Jack Layton does "Let's Make a Deal"

Arthur Cramer
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So, the Winnipeg Free Press features a Headlin that Layton is open to dealing with Harper on the budget. I am assuming this is primarily becauswe Layton thinks going to the polls now would be bad for the NDP.

What I am wondering is how wise is this? I am thinking it makes it easier for the Liberals to tie the NDP closer to Harper and to set themselves up as the real opposition and alternative to Harper.

So I would be really interested in knowing what people think, and if there is something else more sophisticated going on then I assume or understand.

Arthur Cramer, Winnipeg


Comments

Life, the unive...
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It is called positioning. 

 

ETA

By the way your title is way off.


Arthur Cramer
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Well, I posted because I wanted to know what you thought. You don't think its because Jack is worried about going to the polls now? How do you think this plays to non pols?

Arthur Cramer, Winnipeg


takeitslowly
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i i know i need an election, i could make some badly needed extra money..


ottawaobserver
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Was just at a social event with a lot of people from the Hill. They looked and sounded pretty upbeat to me.

Arthur, you remember how the media reacted last time Layton said ahead of time that they likely wouldn't support the budget? And then what happened last September when Iggy started sabre rattling for no good reason at all? THAT'S why Jack is trying to be constructive now, but let's just say that every evidence is that the Conservatives have no intention of being constructive, and we know it, and are very very ready to go.

You must know from long years of following the NDP that being underestimated always works to our favour, right?


Life, the unive...
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Arthur this message is directed at the non-political.  People are sick to the hilt of political game playing.  By laying out some very straightforward issues with doable solutions Layton is showing that he is an honest broker focused on tangible items that most people would support.  It makes the Cons look obstructionist and uncaring.  As I said in one of the other many threads were this issue has been discussed this time out Layton is playing it just about right.


takeitslowly
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I think its great the NDP is talking about employment insurance but they should specifically demand there be changes to the outdated the EI system. Its so unfair, people get fired for so many reasons and many Ontarians are not able to access any employment insurance when they lose their part time /temporary/contract jobs.

 

 

Its not enough to only look out for people who lost their unionized jobs , if any of the parties is serious about reaching out for support from  the apathetic low income precarious workers, they need to listen and do something for the large amount of marginalized workers.


thorin_bane
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He is saying the right thing because the media is going after him. Evan and his right wing stooges and liza frulla the full on liberal, have been lambasting the ndp for 2 weeks now on this saying how the NDP will cave. I see very little posibility the Harperites would even bother with concessions.

Its funny because they(MSM) always hold the NDP to a differnet standard. Did they do the same thing to iggy? Nope. They never even followed up on his one and only concession to passing the 2009 budget, and that was the 1/4ley reports that harper never gave out. WHy? Well because it serves their interests for canadians to not know. Iggy is nothing more than a neo con so they are happy playing the 2 horse race bullshit. The fact the NDP haven't fallen off the map to 93 levels says they have failed to split the vote even with the fear and rampant lies and distortions about current policy and that of the opposition parties.

I watch Laurie Hawn just make a disgrace of himself by being rude, continues interupting and in the back ground such BS words as "none sense, thats not true, you are wrong" when anyone else speaks. Yet their supporters cling to these incometant morons(Did you know our defence minister thinks BC borders california-arnold had to correct him) so i can only say bullshit baffles brains.


ottawaobserver
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I take it as a very good sign that all the other parties are attacking us, and that the Conservatives decided to create an attack ad against Jack. Very good sign. If you read the french papers, the Bloc is attacking us too.

The Liberal pollster had us at 19% in a very very large-sample poll. That's a pretty good base for us to be going into a campaign with. Ekos has us at 14.8 and the Greens at nearly 10. If the Greens get 10, I'll be a monkey's uncle.


Arthur Cramer
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Ok, I get this. Thanks to everyone. Not trying to be stupid, just trying to understand it. I really honestly think you guys are intlelligent and know what is going on. That is why I posted. I wanted to know what this was about. I wasn't trying to be either obtuse, by violtion or otherewise, or trying to say we should be worried. Just asking the question, looking for answers. Got that. I feel if I can't ask questions here and trust the answers given, then I really don't know where else I would ask them.

Thanks to everyone for taking the time.

Arthur Cramer, Winnipeg


Le T
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Layton's a city councilor by trade and will try to get what he wants by any procedural means possible. He will sell this as "getting things done for working Canadians" or "Harper is unwilling to compromise despite being in a minority situation", depending on how things go. Win/win for the NDP unless they do something stupid like let the F-35s and extended mission slide through on small EI and CPP improvements. This is of course the downside to the extending-a-hat-to-those-in-power technique that social democrats have tried to make the dominant way of getting shit done.


Unionist
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What Le T said. Although I'll be pleasantly surprised to see even small EI and CPP/QPP gains. The EI improvement which the NDP voted for in 2009 to save the government was worse than "small".


Life, the unive...
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No it was not small - unless you live in some kind of protective bubble. 

I've mentioned this before- I personally know two families, including my daughters, that those improvements made a big difference in their lives.  In fact, in my daughters case it allowed them to hang onto their home until other work was found when the bank was starting to swoop in.  For the other family it meant that they could stay in the area where there elderly father lives and care for him while work was found.  Work in many areas of the country is pretty damn hard to come by when one of the area's main employers pack up and leave.  Thankfully both those couples are now employed, even though it is not with as well paying a jobs and without benefits - at least they can pay the bills.


Le T
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Right, but that's two out of a couple million people. I would agree that they were "less than small" when we consider the cost.

 

ETA: Were not those improvements also temporary? Just until the end of the "crisis"?


Life, the unive...
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Yes, - the were temporary and that was a failing.

On the larger issue though if in a small community like mine two couples were helped out, (that I personally know) it is not hard to figure that there were lots and lots of people who were simlarly helped.

That might be small bananas to you two "or less than nothing" but to actual unemployed people facing hard time, it was a huge difference for them.  I really wish everyone could live in these pefectionist bubbles where only the most pure of things need only ever be contemplated.


Buddy Kat
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Well it's obvious the NDP aren't serious about this election...the last time Layton made deals with Harper it didn't go to well for the NDP....Voters look at it in a different way than Layton does...voters say the Cons are smart ..look how they manipulated Layton in supporting us....Layton say's , we are working for Canadians blah blah blah and unfortunantely it doesn't pan out in the polls ..does it?

Voting Canadians (greater than 65 and retired collecting Tommy D.'s pension) don't understand UI extensions etc etc...The rest of Canadians (one's that don't vote) all they understand is hardship or paying too much tax...so being nice to them works the opposite to how the NDP think..Yes Canadians for the most part are simpletons..they don't get or care how the NDP works for them ..only a small percentage do (16%) and that's it.....the NDP is doomed , playing nice to the worker class.

Then there is the time before (2 elections ago) where we wouldn't even be looking at Harpers mug for 5 years if it wasn't for Layton jumping in the tub with him...oh you really did good in the polls over that one NDP!

Nope if the NDP want to go good in the polls they would avoid Cons like the plague ..take a tough stand on all there values that made Canada great .....pensions ...ui ...medicare ...centralized banking....etc. Negative ads showing Harper and Iggy drinking and laughing at Canadians from the confines of there private mason club wouldn't hurt..and let the Neocons punish Canadians like they have never been punished before..then when the rioting and civil disobedience causes an election they can pull off a clean sweep.

Unfortunately by that time the country should be totally bankrupt and the medi system destroyed by the right...so Canada you get what's coming to you ..it's not like people didn't warn you ....Wink

 


Life, the unive...
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Your comments are so full of inaccuracies and invented history it is hard to take seriously let along bother to correct.


kropotkin1951
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Where can I find the NDP's proposed budget?  I have no problem with Jack saying here is our budget plan and we will support the Conservatives if their plan looks anything like ours.  That would focus on what the party would do and would take the policy points being made by the NDP out of the Conservative frame and into a progressive one.  If Jack on the other hand looks like he will deal with the devil for a few crumbs it will not win any new support.


Life, the unive...
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This is on the front page of the NDP's website.  It obviously isn't the full deal, but it shows the kinds of things the NDP is focusing on.  And they are practical, tangible, believable and doable things that speak to where a lot of voters are right now. Things the Conservatives, and Liberals for that matter, will never agree too.  In other words Layton is setting the stage for the NDPs focus for the election.  An election that is coming and that the NDP clearly wants.

 

 

http://www.ndp.ca/press/put-partisan-games-aside-get-things-done-ndp


duncan cameron
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I wrote about this here;

http://rabble.ca/columnists/2011/01/jack-layton-celebrates-eight-years-n...

For the record, Layton says that politics is about bringing people together. He opposes setting some people against other people for partisan advantage. In this case he is taking about parliamentarians, and what governments can achieve by reaching across the aisle, using the Pearson, TC Douglas example on medicare. That is his first preference.

On a broader level, bringing together all farm families, salaried and waged employees, and those on a social wage, also qualify as bringing people together, and is entirely consistent with the need to struggle against the capitalist class as well. That was what the CCF/NDP was created to do after all.

If the first option fails he said the party was ready for an election. 

 


Slumberjack
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duncan cameron wrote:
For the record, Layton says that politics is about bringing people together. He opposes setting some people against other people for partisan advantage. 

Is there really that much interest out there in bringing people together with the Harperites and the Liberanos?


inukjuak
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I really don't understand why Mr Layton gets bad press for providing nuanced statements about what his party will or will not do in response to a budget that has not yet been tabled. I want a party that is ready for an election...but even readier to work to improve things for the generality of the Canadian population. Is it just that a nuanced position doesn't make a very good headline? He's acting like the grownup in the room, and good for him for it.


Le T
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the NDP always gets bad press. i think it has something to do with how the owners of said press vote.

Quote:
I really wish everyone could live in these pefectionist bubbles where only the most pure of things need only ever be contemplated.

And by "perfectionist" you mean people in greater need getting what your friends got? I think that if you backup and take a breath you will note that i have nothing against your friends and that the elimination of all poverty is not "perfectionist" or idealist but is a easily achieveable goal that rich people in power simply choose not to do.


KenS
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I beleive the reference was to "bad press" around here, because its not the media knocking the NDP.

They dont directly knock the NDP, that is done here. The media get the reporting all secrewed up, heavily stilted by their low opinion of the NDP. That remains a subtext that "informs" the "analysis"... the NDP is afraid of an election because its goint to lose seats, they need to be seen as getting something from the Conservatives, the Caucus is divided, yada yada.

Whats funniest is people around here taking it as what is going on. Sheesh. 

The NDP is letting low expecations float out there in the media- because its more important to be seen as ready to do something useful. The low expectations will correct themselves later.

Babble has its own special version of the low expectations, but the speculation of what is to come is rooted in the same nonsense the media circulates.


Life, the unive...
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So shit all over those who did get some help in a situation that meant that was all that could be acheived.  Unless you think that if Layton had forced an election, and with the Liberals in free-fall at the time, we would have somehow ended up with something other than a Harper majority.  That was the real world situation you are crapping all over.


Buddy Kat
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inukjuak wrote:

I really don't understand why Mr Layton gets bad press for providing nuanced statements about what his party will or will not do in response to a budget that has not yet been tabled. I want a party that is ready for an election...but even readier to work to improve things for the generality of the Canadian population. Is it just that a nuanced position doesn't make a very good headline? He's acting like the grownup in the room, and good for him for it.

Because it's not up to Jack Layton ..it's up to the press....the press has been taken over by the right and if the right wants to ignore or rip or prop up Jack Layton and the NDP they will...as it is right now they treat the NDP like a joke ...a no show ...and prop up only the Conservative and the Liberal...the rest don't count.

That's why I say the NDP should be just concentrating on the good things they are responsible for in this country..anything they come up with will be torn down and spit on by the media ..until they have a nation wide media that can rip the neocon to pieces and prop up the left it will be that way and make no mistake the media is the boss and they can make or break anyone..pretty well at any time.

You have noticed that Jack Layton is the grown up in the room..your right unfortunately it's just you and 15% of Canadians that can see that..the rest obviously can't.

 

 

 

 

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=AkM5eyN8ytI&feature=user


Le T
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Quote:
So shit all over those who did get some help in a situation that meant that was all that could be acheived. Unless you think that if Layton had forced an election, and with the Liberals in free-fall at the time, we would have somehow ended up with something other than a Harper majority. That was the real world situation you are crapping all over.

I'm not shitting or crapping on anything except the continuation of poverty and the toilet. And just to be clear, you are lecturing me on "the real world situation" by invoking what could have happened, had something else happened, some time ago.


Buddy Kat
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Life, the universe, everything wrote:

Your comments are so full of inaccuracies and invented history it is hard to take seriously let along bother to correct.

Don't take my word for it ..look at the polls youreself and the last 5 years of conservative trash that the ndp help prop up . Remember when the Libs were being destroyed by the media/gromely mess...in the tub with Harper he went...you would think he would of learnt his lesson. Now he is thinking of showering with him...one bit of advice ..don't bend over to pick up the soap Jack....

 

Bring people together...the media will make mince meat out of you ..the conservatives believe in divide and conquer they run the media ...good luck trying to reverse the media ..only 15% of Canadians will see thru it..the rest are already bought ..hook, line and sinker....but yeah at least Jack layton has integrity,  Canadians don't want it and the media rejects it. so..what can you say...keep plugin away at it ..maybe it'll sink in one day.

 

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=AkM5eyN8ytI&feature=user


Life, the unive...
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The real history is that Martin rejected overtures to fix health care and to take further actions on a number of issues.  Martin forced an election he thought he was going to win.  Than ran the worse campaign in Canadian history, only surpassed by Dion.  That's the real story, not some fantasy that the NDP was in the tub with the Conservatives.  This oft repeated Liberal myth is pure hogwash.


Life, the unive...
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Le T wrote:

Quote:
So shit all over those who did get some help in a situation that meant that was all that could be acheived. Unless you think that if Layton had forced an election, and with the Liberals in free-fall at the time, we would have somehow ended up with something other than a Harper majority. That was the real world situation you are crapping all over.

I'm not shitting or crapping on anything except the continuation of poverty and the toilet. And just to be clear, you are lecturing me on "the real world situation" by invoking what could have happened, had something else happened, some time ago.

Yet you call real assistance, that helped real families and real individuals in real life danger and financial hardship- 'less than nothing'  To those many, many people it was a hell of a lot more than 'less than nothing'.  Was it enough to end poverty in Canada - of course not - but show me where the NDP had a real, not imagined, chance to do that with either the Martin or Harper governments.


takeitslowly
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many working poor people cant get ANY EI.


Life, the unive...
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Yes I know.  But that doesn't mean we belittle the needs of others who are not well off just because they do.


takeitslowly
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Well, it seems like though that its time we have an election that should be focus on those who never get anything, never get represented, and never have their voices heard in any political battles/campaign. not going to happen! Thats the problem with political compromises, the middle class and the poor get crumbs, and the really poor get nothing as usual.


Sean in Ottawa
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Yeah, Layton is doing let's make a deal alright-- with the NDP's printers.

Stuff is being printed now so while the NDP is certainly interested in any opportunity to achieve something for Canadians and is coming out open-minded-- don't think for a second that they believe we will avoid an electon.

Time to buy some comfortable shoes we are on our way it seems..


kropotkin1951
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takeitslowly wrote:

Well, it seems like though that its time we have an election that should be focus on those who never get anything, never get represented, and never have their voices heard in any political battles/campaign. not going to happen! Thats the problem with political compromises, the middle class and the poor get crumbs, and the really poor get nothing as usual.

Smile  

It seems to me that a party must have priorities and therefore if it is trying to win middle class votes then the party's efforts in office will go to that class.  Not only is EI way to hard to get it is also a pittance for workers making retail store incomes. Besides most of the underclass work two or three jobs and therefore are effectively barred from drawing any benefits unless they lost all their jobs at once.  

I am glad Jack is acting like an adult and I hope he gets to make his points in the media but I doubt it. This idea that the press is biased against the NDP is very, very old. Tommy didn't get elected because he got favourable coverage in the MSM.  He got elected because he and his party met with people at their kitchen tables and in small halls were he gave great lectures.  I think that face to face engagement with voters will always be the NDP's best weapon.  Lets face it the NDP will never get favourable press in the MSM so it must use other means to meet and persuade voters.


Aristotleded24
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Life, the universe, everything wrote:
The real history is that Martin rejected overtures to fix health care and to take further actions on a number of issues.  Martin forced an election he thought he was going to win.  Than ran the worse campaign in Canadian history, only surpassed by Dion.  That's the real story, not some fantasy that the NDP was in the tub with the Conservatives.  This oft repeated Liberal myth is pure hogwash.

Don't forget that the Liberals would have fallen with or without NDP support anyways.


Buddy Kat
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Yep already there was a pundit saying there is Jack in a top hat with flowers and a box of chocolates running to Harper and Harper aint giving him the time of day....already they got him painted as a friggin clown....Canadians suck it up and laugh....quit playing nice NDP..the country wants you swinging a machete in the conservative direction , come on rub Harpers nose in the mess he has created.....remember the last political leaders debate and Harper said "Canadians aren't worried about losing there homes and employment" rub their tory assed faces in it


duncan cameron
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Jack Layton is reminding people that the Harper government can get things done for Canadians. Harper will trigger an election if he thinks he can win it. If not he will look for a deal with Duceppe or Layton. Layton wants people to know that the decision belongs to Harper. Of course Harper will blame all the opposition parties for the unnecessary election he triggered, if it comes to that.

If the mainstream media were indeed providing democracy with oxygen, instead of waging the class war from above, rabble.ca would not need to exist as a news site.

I started following parliament in 1966. From what I've seen since, rabble.ca is the first place the NDP has ever had a fair shake. Only the alternative media are independent of corporate influence.

Since we are on the subject of rabble.ca, our budget is about $200,000 a year. Don Cherry gets over $600,000 from the public broadcaster. Since rabble.ca are running a fund raiser, please think about setting up a monthly contribution. We want to double our budget to provide better staff working conditions, and do a better job. Our staff are part-time, and all volunteer additional time. 


Unionist
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takeitslowly wrote:

many working poor people cant get ANY EI.

That's right. What's needed is EI reform. In our discussions last year, I agreed with Lana Payne - president of the Newfoundland and Labrador Federation of Labour. Here's what she said in September 2009 about Harper's EI bill:

Lana Payne wrote:

I am a UI/EI junkie. Just wanted to get that out of the way. I would like to add that this proposal sets a dangerous precedent as it attacks and diminishes the principles of social insurance. Social insurance as we know is a lot different than experienced-based insurance. C-50 says an individual is entitled to extra benefits based on their experience with the EI system, how much they have collected in the past and how much they have paid in premiums. This is what the Liberals tried to do in the 1990s when they first introduced EI. At that time it was called the Intensity Rule and workers were penalized (with a lower benefit rate) for every 20 weeks of benefits they collected to a low of 50%, while everyone else got 55% of their average earnings.

Basing entitlement on past use of the EI system and how much you have paid into the system, changes the principles from social insurance to experience-rated insurance just the direction the Conservatives want. They are using the economic crisis to damage what has been a long-standing and very important program for Canadian working people.

In addition to being offended by who is left out in this EI proposal, we must also denounce the dangerous precedent that this sets.

We were successful in getting rid of that nasty Intensity Rule, but it took tremendous fightback - 11 MPs (Liberals) in Atlantic Canada lost their jobs as a result of those so-called EI reforms.

By the way, Duncan, it's good to see you here as always. But I'd like to remind you of what you said on the same topic. You were right - in theory - but I had a hard time then believing that you could see a way for the NDP to build on what was obviously a dirty little trap laid by Harper:

duncan cameron wrote:
This is a minority parliament. There are ways of opposing the government other than forcing an election. One way is (on second reading, approval in principle) to support a bill to change EI even if it offers only crumbs, and then in committee to bring in Armine, Stephen, Andrew Jackson and other experts to tell the public what is wrong with it, and how it should be amended.


Together the Liberals, NDP, and Bloc have a majority of votes. Since the government does not contribute to the EI fund, you could argue this is not a money bill and should be amended, even if spending does go up.

Perhaps we can learn the lessons of the past if we are not to repeat it?

Source.

ETA: Actually, that whole page, and Armine Yalzinyan's lead article, are well worth reviewing, in light of the decisions that we need to make soon. Especially her cautionary note:

Armine Yalniyan wrote:
The Conservatives are again playing Parliament like a fiddle, and members of the Opposition risk getting Conned once again. I don’t envy them.

Me neither.


takeitslowly
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I just like to add a little note: Another way that prevents someone from getting EI is when the employers refuse to fire someone, but instead reduce the worker's hours to the extent that the employee would have to quit on their own. There are so  so many ways someone can fall through the EI system, its a complete joke.


M. Spector
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duncan cameron wrote:

Jack Layton is reminding people that the Harper government can get things done for Canadians.

Reminding? You mean, like we've all forgotten how the Harper government can get things done for us? WTF?

duncan cameron wrote:
On a broader level, bringing together all farm families, salaried and waged employees, and those on a social wage, also qualify as bringing people together, and is entirely consistent with the need to struggle against the capitalist class as well.

Um, yeah, if your idea of "struggle against the capitalist class" is "a small boost to the GIS and a modest increase to the Canada Pension Plan"!


KenS
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M. Spector wrote:

duncan cameron wrote:

Jack Layton is reminding people that the Harper government can get things done for Canadians.

Reminding? You mean, like we've all forgotten how the Harper government can get things done for us? WTF?

Someone who spends all their time talking to the in crowd, and just thinking about talking to the in crowd, couldn't be expected to understand Duncan's point.

Reminder: "It is very much in this governments power to do something in your interest." Subtext- if they dont, its not because it can't be done, it is because they choose not to.

I was thinking about what Duncan said that Rabble is a media where the NDP gets a fair shake. Which is true. Babble is the location for venting.


Unionist
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You didn't go back and read the Progressive Economics page I linked to - did you Ken? Why not have a look and let's learn from past experience, instead of just scorning babblers who don't "give the NDP a fair shake".

 


RevolutionPlease
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Why should it be any different than the MSM here?  Good job y'all.


RevolutionPlease
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Go Egypt!


Fidel
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M. Spector wrote:
Um, yeah, if your idea of "struggle against the capitalist class" is "a small boost to the GIS and a modest increase to the Canada Pension Plan"!

And that was with just 37 seats when our share of the vote said we should have had 56. Imagine the NDP with official opposition numbers and facing down Ignatief's  best friends forever, the phony minority Harpers. They'd run outa perogies.


Boom Boom
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But, Fidel, why should Layton be content with struggling for "a small boost to the GIS and a modest increase to the Canada Pension Plan"??? Why not be more bold and go for more? That's why some of us roll our eyes in this debate.


M. Spector
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KenS wrote:

Reminder: "It is very much in this governments power to do something in your interest." Subtext- if they dont, its not because it can't be done, it is because they choose not to.

Somehow, I don't think the real problem is people's underestimating the power of the Harper government. I haven't met too may people who think it's not within Harper's power to make "a modest increase to the Canada Pension Plan", for example.


Fidel
\,,/ rabble-rouser-l33t \,,/
Member: 6594
Joined: Apr 29 2004

Because Canadians want parliament to work not another election.

And because somewhere less than two-thirds of eligible voters will actually vote regardless.

And because statistics show that young Canadians from families with incomes of between $20000 to $60000 are only half as likely to vote in elections as those in families with higher incomes.

Because the legitimacy of Canadian elections has deteriorated markedly since 1994. The well was poisoned with FTA-NAFTA sellouts, GST flip-flops, Mulroney-baloney and just an overall shitty economy and not much to votefor when your party lies to you like they have over the last 25 years. Three decades three recessions. Is it any wonder why Canadians are not enthusiastic about voting? We're in a transition  phase from paternalistic autocracy to Northern Puerto Ricandom. This one has to last a while before people decide to do something about it.

But not because the NDP doesn't think Canadians deserve better. It's only because the NDP wants to hang in there and play this absurd FPTP chess game with the two fat-cat parties. We have few other options. Jack is doing really well for the leader of a party that can't rely on Bay Street support and bankers giving us the wink and a nod as to when they're ready for a stooge-off.


M. Spector
\,,/ rabble-rouser-l33t \,,/
Member: 9273
Joined: Feb 19 2005

Nothing good can come from making a Stephen Harper-dominated parliament work. The last five years are proof of that.

Most Canadians don't want a Stephen Harper government. It makes no sense to say they don't want another election. Why would they pass up another opportunity to throw the bastards out? It's actually the NDP who doesn't want another election, because they have nothing to offer Canadians as an alternative and they know they will get trounced at the polls. Trying to spin cowardice as leadership is a joke.

If it was up to me we'd have elections every year. Politicians would live in constant fear of being thrown out on their ass.


Fidel
\,,/ rabble-rouser-l33t \,,/
Member: 6594
Joined: Apr 29 2004

You can always vote for the perfect parties. I really wish the Marxist and communist parties hadn't finished in 8th and 11th places and with zero seats between them last election. Those are the kind of electoral results we can expect for growing a pair.

What we need is to get to first base and introduce a little democracy in Ottawa. As an example, "baby steps",  like Jack says about Harper doing something about the red chamber filled with people who have absolutely nothing to do with democracy.


Aristotleded24
rabble-rouser-machine
Member: 10327
Joined: May 24 2005

M. Spector wrote:
Most Canadians don't want a Stephen Harper government. It makes no sense to say they don't want another election. Why would they pass up another opportunity to throw the bastards out? It's actually the NDP who doesn't want another election, because they have nothing to offer Canadians as an alternative and they know they will get trounced at the polls. Trying to spin cowardice as leadership is a joke.

They may not like Harper, but that won't automatically translate into voting against him. Most likely, they will just stay home out of frustration, leaving only Conservative voters to head to the polls.

As for what Canadians want, the vast majority of us have to in our every day lives, work with people we don't particularly like in order to accomplish common goals. The complaint they have is that politicians cannot get along and fight amongst each other like children. This way, Layton can successfully say, "we're committed to working in your best interest, unfortunately Stephen Harper is not."


M. Spector
\,,/ rabble-rouser-l33t \,,/
Member: 9273
Joined: Feb 19 2005

I don't think the majority of Canadians want the opposition to play kissy-face with the Harpocons. They understand what you don't - that "opposition" is supposed to mean something and that analogies between parliament and co-operative workplaces are bogus. 

And saying that people who don't like Harper "most likely" won't vote anyway is about the feeblest reason I've ever heard for avoiding an election. Might as well just make him president for life and have done with it! 


Fidel
\,,/ rabble-rouser-l33t \,,/
Member: 6594
Joined: Apr 29 2004

I'd suggest studying Wilf Day's threads on modern electoral systems to understand why Canadian elections are little more than two party stoogeoffs every four years. The idea behind 19th century electoral systems invented before electricity is to punish third parties for trying to grow support outside the narrow voter base designated for the stoogeaucracy.


M. Spector
\,,/ rabble-rouser-l33t \,,/
Member: 9273
Joined: Feb 19 2005

So like I say, why bother with elections at all? Just crown King Stephen and have done with it.


Fidel
\,,/ rabble-rouser-l33t \,,/
Member: 6594
Joined: Apr 29 2004

Because we're NDPers and we'll spit our last breaths at these hirelings, these colonial administrators and pretenders to the throne shoved into power decade after decade by the filthy rich and foreign interests. Musha rain dum a doo, dum a da Musha rain dum a doo, dum a da


M. Spector
\,,/ rabble-rouser-l33t \,,/
Member: 9273
Joined: Feb 19 2005

Oh how very militant of you.

And I love the cognitive dissonance between that rhetoric and the message that we have to learn to work co-operatively with these vicious toadies, lest we have to actually fight (gasp!) another election!


Fidel
\,,/ rabble-rouser-l33t \,,/
Member: 6594
Joined: Apr 29 2004

So like I say, there are 20 some-odd registered political parties in Canada. Pick the one with the best platform and weigh that against realistic odds for unseating the stoogeaucracy. Right now that's the NDP. And we're already making the phony opposition look like floaters. It's not the size of the dog in the fight, and sometimes the dog has to skirt and dance around the rabid bear in order to live to fight another day. And we will win!

"STOMP-STOP CLAP!"

Buddy you're a young man hard man
Shoutin' in the street gonna take on the world some day
You got blood on yo' face
You big disgrace
Wavin' your banner all over the place

 


RevolutionPlease
rabble-rouser-supreme
Member: 15629
Joined: Oct 15 2007

And the people sing it:

 

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=t4MJqLmKfHo


Boom Boom
\,,/ rabble-rouser-l33t \,,/
Member: 8791
Joined: Dec 29 2004

My advice to the NDP: go bold, or go home.


Skinny Dipper
rabble-rouser
Member: 12459
Joined: Dec 23 2005

I think Boom Boom has it right.  I will add that it's not the current level of support that will affect the NDP's next election results; it's the ability to persuade during the next election campaign.  The first group that the NDP needs to persuade is the party's loyal supporters.  If Jack Layton and the NDP are seem playing footsie with Harper and his Conservatives, then Layton's loyal supporters may be less inclined to actively support his party in the next election campaign.

Jack Layton and the NDP may feel that they can't afford to go to the polls now; I think that they can't afford to wait another year from now.  Otherwise, the NDP's loyal supporters may turn to the Liberals, Greens, or just stay home.


KenS
\,,/ rabble-rouser-l33t \,,/
Member: 2174
Joined: Aug 6 2001

M. Spector wrote:

[/b] the power of the Harper government. I haven't met too may people who think it's not within Harper's power to make "a modest increase to the Canada Pension Plan", for example.

Wrong question. Not to mention that you don't meet enough people.

Its not a question of literally what the government does or does not have the power to do. People are seduced by the notion that it is questionable whether we can "afford it". And that includes many people who we need to vote NDP or Liberal. [IE, not counting those ideologically opposed to government spending.]

 

Unionist wrote:

 Why not have a look and let's learn from past experience, instead of just scorning babblers who don't "give the NDP a fair shake".

I did not say, and do not mean, that babblers dont give the NDP a fair shake. Echoing Duncan, I said that Rabble does give the NDP that.

 

The contrast to Babble is that babblers vent. Since by any measure the usefullness of venting is minimal, thats not what you get on Rabble. You get plenty of critique of the NDP, but the discipline of the site minimizes venting.


Slumberjack
rabble-rouser-for-life
Member: 11108
Joined: Aug 8 2005

Apparently there's such a clamour out there for making parliament work with the harpocrites, that it compels opposition parties through the sheer weight of public opinion to bend their entire ideology to the task.


KenS
\,,/ rabble-rouser-l33t \,,/
Member: 2174
Joined: Aug 6 2001

Apparently people are so taken up with the notion that they occupy the centre of the universe that they see no need to be bothered with looking at the state of mind of the public- ostensibly what electoral politics is about.

**************************************************

 

Skinny Dipper wrote:

If Jack Layton and the NDP are seem playing footsie with Harper and his Conservatives, then Layton's loyal supporters may be less inclined to actively support his party in the next election campaign.

Jack Layton and the NDP may feel that they can't afford to go to the polls now; I think that they can't afford to wait another year from now. Otherwise, the NDP's loyal supporters may turn to the Liberals, Greens, or just stay home.

We are talking about a section of the NDP's "loyal supporters." Where I live and work, people who count themselves among the NDPs solid base are happy with what they are seeing.

But that is no small section of the base you are talking about, and obvioulsy highly represented on this board.

The problem is that you are so paranoid about even the possibility of 'playing footsie with Harper' that you don't recognize good pre-election positioning when it is staring you in the face.

Ditto with the NDP being afraid to go to the polls now. There is no evidence for that, and plenty of evidence to the contrary. There is a persistent media narrative that says that. But for some reason that narrative resonates with people who are otherwise very skeptical of what the media says.


Boom Boom
\,,/ rabble-rouser-l33t \,,/
Member: 8791
Joined: Dec 29 2004

Slumberjack wrote:

Apparently there's such a clamour out there for making parliament work with the harpocrites, that it compels opposition parties through the sheer weight of public opinion to bend their entire ideology to the task.

I am so borrowing this! Laughing


KenS
\,,/ rabble-rouser-l33t \,,/
Member: 2174
Joined: Aug 6 2001

By the way, here is the most likely outcome of the next few months, including the election window. Lets see how that stacks with what people want.

The most likely by far possibility is that you are going to see the NDP doing what you apparently think they will not. They are already doing it: making demands that this government will not meet. As we get closer to the election the focus will shift to the demands themselves, and the focus on being open to the [nominal] possibility of some kind of deal will dissappear completely.

There are two months, so there is still some chance we could not have an election. But its looking pretty unlikley. So we go into the election with that emphasis from the NDP.

We come out of the election with only a very small chance for either of two clear outcomes: a Cons majority or a combined majority for the Libs and NDP. In other words, whatever the seat counts, back to where we were.

Even if the Liberals and NDP have done reasonably well, and neither is an unstable governing partner from being badly wounded, who governs is up to the Bloc. And I'll bet that the bloc supports the government- part of the deal being the HST harmonization the government supposedly cannot get done now.

Now obviously that is not the outcome people here are looking for. But its a very likely outcome, even if the NDP pursues the stance people are looking for, and which I think you will see.


Boom Boom
\,,/ rabble-rouser-l33t \,,/
Member: 8791
Joined: Dec 29 2004

Maybe it's time for the social conscience of Parliament - the NDP - to go back to the drawing boards and get creative. This merry-go-round isn't cutting it.


Slumberjack
rabble-rouser-for-life
Member: 11108
Joined: Aug 8 2005

Boom Boom wrote:
Maybe it's time for the social conscience of Parliament - the NDP - to go back to the drawing boards and get creative.

That's exactly what we need in these times.  More stand up comedy.


KenS
\,,/ rabble-rouser-l33t \,,/
Member: 2174
Joined: Aug 6 2001

Pray tell me what is 'uncreative' about pushing the improvement of the GIS and CPP enhancement?

Last I hear Boom Boom, you were not in the catgeory of nothing less than a revolution will satisfy?

Here is a big way the centre of the universe navel gazing is getting in the way right now. People have this idea that the opposition and latent opposition to Harper out there is as ideologically based as it is with us. That is only partly the case. For a great many people it is some of that [and uncertain about it], mixed with a lot of distaste about how Harper practices politics. Does not work well with others being an understatement.

To consolidate votes you have to play on both of those.


Boom Boom
\,,/ rabble-rouser-l33t \,,/
Member: 8791
Joined: Dec 29 2004

I was too harsh, I admit. The real problem is FPTP - until that is replaced, there's probably not much the NDP can do to get more progressive policy through.Frown


Boom Boom
\,,/ rabble-rouser-l33t \,,/
Member: 8791
Joined: Dec 29 2004

Slumberjack wrote:

Boom Boom wrote:
Maybe it's time for the social conscience of Parliament - the NDP - to go back to the drawing boards and get creative.

That's exactly what we need in these times.  More stand up comedy.

Sheesh. And I thought I was being a bit overboard with my criticism.Laughing


Life, the unive...
rabble-rouser-machine
Member: 14982
Joined: Mar 23 2007

As Sean from Ottawa pointed out in another thread the only real negoitiating the NDP is doing right now is with the printers who will be doing their election work.(to parahrase)

I simply can not believe that people who otherwise tend to have some smarts can not see exactly what is going on.  The prevailing mood  of 75 % of the country is a pox on all their damn houses.  They see politicians squabbling like Parliament Hill was a daycare with little positive to offer as solutions.  They don't want a lot of lofty promises because they don't believe it.  Offer some big promise to end poverty overnight and they will just roll their eyes because they won't believe it -no matter how good an idea they might think it is.  Talk about Harper in the terms he is talked about on babble and you will guarentee a massive Harper majority, because people are sick of attack politics (whether is is coming from the right or left).  Most people simply want to see a politiican say what he/she means an mean what he/she says and seems to understand their hopes and fears.

What Layton has been doing has been talking to the vast majority of the country, but in some ways especially non-voters, and saying 'we hear you and we are prepared to work but we need these other tools do it to'.  When , not if the election comes Layton will be able to say with some credibility we tried to get some real improvements in your life - but we were stopped by Harper.  Duncan's point above is that Layton is reminding Canadians that Harper could do something, but won't.  That is a good narrative going into an election.  At the same time the NDP is getting free media coverage of what are surely going to be part of the NDPs platform and themes in an election that is surely coming just as spring itself. 

The NDP is clearly ready, chomping at the bit in fact, if you follow those in the ranks.  At this point I see the only potential block to an election as being a sudden case of cold feet from the Liberals who are clearly half-hearted if you follow comments from beyond the leader bubble.  It is extremely unlikely they will back down, so I put the chance of an election day in mid-April at about 95%


KenS
\,,/ rabble-rouser-l33t \,,/
Member: 2174
Joined: Aug 6 2001

Unionist wrote:

You didn't go back and read the Progressive Economics page I linked to - did you Ken? Why not have a look and let's learn from past experience, instead of just scorning babblers who don't "give the NDP a fair shake".

I did read it.

Following the part you quoted, apaprently you are seeing a reprise right now of the parties being Conned again. So point that out, and illustrate something different in what you have learbed from the past.


George Victor
rabble-rouser-for-life
Member: 15683
Joined: Oct 28 2007

Ltu, you are challenging those who last tried to put across social democratic goals to the public sometime before the advent of P.E.T.  They've no idea what is involved, anymore, and would not thank you for messing up their neat little universes, based as they are, not on polls but  sophistry.

 

As DC said: "I started following parliament in 1966. From what I've seen since, rabble.ca is the first place the NDP has ever had a fair shake. Only the alternative media are independent of corporate influence."

 

I was a few years ahead of him, and in his first federal election as NDP leader, Tommy pointed out the national news bias against social democracy. It should be obvious to DC that rabble doesn't cut it with the more ideological element of babble for whom money matters matters not a whit, whether in analysis or the real world.


Fidel
\,,/ rabble-rouser-l33t \,,/
Member: 6594
Joined: Apr 29 2004

All we can do is hope that the phony majority machine doesn't tilt in favour of either of the neoliberal kool aid flavours of the month parties. They don't like it that the Librals have to prop them up. The Tories still can't shake the legacy of Brian Baloney. And the Liberals can't shake the legacy of Chretien-Martin. They are disappointed by the fact that Canadians don't want two right wing parties following orders from Warshington.

We're just waiting on the banks to instruct Iggy or Harper as to when the next electoral stooge-off will be. Waiting is never a nice thing. Don't blame Iggy or Harper, they're just waiting patiently themselves.


Boom Boom
\,,/ rabble-rouser-l33t \,,/
Member: 8791
Joined: Dec 29 2004

Fidel, you're becoming far too predictable with that tired meme. Throw in that "northern Puerto Rico" once in a while, okay? Laughing


Unionist
\,,/ rabble-rouser-l33t \,,/
Member: 12323
Joined: Dec 11 2005

KenS wrote:

Following the part you quoted, apaprently you are seeing a reprise right now of the parties being Conned again.

Not in the slightest. Where did you get that?

What I did was point out that the NDP had been Conned in September 2009 (I was pointing it out at the time as well, but I quoted greater minds than mine just to confirm that I was not alone). Some here still claim that what they did made sense. It's hard to have a discussion when not only did Harper so obviously win that round, but the entire issue of committee hearings, review, pushing EI reform further, etc., simply died, as was eminently predictable.

As for today, you should try to debate with what I say, not what you'd like to hear:

Unionist wrote:
I'll be pleasantly surprised to see even small EI and CPP/QPP gains.

That's what I said, isn't it? Now I've repeated it. I will not change my mind in a hurry. But I also repeat this:

Unionist wrote:
The EI improvement which the NDP voted for in 2009 to save the government was worse than "small".

If that's the kind of bullshit that will induce Layton to support a Harper budget, we had better all start writing, phoning, and shouting right now. Otherwise, why would Layton not listen to the same misguided voices as in Sept. 2009? We will have only ourselves to blame.

So to be very tedious and repetitious, Ken, I am not "seeing a reprise right now" of the disaster of September 2009. I am remembering it, and trying to open up discussion about how to avert it. It will be difficult - just read some of the opinions in this thread.

 


George Victor
rabble-rouser-for-life
Member: 15683
Joined: Oct 28 2007

Some people follow the polls closely and can sentence institutions to seppuku with a wave of their fairy wand.


Fidel
\,,/ rabble-rouser-l33t \,,/
Member: 6594
Joined: Apr 29 2004

I could say the same thing about the political commentary around here and all. It wears thin after a while. Nothing to it. It's like boiled kleenex with a few different adjectives now and again. The Northern Puerto Rico is in our obsolete electoral system. We get the same Canadians voting for the same two tired and worn out old line parties every time on time. In the backs of their minds, they do realize they are voting for the exact same party. They must know it by now. There is a word that describes dozey people doing the same things over and over again and getting the same results as before.


Boom Boom
\,,/ rabble-rouser-l33t \,,/
Member: 8791
Joined: Dec 29 2004

Oh, I agree 100%, Fidel - just taking a friendly poke at you. Just wanted to make sure it wasn't your clone speaking for you. Laughing


duncan cameron
rabble-rouser
Member: 1043
Joined: Apr 17 2001

The "national news bias against social democracy," to quote George Victor quoting TC Douglas, is all pervasive. It has infected the CBC, and the Star. When Jack Layton won the leadership eight years ago the party was no longer quoted in the news, and it was generally ignored by the press. Layton using skills from his Toronto City Council experience managed to insert the NDP into the news cycle. Now it appears normal for him to get coverage.

There is a price for this of course. He leaves himself open to criticism from the left. So be it, and rabble.ca hosts those critics with pride.

When I first joined the NDP, Alexa was leader. I wrote a brief to the party renewal commission arguing the party had to become a mass party, with a goal of one million members, constituency based, and that it needed its own media. As presently constituted the party wants donors, not members. In fact, it is not equipped to handle membership activities like holding meetings, with invited speakers; or, generally, go about building a farmer-labour-citizen party that would be the engine of social transformation, leading eventually to electoral victory, and the opportunity to make substantial economic change.

The CCPA is getting its message about the widening gap between the rich and the rest of the us into the msm, which is good. Who asks why is there such a gap? And what are we going to do about it? Those who expect Layton and the NDP caucus to do this all by themselves are asking the NDP as a parliamentary party to do more than it is able to do.

I would like to see NDP constituency organizations asking those questions publicly. Why so much economic inequality and what can we do about it? Lets see meetings sponsored by riding associations and unions discussing the basic organization of Canadian society. This would help to mobilize public opinion at the grass/net roots, and maybe bring people like our "stranded" Canadian citizen back into political activity. http://rabble.ca/babble/introductions/being-canadian-2011

My favorite expression these days is Canadians elect a parliament, parliament chooses a government. There are 308 elections in our 19th century democracy invented before electricity to quote Fidel. Creating riding by riding constituency organizations, autonomous in structure, implanted in the community, and working together across Canada may not be the only way to make real change happen, but it offers a real avenue for building a social movement that can underpin change. 

 

 


Fidel
\,,/ rabble-rouser-l33t \,,/
Member: 6594
Joined: Apr 29 2004

I think some people want Jack to be another Hugo Chavez. And I think that's admirable. But if we are to follow Venezuela's experience to a tee, then we must first experience the far depths of corruption in government while US energy companies siphon off what's left of the oil. It will require the electorate to become thoroughly jaded and for the stoogeaucracy to finally grow a pair each themselves and dare get rid of the last vestiges of the CCF-NDP legacy namely universal health care. When that's gone, then Canadians will become disgruntled enough to want to clean the halls of power of political rot and decay. And then we will have our revolutionary MMP electoral system Venezuelan style. Then will every Canadian's vote be counted equally. Then we will be able to say we are Tunisians today and hold up signs mocking our political stooges that read, "Game Over!"


George Victor
rabble-rouser-for-life
Member: 15683
Joined: Oct 28 2007

DC: "Creating riding by riding constituency organizations, autonomous in structure, implanted in the community, and working together across Canada may not be the only way to make real change happen, but it offers a real avenue for building a social movement that can underpin change. "

 

Right on. But we have to have something besides work to inspire attendance. It used to be small sermons on what the world could look like, perfected, but that's gone by the (nautical expression) board. A broken reed.  We now need to inculcate a spirit that does not quail at the prospect of really tough times. Suzuki's "do it for the kids" didn't work worth a damn.

Any ideas?


Life, the unive...
rabble-rouser-machine
Member: 14982
Joined: Mar 23 2007

duncan cameron wrote:

I would like to see NDP constituency organizations asking those questions publicly. Why so much economic inequality and what can we do about it? Lets see meetings sponsored by riding associations and unions discussing the basic organization of Canadian society. This would help to mobilize public opinion at the grass/net roots, and maybe bring people like our "stranded" Canadian citizen back into political activity. http://rabble.ca/babble/introductions/being-canadian-2011

 

If this is what you really want Duncan I would encourage you to help shine a light on the amazing consituency level work being done in Brant, Essex and Huron-Bruce by, respectfully Marc Laferriere, Taras Natyshak and Grant Robertson and their local teams.  They are doing exactly what you say you want done.  So what will people do to support their work and get them to the House of Commons to show that this hard slogging is the right recipe.


duncan cameron
rabble-rouser
Member: 1043
Joined: Apr 17 2001

Back on topic for a moment, Jack Layton seems to have won lots of ground in the pre-budget/pre-election message wars.

http://www.thestar.com/news/canada/article/929931--election-fever-needs-...


Life, the unive...
rabble-rouser-machine
Member: 14982
Joined: Mar 23 2007

You know Duncan I am really getting tired of you glossing over people who are doing what you say you want all the time like it is irrelevant.  I know it is hard to pull your head out of deep thoughts, but it is on the ground with the kind of people I mentioned that the progressive movement has to win if things are ever going to change.  I am now in my 60s - I am running out of patience for the big movement to get involved on the ground where the change has to win if we think electoral politics matter. All three of the people I've mentioned have committed an enourmous amount of their own time and resources to build ridings to the point they are now competative.  They are going to need help to compete against the tens of thousands of dollars Conservatives will spend to beat them back.  Yet whenever anyone ever brings up these kinds of specifics you just dismiss it like no one said anything.  Makes one start to wonder.


Unionist
\,,/ rabble-rouser-l33t \,,/
Member: 12323
Joined: Dec 11 2005

From duncan's linked Star article:

Jack Layton wrote:
"Don’t get me wrong. We’ll reject a bad budget. We’ll fight an election over it."

Charlie Angus wrote:
"I think woe to the one who decides to pull the pin and force an election."

 

 

 


ottawaobserver
rabble-rouser-supreme
Member: 15981
Joined: Feb 24 2008

ETA: I was replying to LTU's comments about no-one hearing and listening to what's actually being done in those three ridings in SW Ontario.

You won't find that written about in the Toronto Star, is the problem. For all the griping that's done about the corporate media around here, people still don't realize the extent their limited coverage colours our perception of what is actually happening on the ground.

I suppose you could write a column on what is happening in those ridings for Babble, LTU. Maybe it would get read that way.


ottawaobserver
rabble-rouser-supreme
Member: 15981
Joined: Feb 24 2008

I guess timing and relative bargaining power play no role in deciding negotiating strategies in Unionist's union.


Fidel
\,,/ rabble-rouser-l33t \,,/
Member: 6594
Joined: Apr 29 2004

Next election October 2012. Until then the official opposition party will have to continue looking a lot like support props for the Harpers. And it isn't winning them any new support from the electorate apparently. Play it cool, Jack. Play it cool.


George Victor
rabble-rouser-for-life
Member: 15683
Joined: Oct 28 2007

ottawaobserver wrote:

I guess timing and relative bargaining power play no role in deciding negotiating strategies in Unionist's union.

 

Adding campaign money as a necessary element in the complex, that's the fairy wand at work.


kropotkin1951
rabble-rouser-supreme
Member: 3732
Joined: Jun 6 2002

Life, the universe, everything wrote:

I simply can not believe that people who otherwise tend to have some smarts can not see exactly what is going on.  The prevailing mood  of 75 % of the country is a pox on all their damn houses.  They see politicians squabbling like Parliament Hill was a daycare with little positive to offer as solutions.  They don't want a lot of lofty promises because they don't believe it.  Offer some big promise to end poverty overnight and they will just roll their eyes because they won't believe it -no matter how good an idea they might think it is. 

...

Talk about Harper in the terms he is talked about on babble and you will guarentee a massive Harper majority, because people are sick of attack politics (whether is is coming from the right or left).  Most people simply want to see a politiican say what he/she means an mean what he/she says and seems to understand their hopes and fears.

I agree with the first part and I would like to agree with the second part but I suspect that while most people hate attack ads they still work and that is why the Conservatives will say they are not running attack ads while running attack ads.


melovesproles
rabble-rouser
Member: 9868
Joined: Apr 15 2005

Yeah, it`s totally naeive to think attack ads  and aggressive wedge issue politics don`t work.  The trick is figuring out where the vulnerabilities are and which scabs to pick at.  Duceppe did an excellent job of this last election and with his ramped up rhetoric completely surpised the countless `political experts`who predicted the Bloc were finished and that Harper was going to make major gains.  The ``can`t we all be nice and moderate`` crowd like to claim they are channeling the `true` political sensibilities of the public but they don`t have any real evidence to back this up and are just venting the prejudices and preferences of their own `small circle of friends.`


Fidel
\,,/ rabble-rouser-l33t \,,/
Member: 6594
Joined: Apr 29 2004

The Lib-Cons only have their fangs covered for the time being. They are playing meek and mild themselves in order to sucker Canadians into handing either one of them phony-majority dictatorial powers. And what pathetic percentage of Canadians have been voting over the last six years are refusing to give it to them. And so their high-priced electoral strategists watch the opinion polls for an opportune moment to seize power.


Unionist
\,,/ rabble-rouser-l33t \,,/
Member: 12323
Joined: Dec 11 2005

ottawaobserver wrote:

I guess timing and relative bargaining power play no role in deciding negotiating strategies in Unionist's union.

In my union, we sometimes settle for little or nothing because we lack the timing or the "rapport de force" to get more.

But I'll tell you this - we never accept a few crumbs for the most senior workers, leave the most junior and the middle group in the lurch, and brandish the abject fear of a lockout to pressure everyone into ratifying.

That's exactly what the September 2009 EI "reform" was - in allegorical terms. It was not only insulting, it was primarily discriminatory.

If Jack can get small EI and CPP/QPP gains out of Harper, without "paying" for it somewhere else where it counts, he should seriously consider supporting the budget - I've said that and I repeat it. Have you got a problem with that, OO - or are you just bent on ridicule this afternoon?

Also, I'd still like to know whether Layton or Angus better reflects the current feeling of caucus (see the two quotes above) - anyone shed any light on that?


Life, the unive...
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Member: 14982
Joined: Mar 23 2007

melovesproles wrote:

Yeah, it`s totally naeive to think attack ads  and aggressive wedge issue politics don`t work.  The trick is figuring out where the vulnerabilities are and which scabs to pick at.  Duceppe did an excellent job of this last election and with his ramped up rhetoric completely surpised the countless `political experts`who predicted the Bloc were finished and that Harper was going to make major gains.  The ``can`t we all be nice and moderate`` crowd like to claim they are channeling the `true` political sensibilities of the public but they don`t have any real evidence to back this up and are just venting the prejudices and preferences of their own `small circle of friends.`

I would have thought that the last thing I would be accused of on babble was promoting play nice.  My point was the kind of rhetoric I see on babble that compares Harper to Hitler, uses terms like fascist and all the rest are counter-productive if your goal is to try and reach out beyond a hardcore base.  It doesn't even matter if that language might meet some empirical truth scale, it turns people off.  I have no problem with tough and think nice and sunny rarely works - think of Layton's first or second campaign with the 'green and prosperous Canada where no one is left behind' nonsense.  Yuck.  Tough is good, overt attack is wearing thin though.  It might even be possible that the reason the Conservatives have not pushed above 40 is because of attack ads, but that would be an assertion not something I could prove or even fully believe, but it is a possibility.

There other thing to remember is as unfair as it is the left is held to a much different standard.  It totally sucks, but the right can do things that are bold faced lies and untruthes and they are left alone.  If the left gets even close to the line the right goes over regularly it will be the left who gets called offside every time.

I hold some hope that the NDP seems to be using social media pretty well, if I can make the assumption the three candidates I mentioned above are indicative of a trend.  All three use it differently, but they all reach out effectively.  That to me is going to be the real way the NDP can reach around the media and get a larger message to the general public.


KenS
\,,/ rabble-rouser-l33t \,,/
Member: 2174
Joined: Aug 6 2001

"Get small gains in EI and CPP/QPP without 'paying' for it somewhere else?

What do you mean. I assumed when youfirst brought it up that getting CPP enhancements- which is hardly a small gain especially considering the door was slammed shut on it- getting the first of enhancements would be worth supporting the Budget. But then I see that following comment about not paying for it somewhere else. What does that mean? A negotiation where you dont have to give something up in return? like supporting the Budget?


KenS
\,,/ rabble-rouser-l33t \,,/
Member: 2174
Joined: Aug 6 2001

ottawaobserver wrote:
For all the griping that's done about the corporate media around here, people still don't realize the extent their limited coverage colours our perception of what is actually happening on the ground.

**********************************************************

Charlie Angus wrote:
"I think woe to the one who decides to pull the pin and force an election."

Unionist wrote:

I'd still like to know whether Layton or Angus better reflects the current feeling of caucus (see the two quotes above) - anyone shed any light on that?

Before going into that question, here's the full quote from Charlie Angus.

Charlie Angus wrote:

NDP MP Charlie Angus (Timmins-James Bay) said he's getting the impression the Conservatives are rethinking their zeal for an election given some public backlash to the negative ads the party has been running against the opposition leaders.

"I think the government is going to find out really soon that there is a real potential for a backlash. That's what I am sensing back home. People are frustrated, they are not up for these games, they are not up for this partisanship," Angus.

"I think woe to the one who decides to pull the pin and force an election," he said.

First of all- bear in mind what OO said there: how people are quite willing to view the NDP through the lens of the corporate media. This whole thread is testimony to that.

But the reason that minds are so fertile for what the Star serves up, is because people are so fixated on their notions that any noises about cooperation with Conservatives is inherently bad.

You say Unionist, "can anyone shed light on that?" Again?! you mean?

For the umpteenth time: its all abut positioning. Both Charlie Angus and Jack Layton are fostering broadly held notions that the Harper Crew runs it my way or the highway. So many of you here seem to be absolutely tone deaf to that frequency range, because you are fixated only on reading whether or not the NDP is going to vote for the Budget. Since many of you do not understand, or maybe refuse to countenance, any reason for the 'we might vote for the Budget' talk, it seems to manifest only as confusion of the only thing that matters to you.

 


KenS
\,,/ rabble-rouser-l33t \,,/
Member: 2174
Joined: Aug 6 2001

KenS wrote:

Following the part you quoted, apaprently you are seeing a reprise right now of the parties being Conned again.

Unionist wrote:

Not in the slightest. Where did you get that?

I didnt draw it out of thin air. You ended a long post with that quote of Armine Yalniyan. And Harper conning everyone else is something you do go on at length about.

Yes, I saw that you said you wouldnt mind seeing even small EI and CPP/QPP gains. But I did not know where that fits into agitation about the NDP being Conned again. And I know how it fits even less now after the recent comment- which is why I asked for clarification [post#96].

So I hear you that what the NDP got in September 2009 was worse than small gains- and I would not argue that.

But there is nothing clear about what prospects you see now.


Unionist
\,,/ rabble-rouser-l33t \,,/
Member: 12323
Joined: Dec 11 2005

Wow, Ken, those are long posts where you manage not to answer my question and not to read my posts.

I guess I'll have to say it for the (I think it's the) 4th time:

Unionist wrote:
If Jack can get small EI and CPP/QPP gains out of Harper, without "paying" for it somewhere else where it counts, he should seriously consider supporting the budget - I've said that and I repeat it.

What should he not give in exchange? Ummm... support for extending the mission in Afghanistan? More corporate tax cuts?

Ok with that Ken? OO?

 


George Victor
rabble-rouser-for-life
Member: 15683
Joined: Oct 28 2007

acramer wrote:

So, the Winnipeg Free Press features a Headlin that Layton is open to dealing with Harper on the budget. I am assuming this is primarily becauswe Layton thinks going to the polls now would be bad for the NDP.

What I am wondering is how wise is this? I am thinking it makes it easier for the Liberals to tie the NDP closer to Harper and to set themselves up as the real opposition and alternative to Harper.

So I would be really interested in knowing what people think, and if there is something else more sophisticated going on then I assume or understand.

Arthur Cramer, Winnipeg

So, I'll bet you're getting a kick out of this, Arthur. And the nitpicking is not yet complete.  Nothing "sophisticated" around here. Just hopelessly moralistic positions put to the supporters of a political party functioning in the real world.  The usual stuff by which elements of "the left" shaft it's parliamentary brethren even before the writ is droped. But I suspect you knew what was coming, being a Winnipegger and all (it's  catching, Fidel).


KenS
\,,/ rabble-rouser-l33t \,,/
Member: 2174
Joined: Aug 6 2001

Unionist, the topic is about possibilities of deals around the Budget. Do you have a resistance with being explicit?

We know you would like to see getting CPP enhancements. We know that you view that as not nothing.

But I asked you if it would be enough to get in return for supporting the Budget. This isnt that abstract. To accept CPP enhancements in return for supporting the Budget means for one thing, giving up on demanding that the Budget include rolling back the corporate tax cut. Not to mention it means letting this government continue.

And by the way, I did answer your question as to who better represents Caucus thinking: Angus and Layton are speaking from the same page. For Caucus thinking, there isnt a difference between what the two said. I offered an explanation of why you dont realize they are saying the same thing.


wage zombie
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Member: 8673
Joined: Dec 8 2004

Jack Layton spoke in Vancouver last weekend.  I wanted to catch more of it but unfortunately I only made it there at the end.  The sense I had was that the event was part of "gearing up" for the election.  I think the whole thing was being filmed but I don't see it on the NDP web site.  Maybe it has been broken up into different clips.

Here's a report from Langley Today: Federal Politics: Layton’s Visit To Vancouver Rallies The Troops

Quote:

Joining Mr.Layton from his B.C. Caucus was Libby Davies, Don Davies, and Fin Donnelly. Oliva Chow MP for Trinity-Spadina was also on hand.

“The NDP is on the move!” Jack said to a loud ovation. “We will re-elect all of our incumbent caucus in British Columbia and we are ready to add more to the team! We are about to run our largest most well funded campaign in NDP Federal history”

Does anybody know where the complete video was posted?

While looking around for that I found this from the Vancouver Sun: Canadians give Jack Layton “A” for leadership

Quote:

Canadians rate NDP leader Jack Layton higher than any other elected federal party leader according to a popularity index constructed from a recent survey of eligible voters. Based on data provided by Angus Reid, the popularity index generates a single letter score for each leader, with Jack Layton scoring “A”, Conservative Stephen Harper “C+”, Bloc Quebecois leader Gilles Duceppe “D”, and Liberal Michael Ignatieff “F”.

...

Ranked first for seven of nine positive leadership qualities, Jack Layton scores a remarkable 34 out of a possible 36 points (94%). Stephen Harper finishes second overall to Layton with 25 out of 36 (69%). Gilles Duceppe receives 18 out of 36 (50%), while Michael Ignatieff finishes with a 12 out of 36 (33%).

While the index indicates Layton is held in higher regard than his competitors, the size of gap between Layton and the second-place finishers provides additional evidence as to the extent to which he is liked by Canadians. For example, in terms of being “down-to-earth”, Layton is 13 percentage points ahead of second-placed Harper. When it comes to being “honest”, Layton is 16 percentage points ahead of Harper. In terms of being “open”, Layton is 20 percentage points ahead of Ignatieff and a whopping 22 percentage points ahead of Harper and Duceppe when it comes to being “compassionate”.

I don't think the NDP is going to back down.

Also, I agree with Unionist and KenS that small EI reforms would not be worth supporting a budget full of corporate tax cuts and implicit consent tp further military deploment.


Malcolm
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Member: 6168
Joined: Mar 14 2004

Boom Boom wrote:

I was too harsh, I admit. The real problem is FPTP - until that is replaced, there's probably not much the NDP can do to get more progressive policy through.Frown

 

Well, we could try to win elections instead of claiming that our role is to whinge on the sidelines.

I'm not interested in having the NDP as the Conscience of Parliament.  I want the NDP to be the Government of Canada.

And one thing we need to overcome (though far from the only one) is this counterproductive idea that the NDP should not try to win.  Fortunately Jack's gotten over that bullshit.  Now if the rest of the left would catch up.


ottawaobserver
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Member: 15981
Joined: Feb 24 2008

There is a short video compendium of the cross-country tour currently posted on the main page of the party's site, but it mostly seems designed for introducing him before a live appearance (what they did for his speech to Friday's caucus meeting, according to Kady O'Malley's live blog). There's no lengthy footage with audio or anything.

I watched the Vancouver Townhall streamed live that day, and there was a broad range of questions from Afghanistan to housing policy to refugees to climate change to poverty to, obviously, pensions, and I think the Senate. They may have it posted on their YouTube channel by now, but I'm not sure.

By the way, anyone catch Gerry Caplan's take out on the Bloc the other day in the Globe online? Definitely worth a read.

http://www.theglobeandmail.com/news/politics/second-reading/gerald-capla...


JKR
rabble-rouser-machine
Member: 8904
Joined: Jan 15 2005

KenS wrote:
We come out of the election with only a very small chance for either of two clear outcomes: a Cons majority or a combined majority for the Libs and NDP. In other words, whatever the seat counts, back to where we were.

Even if the Liberals and NDP have done reasonably well, and neither is an unstable governing partner from being badly wounded, who governs is up to the Bloc. And I'll bet that the bloc supports the government- part of the deal being the HST harmonization the government supposedly cannot get done now.

Now obviously that is not the outcome people here are looking for. But its a very likely outcome, even if the NDP pursues the stance people are looking for, and which I think you will see.

The Bloc have a 3rd option. They could choose not to take sides and obstain. The key question in the next election may be, who has more seats, the Cons or the NDP and Libs? If the NDP and Liberals end up having more seats then the Conservatives, I expect to see the Harper government lose power, most likely through the loss of the Throne Speech.

The Bloc probably would like to see the NDP and Liberals win more seats then the Cons so they would not have to decide who governs Canada. The BQ does not want to be saddled with being the sole reason Harper stays in power as Harper and the Cons are not popular in Quebec. Because of Harper's unpopularity in Quebec, I think the BQ would side with the NDP and Liberals and vote against the Cons Throne Speech. If the BQ keeps the Cons in power they will leave themselves open to the claim that a vote for the BQ is a vote for maintaining Harper and the Cons in power. That, in turn, could hurt the BQ's popularity over the long term.


ottawaobserver
rabble-rouser-supreme
Member: 15981
Joined: Feb 24 2008

Very clear thinking there, JKR, but what do you make of the new wrinkle of a new provincial right-wing party emerging, "Force Quebec" or something like that? Do you think the BQ will start to want to shore up its right-wing a bit as well.


Maysie
rabble-rouser-for-life
Member: 9938
Joined: Apr 21 2005

Closing for length. 


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