Just in: All 3 opposition parties to vote against Conservative budget

Rob8305
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The government is on the verge of collapse. Layton on right now has unequivocally rejected this budget on the heels of the other 2 opposition leaders announcing their opposition.

Off to the races.


Comments

thorin_bane
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And kathlinne petty, chris hall and janice stein (not to mention all the other talking heads up to today) are shocked that layton was against it.. Is our media that dumb, or just playing games.


welder
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I'm not shocked he shot it down..

 

I'm shocked at how Layton basically decimated it..

 

This budget is DOA,folks...

 

We're goin' to the polls!!


6079_Smith_W
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Perhaps what offended him was the 11th hour call to the backroom from Harper.

Not that he doesn't do that sort of thing, but I can imagine it doesn't look good to be seen so publicly doing that sort of thing.


Rob8305
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His opposition was far stronger than I could have hoped for. He did decimate it.

Anyway, the government will fall within days.  Friday is a likely date.


6079_Smith_W
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...unless they pull that HST deal out of a hat. 

I guess we'll see now if Harper really wants to have an election or not.


KenS
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No hats.

If Harper had changed his mind about wanting an election, he would have offered more. There were a number of things that wouldnt have cost that much.


Stockholm
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You have to hand it to Layton - i think he knew he wanted to force an election this Spring a long time ago. If he had done what Ignatieff did and made demands back in January that were clearly never going to be met - Layton would have been ignored for the last two months and we would have already been in a pre-campaign. Instead by being coy and talking about NDP priorities Layton made himself the main news story for most of the past six weeks - even while ebing out of commission part of the time with his surgery.


welder
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6079_Smith_W wrote:

Perhaps what offended him was the 11th hour call to the backroom from Harper.

Not that he doesn't do that sort of thing, but I can imagine it doesn't look good to be seen so publicly doing that sort of thing.

 

I agree...

 

The Hail Mary that the Con's threw suggests,perhaps,the internal polling numbers over the last week are clearly starting to fall.Maybe I'm wrong and some of the ethical stuff IS starting to stick...

 

Another thing,and I agree with Chantal Hebert on this,everything that's in this budget is going to a priority photo-op to say the opposition shot it down.Tacticly,both federal opposition parties are going to have to after Mr.Harper on the ethical issues to put him on the defensive AND,try to change the economic channel.

 

And finally,this stint by Sweatervest Stevie should lay bare to all old Reformer's that Reform is completely dead..And that Mr.Harper has little,to no,pricipals left of his NCC days.He is,in that sense,identical to the Liberal party because it's now obvious that he will do anything to remain in power.That should'nt surprise anyone seeing as his government has been found in contempt of Parliament three times in the last year...

 

Personally,I think these ethical issues require more time to percolate with the populous,however,if the opposition wants to go..It's time to go!!!

 

Prepare for the Socialist/Seperatist coalition crapola to be talked about ad nauseum..


welder
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6079_Smith_W wrote:

...unless they pull that HST deal out of a hat. 

I guess we'll see now if Harper really wants to have an election or not.

 

If the Con's do that,they will have no leg to stand on when it comes to any Socialist/Seperatists coalition stuff...

 

And the opposition will crucify him for it...

 

It will also show ,especially to the hardcore Reform base,that he's basically the "Eastern Bastard" they usually detest...


Boom Boom
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I've been saying all along that enough MPs will get 'diplomatic flu' and the budget will pass. Then the govt can fall on the ethics matters.


6079_Smith_W
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.... unless Harper decided to just pull the plug as one commentator suggested on CBC.

That might mean him breaking his fixed election date law again, but it would prevent his government falling on the ethics issue.


welder
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Slasher Jimmy says he wants to run on the budget...

 

No doubt,he did'nt get that all by himself,Harper did...


wage zombie
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thorin_bane wrote:

And kathlinne petty, chris hall and janice stein (not to mention all the other talking heads up to today) are shocked that layton was against it.. Is our media that dumb, or just playing games.

Makes me wonder if they really are that dumb.  I mean, they're clearly not smart.


Boom Boom
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Evan Solomon: Harper's spokesman  just said 1)  "NO" to going to the G-G; he wants a vote on the Budget. 2) the Cons will try to force a Budget vote Thursday night ahead of the Liberal's Opposition Day Motion Friday.


politicalnick
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If any of these idiots in parliament vote for a budget with any deficit they are not acting in the interest of the people. Even if you believe the numbers presented are true and nothing is hidden that still adds $1175 in debt for every man woman and child in Canada.


pragmaticidealist
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Deficits are not necessarily a bad thing in the short-term.  As long as you can come back to par or a surplus over the business cycle, you need not worry.  Government balance sheets should be studied with the long-term in mind.


Boom Boom
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(moved to election thread)


politicalnick
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pragmaticidealist wrote:

Deficits are not necessarily a bad thing in the short-term.  As long as you can come back to par or a surplus over the business cycle, you need not worry.  Government balance sheets should be studied with the long-term in mind.

Any deficit is a bad thing with maybe an exception for a major natural disaster or a war where we facing an invasion. Other than that spend what you got and not a penny more.

Over the next 4 years the Cons say they will increase the deficit by $100 billion which is about $2950 for every human in the country. The big prize at the end is a surplus in year 5 of $300 million which won't cover the interest payment on the debt they accumulated.


Pogo
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In the late 1800's Canada build a big deficit.  It was needed to build infrastructure for an expanding population.  Deficits in themselves are not bad as long as the money is used wisely and the benefits outweigh the costs.


thanks
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Annual deficits are meaningless, especially when costs are front-ended.  Public services and infrastructure should be amortized over a generation- the generation that uses them eventually pays them back.


Michael Moriarity
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As I have pointed out before, government deficits are a bogey-man being used by the ruling class in an attempt to squeeze even more blood from the true productive class. Historically, governments have often defaulted on their debts, usually with positive results. See the quotation from John Ralston Saul, in his book "The Doubter's Companion" which I posted in another thread:

http://www.rabble.ca/comment/1176000/Absentia-right


Boom Boom
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God, are we in for an onslaught of bullshit from the Conservatives over the defeat of the Budget. Flaherty on The National says he has all the big economists congratulating him on his new Budget, and he says the Economist gave it a glowing review. What a bunch of horse manure. During Evan Solomon's panel with Mulcair among others, he got a tweet from the Canadian Labour Congress saying they like the budget.

Dark days and much bullshit ahead. Anyone for taking a break until this is all over? Kiss


Life, the unive...
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Then somebody lied
 

Quote:

Conclusion
The jobs crisis is still very much with us. Our national debt is low, and interest rates are and will remain very low. The priorities in this Budget should have been pensions, jobs, and support for the unemployed, not spending cuts to reduce an already small deficit and to fund future tax cuts.
 
The CCPA Alternative Federal Budget shows that a major public investment program along the lines proposed by the CLC could improve services to communities and people, and quickly bring the national unemployment rate down below 7%. By putting Canadians back to work and paying taxes, the deficit would fall just about as fast as under the Conservative plan, and programs and services would be improved rather than cut.

From here
http://www.canadianlabour.ca/news-room/publications/clc-analysis-2011-federal-budget


Boom Boom
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Yeah, but who?  Mulcair was clearly taken aback, and said he wanted to read the fine print of what the CLC said.

 


Sean in Ottawa
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Sean in Ottawa
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I am surprised by the CLC release.

The increase to the GIS is about $50 a month. It might cover the increase to the cost of home heating and this year's inflation...

 


Boom Boom
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Thanks, Sean, I was beginning to question my sanity. I guess it was Ken Georgetti that tweeted Evan Solomon during his panel. Mulcair looked pissed off.


Fidel
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Apparently the Liberals will have an opposition day on, is it Thursday? Then a confidence vote in the House. And then Harper still has it within his power to go to the GG and say that his government has reached an impasse with Parliament and call an election. Iggy says that the Harpers are way out of line with abuse and disregard for Canada's institutions etc and conservatives crooking the public in general. But he still would not commit to a Liberal Party decision to bring down the government. I think they want to go to an election but don't want to be the named as the party forcing an election.

And Flaherty rambles on and on to Mansbridge about how world markets and even Libyans are counting on stability in Canadian government bla bla. Mansbridge asked Jimmy, if avoiding an election is all that important, then why didn't the conservatives consider working with Parliament toward a compromise?


Lens Solution
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Harper scheduled the Liberal opposition day for Friday.


thanks
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"But Georgetti says the GIS should not be the long-term solution to seniors’ poverty. 'The best way to provide retirement security for Canadians is to improve the Canada Pension Plan. We want a firm commitment from this government for a gradual and fully-funded doubling of Canada Pension Plan benefits. We want a time line for implementation, as soon as the required amending formula is reached.'"

"Georgetti says that the CLC wants the government to invest in programs that help to create a stronger economy with good family-supporting jobs, and wants Ottawa to do more to help the unemployed...."

http://www.canadianlabour.ca/national/news/georgetti-urges-parties-consi...

 


Stockholm
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Looks like Georgetti is backtracking after laying an egg after the budget yesterday!

http://www.canadianlabour.ca/national/news/canadian-labour-congress-pres...


Unionist
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What an arsehole that Georgetti is. And look at the dude who does his press releases - Dennis Gruending - could that be the same as the NDP "Faith and Justice" religious self-promoter? Or just coincidence?

 


NorthReport
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Flaherty will get brownie points for this one from his boss.

Georgetti sound like he is fishing for a Senate appointment.  Time for him to go.


Stockholm
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I wouldn't bale it all on his press secretary. I saw Georgetti himself being interviewed in a scrum right after the budget was brought down and his first reaction was to go and on about what a good budget it was and how satisfied he was with it!

I see two possible explanations:

a) Georgetti plans to join the Conservative party and give Harper a CLC jacket to wear - mimicking Hargrove and Martin in 2006

b) Georgetti expected the Layton and the NDP to cave and support the budget and so he thought he was helping to give the NDP some cover - in which case he was pretty dumb not to wait for Jack to speak before shooting his mouth off.

BTW: I have to say I've always found Georgetti to be very uninpressive. As head of the CLC, he is supposed to be the voice of the labour movement in Canada - and yet his profile is so low as to be non-existent. He is 100% absent from any debate in Canada. Remember when the CLC was led by people like Dennis McDermott or Bob White - and they were contantly quoted in the media and thjeir views were always sought out whenever journalists wanted to hear "labour's perspective" - you almost NEVER see Georgetti in the news saying anything of any relevance.

Is the person occupying the post of President of the CLC supposed to be a major advocate for labour issues and social justice - or it the job supposed to be a sinecure that is the closest thing the left can offer to a lifetime appointment to the senate?


madmax
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Georgetti is Labours Problems. Labour keeps him in , then live with it. Look at Labour today, and Look at the Budget comments.

 

Is anyone surprised by this?


JKR
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Stockholm wrote:
Remember when the CLC was led by people like Dennis McDermott or Bob White - and they were contantly quoted in the media and thjeir views were always sought out whenever journalists wanted to hear "labour's perspective" - you almost NEVER see Georgetti in the news saying anything of any relevance.

Great point.

And remember when Chaviva Hosek and Judy Rebek were the leaders of the National Action Committee on the Status of Women and the organization was a household name? In '84 they actually hosted a national televised leaders debate between Mulroney, Turner, and Broadbent.

An anti-feminist prime minister is suddenly concerned with maternal health. What's happening? - Judy Rebick

Quote:

 

There was another election where women's issues came to centre stage in 1984.  Polling was getting more sophisticated and the gender gap between the Republicans and Democrats in the US election had become clear.  Women were against Reagan.  In those days, the National Action Committee on the Status of Women was a powerful organization and the media savvy NAC President at the time, Chaviva Hosek, called for a Leader's Debate on Women's Issues. It actually happened.  Watch it if you don't believe me.  Not only did Brian Mulroney, John Turner and Ed Broadbent debate women's issues on national television but they did so under questioning from members of the NAC executive rather than journalists.  It had an amazing impact by demonstrating the increasing power of the women's movement.

To see how Canada has changed during the last 27 years one can enter the CBC's time machine:

1984 debate on women's issues

Mansbridge sure had a lot more hair back when.

 

 


JKR
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Double post


Unionist
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Stockholm wrote:
Remember when the CLC was led by people like Dennis McDermott or Bob White - and they were contantly quoted in the media and thjeir views were always sought out whenever journalists wanted to hear "labour's perspective" - you almost NEVER see Georgetti in the news saying anything of any relevance.

Correct. Georgetti is an utter dud. He and his entourage are destroying whatever potential credibility and organizing power the CLC could and should have.

But I have other recollections of Dennis McDermott. In the 1984 election, he focused all the CLC's opposition against the Liberals. Mulroney was not ungrateful. After McDermott's retirement in 1986, he was appointed ambassador to Ireland.

I'm nominating Ken Georgetti as ambassador to Libya!

 


Rob8305
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BRILLIANT move by the opposition today. They have effectively killed the budget by not allowing the government to proceed to orders of the day.  All that will be voted now is the opposition non-confidence motion on contempt of parliament and the early days of the election will be framed by us and not on a phony budget that the Cons know will never be implemented

Yay!!!


Lens Solution
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Yes, it looks like the Cons won't be able to bring up a budget vote before the non-confidence vote now so it looks like the Opposition will get to vote on what they want first.


Rob8305
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Lens Solution wrote:

Yes, it looks like the Cons won't be able to bring up a budget vote before the non-confidence vote now so it looks like the Opposition will get to vote on what they want first.

Indeed.

Now, it should be noted that Harper can start playing the same games that Martin played in 2005 before the Stronach defection. He could take away the liberal opposition day on Friday-backend it to the end of the session-and try to force the opposition to vote on the budget. I suppose that the opposition could filibuster its own report to try to prevent the government from doing that and getting that vote first.

I love parliamentary procedure and there are games that Harper can play, like Rosemary Barton mentioned today on Power and Politics with Evan Solomon. We'll see how much he wants to avoid an election on ethics soon.


Boom Boom
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Unionist wrote:
I'm nominating Ken Georgetti as ambassador to Libya!

He would probably accept it.


Sean in Ottawa
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Rob8305 wrote:

Lens Solution wrote:

Yes, it looks like the Cons won't be able to bring up a budget vote before the non-confidence vote now so it looks like the Opposition will get to vote on what they want first.

Indeed.

Now, it should be noted that Harper can start playing the same games that Martin played in 2005 before the Stronach defection. He could take away the liberal opposition day on Friday-backend it to the end of the session-and try to force the opposition to vote on the budget. I suppose that the opposition could filibuster its own report to try to prevent the government from doing that and getting that vote first.

I love parliamentary procedure and there are games that Harper can play, like Rosemary Barton mentioned today on Power and Politics with Evan Solomon. We'll see how much he wants to avoid an election on ethics soon.

That would be funny- the spectacle of the Cons using unethical games in the commons to avoid a vote on ethics. Sounds fine to me.

The opposition could play back-- the budget is not the big issue so they could if Harper plays a game on them not show up till they get their non-confidence vote and say there was no reason to vote on the budget since the government already lost confidence and all they were doing is waiting for that vote. Effectively that would pass the budget without any opposition MP voting for it but the government would fall a few days later and the campaign would be on ethics.

Can't see how the government can win this battle.


Boom Boom
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Sean in Ottawa wrote:
Can't see how the government can win this battle.

Prorogue? :)


Sean in Ottawa
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Now that would be funny.

Harper would not survive a third kick at that can.


6079_Smith_W
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No... I agree with the prevailing wisdom that he probably engineered this himself.


Boom Boom
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The Cons could just boycott the vote on ethics, calling it a sham.


alan smithee
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It's all going as the Tory strategists planned.

A budget that answers NDP issues with peanuts and Bloc issues with some promises that gives the illusion of a fair budget and makes the opposition look like the villains.

And I'm sick and tired of the 'Canadians don't want an election' bullshit.

When will Canadians 'want' an election?..In a year,5 years or maybe never.

Any which way you slice it,the Tories have succeeded in making Canadians believe elections should become a thing of the past,making the electorate more apathetic and making the opposition up as the bogeyman.

I'm not looking forward to this election.


Stockholm
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I wonder what made the Tories think that Canadians "wanted" an election in 2008 when they needlessly called one just two years into their mandate?


ottawaobserver
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Rob8305 wrote:

Now, it should be noted that Harper can start playing the same games that Martin played in 2005 before the Stronach defection. He could take away the liberal opposition day on Friday-backend it to the end of the session-and try to force the opposition to vote on the budget.

No, I don't think he can, because today is the last day of the current supply period. When Martin did that it was in May, and the last day of that supply period would not have come until June or something.

Friday is the last day the Liberal opposition can be called for ... and it must be called ... and after it's voted on, there would still have been the money votes to vote supply for the next period. The Liberals could make their votable opposition day motion confidence or not, but they put a non-confidence motion on the order paper today, and have announced that they plan to move that one on Friday.

Now, I think Harper picked the budget day precisely with this squeeze in mind, thinking they could squeeze the NDP. But then other things go and happen, don't they.


NorthReport
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I think Harper got suckered punched by the NDP. Our PM is getting a little too big for his britches, and it's time he is brought down a notch or two. After all he just has a minority government with less than 38% of the vote.


Boom Boom
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Looks like Layton got suckered, actually. Harper held out the bait of negotiating for the NDP's support, Layton took it, and got a budget that didn't give him what he asked for. Confirmation of this was Flaherty refusing to talk about amendments. The Cons want this budget as their election platform, and they got it.


Lens Solution
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alan smithee wrote:

It's all going as the Tory strategists planned.

A budget that answers NDP issues with peanuts and Bloc issues with some promises that gives the illusion of a fair budget and makes the opposition look like the villains.

And I'm sick and tired of the 'Canadians don't want an election' bullshit.

When will Canadians 'want' an election?..In a year,5 years or maybe never.

Any which way you slice it,the Tories have succeeded in making Canadians believe elections should become a thing of the past,making the electorate more apathetic and making the opposition up as the bogeyman.

I'm not looking forward to this election.

I'm tired of it too.  And some of the commentators and radio show hosts exacerbate the situation by also puffing and sighing about the prospect of an election.  There were several radio hosts on Don Martin's show on CTV earlier tonight doing just that.

It's time that Canadians stop complaining about elections and start becoming grateful that they have the right to vote.  Many people around the world don't have that right.  It is time for Canadians to get off their backsides and start getting involved.  There are mid-term elections every 2 years in the United States.  It's no big deal if we have them every 2 or 3 years either.


Rob8305
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ottawaobserver wrote:

Rob8305 wrote:

Now, it should be noted that Harper can start playing the same games that Martin played in 2005 before the Stronach defection. He could take away the liberal opposition day on Friday-backend it to the end of the session-and try to force the opposition to vote on the budget.

No, I don't think he can, because today is the last day of the current supply period. When Martin did that it was in May, and the last day of that supply period would not have come until June or something.

Friday is the last day the Liberal opposition can be called for ... and it must be called ... and after it's voted on, there would still have been the money votes to vote supply for the next period. The Liberals could make their votable opposition day motion confidence or not, but they put a non-confidence motion on the order paper today, and have announced that they plan to move that one on Friday.

Now, I think Harper picked the budget day precisely with this squeeze in mind, thinking they could squeeze the NDP. But then other things go and happen, don't they.

Observer, thank you so much  for this post! It was very informative!!!

The rest of you calm down. Harper is not a 1,000 pound Godzilla. The dude has tried for a majority and lost 3 times.


Lens Solution
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Rob8305 wrote:

ottawaobserver wrote:

Rob8305 wrote:

Now, it should be noted that Harper can start playing the same games that Martin played in 2005 before the Stronach defection. He could take away the liberal opposition day on Friday-backend it to the end of the session-and try to force the opposition to vote on the budget.

No, I don't think he can, because today is the last day of the current supply period. When Martin did that it was in May, and the last day of that supply period would not have come until June or something.

Friday is the last day the Liberal opposition can be called for ... and it must be called ... and after it's voted on, there would still have been the money votes to vote supply for the next period. The Liberals could make their votable opposition day motion confidence or not, but they put a non-confidence motion on the order paper today, and have announced that they plan to move that one on Friday.

Now, I think Harper picked the budget day precisely with this squeeze in mind, thinking they could squeeze the NDP. But then other things go and happen, don't they.

Observer, thank you so much  for this post! It was very informative!!!

The rest of you calm down. Harper is not a 1,000 pound Godzilla. The dude has tried for a majority and lost 3 times.

True, but it would be unwise to assume he'll fail a 4th time.


wage zombie
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Lens Solution wrote:

It's time that Canadians stop complaining about elections and start becoming grateful that they have the right to vote.  Many people around the world don't have that right.  It is time for Canadians to get off their backsides and start getting involved.  There are mid-term elections every 2 years in the United States.  It's no big deal if we have them every 2 or 3 years either.

Any time I hear that people are sick of elections I'm going to ask whoever's speaking if they'd prefer if we just get rid of elections altogether.  People need to smarten up.


Lens Solution
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Another Tory minority would result in coalition challenge, ex-PMO staffer says

 


Guy Giorno, Prime Minister Stephen Harper’s former chief of staff, says if the Conservatives fail to win a majority in the next election, the party expects to be toppled by an opposition coalition.


“Make no mistake, if they are given the opportunity again I think there is every indication they will do that,” Giorno, the Conservative Party’s national campaign chair, said Wednesday in a freewheeling conversation at the University of Toronto School of Public Policy and Governance.


 


http://www.thestar.com/news/canada/politics/article/959422--another-tory...


NorthReport
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Sounds good to me.


Jacob Two-Two
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Wasn't there a fair bit of public support for a coalition last time it came up? What makes this a threat exactly? Maybe he's just trying to energise his base.


bekayne
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Jacob Two-Two wrote:

What makes this a threat exactly? 

It's a threat to Stephen Harper. Which makes it a threat to Canada


Lens Solution
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Jacob Two-Two wrote:

Wasn't there a fair bit of public support for a coalition last time it came up?

It's hard to know how much support there is for a coalition because the Conservative spin-doctors try to downplay how many Canadians support it, and there's been mixed polling data.  It appears that the majority of Quebecers are in favour of a coalition.  Outside of Quebec the numbers tend to be more mixed.

John Ivison is at work again in the National Post trying to scare voters about the threat of a coalition:

 

 

Coalition looking likely as Harper fights for a majority

 

http://fullcomment.nationalpost.com/2011/03/23/john-ivison-coalition-loo...


Rob8305
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Just finished watching the election coverage on CTV National News with Lloyd Robertson. At least for right now, Harper is on the ropes folks. Craig and Lloyd were talking about how the opposition has burst out of the starting gates and they were wondering how Stevie found himself in this position. Craig didn't put it quite like this but he basically said Harper also has to worry about how many of his ethically challenged friends will pop up and say hi during the campaign.

Let's not forget, Harper is a poor debater. The former Harvard Professor and the witty and charming Jack Layton will destroy Harper during the debates. Dion is not around for Harper to kick around anymore:)

I looked at 308.com and I think the key for our coalition is to break through in Quebec and Ontario and stay strong in Atlantic Canada. A NDP/Lib breakthrough in Quebec and Harper finishing 2nd in Ontario would be the end of him. All roads lead through Quebec. B.C. is also a fertile hunting ground for our coalition.

My goal would be to get as close to 155 seats as we can without the BQ.

As far as the coalition goes, Ekos did a poll in January and the Lib/NDP coalition polls just 1 point behind a Harper gov so it is not a bogeyman.

Can't wait for the Ekos poll sometime tommorrow. They are definitely in the field.

P.S: I don't mean to sound like I don't expect another Harper con government. It'd be unwise to write that off in the extreme but I am feeling very optimstic tonight. We are already faring much better than during the coalition fiasco in the press.


JKR
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Member: 8904
Joined: Jan 15 2005

Coalition looking likely as Harper fights for a majority

http://fullcomment.nationalpost.com/2011/03/23/john-ivison-coalition-loo...

Quote:

The budget provided yet another example of the government’s lack of transparency, since it did not detail the cost of its crime and punishment agenda. We know it will cost billions but that spending was not laid out in the budget plan, as it should have been.

The budget also didn't include the $35 billion jet deal and the added cost of health care that will have to be taken on in federal/provincial negotiations over the next couple of years. Adding these costs  into the budget shows that Canada now has a deep long-term structural deficit. Inserting corporate tax cuts into this economic mess is insane.

The opposition should run against this budget that is simultaneously incompetent and corrupt.

 


Lens Solution
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Member: 22319
Joined: Dec 18 2010

I posted that John Ivison column above, and to me most of it looks like an attack piece on the opposition, and a shill piece for Harper.


JKR
rabble-rouser-machine
Member: 8904
Joined: Jan 15 2005

Lens Solution wrote:

I posted that John Ivison column above, and to me most of it looks like an attack piece on the opposition, and a shill piece for Harper.

I copied the url from your post. It may be a pro-Harper piece but it had one honest paragraph showing how totally bogus the budget is.

The budget does not leave the government with the needed funds to improve healthcare when negotiations come up within the next couple of years. The only way the Conservatives can hope to get a balanced budget by 2015 is to offer the provinces nothing to improve health care. By omission, this budget is actually announcing the deterioration of Canada's healthcare and social programs, either that or a huge structural deficit.

The opposition now has an opening to show that the Conservatives have no money for needed healthcare. The Conservatives have just inadvertently brought Conservative healthcare cuts into the election.

 

Olive: A budget worth defeating

Quote:

Studying a budget is an exercise in Sherlock Holmes’ adage about “listening for the dog that didn’t bark.” That often is how one determines where a government intends to take the people. To a better place, one obviously hopes. But in the silences – the unanswered pleas – one finds a government’s real agenda.

...

Meanwhile, the Tories will forgo $6 billion in the next fiscal year from a further reduction in corporate taxes, already among the lowest in the OECD.

The stiffer prison sentencing sought by Harper – a dubious policy, as sentencing is not a proven deterrent to crime, the rates of which are in any case is falling – will cost an estimated $9 billion in future spending on new and expanded jails.

Then there’s the whopping $29 billion cost of buying shiny new F-35 fighter jets from U.S. defence contractor Lockheed Martin Corp., as estimated by parliamentary budget officer Kevin Page. The plane is unsuited to many of the tasks required in Canada, and is a form of corporate welfare – this time to a foreign firm – since that aircraft program wouldn’t be possible unless many nations besides the U.S. placed orders.

That’s $45 billion in total dubious spending, eclipsing the $40-billion deficit the Finance Minister Jim Flaherty yesterday projected in his budget for the next fiscal year. This despite Flaherty’s insistence that a return to balanced books is the government’s chief priority.

Continued meaningful stimulus programs are not necessary, Harper feels, since the nation’s all better now, and “restraint” – notwithstanding the above splurges – is the order of the day. As with a U.S. stimulus program that ended prematurely, Canada risks a return to slow growth as Harper turns now from stimulus to austerity.

 


Lens Solution
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Member: 22319
Joined: Dec 18 2010

JKR wrote:

Lens Solution wrote:

I posted that John Ivison column above, and to me most of it looks like an attack piece on the opposition, and a shill piece for Harper.

I copied the url from your post. It may be a pro-Harper piece but it had one honest paragraph showing how totally bogus the budget is.

Yes, I've noticed that Ivison often will insert one negative paragraph about the Conservatives after writing 10 pro-Conservative paragraphs, just to maintain the small illusion that he is being objective.


Sean in Ottawa
rabble-rouser-supreme
Member: 5173
Joined: Jun 3 2003

On the Health and other transfers-- nothing other than a freeze promised and only for this year.



From the budget document:


"The cost of decisions taken since the October Update amount to $200 million in 2010–11, $1.0 billion in 2011–12, and $200 million in 2012–13 and 2013–14. These costs include the Government’s commitment to provide transfer protection payments to provinces in 2011–12 to ensure that no province experiences a decline in its combined entitlements under the Canada Health Transfer, Canada Social Transfer and Equalization. Adjustments will be made to existing legislation to ensure the proper interaction of this measure with the Fiscal Stabilization Program. In addition, these costs reflect the fiscal impact of the provision of training to the Afghan National Security Forces as part of Canada’s post-2011 Afghanistan strategy, additional funding for Atomic Energy of Canada Limited to support its ongoing operations, and the three-year extension of federal support to interprovincial ferry services in Eastern Canada."

I think this was a little trap for any opposition party that voted for the budget-- thegovernment would have been able to say they supported this.


thanks
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Member: 17331
Joined: Mar 21 2009
  • "equalization payments are expected to fall in future years as a result of a hard cap the Harper Conservatives imposed, tying them to a three-year average in economic growth. CUPE and some provinces called for the federal government to protect the value of these transfers until 2013/14. This will reduce the transfers some provinces receive.
  • It is widely expected that a majority Conservative government would cut the rate of increase of these transfers, particularly for health care."

http://cupe.ca/budget/budget-2011-overview-summary

w.r.t " Adjustments will be made to existing legislation to ensure the proper interaction of this measure with the Fiscal Stabilization Program."

 


thanks
rabble-rouser-machine
Member: 17331
Joined: Mar 21 2009

Health and Social Transfers should not be tied to economic growth, nor 'fiscal stabilization programs'.

The Canada Health Act, our ethics and rights, state that universality- access to healthcare and social supports is a Right, the Charter states our human rights include social rights.  Health and Social Transfers are a right.  These transfers by law of right cannot be placed in competition for funds with military or any other fiscal adventures.

Harper and his Conservatives are acting unethically and illegally with respect to our rights to healthcare and social supports.


alan smithee
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Member: 19320
Joined: Jan 7 2010

CTV Montreal ran the story 'As rhetoric rises,parties inch closer to a May election' referring to the Opposition.

With friends like that,why do the Cons feel they need to spend a red penny on attack ads?

I hope for a couple of things.

(A) the opposition parties take off the gloves and attack the Cons (which would be so easy to do)

(B) the opposition forms a coalition government

(C) the opposition,including the Liberals,vow to overturn the Afghan issue,the current offensive in Libya,the fighter jet contract and the unneeded prisons and invest in health care,education and other issues of importance for Canadians.

I can see A and B but I can't see C...But it's time to take a different direction and clearly distinguish themselves from the Tories.

 


Boom Boom
\,,/ rabble-rouser-l33t \,,/
Member: 8791
Joined: Dec 29 2004

The Ontario finance minister (Dwight Duncan?)  was on P&P talking about the fed's budget last night, and said Ontario suffers under the present system - it gives four billion dollars to the feds, only gets one billion dollars back in transfers - meaning Ontario can not afford the same standard of services that smaller provinces can afford. (that's a bit of an over-simplification on my part, but I can't recall his exact words; however this type of argument has been made by Ontario for years)


Boom Boom
\,,/ rabble-rouser-l33t \,,/
Member: 8791
Joined: Dec 29 2004

Saw Harper give a press conference late yesterday inside the HofC - he said it's not too late for the Opposition parties to change their minds and support the Budget. This is Harper's grand play - sell the Budget as the best possible deal for Canadians, then portray the Opposition Coalition as villains who do not have the best interests of Canadians at heart, just their own selfish partisan interests. Expect more of this. The first act of this play was fooling the Opposition (especially Layton) that he was open to making changes to the Budget in return for their support. Harper is the master tactician.


Life, the unive...
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Member: 14982
Joined: Mar 23 2007

Oh so now that we are going to have an election it is Layton's fault.  Just a few days before when the prevailing wisdom was a deal was possible it was Layton's fault we wouldn't have an election.   I wish you people would make up your mind.


alan smithee
rabble-rouser-machine
Member: 19320
Joined: Jan 7 2010

That was quick..The Tory attack ads have started.

Will the opposition finally let their balls drop and respond?

On verra.


Lens Solution
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Member: 22319
Joined: Dec 18 2010

Boom Boom wrote:

Saw Harper give a press conference late yesterday inside the HofC - he said it's not too late for the Opposition parties to change their minds and support the Budget. This is Harper's grand play - sell the Budget as the best possible deal for Canadians, then portray the Opposition Coalition as villains who do not have the best interests of Canadians at heart, just their own selfish partisan interests. Expect more of this. The first act of this play was fooling the Opposition (especially Layton) that he was open to making changes to the Budget in return for their support. Harper is the master tactician.

Perhaps we need to prepare an attack ad or commercial with clips of Jim Flaherty on t.v. after the budget was presented saying "no deal", "no compromise", "there will be no changes to the budget", and all the other things he said.  How can the Cons claim they want to prevent an election when they refused to allow amendments or compromise on the budget?


Boom Boom
\,,/ rabble-rouser-l33t \,,/
Member: 8791
Joined: Dec 29 2004

Exactly, LS. Good idea, too - attack ads targetting the government's stubborness. I'm sure this is underway as we speak.


Boom Boom
\,,/ rabble-rouser-l33t \,,/
Member: 8791
Joined: Dec 29 2004

John Baird: "This is the most functional dysfunctional Parliament..."  (he then burst out laughing at how absurd that sounded, even to him) Laughing


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