Of the entire poll, including undecided, Joe was favoured by 12% Smitherman by 16%. This is negligible difference. Smitherman has run on a decidedly anti-union platform, so has Ford. Pantalone, has recieved about 10% of the press coverage that Smitherman and Ford have recieved. This has been framed with Smitherman as the man to beat for most of the last year. As the man to beat, he has been dead in the water for the entire year.
It's not about unions. It's about Smitherman, one of the anti-union candidates. He is driving people to Ford, because of the McGuinty connection, Ehealth, g20 and so on. Even Thompson, when discussing dropping out of the race in order to create an anti-Ford pluraity behind a single candidate, wont endorse Smitherman. She woudl endorse Rocco Rossi. No one will touch the guy.
Sure there is a hard core of anti-union conservatives out there, but most people are ambivalent about them, if they have any views at all. A lot of those people who are ambivalent are ambivalent because they are not in one, and would like to be.