NDP leadership thread - part 1 of many

Lou Arab
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Comments

Wilf Day
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Sunday.


Lord Palmerston
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I can't deny that I've been thinking about this...but I'll withhold until after the funeral today. 


knownothing
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They just showed Rockburn covering the 2003 leadership race. Was it ever amazing! Layton looks like such a genius now. Everything he was saying came true and will come true.


Boom Boom
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Watching the state funeral for Jack Layton - no one can make the Conservatives squirm like Stephen Lewis! I wish he'd return to politics.


knownothing
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Boy he really gave er didn't he?

Although I wished someone would have thanked Harper personally for this honour, knowing how hard it must be for them to sit through this.

 


Boom Boom
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The Rev. Brent Hawkes is an amazing speaker. Stephen Page was great, too - I've never seen him perform solo before. Harper looked really uncomfortable through all this.


ravenj
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Sunday.


Lord Palmerston
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I'd much rather see Stephen Lewis run in the Danforth byelection than Brian Topp.


Boom Boom
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The funeral coverage will hopefully have been seen by the entire country, and the inspiring words of Stephen Lewis - and others - have the potential to make this start of a historic movement for progressive change. I sincerely hope the NDP seizes the opportunity.


Lou Arab
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For those who say 'Sunday'

I look forward to your contributions tomorrow.


Mr.Tea
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Boom Boom wrote:

The Rev. Brent Hawkes is an amazing speaker. Stephen Page was great, too - I've never seen him perform solo before. Harper looked really uncomfortable through all this.

Page was great, I thought. He was a little shaky in certain parts but there were some parts that he sang just amazingly. That's such a beautiful song that's had so many great renditions. Obviously the original Leonard Cohen version but I love Jeff Buckley's version and I thought that KD Lang nailed it when she sang it at the opening ceremonies of the Olympics.


Boom Boom
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And Rufus Wainwright did an amazing rendition as well - in the Leonard Cohen tribute movie I think.


dacckon
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Peter Tabuns- Could run for NDP federally in Layton's riding, he's currently an mpp in Toronto Danforth. Former City councillor and head of Greenpeace Canada. Backed by Ed Broadbent in ondp's leadership election. Not sure if he speaks French.

Brian Topp- A true moderate, a brilliant stratagist, and fluently bilingual. Doesn't hold a seat in the house. Biggest problem is being a David Lewis. No matter how brillant he is, I worry over the formation of a waffle that nearly crushed the NDP last time. That is if Brian Topp is well known for silencing radical opinions(I may be mixing him with Brad) I'm not sure how charismatic he is. Union background is great for progressives, but will be used against him by the cons.

Stephen Lewis- brilliant in English, but not known for speaking French. If he could only speak the way he does in English in French. Charisma is the #1 trait im looking for in a leader. Hes a bit old(I think a while back when he ran for leadership he was considered young)

Gary Doer- Too centre to hold party together, not known for French, but a nice popularity rating in Mantioba and widely respected there. Reportedly doesn't want to run. Would make a great deputy/finance minister in order to quell fear spread by the tories.

Libby Davies- Smart and a true progressive, but too left to appeal to all of Canada and lack of French.

Thomas Mulcair- Brilliant, Intelligent, highly capable of building on Quebec. Would help increase membership in QC. Problem? He's the opposite of Jack. He has a short fuse that could burst at any minute. Fluently Bilingual. Leans centre and fights with the more left leaning wing. He fights as opposed to negociate as I've heard.

Mike or Sarah Layton- Many political parties have great linages, aside of their eulogies (which were good), they are a bit young.

Anne Mcgrath- Chief of Staff to Jack Layton, I believe she is fluently bilingual. Only problem is that she ran as a communist canidate in Alberta which the media will have a field day with.

What do you guys think about Karl Belanger? I think he's fluently bilingual.

Peter Julian- fluently Bilingual, progressive. Executive Director of Council of Canadians(I'm not sure what he did there/ what he approved there, it may come back to haunt him if the tories dig something up about him campaigning against something that never happened but anyways I think its great that he was there). United Church of Canada member.

Paul Dewar - Very modern, doesn't run into controversy. That being said, some activists on the far left may try to stir some shit up. Bilingual. Tv friendly, but he looks very very timid.

What about Charlie Angus? It'd be nice to see a rural leader. Some other mps include...
Don Davies?
Bruce Hyer? Ecologist, small buisness owner. No idea if he speaks french.
Matthew Kellway - New mp in east york but he is an economist.
Jack Harris- former ndp nfld leader. Smart, progressive. Unknown if he is bilingual
Jamie Nicholls I think is bilingual, from QC
Dennis Bevington- I think he's bilingual, a buisnessman. From NWT
Is linda Duncan bilingual?
John Rafferty- (another buisness owner)
Kennedy Stewart (phd in economics, from london school of economics)
Guy Caron(Qc) - economist, worked in unions, council of canadians.

 

The reason I'm bringing up economists/buisness owners is because the tories will try to paint the NDP as fiscally incapable(which we all know is false, the NDP is the best at balancing budgets, and we all know about the strength of the Nordic Model in Scandinavia)


What my requirements are->
1. Charisma
2.Progressive yet pragmatic aka the social ideals of the CCF mixed with the economic pragmatism of today's modern social democratic parties.
3. fluently Bilingual
4. Able to control factions
5. Ability to grow party membership and reach out to all canadian social democrats to join in. Make us a big progressive tent party.
6. strategic focus

 


Anonymouse
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I could get really excited about Roméo Saganash. I don't know enough about him but here is what I like:

1) He is perfectly fluent in French and English (and two FN languages)

2) He comes across as a nice guy, with some charisma

3) He has tonnes of political experience as an elected official and spokesperson with the Québec Cree

4) He knows a lot of practical things about the economy as a key negotiator on many natural resource development files and has run his own businesses

5) He would be very difficult for the Tories to attack (a likeable visible minority success story?)

6) If he were able to inspire people, he could become like a Canadian Obama, the analogy would not be so far flung

7) He strikes me as a leftist, but a practical one, just like Jack; which might help to keep the party together

My default choice is Mulcair, IMHO he is hands down the best "known" quantity the NDP has right now, but I would be interested in learning more about Saganash, who hasn't received the same national level scrutiny.


Wilf Day
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Here’s an interesting possibility: Guy Caron, Quebec Caucus Chair

Unlike some we could name, he has done nothing in the last week to make himself visible. I have no information as to whether he might run. Would he just support Mulcair, or (if he runs), Brian Topp?

I can see some Quebec caucus members feeling Quebec should not tie its star to one man only. Another Quebec candidate could have many merits. Caron is the logical person for that role.
Guy Caron was born May 13, 1968 in Rimouski. He worked with radio stations CKLE and CKMN-FM, and with the newspapers Progrès-Écho and Rimouskois, while studying science at the Cégep de Rimouski. Caron got a Bachelor's degree in communications from the University of Ottawa in 1992, and served two terms as president of their student federation. He was president of the Canadian Federation of Students in 1994-5.

He worked for the Canadian Race Relations Foundation. He worked for the Council of Canadians where he was a media relations officer, then the Campaigner on Canada-U.S. Relations, and then the Healthcare Campaigner. He is the author of Crossing the Line: A Citizens’ Inquiry on Canada-U.S. Relations. He also got a Master's degree in economics from Université du Québec à Montréal in 2001.

He then joined CEP (Communications, Energy and Paperworkers union) as a researcher and economist, most recently as Director of Special Projects.

Caron ran in Rimouski-Neigette—Témiscouata—Les Basques in three federal elections (2004, 2006 & 2008) unsuccessfully before being elected in 2011.

He lives in Gatineau with his wife Valerie Stansfield and their son Dominic born in February 2009.

Caron must be perfectly bilingual. He sounds perfectly open and optimistic in French:

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0FXNinmUY8k

Does anyone have any English video of him?

He has a two-year-old son. If the last election had been two years ago, would he even have run? How would he and his wife feel about family priorities and a leadership bid?



But as Jack said:

Quote:
Our caucus meetings were always the highlight of my week. It has been my role to ask a great deal from you. And now I am going to do so again.
. . . we finally have a party system at the national level where there are real choices; where your vote matters; where working for change can actually bring about change. In the months and years to come, New Democrats will put a compelling new alternative to you. My colleagues in our party are an impressive, committed team. Give them a careful hearing; consider the alternatives; and consider that we can be a better, fairer, more equal country by working together. Don’t let them tell you it can’t be done.

Nos rencontres du caucus ont toujours été le moment fort de ma semaine. Cela a été mon rôle d’exiger le plus possible de votre part. Et maintenant je le fais à nouveau.

. . . nous avons enfin un système de partis politiques fédéraux qui nous offre de vrais choix; où notre vote compte; où en travaillant pour le changement on peu effectivement provoquer le changement. Dans les mois et les années à venir, le NPD vous proposera une nouvelle et captivante alternative. Mes collègues du parti forment une équipe impressionnante etdévouée. Écoutez-les bien, considérez les alternatives qu’ils proposent, et gardez en tête qu’en travaillant ensemble, nous pouvons avoir un meilleur pays, un pays plus juste et équitable. Ne laissez personne vous dire que ce n’est pas possible.


Hunky_Monkey
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I'm looking for someone who can maintain our support in Quebec and grow it outside Quebec specifically in Ontario and the West. That means they need to truly understand the nature of Quebec and Quebec politics like Jack did.

I noticed someone mentioned that Mulcair for example is the "opposite" of Jack and that's a problem. We can't go into a leadership campaign comparing candidates to Jack or pick a leader hoping they continue Jack's "legacy". I'm going to miss Jack but as a politcal party, we need to evaluate the candidates on their own merits and whether he or she can bring the party even further than Jack did.


Hunky_Monkey
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Wilf Day wrote:

Here’s an interesting possibility: Guy Caron, Quebec Caucus Chair

Interesting suggestion, Wilf. Does he have "it"? Some MP's are great politicians with great resumes but whether they have the gravitas to be leader and seen by voters as a potential Prime Minister is another question.


Anonymouse
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Caron has a weakness in that he represents Rimouski but hasn't lived there in years (he lives in Gatineau)- IF I am not mistaken. In the last campaign, local mayors were writing to the newspapers complaining that he wasn't campaigning (surely an exaggeration). For many years now Caron has been a "name-on-ballot" in Québec, appearing on the ballot four times and typically receiving 7-10%

He also has no profile, either inside or out of Québec. That being said, he is one of the caucus's great hopes.


Wilf Day
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Hunky_Monkey wrote:
Wilf Day wrote:

Here’s an interesting possibility: Guy Caron, Quebec Caucus Chair

Interesting suggestion, Wilf. Does he have "it"? Some MP's are great politicians with great resumes but whether they have the gravitas to be leader and seen by voters as a potential Prime Minister is another question.

Indeed. I'd love to see Peter Julian run, but that question might be asked about him; I'm unsure of the answer at this early point.

As for Caron, did you watch that video? What do you think?

Anonymouse wrote:

Caron has a weakness in that he represents Rimouski but hasn't lived there in years (he lives in Gatineau) . . . That being said, he is one of the caucus's great hopes.

I read that he has set up a Rimouski residence; He, Valerie and Dominic will live there whenever they can, he said. This in turn will depend on Valerie's job; she has a contract, he said.


Hunky_Monkey
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I haven't seen much of Julian over the years. He seems to be a low key caucus member. I listened to a speech he gave that was online and seemed good on the stump. He's likable, fluently bilingual, and was provincial secretary in Quebec during the 90's.

I wish Stephen Lewis was at least 10 years younger and fluently bilingual. I love that man.

I don't get all this talk about Brian Topp. He's a good strategist... not a politician. Honestly, why Brian Topp? Is it because he was close to Jack? If so, wrong reason.


Boom Boom
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I'm a bit confused - didn't Layton himself suggest January for the leadership convention? If so, that's four months away. Is this debate going to on that long?


Hunky_Monkey
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Think people are just speculating about possible candidates. Is there a specific date when that should start? :)

If it is in January, you're going to see candidates start organizing in the next couple of weeks.


Boom Boom
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I wonder if the performance of NDP members in the House will be under intense scrutiny when Parliament resumes with the purpose being to see obvious candidates who really stand out - we already know who they are from previous House sittings and elections, but there could be outstanding candidates especially from the new Quebec contingent as well. The party has to work with what it has, but, darn, I wish Pierre Ducasse was one of those new Quebec MPs! He would be a natural.

 


nicky
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To make full disclosure right off the bat I am strongly inclined to support Thomas Mulcair. I will list a few reasons here and will look forward to participaing in this debate further.

1. The party must consolidate its hold on Quebec. Mulcair is the obvious choice to accomplish this. I think he may be able to extinguish the lingering Liberal hold on the West Island in particular. Although Jack was mostly responsible for the Quebec breakthrough we should not underestimate Mulcair's role. Dianne Ablonszy (sp?) congratulated Jack on the Quebec result and he magnanimously said"I had a great Quebec lieutenant." Let's not forget this.

2. The next election will be the best chance the NDP has ever had to take power. We should not blow this chance by giving in to the the old NDP propensity to be ideologically pure and play identity politics. We should all remember what happened when we picked Audrey McLaughlin for similar reasons. I think Mulcair offers us our best shot at power. He may be a lapsed Liberal and that may eliminate him in the eyes of some. But he is our best prospect to consolidate the progressive vote, partly because of his Liberal background. As Mike Layton quoted his father, you make the best with what you have at hand. 

3. If Mulcair runs he is likely to have near unanimous support from Quebec. The mathematics of the leadership leave him at a distinct disadvantage. The unions (with whom he has no particular ties) have a guaranteed 25%. The rest is a one member one vote system. The Quebec membership has always ben very low although I expect it has recently grown. Saskatchewan, on the other hand has always had a high membership, sometimes even greater than Ontario in years past. So we may have the anomaly that Saskatchewan with no NDP MPs has a greater say in the leadership vote than Quebec which has almost 60% of the caucus. If Mulcair is defeated in this landscape it will inevitably be seen as a repudiation of Quebec.

4. I have only seen Mulcair on television, as have almost all Canadians. He is formidably smart and forceful, in my view a formidable political talent. The Conservatives obviously fear him in Question Period. The point has been made that Mulcair does not have Jack's sunny image of conciliation. It will be a grave mistake to look to find a duplicate of Jack because we will never find him. We can expect of a certainty that whoever we pick as the next leader will be met with a massive Conservative ad campaign to define his or her image pejoratively like they did Dion and Ignatieff. Jack was able to escape this because he came in under the radar until the last couple of weeks of the last campaign. He had also been around long enough to define his own image. As the best known of the contenders, especially in Quebec, Mulcair may be best able to weather this inevitable storm. I also think that unlike the last two hapless Liberal leaders Mulcair has the sheer political talent to counterpunch his way out of the Conservative attempt to kneecap him from the outset.

So there are some preliminary thoughts. I am sure there will be much more to consider as the campaign progresses and I look forward to what my fellow Babblers will contribute.


SRB
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nicky wrote:
So we may have the anomaly that Saskatchewan with no NDP MPs has a greater say in the leadership vote than Quebec which has almost 60% of the caucus. If Mulcair is defeated in this landscape it will inevitably be seen as a repudiation of Quebec.

Please note that the votes of Saskatchewan NDPers were what put Jack over the top on the first ballot in 2003, even though he was criticized by some as being a Toronto candidate or too slick and urban.  A candidate who is willing to do what Jack did in the run up to the leadership vote, which was to go around the country and meet the NDP members in different regions, listening to their concerns, should be able to win the same support.  In fact, if he or she can't win support from the different regions, then that would be a demonstrable weakness which would cause legitimate questions about that person.


DaveW
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great post, Nicky:

 and remember, winning Outremont (I lived there when it swung Tory in 1988, after a century-plus being pure Liberal) was the spark for that whole election swing -- a big riding in the big city set the tone for a breakthrough later

 


David Young
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How is Olivia Chow's french?

Think about it!

The widow of Jack Layton, who's name would resonate with Quebec voters in 2015.  (Shades of Cory Aquino in the Phillipines?)

A 'visible minority' leader, in a country that is rapidly becoming more and more culturally diversified in it's population.

A female politician, with parliamentary experience.

Olivia would be my first choice!

 


the grey
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Boom Boom wrote:

I'm a bit confused - didn't Layton himself suggest January for the leadership convention? If so, that's four months away. Is this debate going to on that long?


ravenj
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Thomas Mulcair is my top choice.  What I don't know is whether he is a good leader of people.

The whole thing about Brian Topp bothers me.  Topp has been writing for G&M I believe, and I'm sure the media people know him.  But the average voter does not know him.  Why then is the media crowning him as one of the "top contenders"?   He has never been tested as a candidate (and with apology to ACTRA members I don't count your internal votes as "elections".)

Boom Boom & the grey: Layton didn't suggest a particular time, but rather as soon as possible in the new year.


JeffWells
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Not about the leadership, but a sincere prayer nonetheless:

Lord, if it be your will, please tell Brent Hawkes to run in Toronto Centre.


Wilf Day
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ravenj wrote:

Layton didn't suggest a particular time, but rather as soon as possible in the new year.

He wrote "I recommend the party hold a leadership vote as early as possible in the New Year, on approximately the same timelines as in 2003." That was January 25, 2003.

nicky wrote:

To make full disclosure right off the bat I am strongly inclined to support Thomas Mulcair. . . Mulcair does not have Jack's sunny image of conciliation. . . He may be a lapsed Liberal and that may eliminate him in the eyes of some.

Good summary of the case for Mulcair. Is he in fact a lapsed Liberal, federally? I don't know what party he voted for in 2004, but I have always read that he was not active in any federal party. Does anyone know? A search of political donation records would be helpful. As for his image being forceful (as was Jack) but not as sunny, I think he is a very capable performer who could turn on his sunny side as effectively as his irascible side, if he wanted to.

You might have added one more point. What's the rush? January is in fact the earliest possible date, due to political donation limits. In fact campaign organizers will have trouble collecting money, since many people will need to give pledges or post-dated cheques for January 1 if they gave their limit in 2010. We have, after all, three years. The Liberals are waiting for contenders to emerge. Was Jack saying, in effect, "Mulcair's ready, Charlie Angus is hot, and if anyone else wants to run they can jump in fast. Let's go."


Stockholm
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I will weigh in at greater length later but a few random thoughts and responses to others' comments:

1. FYI: Olivia Chow speaks a bit of French but not enough to have ever spoken it in public and in any case I am sure has far too much personal grief to deal with to even think of the leadership. It's not like Jack died the day an election was called and the party desperately needed someone to carry the torch. We are talking about a leader for a election four years from now.

2. Everything about Brian Topp is perfect for a leader EXCEPT that as others have said, he has no experience as a retail politician. It's not to say he would be good or bad - just that we don't know. One thing for sure about him is he has an impressively pan-Canadian resume: born and raised in Quebec with a francophone mother and speaks PERFECT French, was Chief of Staff to Romanow and lived in Saskatchewan for many years, lives in Toronto and is ED of ACTRA, is close to Adrian Dix and currently slated to manage the BC NDP campaign.

3. Mulcair has many assets that have been listed, my only concern about him is whether he has enough of a grasp of Canada outside Quebec and I hear he rubs some caucus members (ESP. Some women) the wrong way.

4. I hope that there is more than one serious candidate from Quebec and I hope to see at least one woman run and hopefully also someone under 30 and someone First Nation.


Stockholm
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FYI donations to leadership campaigns are NOT tax receipt able and have nothing to do with the limits on federal political donations. You can donate as much as you want to a leadership candidate but you get no rebate.

Wilf Day wrote:
ravenj wrote:

Layton didn't suggest a particular time, but rather as soon as possible in the new year.

He wrote "I recommend the party hold a leadership vote as early as possible in the New Year, on approximately the same timelines as in 2003." That was January 25, 2003.

nicky wrote:

To make full disclosure right off the bat I am strongly inclined to support Thomas Mulcair. . . Mulcair does not have Jack's sunny image of conciliation. . . He may be a lapsed Liberal and that may eliminate him in the eyes of some.

Good summary of the case for Mulcair. Is he in fact a lapsed Liberal, federally? I don't know what party he voted for in 2004, but I have always read that he was not active in any federal party. Does anyone know? A search of political donation records would be helpful. As for his image being forceful (as was Jack) but not as sunny, I think he is a very capable performer who could turn on his sunny side as effectively as his irascible side, if he wanted to. You might have added one more point. What's the rush? January is in fact the earliest possible date, due to political donation limits. In fact campaign organizers will have trouble collecting money, since many people will need to give pledges or post-dated cheques for January 1 if they gave their limit in 2010. We have, after all, three years. The Liberals are waiting for contenders to emerge. Was Jack saying, in effect, "Mulcair's ready, Charlie Angus is hot, and if anyone else wants to run they can jump in fast. Let's go."


Hoodeet
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What about international issues?  Mulcair is sweet on Israel (because of his riding?). What about militarism?  Canadian mining?  Free trade?

And Topp? And Caron (my favourite)?

Is there a summary anywhere of potential candidates' positions?

It would be very helpful.

 


Northern Shoveler
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dacckon wrote:

What my requirements are-> 

1. Charisma
2.Progressive yet pragmatic aka the social ideals of the CCF mixed with the economic pragmatism of today's modern social democratic parties.
3. fluently Bilingual
4. Able to control factions
5. Ability to grow party membership and reach out to all canadian social democrats to join in. Make us a big progressive tent party.
6. strategic focus

Given your list I would suggest Bob Rae as the new NDP leader.  He might just be pragmatic enough to know it is his only chance at the brass ring he has been chasing.  He has always promoted the concept of a big progressive tent party.


Northern Shoveler
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Denise Savoie and Nathan Cullen would be good candidates but since they are not from Upper or Lower Canada they do not have the "national" profile. 


knownothing
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Strategically, I am leaning towards Mulcair as well. I think he would sell a gazillion memberships in Quebec and the NDP would be entrenched there forever. I think the new leader has to come from Quebec. That is where we need to build out of. Sure Mulcair is scary and that is a good thing. We don't want someone trying to be JACK2.0. The only knock on Mulcair will be his bin Laden comments (which I thought was awesome!) but I don't think a little suspicion of the Americans is such bad thing for a modern Canadian PM. He is super-charismatic, brilliant, perfectly bilingual.

But I don't know much about him. I think his stances require serious scrutiny. No one can accuse him of being a seperatist. Keep Libby Davies Deputy leader to balance out the left-right east-west balance.

The big question is whether he can appeal to the west. The media will be all over us about Quebec, so who knows?

 


Wilf Day
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Stockholm wrote:
FYI donations to leadership campaigns are NOT tax receipt able and have nothing to do with the limits on federal political donations. You can donate as much as you want to a leadership candidate but you get no rebate.

Sorry, I was thinking of delegate fees. January is fine, to avoid people giving more than the limit in 2011.


vermonster
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None of my opinions are set in stone at this point, and I hope there is an active campaign that allows a full exploration of a wide range of possible candidates.

If there is one name less often floated by pundits I would like to see actively explored right now, it would be Charlie Angus. He brings a very interesting package - represents a rural northern riding, but his history as a musician in Toronto also offers a more urban appeal. At 48, he would present a youthful energetic contrast to the other party leaders. I'm under the impression that he is fluently bilingual - and that his upbringing in a bilingual northern Ontario town means that it a very natural comfortable bilingualism, not the kind of classroom French that we sometimes see in national political figures .

He has been quite impressive in his work as critic on digital issues and now on ethics. He's done some great work on aboriginal issues. He's been an MP since 2004, so he's not an untested newbie. He's smart, good in the media, and can give a decent speech. He has solid ties to labour (representing a pretty heavily unionized area and growing up in a northern mining town). My sense is that he may be the kind of leader who could span the various tendencies within the party - labour, environmentalists, cultural progressives, urban, rural, youth, Québec, ROC, etc and that he could campaign credibly in every part of the country.

Not being an Ottawa or party insider, I'm not familiar with what his potential drawbacks may be, but I've been impressed with what I see.

I like the suggestions from people here of both Roméo Saganash and Guy Caron. Their biggest drawbacks seem to be that they are both first term MPs, and that limited experience would be a drawback.

I've seen Caron in action a little bit over the years, and think he could have what it takes - while not extremely charismatic, he is earnest and serious without being a boring wonk, he is very comfortable and effective in both languages, and he has good group leadership and consensus building skills.

My familiarity with Saganash is much more limited, restricted to media coverage of his activities over the years. He is truly impressive and has great potential for leadership - if not as party leader now, certainly in a high profile senior critic/cabinet role. The one area where I think he would need to work is to reign in some of what comes across as a free-wheeling, casual style and come across as more focused and more like a potential PM. (And yes, I fully understand that he DOES have a record of serious accomplishments as the results of his focus and hard work, and that there are cultural issues about dress and leadership styles that play into this - I am simply trying to imagine how he would play in a national campaign). But he is clearly charismatic, has a great story, is extremely smart, meets the linguistic test, and would present a bold exciting image to the country.

There are lots of other names that should be considered - Peggy Nash is bilingual, has great labour ties, and clearly has the policy and political chops to do this. At 60, she is about at the upper age limit I'd like to see in a new leader. I've been impressed with Hélène Laverdière and wonder if she has leadership potential. Peter Julian clearly is interested and interesting, and a bilingual BC leader with significant history in Québec has lots of political potential. His identification with social movements and the generic "left" might not thrill some of the more traditional labour and Prairie base of the party, but he might have the skills to overcome those issues.

Finally, I have my doubts about either Thomas Mulcair or Brian Topp that make me seriously wonder if they are the right candidate at the right time.

Mulcair's was my MP until a move last month, and there is a lot I like about him. Yet I have serious qualms about making someone leader who joined the party 4 years ago, who considered an offer to run for the Conservatives instead, and who was part of Charest's government. My first preference in terms of party leader would be to see someone who is more steeped in the history and core beliefs of the NDP, and I have yet to be convinced that Mulcair gets that part of the deal -- and as a result, I am fearful about exactly how much he would be willing to trade off in exchange for what he perceives as a shot at power.  Is Mulcair a socialist, a social democrat, a progressive, or even a small l liberal? He can be a little mercurial in his behaviours and my sense is that he isn't great at inclusive leadership and building consensus - much more of a "my way or the highway" kind of guy. And he is known to commit the kind of gaffe that could be damaging in opposition or in a campaign. That all said, the guy is a skilled political operative and he may have the package that would be needed to carry the party forward.

My experience of Brian Topp is more limited -- I knew him back at McGill 30+ years ago, and other than a few interactions with him working on the Phil Edmonston campaign 20 years ago, haven't seen him in person since. Like others, I wonder if he could successfully make the transition from back room strategist to party leader, and it isn't clear to me what his core political values or policy positions are. That said, he is clearly someone with a life-long commitment to the NDP, a very smart political strategist, and his history of campaign work in different parts of the country is a real plus. My visceral reaction to the idea of party insiders attempting to install another unelected insider as leader is partially balanced by the fact that clearly he had the complete trust of Jack, and that no one can question Brian's political smarts or his NDP bona fides.

At least in the early stages of the campaign, I hope that we see a wide open consideration of the real pool of talent that the party has, and that a full range of potential candidates are seriously looked at, lots of names I haven't mentioned -- including folks from outside of current MPs, women, visible minorities, younger candidates, and folks across a full geographic and ideological range.  I hope that honest examination of leadership options takes place before the party coalesces around a single candidate or a couple of candidates.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 


dacckon
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Lol i don't think my requirements lead to Bob Rae. Why would the NDP ever take him back? He is the reason the party suffers/is feared in Ontario. I don't think he's charismatic or has the societal ideals of old CCF'ers like MJ Coldwell. Some people who vote liberal are progressive, Look to people like Jean Lesage in QC as an example of this. Lets capture whats left of the "liberal left" and rename them into centre-leaning social democrats. Better to be a centre-leaning social democrat than a liberal. Alot of the voters in canada can be described as "Soft liberals", why shouldn't we try to capture their vote and relabel/lead them to a truely progressive party.

 

I also think that Layton's deputy structure should remain. If someone centre leaning is elected as leader, than he/she must have 2 deputies that lean left. Vice-Versa, in order to stop any infighting. Althrough I highly prefer someone in the middle of the party, much like Layton and Broadbent.

 

I'd also like to see where they stand. In the UK, leadership canidates wrote fabian essays. I highly suggest they do this in here in Canada. http://www.fabians.org.uk/publications/extracts/the-labour-leadership-es...

 

 


knownothing
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duncan cameron
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An open spirited leadership race would be good for the party. Candidates should run for more than one reason: to represent their ideas, or solidify their standing in the party, as well as to win.

My preference would be to see a range of opinions expressed; this necessitates a variety of candidates. In order to sign up members, and win support, an NDP leadership candidate has to convince people they have something substantive to offer Canada. I would hate to see a coronation.

The divisions within the party about where we need to go as a country need to be regularly aired in public debate so as to give a sense of direction to the parliamentary wing.

What makes an open race important is the winning candidate is going to have to garner support and gain the trust of the party base, its grass (and net) roots.

The world economic crisis is real. Being able to think big thoughts about how to transform how we do things in Canada should be an important part of what candidates offer the party membership as a vision for the future under their leadership. 


deb93
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" My bet is Mr. Mulcair, as his televisual personality often portrays, has no interest in anything that doesn't benefit Thomas Mulcair. NDP support of a budget means a longer wait for Mr. Mulcair to have a title shot. Patience doesn't seem to be his strong suit. "(Tim Powers, G and M, March 2011) That's my perception of Thomas Mulcair too. Pompous, abrasive, self-aggrandizing, 'socialist' or social democrat in name only but not in his heart imo, divisive of cultures (Quebec vs the west) and genders.

Let's hope the NDP can do better.


Stockholm
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deb93 wrote:
" My bet is Mr. Mulcair, as his televisual personality often portrays, has no interest in anything that doesn't benefit Thomas Mulcair. NDP support of a budget means a longer wait for Mr. Mulcair to have a title shot. Patience doesn't seem to be his strong suit. " 

I think that whole "Mulcair is trying to undermine Layton by pushing for an early election" story line was always total bullshit. Its now pretty common knowledge that Jack and those around him made up their minds that they wanted an Spring election long before the budget was presented. If Mulcair made some sabre-rattling comments about bringing down the government - it was 100% part of an intentional strategy by Jack to send out mixed signals about the NDP's intentions.

There may be legitimate things to criticize about Mulcair - but that absurd media fantasy narrative that he was somehow undermining Jack when he talked about the looming budget vote is total CRAP. There is a reason why Mulcair snapped at Brian Lilley when he was asked about that - Mulcair and Layton were very close friends and I think Mulcair was genuinely offended that anyone would think that he was cynically pushing Layton into an election Layton didn't want to advance his own ambitions and then have to answer a "when did you stop beating your wife?"-type question.


knownothing
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Anonymouse
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Can we keep the regional antagonisms to a minimum? Much of the NDP membership is in the West, so that is profile enough for a Western contender. As people have noted it is often membership from the West that puts candidates from the East over the top (against Western competitors). Similarly, I would be absolutely shocked if the membership elected anyone leader who wasn't bilingual. I expect every candidate in this race will have good French and English. Lastly, have some faith in NDP members, they are smarter than Liberals Wink


Stockholm
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vermonster wrote:

If there is one name less often floated by pundits I would like to see actively explored right now, it would be Charlie Angus. He brings a very interesting package - represents a rural northern riding, but his history as a musician in Toronto also offers a more urban appeal. At 48, he would present a youthful energetic contrast to the other party leaders. I'm under the impression that he is fluently bilingual - and that his upbringing in a bilingual northern Ontario town means that it a very natural comfortable bilingualism, not the kind of classroom French that we sometimes see in national political figures .

I wondered about that myself but I'm told that his French actually not all that good.


Anonymouse
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Stockholm wrote:

vermonster wrote:

If there is one name less often floated by pundits I would like to see actively explored right now, it would be Charlie Angus. He brings a very interesting package - represents a rural northern riding, but his history as a musician in Toronto also offers a more urban appeal. At 48, he would present a youthful energetic contrast to the other party leaders. I'm under the impression that he is fluently bilingual - and that his upbringing in a bilingual northern Ontario town means that it a very natural comfortable bilingualism, not the kind of classroom French that we sometimes see in national political figures .

I wondered about that myself but I'm told that his French actually not all that good.

Last time I heard Charlie Angus speak French (several years ago in QP), it was quite weak but at least he had it. The same goes for Nathan Cullen. They may have improved since, but at the time I heard them, they did not have the French to be leader. Both of them are great MPs.


Robo
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Stockholm wrote:
1. FYI: Olivia Chow speaks a bit of French but not enough to have ever spoken it in public ...

Never in public?  I could have sworn that I watched her appear on Tout le monde en parle with Jack.  That said, I agree that her comfort level in French is low

 


Stockholm
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deb93 wrote:

" My bet is Mr. Mulcair, as his televisual personality often portrays, has no interest in anything that doesn't benefit Thomas Mulcair. NDP support of a budget means a longer wait for Mr. Mulcair to have a title shot. Patience doesn't seem to be his strong suit. "(Tim Powers, G and M, March 2011)

Let's hope the NDP can do better.

So let me get this straight - you are saying we shoudl shy away from Thomas Mulcair as leader because a CONSERVATIVE spin-doctor tried to cast aspersions on his motives in a panel discussion??? So, are you saying that we need to ask Tim Powers whether or not he approves of each prospective candidate for the NDP leadership?


Stockholm
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BTW: I know an MP who fits the bill in many ways - at least in terms of being a good person to have in the race - Nikki Ashton. She speaks five languages fluently (her French is actually quite impeccable), she is 29, a woman (obviously), from a remote riding in Manitoba with a very large FN population. I don't know that I see her as a winner - but she would make a good addition to the field.


samuelolivier
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First of all, sorry for my English ;)

Thomas Mulcair. Being from Quebec and having work closely with him when we was in the Liberal cabinet, I can tell how much this man is brilliant and a strong strategist. I always felt and I got some tips that he was a more progressive voice than the average Quebec Liberal cabinet member back then. But at the same time, Thomas was known for having a short temper and little to none patience. He is a strong debater and every single time he is debating on tv, he nails it all the time. He is the second best known NPD member in Quebec (just next to Jack) and a lot of people remembers that he standed tall in front of a Jean Charest premier who was unpopular and not listening to the Quebec population will at that time...

I really don't understand the buzz around Brian Topp. Yes he is a strong strategist, would follow in Jack tradition and he is perfectly bilingual, but having seen him on tv a fee times, I feel like he is missing some charisma and he has no parlimantary experience. Having seen her lots of time on tv over the last week, I get the feeling Anne McGrath could be a stronger voice and a more charismatic person for the role than him. Am I the only one?

Olivia Chow has always been one of my favorite NDP member. There is no question about her values and where she stands for social justice. The fact she is Jack Layton widow could help passing Jack legacy message and goals. Her lack of French is not helping though and sorry, but I think as much as she can get support from being Jack's widow, she might also suffers from the comparaison (that applies to all candidates who will run, but a little bit more IMO to Olivia for that reason).

Peter Julian sounds like an interesting choice: he is smart and charismatic, perfectly bilingual (maybe one if not the most bilingual NDP MP with Peggy Nash) but looking at his resume, I feel like the man is leaning a little bit too much on the left. I really think we must not seek another for Jack Layton 2.0, but one thing for sure, we have to keep the party far from a total lefty ideological one and keep the pragmatic approach with some a little more centered elements in our platform.

Peggy Nash could be a strong candidate: perfectly bilingual, smart, strong support with the unions and women. We totally know where she stands on a lot of issue and she seems like a moderate but definately progressive voice. I would be really interested to see her running for the leadership.

Megan Leslie could be a really nice surprise. She is one of he most inspiring speaker in the house, has the same let's work together approach that Jack has. I don't think her experience is strong enough and even if I think she could consolidate the NPD support, I don't know if she could help it grow more and be seeing as a potential premier.

Other candidates from Quebec: There are not a lot. Guy Caron is for sure one of the strongest new asset in the party. But I feel it's a little bit premature to judge his full potential. Hélène Laverdière is another really strong new MP with a strong background and a real potential cabinet member in a future NDP government, but knowing her personnaly, she has no leadership goal. Roméo Saganash could have be a really good choice, he is a strong negociator, has a really inclusive approach, but he is a really calm and he doesn't sound/look like a passionate debater. Pierre Ducasse was a real surprise back in the 2003 race but I honestly think he did it to put Quebec a little bit more in the NDP agenda, since Thomas Mulcair would have a much stronger appeal in the province, I would guess that Pierre would support Thomas for this same reason. But we never know. Françoise Boivin is one of my favorite NDP MPs, she is smart, a progressive voice and her passion gives her an atypical charisma. I can't see her having a wide appeal though, unfortunately. I don't see any other people from Quebec being a candidate (even Alexandre Boulerice, Nycole Turmel, Robert Aubin, Raymond Côté,...).

There are some names I'd like to get your feedback on, since I don't know them enough:

David Miller, could he really be a candidate? do we know if he ever supported the NPD?

Stephen Lewis, could he also be a candidate? I am pretty sure his age doesn't do any favour though... His speech was such a strong stand for social democracy.

Jack Harris, is he bilingual? Being from NFL, could it be marginalizing the party? He is smart and has a nice political background.

Ray Martin, he may be a little bit old for the job, but there is no question the man has a good politcal background and he is a really strong progressive voice. Having being defeated for the last 3 elections in 3 different Edmonton ridings doesn't do any favour, but I like Ray. what do you think?

Linda Duncan, could she be running? She has a nice background and seems like a smart and composed person. Does she have the charisma to lead?

Rob Moir, a NB NDP candidates in the past. He has a strong economical background but he is also a strong progressive voice and based on clips I've seen of him, he is charismatic.

Is there anyone from the provincial NDP scence that I forgot? In Ontario, Saskatchewan, Manitoba, Alberta, BC, Nova Scotia?

The new NDP leader will have to be bilingual for sure. That eliminates a few strong potential leader: Libby Davies, Robert Chisholm and a few others...

At this stage, a leadership race including the following would be really interesting:

- Thomas Mulcair

- Peggy Nash

- Megan Leslie or Niki Ashton

- Rob Moir or Guy Caron

- Peter Julian

- David Miller??


samuelolivier
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Stockholm wrote:

BTW: I know an MP who fits the bill in many ways - at least in terms of being a good person to have in the race - Nikki Ashton. She speaks five languages fluently (her French is actually quite impeccable), she is 29, a woman (obviously), from a remote riding in Manitoba with a very large FN population. I don't know that I see her as a winner - but she would make a good addition to the field.

True! I forgot about Niki. Either her or Megan Leslie should run to represent the young voice and the party renewal. That would be really inspiring and nice to have either one of these two strong women NDP MPs running.


knownothing
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I like Peggy Nash and everything but I fall asleep when she starts talking


samuelolivier
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knownothing wrote:

I like Peggy Nash and everything but I fall asleep when she starts talking

I agree, but I feel she is hit or miss, sometimes she sounds a lot passionate than others.


samuelolivier
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Is there any potential star candidate we are forgetting? Someone from another background than federal NDP experience?


knownothing
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samuelolivier wrote:

knownothing wrote:

I like Peggy Nash and everything but I fall asleep when she starts talking

I agree, but I feel she is hit or miss, sometimes she sounds a lot passionate than others.

It is a great quality for a finance minister, but it seems like she is super vague sometimes and too avoiding of the issues


Robo
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Stockholm wrote:
FYI donations to leadership campaigns are NOT tax receipt able and have nothing to do with the limits on federal political donations. You can donate as much as you want to a leadership candidate but you get no rebate.
 

The first half of the first sentence is true: donations to the candidate's campaign for the leadership of a political party are not tax receptiable. 

The rest is not correct: there is a lifetime, "once-off" limit of $1100 that anyone can donate to any candidate's campaign for the leadership of any party.

Most candidates for the last Liberal leadership race that Stephane Dion won still have debt, according to an interesting Pundit's Guide thread.  This needs to be a cautionary tale for anyone seeking the NDP (or Liberal) leadership under the current federal political party financing legislation.  

 

 

 


Stockholm
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How's aboput Michaelle Jean?


samuelolivier
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How about Louise Arbour? She is an amazing person and she fought for social justice all her life. Her potilical experience would put in shame even some of most experienced canadian politicians. Would it be really weird for someone who has never been a publicly NDP supporter to jump in the race? I know I am day dreaming, but why not? ;)


the grey
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ravenj wrote:

Boom Boom & the grey: Layton didn't suggest a particular time, but rather as soon as possible in the new year.

I was trying to respond to Boom Boom's statement, but Babble cut off my response and I couldn't fix it from that computer.  What I wanted to say was that Jack's letter suggested similar timelines to the 2003 race - which started 6 June 2002 and ended 23 January 2003, a span of about seven and a half months.  Following those timelines would result in an April leadership selection.


Anonymouse
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Merci samuelolivier, ce n'est pas nécessaire d'excuser un si beau anglais écrit! D'abord excuse mon français! Comme j'ai commenté beaucoup sur le français des candidats anglophones, laisse-moi dire que même si j'admire Hélène Laverdière, je suis d'avis que son anglais n'est pas suffisamment bon pour être chef permanente. La même chose va pour Nycole Turmel.


Hunky_Monkey
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I am leaning toward Mulcair as well. Someone mentioned they're not sure if he has what we need right now. Right now? I'm thinking about the next election in four years.

I've heard he can be on occasion a bit standoffish in person. But as a friend pointed out, so were many leaders such as Trudeau. I think Trudeau won once or twice :)


samuelolivier
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Stockholm wrote:

How's aboput Michaelle Jean?

Personnality wise, I love the idea. Having been the General Governor of Canada would seen a really weird message to Canadian, coming from the NDP... No?


Stockholm
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Ok, I stand corrected. The point i was trying to make though is that limits on donations to leadership campaigns have no connection to the limits on party political donations. Its a whole separate thing - in otherwords even if I had already donated my maximum $1,100 to the NDP in 2011 - I would still be free to give as much as $1,100 to any candidate...

I'm a bit confused by the lifetime limit - that seems a bit crazy. Does that mean that if I were to hypothetically make a $1,000 donation to Mulcair's leadership campaign - that would mean that for the rest of my life I would only be allowed to donate $100 to any individual running to lead any party???

 

Robo wrote:

Stockholm wrote:
FYI donations to leadership campaigns are NOT tax receipt able and have nothing to do with the limits on federal political donations. You can donate as much as you want to a leadership candidate but you get no rebate.
 

The first half of the first sentence is true: donations to the candidate's campaign for the leadership of a political party are not tax receptiable. 

The rest is not correct: there is a lifetime, "once-off" limit of $1100 that anyone can donate to any candidate's campaign for the leadership of any party.

Most candidates for the last Liberal leadership race that Stephane Dion won still have debt, according to an interesting Pundit's Guide thread.  This needs to be a cautionary tale for anyone seeking the NDP (or Liberal) leadership under the current federal political party financing legislation.  

 


knownothing
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Some far-left candidate should run to make whoever is elected look moderate (hopefully they won't be), but who should it be?


Anonymouse
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Michaelle Jean would be really great, although I worry about the "sovereigntist" attack that was made on her as she came in to the office of the Governor General. I liked Peggy Nash as Industry critic, thought she was very effective, but have been underwhelmed by her performance as Finance critic. Nash is the strongest female MP for leader, IMV, although I feel like she lacks in the charisma department despite excellent French and high competence. Megan Leslie has charm, smarts, and French; yet I find her very easy to ignore (like Alexa McDonough) because she is too nice and not assertive enough. I hate to say it, but I believe she could improve her performance as an MP by learning to throw a few more elbows. One female MP I really like that is unlikely to get mention is Carol Hughes. She has excellent French, has competence and charisma, a union background like Peggy Nash, and a rare skill at mainstreeting (she is good at going up and talking to people, of all types). That being said, Carol Hughes has not held/been given any serious responsibilities, so I don't consider her a contender. Maybe her weakness is a lack of ambition!


Wilf Day
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the grey wrote:

Jack's letter suggested similar timelines to the 2003 race - which started 6 June 2002 and ended 23 January 2003, a span of about seven and a half months.  Following those timelines would result in an April leadership selection.

Very good point.

Stockholm wrote:

Niki Ashton. She speaks five languages fluently (her French is actually quite impeccable), she is 29, a woman (obviously), from a remote riding in Manitoba with a very large FN population. I don't know that I see her as a winner - but she would make a good addition to the field.

That's what people said when a rather unknown 36-year-old entered the race for the PC leadership in 1976. He was obviously running with his eye on the next race.

But then he came third on the first ballot, with 11 candidates. On the second ballot three other candidates supported Joe Clark, and he overtook Brian Mulroney. On the fourth ballot Clark beat Claude Wagner. And in the next election he beat Pierre Trudeau.


samuelolivier
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Anonymouse wrote:

Merci samuelolivier, ce n'est pas nécessaire d'excuser un si beau anglais écrit! D'abord excuse mon français! Comme j'ai commenté beaucoup sur le français des candidats anglophones, laisse-moi dire que même si j'admire Hélène Laverdière, je suis d'avis que son anglais n'est pas suffisamment bon pour être chef permanente. La même chose va pour Nycole Turmel.

Merci beaucoup Anonymouse pour ces bons mots. I totally agree with you on Nycole Turmel english and same for Hélène Laverdière. I was wondering I always get the sense that Jean Chrétien's english was okay but not amazing when he started as the liberal leader. Am I right?


Robo
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Stockholm wrote:

I'm a bit confused by the lifetime limit - that seems a bit crazy. Does that mean that if I were to hypothetically make a $1,000 donation to Mulcair's leadership campaign - that would mean that for the rest of my life I would only be allowed to donate $100 to any individual running to lead any party???

Yes it is crazy.  No, you are not limited to donating $1100 to only one candidate -- you could donate $1100 to every candidate for the leadership of any/every party.  But you are limited to a $1100 donation to any particular leadership candidate for the remainder of your life.

That is why this Pundit's Guide thread is worth noting. Maurizio Bevilacqua, IMHO, has the most difficult financial task of any poltical participant in Canada at present -- he has to pay off a roughly $400,000 debt without approaching anyone who has already donated the maximum to his leadership campaign at any point in the past.

Again, this is an important lesson for all leadership campaigns to learn. As the Pundit's Guide host noted, the rules were changed by the Tories in the middle of the 2004 Liberal leadership contest -- and, arguably, once plans were rolling, it was hard to stop them. No one has that excuse any longer, unless the legislation changes. And, for crass political reasons if nothing else, the Tories have no incentive to change these rules until after the leadership contests of the NDP, Liberals, and Bloc are complete. The Tories will replace Stephen Harper one day -- until then, they'll let their political opponents struggle under the current legislation.


Stockholm
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Helene Laverdiere is a wonderful person who I had the pleasure of meeting. I don't have an issue with her English. Her weakness is that she is a rookie in parliament and all her expertise is in foreign plicy as a former diplomat. She could make a wonderful minister of Foreign Affairs someday - but I don't get the impression that she has the necessary grounding in domestic economic and social policy etc....


Stockholm
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Robo wrote:

Yes it is crazy.  No, you are not limited to donating $1100 to only one candidate -- you could donate $1100 to every candidate for the leadership of any party.  But you are limited to a $1100 donation to any particular leadership candidate for the remainder of your life.

OK, that's slightly less crazy...but I assume it is a lifetime limit on donations to a particular leadership candidate's campaign. What if for example I donate $1,100 to Mulcair's campaign to win the NDP leadership in 2012 and he loses, but there is a whole new contest for the leadership say in 2018 and he runs again? Am I barred from donating to him again bcause I already gave him the maximum in 2012 or does the limit start over if he is a candidate for a new contest in a new year?


ottawaobserver
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A couple of things:

* People can give a maximum of $1100 during the leadership contest, either all to one candidate, or split amongst one or more candidates, and this is a separate ceiling from the ceiling to national parties, and the one to local ridings and/or candidates. The total of an individual's contributions to all the leadership candidates in a contest - over the entire length of that contest, including after the vote itself - cannot total more than $1100. But, for example, people who gave the maximum of $1100 to Michael Ignatieff during the 2006 leadership contest, were still able to give a total of $1100 to candidates for the next leadership contest as well. Remember this was a vehicle that Rocco Rossi was trying to use to raise double the money, by getting people to give to Ignatieff's campaign before the May convention, as well as to the party, and then Ignatieff's leadership campaign would transfer it to the party?

* I don't know who I would pick to run the party at this stage, but one thing I do know is that I want a lot of high quality candidates from across the country, and from a variety of backgrounds, to hear from and learn more about. I want to hear a lot more from Tom Mulcair, and if that CP story is right and if he does decide he wants to run, I want to hear a lot more from Brian Topp. I also want to be surprised by the names and stories of other potential candidates, and I can imagine how interesting and worthwhile the discussion about our way forward will be.

* What the party needs now is to demonstrate the calibre of its bench strength, take the opportunity to consolidate the Quebec gains by selling memberships and building the party infrastructure there, finding the next frontiers for building, and leading a widespread debate and discussion about what the first term of an NDP government would look like.

* We have to resist the tendency to refight the last election. Getting over the top to form government this time means more than simply consolidating Quebec, it means growing in Ontario, and picking off the next tier of seats in western Canada. Remember that it will be fought on new boundaries, and in a different stage of the cycle of a large number of provincial governments.

* In particular, out west one of the keys to building the social democratic movement will be to welcome aboriginal peoples into it, the way Jack has just done with Quebec. Here's a group with a booming birthrate, whose values closely mirror social democratic values. I would like to see at least one first nations or inuit or metis candidate in the race, and if that's not Romeo Saganash (or even if it is, because there's no ceiling on it), Lewis Cardinal who is now chair of the Aboriginal Commission looks to me like the closest thing to a native Jack Layton in terms of his organizational and communication skills, vision, strategic sense and ability to connect with people. One thing I do know is that if aboriginal people, particularly in western Canada and some parts of Ontario, were voting in the same proportions as non-aboriginal people, suddenly a whole new tier of seats comes into play for us.

* Mulcair has been nothing but gracious anytime I've met him, though admittedly those have only been brief encounters; and as everyone has said, his intellect is evident in all he says. I have seen flashes of anger on television, some righteous (remember the early case of his gay constituent who was about to be deported back to a situation where his life would be in grave danger) and some other very partisan swipes. But I saw a different side of him the day he visited the casket in the foyer of the House of Commons this past Wednesday: as sincere and passionate a look of grief as I've ever seen, where he barely held back the tears, and gratefully accepted a hug of comfort from Libby Davies. It made me want to learn more about this complex man. By the same token, while he's understandably spent a lot of time in Quebec recently, he will have to introduce himself to the party in the rest of Canada to a much greater extent.

* I have long wanted to see someone of Brian Topp's intelligence and strategic sense in Parliament, but to this point I've thought of him as too reserved to be interested in a public leadership role. Partly that may be because his role to now has been in the backrooms, where discretion is a big part of the job requirement. The challenge for Brian would be to allow people to get to know him better, in order to win their confidence in his vision of the future. What I was particularly struck by most recently in the very graceful way he handled the enormously difficult job he was just handled, was the way he described what he had learned from Jack. He said that Jack spoke to men of the importance of love, and how they needed to show more of that in their life's work and their relationships not only with women but other men. It left me feeling that he could yet grow into that inspirational part of the job, because his qualifications for the other aspects are pretty exhaustive.

* The party leader is the key party strategist. Leaders without that quality take their parties down in flames (see: Dion, Stephane; Ignatieff, Michael; Day, Stockwell; Clark, Joe; etc., etc.). So to me that is the sine qua non. We can't replace Jack with a replica of Jack, but we need to keep that one key qualification in mind. I think I'll know the right combination of the other skills when I see and hear it after a good leadership campaign, and I want to have a good slate of candidates to hear from and consider.


Robo
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Stockholm wrote:

OK, that's slightly less crazy...but I assume it is a lifetime limit on donations to a particular leadership candidate's campaign. What if for example I donate $1,100 to Mulcair's campaign to win the NDP leadership in 2012 and he loses, but there is a whole new contest for the leadership say in 2018 and he runs again? Am I barred from donating to him again bcause I already gave him the maximum in 2012 or does the limit start over if he is a candidate for a new contest in a new year?

I should have been more careful with my terms.  You are limited to $1,100 for any particular leadership campaign, rather than to any leadership candidate.  If Stephane Dion, inexplicably, were to seek the Liberal Party lesdership again, everyone who contributed the maximum to his 2004 run for the leadership would have a new chance to donate to the Stephane Dion Leadership Campaign, Mark 2.  But he would stil have to pay off the $40,000 or so left over from his 2004 Leadership Campaign without re-appealing to those who made the maximum contribution to his Leadership Campaign Mark 1.


Boom Boom
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I put my faith in the NDP and its supporters to pick the best leader for the party. They have a pretty good track record so far. Smile


knownothing
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Lord Palmerston
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Here's who I'd like to see run, from the pre-2011 MPs:

Peggy Nash

Charlie Angus (I was assuming he was pretty much bilingual, but that may not be the case)

Megan Leslie (I heard she is bilingual, but I'm not so sure)  

In some respects it would be better if Nycole Turmel stayed on longer as interim leader to allow more time to see the new members of the caucus at work.

 


Lou Arab
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I was about to write a long post about on a variety of points, but after reading Ottawaobserver's excellent post above, I can say she took almost all of the points I was going to make.

However, I have a couple of other things to add:

The party learned in 1993 that our leadership is not an entry level position.  This is especially true if we are looking for a Prime Minister.  I'm ok with new MPs entering the race to raise their profile or particual issues (in fact I'm all for it), as long as they don't win, this time.

While I agree that we want a leader who can win new seats in Ontario and the west, we have to re-enforce ourselves in Quebec.  Too many of our MPs were elected without on the ground organizations or even many members in their ridings.  Those kinds of wins can easily be erased.  This to me gives Mulcair an early edge (but my mind is still very open).

On Mulcair - I too noticed the obvious grief when he visited Jack's casket.  He may have a hot temper, but no candidate comes with the full package of leadership skills.  I want to hear from MPs about how well they can work with him. I also wonder how much he knows about politics outside of Quebec, and how much he knows and understands the culture and history of the NDP.

I love Charlie Angus, and if he can speak French - I think he could be a real contender for my vote.  However, I worry that I'm looking at him as part of the NDP membership, and not seeing him as regular Canadians might see him.  Is he someone who only speaks to the choir?  As a part of that choir, I'm not sure I'm objective enough to know.

I agree with others who want a wide range of candidates.  Let's promote our next cabinet.  Let's have 10 teams signing up members instead of three.  Let's give younger talent like Nikki Ashton the chance to conduct a 'test run' for the leadership before they go for it for realsies next time.


ottawaobserver
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Lou Arab wrote:

I agree with others who want a wide range of candidates.  Let's promote our next cabinet.  Let's have 10 teams signing up members instead of three.  Let's give younger talent like Nikki Ashton the chance to conduct a 'test run' for the leadership before they go for it for realsies next time.

And, you can bet I'll be grading them in part on how they handle that debate and competition too. This better not get nasty and personal, or I'll be very very grouchy.


knownothing
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ottawaobserver wrote:

Lou Arab wrote:

I agree with others who want a wide range of candidates.  Let's promote our next cabinet.  Let's have 10 teams signing up members instead of three.  Let's give younger talent like Nikki Ashton the chance to conduct a 'test run' for the leadership before they go for it for realsies next time.

And, you can bet I'll be grading them in part on how they handle that debate and competition too. This better not get nasty and personal, or I'll be very very grouchy.

Yeah I was watching the 2003 convention on CPAC and Blaikie sure came off as a grouch


ottawaobserver
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Really? I love Bill. Though I suspect next to Jack pretty much everyone who is not that perky could look grouchy.


knownothing
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Just seemed like he took it really personally, but i guess it is hard not to

Also, I am a fairly young member and did not see him in his prime in the House so I don't know his history all that well


JeffWells
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Anonymouse wrote:

Michaelle Jean would be really great -

 

Wow. I hadn't thought of that, but I like it. I'm sure there'd be a lot of ruffled feathers about the unseemliness of such a recent GG entering partisan politics, but I say let 'em ruffle. Hers would be an exciting candidacy and she would make, IMO, a wonderful choice.

For the time being, however, I'm rooting for a Mulcair victory, even though I agree with just about everything said about him both pro and con. I think we'll need a scrapper to see us through the next few years of Harper. Someone Canadians needn't love, as with Jack, but whom they'll come to respect (and Conservatives fear). Right now, of the likely candidates who can consolidate Quebec and bridge to the rest of Canada, I don't see anyone better.

Still, if Jean wants it, I'd be delighted to jump on that bandwagon.


theleftyinvestor
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Two thoughts:

1) I was very impressed by Chris Charlton (Hamilton Mountain) during the postal strike debates. Anyone know if she's bilingual? Very media friendly, excellent speaker, possible leadership material.

2) Although Olivia Chow is probably not going to run, and her French is not so strong... I don't think that francophone Quebec would necessarily hold that against her. As someone who was born neither to English nor to French Canada, she may well be seen as a unifying third party who transcends our deeply embedded language politics. I have been told that out of all the environmental organisations in the rest of Canada, the one that gets the most donations from Quebec is the David Suzuki Foundation - because he isn't seen wholly as an extension of English Canada.


JeffWells
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Though re: Jean, she hasn't served the first full year yet of her four-year appointment as UN special envy to Haiti, so I'd say there's a very low probablity of her entering the race. A more reasonable hope may be her recruitment as a candidate in the next election.


Anonymouse
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Chris Charlton is bilingual, in German and English. Unfortunately she doesn't have much French.


dacckon
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That article is from Quebecor. I'd ignore it knownothing


knownothing
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dacckon wrote:

That article is from Quebecor. I'd ignore it knownothing

Yeah it sure is bad hey, is that some right-wing media rag in Quebec?

I live in Moose Jaw, SK and I know little of Quebec politics


ottawaobserver
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Well, KN, who are the potential leadership candidates from Saskatchewan? Could we see Ryan Meili make a federal run? Nettie Wiebe? Any other names occur to you?


knownothing
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As far as I know Meili is out of the picture, even gave up his nomination in Saskatoon Sutherland, Nettie Wiebe seems too old school to me, but I am not privy to inside info, I am helping Noah Evanchuk get elected as he said he will run again next election, he is exactly the type of modern NDPer we need, but there are the former premiers Calvert and Romanow but they are too centrist fot my taste. I hope for a radical leader from Quebec!


dacckon
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I think Quebecor owns sun news.

 

I prefer we don't get a "radical" leader. I'm looking for someone progressive, pragmatic, and someone who can lead us to victory and not to self-destruction    Be sure to click on the link and read about it. That caused the UK labour party to lose the election and spiral right into the hands of Blair. I'd rather avoid that all together and elect someone with the values of Broadbent and Layton.


knownothing
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Is that worse than turning into Tony Blair? I mean we just about voted socialism out of the NDP constitution. The difference, to me, between social democracy and socialism is the social ownership of economic sectors and even monopolies. If you take that out, we are just liberals. I see no difference between social democrats and liberals the only difference being they have not yet been corrupted by governing power in Canada

 

In Saskatchewan we have efficient profitable crown corps for many sectors there is no reason why that can`t be expanded across the country and in other sectors.

Sure the business community will spaz out but they will do that anyway, we should totally stand by nationalisation.


dacckon
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That vote never went through. And it merely represented a change of means if it did, I recall a promise of improving social and economic equality. Personally I use social democracy/democratic socialism as the same, just as they use it in Scandinavia.

 

I agree with you on crown corps and that they should be expanded if economically viable. But I've always viewed the dogma of "conservative socialism" and "third way" as the same. One says nationalize, nationalize, nationalize, and the result is stagnation. The other says free market, deregulation, privatize; and the result is a recession like in the U.K. because of a lack of regulations. Ed Miliband was elected over his more third way brother David Miliband in the UK and Ed admits that the labour party fell into a dogma that the market would just be fine if left laissez faire. You have blairites actually admiting now that they made the NHS(their public healthcare) too competitive. Tommy Douglas once nationalized things that he later regretted on doing, and later admitted that goverment can't do everything. The market can't do everything either. Co-ops/local goverment also can't do everything. Whats needed is a pragmatic combination.


Northern Shoveler
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Anonymouse wrote:

Stockholm wrote:

vermonster wrote:

If there is one name less often floated by pundits I would like to see actively explored right now, it would be Charlie Angus. He brings a very interesting package - represents a rural northern riding, but his history as a musician in Toronto also offers a more urban appeal. At 48, he would present a youthful energetic contrast to the other party leaders. I'm under the impression that he is fluently bilingual - and that his upbringing in a bilingual northern Ontario town means that it a very natural comfortable bilingualism, not the kind of classroom French that we sometimes see in national political figures .

I wondered about that myself but I'm told that his French actually not all that good.

Last time I heard Charlie Angus speak French (several years ago in QP), it was quite weak but at least he had it. The same goes for Nathan Cullen. They may have improved since, but at the time I heard them, they did not have the French to be leader. Both of them are great MPs.

Well when Jack won the leadership his French was minimal.  So why does his successor not get the same respect. If they have minimal French they will learn and get better just like Jack did.  Instead of picking the best leader the NDP are now reduced to picking the best FLUENTLY bilingual leader.  


Policywonk
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knownothing wrote:

Is that worse than turning into Tony Blair? I mean we just about voted socialism out of the NDP constitution. The difference, to me, between social democracy and socialism is the social ownership of economic sectors and even monopolies. If you take that out, we are just liberals. I see no difference between social democrats and liberals the only difference being they have not yet been corrupted by governing power in Canada

 

In Saskatchewan we have efficient profitable crown corps for many sectors there is no reason why that can`t be expanded across the country and in other sectors.

Sure the business community will spaz out but they will do that anyway, we should totally stand by nationalisation.

Some would disagree with you on the difference between Social Democracy and Democratic Socialism and whether nationalization is the only route to economic democracy. In any case, we need to be clear about what we stand for, regardless of what label we or others use to describe us. It is increasingly obvious that capitalism is itself a recipe for social disintegration and environmental deterioration, if not human extinction. Pragmatism has many facets, but needs to be related to long term vision.


josh
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I think Nash, Angus or Julian would be excellent choices.

Mulcair is a good choice if you want to go the Blairite route or to engage in merger talks with the Liberals.


knownothing
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josh wrote:
I think Nash, Angus or Julian would be excellent choices. Mulcair is a good choice if you want to go the Blairite route or to engage in merger talks with the Liberals.

What evidence do you have that Mulcair would push for a merger?


josh
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None. But if there was a move in that direction, he'd be a natural choice for leader.


Wilf Day
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josh wrote:
Mulcair is a good choice if you want to go the Blairite route or to engage in merger talks with the Liberals.

The convention voted not to slam the door in the Liberals' faces. This was very intelligent, since the Angus Reid poll on April 28 and 29, 2011, after the Liberals had slipped to third place in the polls, asked how voters would feel about various scenarios. On “The Conservatives win more seats than any other single party, but the Liberals and the NDP have more combined seats than the Conservatives. The Liberals and the NDP form a coalition government” they found 82% of Liberal voters liked it. Of all voters planning to vote Liberal, only 13% said they would never consider voting NDP.

I love today's Liberal voters, or at least 87% of them. The blue Liberals have increasingly gone; although they may still be in control of the party machinery, so a merger is likely not on.


Bärlüer
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Northern Shoveler wrote:

Well when Jack won the leadership his French was minimal.  So why does his successor not get the same respect. If they have minimal French they will learn and get better just like Jack did.  Instead of picking the best leader the NDP are now reduced to picking the best FLUENTLY bilingual leader.  

The context is simply not the same. When Jack won the leadership, the NDP was an extremely marginal force in Quebec with no MPs. The NDP now has 59 seats in Quebec (57% of the NDP's elected representatives in Parliament; 79% of the seats won in Quebec). Bilingualism is now a necessity.


Wilf Day
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Bärlüer wrote:

Bilingualism is now a necessity.

It was in 2003, too. Why do you think Jack beat Blaikie on the first ballot? When critics asked how a Toronto guy could ever become Prime Minister, Jack kept answering "I'm not from Toronto, I'm from Montreal." He knew French; if his fluency needed polishing, that was obviously going to be easy for him.


Bärlüer
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I agree.

The "now" from my previous post could maybe replaced with "more than ever".

Another way to put it (to use NS's phrasing): the best fluently bilingual leader the NDP will choose will be the best leader it can choose.


Lou Arab
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Moved to new thread


Lou Arab
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This thread is likely to close soon, so..

 

Part 2 is over here.


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