New Poll - Manitoba - NDP ahead 46% - 43% for the Tories

Arthur Cramer
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Joined: Nov 30 2010

New poll has NDP ahead by 3% and 18% in Winnipeg. It is likely the NDP is going to lose rural seats, but Winnipeg looks solid. The Libs are down to 7% across the province and Gerard is likely finished.

The only thing that worries me at all is 23% undecided. Its hard to know which way that undecided may break. Of course the poll says it includes people who wouldn't indicate a preferece one way or the other, so it makes even harder to gauge what this number means.

Still, very encouraging, especially given how dirty the Tories have fought this election, and given how much help the Free Press and the CBC have given them. As an aside, after their performace covering this election, I don't see what difference it would make if the CBC was gone. They are simply mouthpieces for the establishment and MSM here in Winnipeg, so who cares if Sun Broadcasting is left. There is no differece any more. The CBC can go to hell!

So, any thoughts folks on how this looks. I am hopeful, but wish I had a better sense of what these so-called undecided numbers mean.


Comments

NorthReport
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Joined: Jul 6 2008

Not to worry as usually the undecided will end up the same as the decided breakdowns. 

 

It's good to see others clue into the fact that the CBC News Dept needs to be shut down.


Arthur Cramer
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Member: 22163
Joined: Nov 30 2010

@North Report:

That is my take. I think if anything, people are looking at McFayden and having second thoughts. Even if the undecideds do not break favorably, I think it would likely take a ridiculously large  break towards the Tories for the NDP to lose.

You are right about CBC News. It is totally useless! And that Rex Murphy, what a wretched soul he is.

I say good riddance to bad rubbish!


Arthur Cramer
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Joined: Nov 30 2010

By the way, the Libs are down to 5% across the province, and 7% in Winnipeg. Tyndall Park is going to go orange! And next Federal election, so will Winnipeg North!

Kevin Lamoureux, your days are numbered!


Hunky_Monkey
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Joined: Jun 11 2004

This is interesting...

Quote:
The Manitoba Liberal Party has suffered a blow just days from the election after two prominent former Liberal MPs announced their endorsement of an NDP candidate. In a mailout to people in the Winnipeg riding of Seine River, Anita Neville and John Harvard expressed their support for the NDP's incumbent candidate Theresa Oswald, who is the province's minister of health. "We support Theresa because she is a thoughtful, progressive MLA that has worked very hard for the community since she was elected in 2003," the letter states, adding that Oswald has served residents "with great distinction and accomplished many things. "As the Canadian Health Accord is renegotiated in 2012, Manitoba needs a person of Theresa's caliber and experience in the legislature." Harvard, the former MP for Charleswood-Assiniboia, has also expressed in a letter to constituents that he supports NDP incumbent Sharon Blady in the Winnipeg riding of Kirkfield Park. A co-signatory to that letter is Brian Head, president of the Charleswood Assiniboia federal Liberal association. In it, they praise Blady as "a hard-working MLA that has done much for her community" since her election in 2007. Both letters, dated Sept. 27, note that Liberal candidates in other ridings should be supported but that a strategic vote is necessary in Seine River and Kirkfield Park because the race is so close between the NDP and Progressive Conservatives.

http://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/manitobavotes2011/story/2011/09/30/mb-libe...


Arthur Cramer
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Joined: Nov 30 2010

Well, the Free Press is at it again. Now they are calling for the election of a minority government. I think that they know it doesn't look good for Hugh and they are trying to get enough Libs elected to wreck the majority. The nonsense excuse is there is a need to deal with that good ol' standard, sing along with me if you know the words, "the deficit". I don't see how electing a minority government at first class is related to deficit reduction.

But I thought about it and I think the idea might be to try to force the cirpplig of the prov governement's agenda to allow Hugh to build up strong enough support in the electorate to win a majority by forcing an election at the right time.

I know this may seem a bit Machivellain, but I don't think it can be excused as a real possibility.

I so hate the MSM. They are such a bunch of contemptible curs! Anyone have thoughts?


Aristotleded24
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Joined: May 24 2005

Arthur Cramer wrote:
Well, the Free Press is at it again. Now they are calling for the election of a minority government. I think that they know it doesn't look good for Hugh and they are trying to get enough Libs elected to wreck the majority. The nonsense excuse is there is a need to deal with that good ol' standard, sing along with me if you know the words, "the deficit". I don't see how electing a minority government at first class is related to deficit reduction.

How is a minority even possible, considering that it is by definition impossible for a minority government to happen between 2 parties?

If we split the 2 incumbent Liberal seats between the 2 main parties, even then, I am confident in predicting NDP pick-ups in Brandon West and River East, which will eat into any other ground the PCs may make.


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