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Federal By-elections - Fall '13/Spring '14?

David Young
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Joined: Dec 9 2007

I've just read that former NHL enforcer (and one-time Montreal Canadien) Georges Laraque is about to announce that he will be the Green Party candidate in the up-coming Bourassa by-election.

Does anyone else have news about other candidates?

 


Comments

Krago
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Joined: Sep 9 2002

Bourassa has the highest proportion of people of Haitian origin of any federal riding in Canada:

  • Bourassa: 12.6%
  • Saint-Léonard - Saint-Michel: 9.6%
  • Honoré-Mercier: 7.9%
  • Alfred-Pellan: 5.2%

The Liberals may not be cheering M. Laraque's entry into the race.  Areas of Liberal strength match fairly closely to areas with the highest proportion of Haitians:


Lens Solution
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Joined: Dec 18 2010

It's rather limited thinking to assume that Haitians will vote for a candidate just because he's Haitian - he may have a wider appeal than that.  And may take away from more than one party if the Greens run a strong campaign.


nicky
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Joined: Aug 3 2005

I was just polled by a company called Research House for the Toronto Centre by-election.

I was asked if I had heard of Ian Gillespie, Linda McQuaig, George Smitherman and Seamus O'Reagan.

I have not heard that the first two were possible candidates.

No mention of Jennifer Hollet who seems to be the front runner for the NDP nomination.

I was also asked whether I lived north or south of Bloor St, whether I approved of the 3 main federal leaders and how I voted last time.


David Young
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Joined: Dec 9 2007

On which date are the municipal elections in Quebec?

I think it's safe to guess that Harper will wait until some time after then to call these by-elections, as the Ontario municipal elections was the excuse for not calling the Toronto Centre by-election in 2007 after Bill Graham had resigned on July 2, 2007, and the by-election didn't happen until March 17, 2008.

 


sherpa-finn
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Joined: Jun 20 2012

@ David Young:  > Does anyone else have news about other candidates?

Last I heard, a local community activist, Julie Demers had announced her candidacy for the NDP in Bourassa. 

> On which date are the municipal elections in Quebec?

November 3rd.


jerrym
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Joined: May 30 2009

Julie Demers was the NDP candidate in the 2011 election winning 32% (an increase of 24%) to Coderre's 41%. 

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bourassa_(electoral_district)

There is a description of Demers and the ethnic makeup of the riding in the following article.

http://www.theglobeandmail.com/news/politics/by-election-battle-in-boura...

Ironically she was chosen originally as the candidate in Ruth Ellen Brosseau's Berthier-Maskinongé riding, but was switched to Coderre's riding. 

http://news.nationalpost.com/2011/05/04/rookie-ndp-mp-elect-accused-of-f...

The site below shows her social media activity.

http://politwitter.ca/profile/tweetjewels


David Young
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Joined: Dec 9 2007

Thanks for the info, sherpa-finn.

It's great to see Julie Demers wants the nomination again, after her impressive second-place showing in 2011.

As she points out in that article, Coderre didn't win on his first attempt in that riding either!

 


Aristotleded24
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Joined: May 24 2005

Not that it's likely to go anything other than Conservative, but I hope Mulcair swings by Provencher to help out in the by-election as he has done with every other one that has been held. If the NDP is to be taken seriously, it has to build up a presence in all ridings, because that will help lifting up the whole party.


Wilf Day
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Joined: Oct 31 2002

Aristotleded24 wrote:

Not that it's likely to go anything other than Conservative, but I hope Mulcair swings by Provencher to help out in the by-election as he has done with every other one that has been held. If the NDP is to be taken seriously, it has to build up a presence in all ridings, because that will help lifting up the whole party.

The NDP needs a strong candidate in Provencher, to make sure the Liberals don't come second. Here's what happened in Vic Toews past elections:

Year 2011/ 2008/ 2006/ 2004/ 2000

NDP 17.89%/ 13.73%/ 13.71%/ 9.01%/ 4.89%

Lib 6.71%/ 12.57%/ 15.84%/ 24.92%/ 35.62%

The Liberals actually held it from 1993 to 2000 on a split conservative vote.

But back in 1980 the NDP got 28.42%. 


adma
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Joined: Jan 21 2006

Wilf Day wrote:
The NDP needs a strong candidate in Provencher, to make sure the Liberals don't come second.

Interestingly, they *did* have a "name" candidate in 2011: former MLA Al Mackling--though the fact that he was 83 years old made him more of a standard-bearing novelty than "strong" per se...


David Young
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Joined: Dec 9 2007

Has there been any news if Susan Wallace is interested in seeking the NDP nomination again in Toronto Centre?

If she and Julie Demers repeat as candidates in those two ridings, given their strong second-place showings in 2011, the NDP would really show how they are committed to getting more female candidates elected to Parliament.

 


adma
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Joined: Jan 21 2006

Thiough if Jennifer Hollett runs in TC as rumoured, that'd fit the bill too, no?


Stockholm
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Joined: Sep 29 2002

Jennifer Hollett is running (see below)...there could be other high profile women and men in the contest as well.

 

https://www.facebook.com/events/155802641275819


David Young
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Joined: Dec 9 2007

Stockholm wrote:

Jennifer Hollett is running (see below)...there could be other high profile women and men in the contest as well.

 

https://www.facebook.com/events/155802641275819

Another very impressive candidate.

She reminds me a great deal of what was said about Anne Lagace-Dowson when she became the NDP candidate in Westmount-Ville Marie in 2008.  As I recall, Harper was apparently so scared that the NDP was going to win that by-election, and ruin the Conservative campaign they had ready against Stephane Dion, should he have been replaced as Liberal Leader, that he broke his promise of a set election date and called the 2008 election.

This time, that won't be happening.

 


Lens Solution
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Joined: Dec 18 2010

Journalist Chrystia Freeland to seek Liberal nod for Toronto Centre

Saturday, Jul. 27 2013

A senior editor at an international media organization will seek the Liberal nomination for the downtown Toronto riding vacated by Bob Rae.

Chrystia Freeland, a former manager and writer at The Globe and Mail and other internationally renowned publications, is hoping to win the Liberal nod in Toronto Centre for the upcoming by-election.

http://www.theglobeandmail.com/news/politics/journalist-chrystia-freelan...

> Looks like both the NDP & the LPC could have high-profile women running in Toronto Centre for a change.  Has there ever been a woman MP for this riding before?

 


janfromthebruce
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Joined: Apr 24 2007

Freeland is also a parachut candidate - interesting about that. Not from Toronto.

Ms. Freeland, who is the author of Plutocrats: The Rise of the New Global Super-Rich and the Fall of Everyone Else, has held several positions over the years at The Financial Times in London and Moscow. The mother of three is moving to Toronto from New York, where she has just quit as a managing director and editor at Thomson Reuters.

The Globe and Mail and Reuters will no longer employ Ms. Freeland as a columnist.

“I’m taking a risk, and I’m ready to compete and to fight, and I think that is the way it should be,” she said.

Ms. Freeland grew up in a political household in Alberta with a Liberal father and a mother who once ran for an NDP nomination. She said that it is wrong to assume that the Liberal brand and the Trudeau name are toxic in her home province.

“It’s a mistake to try and divide Canada; we really are one country,” she said. “There are a lot of people in the West, in Alberta, who believe in that and who believe in the Liberal vision that I want to be a part of.”

So a Globe comumnist, living in New York, quits to move to Toronto to run for the Libs. Reminds me of Iggy.


David Young
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Joined: Dec 9 2007

Has Rae actually resigned yet?

I was looking at the Parliamentary web-site, www.parl.gc.ca and under Party Standings, it shows that there are vacancies in Quebec (Bourassa) and Manitoba (Provencher), but no vacany in Ontario.

I thought Toews resigned after Rae had made his announcement.

 


edmundoconnor
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Joined: Jul 7 2009

If Alberta is so peachy for the Liberals, why isn't she running there? There would be a few riding associations out there who would be delighted to make her acquaintance, I bet. But I think we all know the real reason why Freeland would want to run in Toronto Centre. She thinks she can win there first-time, rather than slog away in thankless obscurity in the west. Hmm, which Liberal MPP does *that* remind me of?

Jan: Your misprint almost led me to read her job as 'Globe communist'. The G & M wouldn't let one through the doors. Yet copying others' work and claiming it as your own, is not only okay, but earns you a staunch defence from a supposedly-impartial Public Editor. Some standard.


Stockholm
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Joined: Sep 29 2002

janfromthebruce wrote:

Freeland is also a parachut candidate - interesting about that. Not from Toronto.

So a Globe comumnist, living in New York, quits to move to Toronto to run for the Libs. Reminds me of Iggy.

She also studied Russian history and lived in Moscow - so she even has the Russian thing in common with Iggy!!


edmundoconnor
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Joined: Jul 7 2009

Not that I think it's going to matter if Smitherman enters the race. If he says he's interested, it's not going to be a question of whether the other candidates for the Liberal nomination scatter, but how fast they do so.


edmundoconnor
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Joined: Jul 7 2009

FWIW, I hadn't realized the G&M was 'internationally-renowned". But then the Globe never misses a chance to admire itself in the mirror.


kropotkin1951
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Joined: Jun 6 2002

edmundoconnor wrote:

FWIW, I hadn't realized the G&M was 'internationally-renowned". But then the Globe never misses a chance to admire itself in the mirror.

That claim might have more merit than its claim to be a national newspaper.


adma
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Joined: Jan 21 2006

Freeland vs Smitherman sounds a lot like a "Rosedale" vs "Church-Wellesley" race for the nomination.


edmundoconnor
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Joined: Jul 7 2009
A thought just occurred. If Freeland loses either nomination or the by-election, she sets herself up nicely for the Mount Pleasant seat, which will come into existence in less than two years' time. The Mount Pleasant Liberals won't even have to pretend to care about those south of Bloor. If she becomes the candidate, she is much more likely to lose than Smitherman would. Smitherman still has a lot of friends in the riding. While I have no time for his brand of politics, I'm not underestimating his appeal to a certain kind of voter.

Stockholm
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Joined: Sep 29 2002

There is no Mount Pleasant riding in the works anymore. There will be a "University-Rosedale" seat whcih the NDP will be very competitive in since it will have half of Trinity-Spadina in it


janfromthebruce
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Joined: Apr 24 2007

edmundoconnor wrote:

If Alberta is so peachy for the Liberals, why isn't she running there? There would be a few riding associations out there who would be delighted to make her acquaintance, I bet. But I think we all know the real reason why Freeland would want to run in Toronto Centre. She thinks she can win there first-time, rather than slog away in thankless obscurity in the west. Hmm, which Liberal MPP does *that* remind me of?

Jan: Your misprint almost led me to read her job as 'Globe communist'. The G & M wouldn't let one through the doors. Yet copying others' work and claiming it as your own, is not only okay, but earns you a staunch defence from a supposedly-impartial Public Editor. Some standard.

Sorry about the misprint of the the word columnist. I didn't mean to mislead you. It was very sloppy of me.


edmundoconnor
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Joined: Jul 7 2009
Jan: No worries. I was just using any excuse to bring up Wentegate again.

janfromthebruce
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Joined: Apr 24 2007

edmundoconnor wrote:
Jan: No worries. I was just using any excuse to bring up Wentegate again.

 

ha ha ha - I reread your post quite a few times to finally get what you meant. I thought, at first, you were accusing me of plagarism so I went back to my original post to make sure I had had quoted it. I figured you were doing some Wente bashing.


David Young
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Joined: Dec 9 2007

Stockholm wrote:

Jennifer Hollett is running (see below)...there could be other high profile women and men in the contest as well.

 

https://www.facebook.com/events/155802641275819

Did any babblers go to her launch for the nomination?  If so, what size was the crowd there?

 


nicky
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Joined: Aug 3 2005

I was at her launch. She had an impressive turnout of about 150 people. She seems well organized.

I met her for for the first time and was reasonably impressed. Very personable, works the room well.

Her speech was engaging and delivered without notes. it was somewhat content-free. She stressed being attracted to politics by Jack Layton's entusiasm and inclusiveness. No criticism of the government or any policy ideas but of course it was more an introduction to herself.

I have not yet decided whether to support her for the nomination but of couse do not know who else might run


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