the party hopes to form a provincial government.

'It doesn't come easily, it doesn't just fall into your lap,' Leslie said. 'The only poll that matters is the poll on election day, but it is nice when you see those kind of numbers and, more importantly, they reflect what you're hearing on the ground.'

In the latest polls conducted by Corporate Research Associates, the NDP P.E.I. received 26 per cent of popular support, putting it in second place among the four main parties.

The key to keeping up momentum in the province is putting in work, said Leslie. 'We need to start getting out on the ground and organizing," she said. '(Party leader) Mike Redmond is doing a fantastic job with that. He's got an incredible presence at community events and is building an incredible team.' "

http://www.theguardian.pe.ca/News/Local/2013-04-20/article-3224385/Only-...

 

 


jerrym
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Joined: May 30 2009

While the NDP has fallen from 26% to 21% in the polls in Prince Edward Island and into a statistical tie with the Progressive Conservatives who are at 22%, NDP leader Mike Redmond, who is at 15% in personal popularity, is still ahead of PC leader Steven Myers, who is at 11%. Premier Robert Ghiz is at 38%, reflecting the large Liberal lead in the polls at 52%. Considering the historical single digit showing of the NDP in most provincial PEI elections their continued polling above 20% since December 2012 is a good sign of the NDP's growth in the province. 

Quote:

 Recent fluctuations in provincial voter support have resulted in a virtual tie between the PC Party and NDP in Prince Edward Island, according to the most recent survey conducted by Corporate Research Associates Inc. One-half of decided voters back the governing Liberal Party (52%, compared with 51% three months ago). Meanwhile, 22 percent support the Progressive Conservative Party (compared with 16%), while support for the NDP stands at 21 percent (compared with 26%). Backing for the Green Party rests at five percent (compared with 7%), while the number of Islanders who are undecided or refuse to state an opinion stands at 41 percent (compared with 42%).

In terms of government satisfaction, presently less than one-half (45%, compared with 50% in February 2013) of residents are satisfied with the provincial government, while one-half express dissatisfaction (51%, compared with 46%). Five percent (compared with 4%) do not offer a definite opinion at this time.

Liberal leader Robert Ghiz’s personal popularity is stable again this quarter. Presently, four in ten (38%, compared with 37% three months ago) residents prefer Ghiz for Premier. Meanwhile, Interim Leader Steven Myers of the PC Party has the backing of one in ten Islanders (11%, compared with 7%). Support for Mike Redmond of the NDP is stable at 15 percent (compared with 18%). Support for Peter Bevan-Baker of the Green Party stands at four percent (compared with 5%), while one percent prefer the next leader of the Island Party of PEI (unchanged). 

j

http://cra.ca/pe-liberals-maintain-comfortable-lead-in-voter-preference/

 


Robo
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Joined: Jun 1 2003

The latest provincial poll in PEI now has the PEI NDP 11 percentage points ahead of the PEI Tories and 10 percentage points behind the governing PEI Liberals.

If they keep it up, we may see the Red Rock Revolution!


jerrym
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Joined: May 30 2009

Quote:
 

The PE NDP has surged ahead of the PC Party, narrowing the gap between the NDP and Liberal Party in voter intentions, according to the most recent survey conducted by Corporate Research Associates Inc. Just over four in ten decided voters back the governing Liberal Party (42%, down from 52% three months ago). Meanwhile, support for the NDP stands at 32 percent (up from 21%), while 23 percent support the Progressive Conservative Party (compared with 22%), and backing for the Green Party rests at three percent (compared with 5%). The number of Islanders who are undecided rests at 25 percent (compared with 31%), while five percent refuse to state a preference (unchanged) and six percent support none of the parties or do not plan to vote (compared with 4%)

In terms of government satisfaction, presently just over four in ten (42%, compared with 45% in May 2013) residents are satisfied with the provincial government, while one-half express dissatisfaction (52%, compared with 51%). Six percent (compared with 5%) do not offer a definite opinion at this time.

Liberal leader Robert Ghiz’s personal popularity declined this quarter. Presently, three in ten (31%, down from 38% three months ago) residents prefer Ghiz for Premier. Meanwhile, one-quarter (24%, up from 15%) support Mike Redmond of the NDP, while Interim Leader Steven Myers of the PC Party has the backing of over one in ten Islanders (13%, compared with 11%).

 

http://cra.ca/ndp-gaining-ground-in-pe-voter-preference/


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