2019 Polls

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Sean in Ottawa

The NDP probably could not win an election on this board and that is saying something.

Individual candidates could. Robinson will probably still win becuase he is someone you can respect. The leader of the NDP taking the positions he has it is shocking.

Another name people have not talked much about for leader - becuase he has another job -- Hassan Yussuff. I used to know him years ago -- this guy would make a great PM.

His comments on Venezuala are a lot better.

JeffWells

Sean in Ottawa wrote:

The NDP probably could not win an election on this board and that is saying something.

Individual candidates could. Robinson will probably still win becuase he is someone you can respect. The leader of the NDP taking the positions he has it is shocking.

I could see myself rejoining the party if Svend or Niki lead it after the election - or, if Singh loses, after the by-election - even should they be the only members elected. Otherwise, I'm done. And that's after 40 years of voting nothing but.

Party strategists have taken the support of people like me for granted for decades, so now they're losing us, what will they have left? I'm detached enough now to be interested to see.

R.E.Wood

NANOS, February 12 - I'm including the party popularity, as well as "preferred prime minister" numbers:

Liberals 37.5

Conservatives 34.4

NDP 13.0

Greens 7.4

BQ 3.8

People’s Party of Canada (PPC) 1.7 

Preferred Prime Minister –

Trudeau 35.5% 

Scheer 24.9%

May 6.4%

Singh 5.9%

Bernier 3.8%

https://www.nationalnewswatch.com/2019/02/12/liberals-38-conservatives-3...

bekayne

Two new polls:

Innovative Research (taken in Nov, Dec and Jan)

https://innovativeresearch.ca/wp-content/uploads/2019/02/No-Margin-for-E...

Campaign Research (taken Feb 7-11)

Con 37% (+2) // Lib 32% ( -1) // NDP 14% (-2)

Best PM:

Trudeau 28% // Scheer 25% // May 6% // Singh 4% (2% for voters over 55, -49% approval with voters over 65) // Bernier not prompted

https://www.campaignresearch.ca/single-post/2019/02/13/Conservative-Part...

 

Mighty Middle

bekayne wrote:

Campaign Research (taken Feb 7-11)

Con 37% (+2) // Lib 32% ( -1) // NDP 14% (-2)

Best PM:

Trudeau 28% // Scheer 25% // May 6% // Singh 4% (2% for voters over 55, -49% approval with voters over 65) // Bernier not prompted

https://www.campaignresearch.ca/single-post/2019/02/13/Conservative-Part...

The narrative with this poll in the media, is that Trudeau support has dropped in the wake of SNC.

But it should be noted that Campaign Research previous polling (going all the way back to 2018) has had the Conservatives consistently in first place (see their previous polling before the end of 2018 below)

https://www.campaignresearch.ca/single-post/2018/12/14/With-less-than-a-...

So if they consistently had the Conservatives leading in their polling, what really has changed from then to today?

In addition the brains behind Campaign Research is a former Tory Staffer PLUS Nick Kouvalus (pollster for Rob Ford and John Tory)

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