Vansterdam Kid wrote:
And the NDP will not build on this. Being official opposition will be cold comfort. The Liberals will rebuild, recover and sweep to power again in 4-5 yeas. The NDP's only hope was a minority where they could seize power.
Bingo. The Liberals will recover. This might really kill the NDP, strangely. The caucus conflict between the existing members and the newbies - particularly the Québec newbies - is gonna be huge.
The only good result for the NDP was a minority.
This will result in a near wipeout of the NDP next time around. Next election - the NDP will lose many gains in Ontario and Québec, particularly the weaker candidates who have come in on the slide. Short-lived euphoria for short and long term pain
Very unastuate. For starters Ontario basically swung strongly to the Cons, so Jacob is right, another reason to hate Ontario. Second, how could you know what will happen next time, there aren't any 'weak' surprise candidates elected in Ontario, because there was no wave in Ontario. Third there's plenty of time between now and next time for things to change, such as the economy, scandals, etc. Fourth, the best result would've been one of the polls showing the NDP only down by two or tied, with that being an undercount of the NDP vote - leading the NDP to win a minority, not the Conservatives.
Which reminds me, now that the NDP is the official opposition it's obvious they're going to be the target of the Conservative slim machine. I hope they're able to amp up their fundraising results and respond accordingly.
Never said there was a wave in Ontario. Just (as of time of typing) six new seats. Three in the old city of Toronto (Parkdale, Davenport, Beaches), two in Scarborough and one in semi-suburban Toronto (YSW) - the latter three likely hard to hang on to.
But the problem is this -
For ages, we've been told a vote for anyone other than the Liberals would result in electing Conservatives.
For the first time, people voted en masse for the NDP.
And the result is a Conservative majority.
The problem here is the narrative circle has been completed, and proven true.
So they were right - of course, for the wrong reasons (we know it ain't the NDP vote that's resulting in newly elected Cons) - but the 'wrong reasons' well no one will care about. NDP swing equalled a Harper majority.
That's going to be hard to overcome