TPP may die because.of.Canada.

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Sean in Ottawa

NDPP wrote:

Trump Was Right About TPP Benefitting China

https://theintercept.com/2015/11/11/trump-was-right-about-tpp-benefittin...

"The TPP does indeed allow China and other non-members to reap benefits from the deal without having to abide by any of its terms. So China would not have to raise any standards or comply with any TPP rules, yet still be able to produce millions of auto parts and textiles for TPP countries at a lower cost, without the burden of tariffs.

Here's how it works..."

I hate to defend Trump but it was the first thing I thought.

And of course the real winner are the multi-nationals. Of course they are the ones for whom the document was created.

 

NDPP

Reconceptualizing The TPP: The Brotherhood of the Three Blocs  -  by Andrew Korybko

http://thesaker.is/reconceptualizing-the-tpp-the-brotherhood-of-the-thre...

"The TPP is designed to unify three distinct and expanding blocs. The US applies an economic version of its 'Lead from Behind' strategem in order to control the other two and thus secure its unipolar stranglehold over their Asia Pacific and Latin American areas of 'responsibility'.

On the surface of things TPP seems to simply be about tying Pacific economies closer to the US, but there's really a bit more detail..."

 

APEC Business Council Calls on States to Ratify TPP as Route to FTAAP

http://sptnkne.ws/adTx

 

 

The APEC Business Advisory Council is calling on the TPP member states to ratify the deal as soon as possible, as it may lead to trade agreements encompassing larger areas..."

 

The TPP : Internet Censorship and Trudeau's First Big Test

http://buff.ly/1Qmlv9R

 

Just Say No #tpp !

NDPP

Corporate Sycophants and the TPP   -  by Yves Engler

http://dissidentvoice.org/2015/11/corporate-sycophants-and-the-tpp/

"The hypocrisy of 'free market' advocates is astounding. While they trumpet increased competition and the elimination of state imposed barriers as a means of spurring economic advancement, they ignore how the TPP and other 'free trade' accords increase monopolistic intellectual property provisions.

While the Maclean's editors denounce 'government imposed barriers', they ignore how the TPP and similar agreements they promote extend state designated monopolies. I guess it's preferable to consider oneself a 'free marketer' rather than a 'sycophant of corporate power."

epaulo13 epaulo13's picture

Days of Revolt: The Most Brazen Corporate Power Grab in American History

In this episode of teleSUR's Days of Revolt, Chris Hedges and organizer Kevin Zeese break down the terms of the Trans-Pacific Partnership (TPP), and detail the upcoming demonstrations organized against it

NDPP

* excellent presentation above #104

 

$4.3 Billion TPP Compensation Package For Dairy Industry Under Review - Freeland

http://www.nationalnewswatch.com/2015/11/18/4-3-billion-tpp-compensation...

"Canada's new Liberal trade minister says the $4.3 billion compensation package the previous Conservative government made to dairy farmers to counter any ill effects of the Trans-Pacific Partnership is not a done deal.

International Trade Minister Chrystia Freeland said that package is under review...For now, she said her government is not bound by the compensation commitment of the Conservatives, which was made by its cabinet during the federal election campaign..."

 

Obama Expects TPP Approval From Canada After First Meeting With Trudeau

http://www.theglobeandmail.com/news/politics/obama-expects-tpp-approval-...

"The President's remarks suggests he views Canada's support as a done deal. 'We are both soon to be signatories to the TPP agreement,' said Mr Obama, seated next to Mr Trudeau in a small meeting room after media had been allowed to enter..."

Canada has its orders and is expected to obey

NDPP

The TPP and the New Global Corporate Govt

http://www.counterpunch.org/2015/11/19/the-tpp-and-the-new-global-corpor...

"...The TPP is not simply an economic document, about trade in goods, services and investor money capital flows. TPP is first and foremost a political document.

The key to understanding how TPP is about global corporations setting up their own global government is contained in Chapters 27 and 28. The signing of the TPP agreement in Atlanta Georgia, on Oct 4 2015, represents the founding 'Constitutional Convention' of global corporate government."

NDPP

Did Canada Sell Out Its Labour Market in the TPP Talks?

http://ipolitics.ca/2015/11/24/did-canada-sell-out-its-labour-market-in-...

"TPP could open the door to tens of thousands of economic visitors to Canada who would have substantial access to Canada's labour market, completely unfettered and protected rights to enter and work in middle-class jobs. This is a curious and relatively new feature in international trade deals.

Weren't these infrastructure projects supposed to create jobs for the middle class? Trade is more than OK. Canada was built on trade - but a trade where we don't really get anything in return isn't really 'trade' at all..."

NDPP

It's Time For Labour To Fight Back Against the TPP  -  by Nora Loreto

http://rabble.ca/blogs/bloggers/nora-loreto/2015/11/its-time-labour-to-f...

"Considering the implications of the deal, the Canadian labour movement must figure out how exactly it plans to fight for workers under the new regime?"

Just Say No: Kill the TPP!

NDPP

Expect Influx of Foreign Workers, Professionals, Under TPP Experts Say

http://www.cbc.ca/news/politics/more-foreign-workers-tpp-1.3338189

"Experts predict TPP will open the Canadian labour market to a new wave of foreign workers. That influx may or may not be offset by increased opportunities for Canadian workers to move abroad.

Arthur Sweetman, a professor in economics at McMaster University said there's no doubt TPP will allow many more temporary foreign workers into Canada. 'It's clear this will allow a larger number of people into the country and allow them to work in Canada without any real control,' he said.'

NDPP

WTO Ruling on Dolphin-Safe Tuna Labeling Illustrates Supremacy of Trade Agreements

https://theintercept.com/2015/11/24/wto-ruling-on-dolphin-safe-tuna-labe...

"...This should serve as a warning against expansive trade deals like the TPP that would replicate rules that undermine safeguards for wildlife, clean air, and clean water,' said the Sierra Club's Ilana Solomon in a statement..."

NDPP

No Mention of Climate Change in the TPP: Sierra Club Report Shows 'Dirty Deal' Means Environmental Disaster

https://t.co/zs9P9Z0Rt4

"The Trans-Pacific Partneship will 'fuel the climate crisis' warns the environmental organization in a new report..."

 

Just Say No - Kill the TPP!

Speak Out Before It's Forced Into Law

http://om4.me/Z4s

epaulo13 epaulo13's picture

Nationwide Mobilization To Stop the TPP Off to a Strong Start

quote:

Washington, DC

On February 4, 2016, President Obama will be permitted by Fast Track law to sign the TransPacific Partnership (TPP). During the recent APEC meeting in Manila, Philippines, leaders of TPP countries discussed holding a signing ceremony that day in New Zealand.

Following the signing, Congress will still have to pass implementing legislation before the TPP can be put into place. The Obama administration is currently writing that legislation and is expected to send it to Congress as soon as it anticipates having enough votes to pass it. That can happen any time after Obama signs the TPP.

The TPP implementing legislation could be sent to Congress as early as February 5 and as late as after the elections in the fall. It all depends on when Obama and leadership believe they have the votes.

 

February 4, 2016 actions in these cities:

British Columbia

Vancouver

California

Los Angeles

Santa Rosa

Connecticut

Hartford

Florida

Tampa

Maryland

Baltimore

New York

New York City

Washington, DC

epaulo13 epaulo13's picture

Hundreds of Thousands Shut Down Berlin to Protest “Trojan Horse” – Monsanto’s Dream Trade Deal

Despite its Earth-shattering status as one of the biggest and most controversial trade deals we’ve seen in many years, the TTIP (Transatlantic Trade and Investment Partnership) has received very little coverage in the U.S. media.

But protests and opposition to this Pro-Corporate Dream Bill has raged across Europe. And in America, another similar deal that directly affects us, the Trans-Pacific Partnership (TTP) looms in Congress. If passed, the TTP will make passage of the TTIP easier.

In Europe alone, over 3 million signatures have been gathered by the website Stop TTIP.

This past Saturday, over 250,000 people turned out against the secretive trade deal in what’s being called the biggest rally in Germany in many, many years — and with what’s at stake for people who care about GMOs, food and chemical standards and national sovereignty from corporations, it’s easy to understand why....

NDPP

"Freeland said the Liberal government has not yet been invited to sign the Trans Pacific Partnership and has also not decided whether it will do so. Ministers from the 12 countries that have negotiated the massive trade deal, including Canada, are expected to sign the agreement in early February.

'When it comes to signing, what is really important for people to [MIS] understand is that is JUST A TECHNICAL STEP THAT ALLOWS PEOPLE TO CONTINUE HAVING CONSULTATIONS..."

Freeland to Focus on India and China: 'Two Huge Growing Markets

http://www.ctvnews.ca/politics/freeland-to-focus-on-india-and-china-two-...

TPP will chain Canada to a dying American globalist hegemonic project at precisely the worst possible historical moment. You are being sold down the river. Don't let this February signing take place.

NDPP

Nationwide Mobilization To Stop the TPP

http://www.flushthetpp.org/nationwide-mobilization-to-stop-the-tpp-off-t...

"On Feb. 4, 2016, President Obama will be permitted by Fast Track law to sign the TPP..."

Canada will try to do the same.

 

In 2016 Let's Hope For Better Trade Agreements - And The Death Of The TPP  -  by Joseph Stiglitz

http://www.theguardian.com/business/2016/jan/10/in-2016-better-trade-agr...

"The Trans Pacific Partnership may turn out to be the worst trade agreement in decades. In 2016, we should hope for the TPP's defeat and the beginning of a new era of trade agreeements that don't reward the powerful and punish the weak..."

NDPP

Trans Canada Sues US For $15 B For Rejecting Keystone XL. Will This Be the New Normal Under TPP? (and vid)

http://www.democracynow.org/2016/1/7/transcanada_sues_the_us_for_15b

"After TransCanada announced its lawsuit on Wednesday, the group Friends of the Earth released a statement saying, 'This is why FOTE opposes the TPP and other trade agreements, which allow companies and investors to challenge sovereign government decisions to protect public health and the environment.

For more we're joined by Lori Wallach, the director of Public Citizens Global Trade Watch..."

 

 

NDPP

Chrystia Freeland Won't Commit Yet To Feb 4 TPP Signing

http://www.cbc.ca/news/politics/trans-pacific-trade-deal-signing-freelan...

"We're very much not there yet,' says Canada's minister about ratifying Pacific Rim trade deal..."

TPP has been accurately termed  a 'corporate coup d'etat by stealth'. Just say NO!

 

Additional info and petition here:

http://rabble.ca/babble/canadian-politics/wikileaks-nails-tpp

NDPP

TRNN: The Deeper, Uglier Side of TPP (and vid)

http://therealnews.com/t2/index.php?option=com_content&task=view&id=31&I...

"In his State of the Union address, President Obama said the TPP was about staying on top as a global and economic power, but a closer look at the text shows how that only applies to multinational corporations..."

Very scary indeed. NO TO TPP!

NDPP

Despite Ottawa's Posturing, the Global Climate Remains Threatened By Greed and Militarism  -  by Roger Annis

http://rabble.ca/blogs/bloggers/roger-annis/2016/01/despite-ottawas-post...

"...Anti-militarism demands should be coupled with opposition to the two, new imperialist investment agreements that threaten the planet with ever more resource plunder - the proposed Trans-Pacific Partnership and the proposed Canada-EU Comprehensive Economic and Trade Agreement.

These investment and trade treaties weaken national sovereignty, including the capacity of local and national governments to legislate environmental protection, health and safety standards and patent laws. Corporations consider that such governmental powers undermine cherished profit margins.

Opposition to the treaties should be very high on the agenda of environmental movements and advocates. This is doubly the case now that Canada's minister of international trade, Chrystia Freeland, has said no changes to the TPP are possible. Freeland says Canadians have a simple choice of yes or no on the TPP, but that's a laugh.

In reality we have no choice except to mobilize in the streets in opposition. There are two things not on offer to Canadians with the secretive and authoritarian TPP: a meaningful voice on the matter, and a free vote. Such is the state of democracy in a world suffering the triple scourges of militarism, economic austerity and climate-wrecking capitalist expansion."

NDPP

Keynes or Friedman?  -  by Murray Dobbin

http://rabble.ca/columnists/2016/01/keynes-or-friedman-tpp-presents-econ...

"TPP presents an economic choice for the Liberals.

The real test of where the Liberals are going to take the economy is tied up in the government's pending decision on the Trans-Pacific Partnership.

There is now a large body of research and commentary exposing just how detrimental the TPP is to Canada's economy and democracy. But there has been little on the commentary that looks at the actual record of these [past] deals.

A trip down memory lane will be helpful in understanding where the TPP (and its EU counterpart, CETA) will take us..."

Arthur Cramer Arthur Cramer's picture

In hp today, 25 Jan, Freeland says Canada will sign TPP but not ratify it. WTF. And let me guess she tried Pot but never inhaled. The Libs lied! They don't care what the public thought and so-called consolutstios are for show! Trudeau and Freeland ARE LYING LIARS! The Libs have NEVER met a trade deal they didn't like. They are contemptible, Machievallian liars and Charlatans! Liberal - Tory, very SAME, very OLD story!!! But done worry because.....JUSTIN!!!!!

He's SO dreamy!!!!!!❤️❤️❤️❤️☺️

NDPP

This is a very disturbing development. As is the snow job accompanying it that the signing is somehow 'insignificant'. Unless people make it very clear that Freeland IS NOT TO SIGN THE TPP, a dangerous victory will have been conceded to this 'corporate coup d'etat by stealth'.  CANADA WILL SIGN THE TPP FEB 4.

Canada Will Sign TPP Trade Deal Feb 4; But Ratification Not Certain

http://www.cbc.ca/news/politics/transpacific-trade-deal-tpp-signing-free...

'Signing does not equal ratifying', International Trade Minister Chrystia Freeland says."

But signing is preparatory to ratification. RESIST IT!

 

The TPP Hands Control Over Trade To the World's Wealthiest

http://www.huffingtonpost.ca/sujata-dey/the-transplutocratic-agre_b_9009...

"If there is someone who knows about plutocrats it is Chrystia Freeland, Canada's international trade minister responsible for deciding what to do about the TPP, the foremost international agreement among plutocrats...Pull the plug on the TPP and CETA."

DON'T SIGN TPP!

pm@pm.gc.ca

Sean in Ottawa

NDPP wrote:

This is a very disturbing development. As is the snow job accompanying it that the signing is somehow 'insignificant'. Unless people make it very clear that Freeland IS NOT TO SIGN THE TPP, a dangerous victory will have been conceded to this 'corporate coup d'etat by stealth'.  CANADA WILL SIGN THE TPP FEB 4.

Canada Will Sign TPP Trade Deal Feb 4; But Ratification Not Certain

http://www.cbc.ca/news/politics/transpacific-trade-deal-tpp-signing-free...

'Signing does not equal ratifying', International Trade Minister Chrystia Freeland says."

But signing is preparatory to ratification. RESIST IT!

 

The TPP Hands Control Over Trade To the World's Wealthiest

http://www.huffingtonpost.ca/sujata-dey/the-transplutocratic-agre_b_9009...

"If there is someone who knows about plutocrats it is Chrystia Freeland, Canada's international trade minister responsible for deciding what to do about the TPP, the foremost international agreement among plutocrats...Pull the plug on the TPP and CETA."

DON'T SIGN TPP!

pm@pm.gc.ca

Even in government the Liberals are making fence-sitting an art form.

The TPP is getting the BillC-51 Treatment -- for and against at the same time.

josh

It's all a kabuki dance. You know they're going to ratify it.

Sean in Ottawa

josh wrote:
It's all a kabuki dance. You know they're going to ratify it.

But it seems they want to hang on to that anti-pipeline support to the last second.

mark_alfred

She's the Minister of International Trade.  I believe her signing it sends a strong signal to the rest of the Liberal caucus that they are expected to fall in line and support the TPP.

NDPP

She's a busy little Banderette alright...

http://sptnkne.ws/a4Sx

This isn't likely to be understood by many here, unless you've actually been following Ukraine. Suffice to say they're both in the 'Friends of Kiev', Atlantic Council mafia, [Jaresko is a pal of Ukrainian Canadian Congress's Kiev rep Lenna Koszarny, who took her CEO place at vulture fund Horizon Capital (Kiev)],  and this initiative is crooked like a dog's hind leg...

NDPP

Yes. Chrystia Free[Trade]land should not be allowed to sign this. The US is a sinking titanic that seeks to lash all the TPP economies to itself as 'life-preservers' but will in the end only drag them all down as it goes inexorably to the bottom.

jjuares

I believe that when the fence sitting gets a little too uncomfortable the Liberals will come down on the side of TPP. As a democracy we will lose even more of the precious little control we have over our economy.

Sean in Ottawa

NDPP wrote:

Yes. Chrystia Free[Trade]land should not be allowed to sign this. The US is a sinking titanic that seeks to lash all the TPP economies to itself as 'life-preservers' but will in the end only drag them all down as it goes inexorably to the bottom.

I would slightly modify the metaphor.

Due to US imperialism I think they were already connected. They were in your metaphor tied by rope at a small distance. The US is trying to lash them so they are tied down rather than floating a few feet away. They have been tied to the mothership for decades -- just coming closer to be lashed down.

NDPP

Yes. Lashed down..

quizzical

lying liar Liberals.

let's just call them triple L

Sean in Ottawa

quizzical wrote:

lying liar Liberals.

let's just call them triple L

lying liar Liberals lashing lame limp lands to lowering labour and launching layoffs

Or Lx10+

monty1

Sean and quizzical, can I buy you both a nice ice cream cone? 

Sean in Ottawa

monty1 wrote:

Sean and quizzical, can I buy you both a nice ice cream cone? 

Should we find you an article on the art of not being patronizing?

NDPP

Walkom: Justin Trudeau Government Inches Toward TPP Deal

http://www.thestar.com/news/canada/2016/01/27/justin-trudeau-government-...

'There's a lot wrong with this trade pact. But the Liberal government will be pressed to adopt it anyway.' SO PRESS BACK!

"...In effect, the TPP presents Ottawa with a Hobson's choice. If Canada wants to remain in the world of trade and investment deals, it will find it near impossible to stay out of whatever new pact comes along - even if the terms of that pact are demonstrably worse than the status quo.

Theoretically, the Trudeau government can avoid this trap by rejecting the trade-deal model altogether and setting out an entirely new economic strategy.

But I don't see any evidence of that happening."

NO CETA, NO TPP!

pm@pm.gc.ca

NDPP
mark_alfred

Mulcair's right.  How often do you sign a contract that you are potentially not committing to?  Never.  A signature is commitment.  Trudeau's response that they must sign it to be able to debate it is ridiculous.  Triple-L.

mark_alfred

Thanks NDPP.  I did just now send a respectful email to our Prime Minister stating that I feel it should not be signed.

jjuares


Interesting. This was Harper's the economic strategy. Sign some corporate right deals and hope for the best.

NDPP

Good mark_alfred, it's fundamental to make our wishes known to these public servants. If they disobey, we then have a basis to proceed against them...

NDPP

BREAKING: A Top Official Negotiating the TPP Has Resigned Over Bribery Charges

https://cms.fightforthefuture.org/japan/

"We have to stop this!"

 

Do NOT Sign the TPP!

http://linkis.com/dontsignthetpp.net/yTyda

"Decision-makers are pushing to sign the TPP in the next 2 weeks [Feb 4!]. If this happens, it starts the final count-down to push the agreement into law. Tell Trade Ministers 'Do not sign the TPP!' by signing the letter below.."

Pondering

mark_alfred wrote:

Mulcair's right.  How often do you sign a contract that you are potentially not committing to?  Never.  A signature is commitment.  Trudeau's response that they must sign it to be able to debate it is ridiculous.  Triple-L.

It isn't a contract. It has zero legal standing. All signing it does is confirm that the leaders will present the deal for ratification in their respective countries.

Even though it has no legal standing, refusing to sign would be interpreted as exiting the deal so that isn't going to happen. It will be signed, then presented to parliament for debate.

CETA is much farther along and will set a precedence. It is currently being translated into 24 languages to be presented for ratification.

Canada is standing in the way of dropping the ISDS. Us, we are the impediment, we are pushing for corporations to be able to sue governments.

If we can get that removed from the CETA deal it will make it easier to refuse TPP as it currently stands because it contains the same provisions.

If we don't stop CETA, it forms a precendence to accept the same terms in TPP.

mark_alfred

Contract, agreement, same thing.  I don't believe for a second that they're required to sign it first before presenting it to Parliament for debate.  Signing it is simply a declaration of their intention to become a Party to this Agreement.  The agreement is here.  ETA:  signing makes the whole presentation to Parliament a farce, IMO.

monty1

mark_alfred wrote:

Contract, agreement, same thing.  I don't believe for a second that they're required to sign it first before presenting it to Parliament for debate.  Signing it is simply a declaration of their intention to become a Party to this Agreement.  The agreement is here.  ETA:  signing makes the whole presentation to Parliament a farce, IMO.

He got you on that point mark. It behooves you as a gentleman to admit it.

NDPP

Free Trade Deals Have Become the Opiate of the Ruling Classes

http://www.huffingtonpost.ca/daniel-tenser/free-trade-deal_b_9053544.html

"...Did you know the Trudeau government is holding consultations right now on the TPP? No? That's probably because they aren't exactly going out of their way to tell anyone. The non-debate continues under a new government.

The philosophy amounts to 'let's sign up to whatever deal comes along and not worry too much about the details.' In just about any other context, someone who thinks that way would quickly be marked a sucker..."

They have and we are

mark_alfred
NDPP

Don't trust her as far as I can spit. Sign first ratify later when things die down and all is forgotten...

mark_alfred

monty1 wrote:

mark_alfred wrote:

Contract, agreement, same thing.  I don't believe for a second that they're required to sign it first before presenting it to Parliament for debate.  Signing it is simply a declaration of their intention to become a Party to this Agreement.  The agreement is here.  ETA:  signing makes the whole presentation to Parliament a farce, IMO.

He got you on that point mark. It behooves you as a gentleman to admit it.

"She" got me on that point, you mean.  Yes, in thinking about it, I think you and Pondering may be right.  I'm reminded of being on several negotiating committees with my union during my time working for this one agency.  One time bringing a signed agreement back to the membership for a ratification vote, we brought it back with no comment rather than an endorsement.  We did this because we weren't thrilled with the agreement, but at that time felt no better agreement could be obtained without being backed up by further support from the membership (and we felt the membership may not wish to wait any longer).  The membership rejected, we went back to the table (conciliation rather than negotiation), and got a better deal that was ratified.  That was an unusual case though.  Generally, if there was a no agreement on the terms, then no signature was given.  So, unless the Executive Branch of the government agrees with the TPP as it is, I don't think the government should sign or present the TPP for ratification.  The fact that they signed means they do agree with it.

mark_alfred

Sean sent me an interesting link with some more details on the ratification process (bolding added):  http://www.parl.gc.ca/Content/LOP/ResearchPublications/2014-16-e.htm

Quote:

Under Canada’s constitutional system, the conduct of foreign affairs is a royal prerogative power of the federal Crown.

Consequently, the Executive Branch has the exclusive power to negotiate and conclude international treaties. Parliament has the exclusive power to enact legislation to implement those treaties.

Executive Branch measures:

In Canada, once the text of a treaty is finalized, a minister requests Cabinet approval and submits an explanatory document setting out the treaty’s details. A signing order – an “Instrument of Full Powers” – gives one or more individuals the authority to sign the treaty on Canada’s behalf.

Legislative Branch measures:

After the Executive Branch decides that a treaty should be ratified, Parliament may still need to pass implementing legislation to incorporate the international obligations into domestic law. If such implementing legislation is required, it must be passed before the Executive Branch ratifies the treaty or Canada will be in breach of its international obligations. Thus, after Cabinet approval, a treaty implementation bill is often introduced and goes through the parliamentary legislative process.

Canada’s trade treaties generally change the way in which Canada treats the exports of the other state or states that have ratified the treaty. Consequently, amendments to existing federal legislation – most notably the Customs Tariff – are needed.

Once the federal government concludes that the treaty’s obligations will be respected at the domestic level, Cabinet prepares an Order in Council authorizing a minister to sign an “Instrument of Ratification or Accession.” Ratifying or acceding to a treaty means that Canada agrees to be bound by it.

The Executive Branch being the Prime Minister and Cabinet (and technically the governor general).  So, they've given Ms Freeland the power to sign it.  It seems they don't actually need Parliament as a whole to ratify it.  Rather, the Executive Branch has the power on its own.  But, because legislation may have to be altered or created to make conditions of the treaty possible, they may require the will of the majority of the legislative branch to ensure that this can happen.

From Ms. Freeland's letter:

Quote:
All other countries will follow the same process, and each has up to two years to consider ratification before making a final determination.

So, they have two years to get the laws in order before they (the Executive Branch -- aka the PM and Cabinet) can officially ratify it.  BUT, her letter also contains the following:

Quote:
Only a majority vote in our Parliament can allow the Agreement to take force.

This falls in line with the bolded text I have above too.  Presumably the Cabinet will be voting in favour.  Possibly for the rest of the Liberal Party, it will be a free vote.  So, to guess:  31 yeas from Cabinet + 99 yeas from Conservatives = 130 for sure yeas.  For the nays, 44 NDP.  I'm not sure about the Bloc or Green.  But, for kicks, let's assume they're nays.  So, NDP + Bloc + Green = 55 nays.  I'm assuming Trudeau is fine with a "simple majority" (50%+1), despite his nonsense about how "one vote" should not be able to change the whole country (apparently self-determination of people is different from approving corporate rights deals, but I digress).  So a vote of 170 out of 338 is needed.  So, the yea side needs 40 Liberal backbench votes (130+40), whereas the nay side needs 115 votes from the Liberal backbench (55+115).  It don't look good for the nay side.

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