The federal election, started June 21st, 2015

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MegB
The federal election, started June 21st, 2015

Continued from here.

Issues Pages: 
NorthReport

I hope Obama invites Putlin to rejoin the G8 before October

Vladimir Putin ready to sit at the table with G7 leaders again, says Stephen Harper will just have to accept it

http://news.nationalpost.com/news/world/putin-ready-to-sit-at-the-table-...

 

NorthReport

Conservatives' niqab ban shaped by Quebec's secular charter battleOn Parliament's last sitting day before the election, Tories move to ban niqabs at citizenship ceremonies

The Conservative government has reintroduced legislation to ban the wearing of face-coverings, such as the niqab, during citizenship ceremonies.

http://www.cbc.ca/news/politics/conservatives-niqab-ban-shaped-by-quebec...

NorthReport

Smart.

Senate redemption lies in doing duty, defeating anti-union bill: Tory senator

http://www.nationalnewswatch.com/2015/06/21/senate-redemption-lies-in-do...

NorthReport

Wake up Canadians. Is it criminal behavior for a prime minister to not protect its citizens?

Why Stephen Harper’s ‘trade’ deals are losing their cachet: Walkom

A new book helps explain why Stephen Harper's marquee free-trade deals are running into trouble abroad.

Sold down the Yangtze

------------

In particular, most are designed to protect foreign investors.

http://www.thestar.com/news/canada/2015/06/19/why-stephen-harpers-trade-...

NorthReport

So nice to see our forward-looking prime minister working so hard on solutions here for our and his kids and grand-children.

We Canadians cannot afford more of his stupidity

 Frown

Gwynne Dyer: The Sixth Extinction and the walking dead

http://www.straight.com/news/475221/gwynne-dyer-sixth-extinction-and-wal...

 

Brachina

 When I saw the title sixth extinction and the walking dead, I thought it was an article about Justin Trudeau and the Liberal Party.

NorthReport

Dissolve Parliament? In Harper's Canada, Parliament Dissolves You

In wake of TRC findings, the PM's lost confidence in Canadians.

 

http://thetyee.ca/Opinion/2015/06/17/Dissolve-Parliament/

Brachina

 Tim Harper has an interesting column at the Star right now, better then most of what the stars serving up.

NorthReport

The only reason the Liberals say they are interested in PR is that they would be the main beneficiaries. 

With majority out of reach, Liberals would benefit from electoral reformPolitical analysts said the options reflect underlying shifts in Canada’s political landscape and the prospect that majority governments may be out of reach for the Liberals under first past the post. 

http://www.hilltimes.com/news/news/2015/06/22/with-majority-out-of-reach...

NorthReport

Close race, changing polls making for tentative summer campaign plansStrategists say parties’ summers will be spent watching opponents closely and calculating their next policy rollout or campaign event accordingly.

http://www.hilltimes.com/news/news/2015/06/22/close-race-changing-polls-...

NorthReport

Engage Canada's anti-Conservative TV ad all about timingAd Hawk | Ad from union-backed 'grassroots' group attempts to cast Tories in 'us vs. them' terms

http://www.cbc.ca/news/politics/engage-canada-s-anti-conservative-tv-ad-...

NorthReport
NorthReport

This will make Trudeau happy. The rest of us, not so much.

The rich really do get richer, studies show

http://www.theglobeandmail.com/report-on-business/top-business-stories/c...

 

 

josh

NorthReport wrote:

Wake up Canadians. Is it criminal behavior for a prime minister to not protect its citizens?

Why Stephen Harper’s ‘trade’ deals are losing their cachet: Walkom

A new book helps explain why Stephen Harper's marquee free-trade deals are running into trouble abroad.

Sold down the Yangtze

------------

In particular, most are designed to protect foreign investors.

http://www.thestar.com/news/canada/2015/06/19/why-stephen-harpers-trade-...

Few so-called free-trade deals are about trade. Most, going back to the 1993 North American Free Trade Agreement, are really about investment.

In particular, most are designed to protect foreign investors.

Frame and bronze this.  And tell the media, who, willingly or unwittingly, go along with describing these deals as trade deals, and each side pro- or anti-trade.

 

NorthReport

I thought those ads about Harper not being there for you were quite effective, although I do have major reservations about collaborating with the Liberals on just about anything, seeing as the Trudeau Liberals are a lot closer to Harper than they are to the NDP.

Tories create vehicle to raise money, counter left-wing attacks on Harper

http://www.nationalnewswatch.com/2015/06/22/tories-create-vehicle-to-rai...

NorthReport

This group must bev an offshoot of the right-wing Fraser Institute, a group I'm sure the Liberals must take direction from.

Oilpatch could lose $100B without new pipelines, researchers warnEnergy research firm suggests Western Canada producers won't receive full value for oil exports

http://www.cbc.ca/news/business/oilpatch-could-lose-100b-without-new-pip...

bekayne

NorthReport wrote:

This group must bev an offshoot of the right-wing Fraser Institute, a group I'm sure the Liberals must take direction from.

Oilpatch could lose $100B without new pipelines, researchers warnEnergy research firm suggests Western Canada producers won't receive full value for oil exports

http://www.cbc.ca/news/business/oilpatch-could-lose-100b-without-new-pip...

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Wood_Mackenzie

alan smithee alan smithee's picture

Another reason why this motherfucker and his Reich have to go -- at any cost.

http://www.ctvnews.ca/politics/tories-create-vehicle-to-raise-money-coun...

Brachina

 Engage, HarperPAC, when did this bullshit shift north? Political Action Committees, President Harper has alot to answer for.

NorthReport

I wonder why these right-wing think tanks don't address the price of gasoline for the consumers.

Last year oil was over $100 a barrel and and the price at the pump in BC was over $1.50 a barrel in Vancouver.

Now oil is $60 a barrel and the price is $1.40.

Go figure. 

The oil cartels in Canada are not hurting.

Maybe a people-first government could address what is obviously a huge corporate rip-off. 

 

NorthReport

Taylor, why is that name familiar, oh yea the guy who started up the FAILED RIGHT-WING TIM's BOYCOTT in Alberta.

By the way, Brian Jean was caught sneaking in a back entrance of Tims to get his coffee over the weekend.  Laughing

NorthReport

Federal Court orders Blaney, RCMP to hand over gun registry data

http://ipolitics.ca/2015/06/22/federal-court-orders-blaney-rcmp-to-hand-...

NorthReport

Is this what happens when right-wing governments abdicates their responsibilities to ensure transportation safety?

Truly horrific - why didn't the transportation minister resign or why isn't the transportation minister charged?

But don't worry it didn't happen to you to you right-wingers, so cutting government monitoring results is keeping our taxes low so you are doing one hell of a job! Frown

Lac-Mégantic: Charges laid for brake failure in train disaster6 people, 2 companies face new charges after 47 deaths in July 2013 derailment and explosion

CBC News Posted: Jun 22, 2015 10:53 AM ET Last Updated: Jun 22, 2015 1:29 PM ET

The July 6, 2013 train explosion in Lac-Mégantic killed 47 people.

The July 6, 2013 train explosion in Lac-Mégantic killed 47 people. (Paul Chiasson/Canadian Press)

 

http://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/montreal/lac-m%C3%A9gantic-charges-laid-fo...

 

Left Turn Left Turn's picture

Here my current thoughts on election 2015:

I think we're into a change election, and as long as nothing happens to cause a Conservative surge, whichever opposition party is ahead in the polls going into the home strech (rougly the last 10 days before the election) will get a "band-wagon effect" as voters flock to it as the vehicle to dump the Conservatives.

The next point, and I cannot stress this enough, is that the NDP is not guaranteed to be out in front of the Liberals from here on in. Any number of very minor factors could nullify the NDP's lead over the Liberals, and from there any number of factors could put the Liberals out in front. Justin Trudeau is a weak campaigner, but he has much of the msm punditry in his corner, and the Liberals have more money than the NDP.

It's also possible that the polls will be divided on which opposition party has more support going into the final stretch. This is the bad scenario in which neither opposition party gets a "band-wagon effect", supporters of the opposition parties are less motivated to vote, and where some voters may flock back to the Conservatives because of the childcare checks, income splitting, and general low-tax rhetoric.

The other factor to add into the mix is the Conservatives structural advantages. The Conservatives have a higher number of incumbents, and we know that incumbents on average get 9-11% more votes than a non-incumbent running for the same party would in the riding. Plus the tougher voting rules that will mostly disenfranchise NDP voters, which will be a factor even if the childcare checks and income splitting don't work in Harper's favor.

All of which means that there is a scenario where the Conservatives can win the most seats on vote splits in Ontario and voter disenfranchisement. And one of the opposition parties is likely going to need a 5% lead in support to get more seats than the Conservatives. With a narrow 1-2% lead over the Conservatives, the number of voters who will be disenfranchised may be enough to allow the Conservatives to win the most seats.

Then there's the possibility that one of the parties could deliver a knock-out punch to one of the others, or that outside events and unforseen factors could tilt the election in one direction or the other, neither of which has happened yet.

In short, campaigns matter, and no party is out of the running at this juncture.

socialdemocrati...

There is definitely a bandwagon effect among "Anybody But Conservative" voters. I have sincere doubts that the Liberals can turn things around after all they've done to alienate progressives. But my worries about the NDP are very real. Hopefully the strategists know what they're doing. But I see a lot of supporters getting arrogant and dismissive, which is exactly what could cause them to lose the fragile support they've built.

NorthReport

First Nations 'pulling a Chilcotin' in resource development battles across Canada

http://www.nationalobserver.com/2015/06/20/news/first-nations-pulling-ch...

socialdemocrati...

The mainstream media won't let that happen. But it doesn't mean that you won't hear New Democrats gloating.

I know as a fact, voters hate hearing sweeping statements, like when Jim Prentice said "Alberta is not an NDP Province". Or Ignatieff's "there is a red door and a blue door." Or treating Quebec as though they have to stomach every corruption, and on top of that, they're not allowed to leave.

If the NDP starts gloating at a high level, it will backfire. It hasn't happened yet. I hope New Democrats have the humility to ASK voters for support, instead of TELLING voters to support.

mark_alfred

NorthReport wrote:

The only reason the Liberals say they are interested in PR is that they would be the main beneficiaries. 

With majority out of reach, Liberals would benefit from electoral reformPolitical analysts said the options reflect underlying shifts in Canada’s political landscape and the prospect that majority governments may be out of reach for the Liberals under first past the post. 

http://www.hilltimes.com/news/news/2015/06/22/with-majority-out-of-reach...

I don't think PR would ever be gotten from the Liberals.  I suspect it would be preferential voting, which really is just a slightly modified FPTP.

NorthReport

Show us even one single mainstream press article that says the NDP is going to win the election.

Don't worry the the mainstream media will never allow the NDP to be overconfident.

 

NorthReport

Tory appointee to bridge corporation expensed liquor, zoo trips, toursDirectors of Blue Water Bridge Canada had wide latitude in travel expenses

http://www.cbc.ca/news/politics/tory-appointee-to-bridge-corporation-exp...

NorthReport

Kenney invokes Shariah law in Twitter niqab debate

http://ipolitics.ca/2015/06/23/kenney-invokes-shariah-law-in-twitter-niq...

mark_alfred

A collection of party policies as compiled by The Star:  http://www.thestar.com/news/canada/2015/06/23/federal-election-2015-what...

Sean in Ottawa

Anyone think Conservatives here might try this?

http://www.mintpressnews.com/rent-a-crowd-company-admits-politicians-are...

Remember the Conservatives have a LOT more money than the NDP or Liberals. This might be one way they could use it. And you never know -- would the bill get included in campaign expenses or just lost on the way?

NorthReport

What are the NDP's plans for political financing? (like Alberta's Bill One)

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Federal_political_financing_in_Canada

NorthReport

 Bill Blair Says Thomas Mulcair Approached Him To Run For NDP

http://www.huffingtonpost.ca/2015/06/23/bill-blair_n_7648330.html

NorthReport
NorthReport

With who?

Anyway if things keep going in the same direction for the Liberals they may be lucky to retain political party status in the next Parliament.

Are the Liberals already laying the groundwork for a coalition?

http://ipolitics.ca/2015/06/23/are-the-liberals-already-laying-the-groun...

 

 

epaulo13 epaulo13's picture

..includes the song "harperman"

The movement against Stephen Harper

The movement to bring down the Harper government goes well beyond the opposition political parties. Canadians horrified by the authoritarian market fundamentalism of the Conservatives are trying in a number of ways to expand democracy to overcome the authoritarian grip that the Harperites hold on our national politics. Here is a compendium of a few such efforts and contact information.

https://canadiandimension.com/articles/view/the-movement-against-stephen...

 

 

NorthReport

epaulo13

Interesting but is it necessary any more?

It sounds good on the surface, and there was a time when the Liberals were in the lead in the polls but Trudeau wasn't cutting it, so many of these groups got going. It does appear now those days are long gone. It is clear now the alternative to Harper is the NDP. It seems to me if all these folks realy want Harper out they would all move and support Tom Mulcair, otherwise the opposition to Harper will be divided and their efforts could create the very thing they oppose - another Harper government. We have already seen efforts from some of these groups supporting candidates other than the NDP in Alberta where the NDP won the seat. That approach does not seem like the best way to rid ourselves of these right-wing governments. 

 

NorthReport

High risk that new navy supply ships won't get built: documents

NDP defence critic Jack Harris blasted the decision to bypass the usual bidding process, calling it a “blatant political activities with the public dollars.” The Quebec City region is one of the few places where the Conservatives have any seats in Quebec.

http://www.ctvnews.ca/politics/high-risk-that-new-navy-supply-ships-won-...

Pierre C yr

NorthReport wrote:

 Bill Blair Says Thomas Mulcair Approached Him To Run For NDP

http://www.huffingtonpost.ca/2015/06/23/bill-blair_n_7648330.html

 

Another in the long list of Althia fluff pieces for the grits. Blair wouldnt have passed muster for vetting after G20. Cant produce a single email or testimony to account for this? Didnt bother to ask Mulcair to deny? Its just a media piece to try and put the libs back on the radar.

NorthReport

Pierre, 

We need to restore some balance in our society. Multi-national corporations, lawyers (right-wing), police (right-wing), one percenters ( trust fund inheritors) already have way too much power over our society, so in my opinion the last thing we need is too many more of them in our governments.

True or untrue, Blair made those comments obviously because he is running into trouble in his campaign.  

It does indeed look like a full court press:

http://www.theglobeandmail.com/report-on-business/rob-magazine/bill-blai...

 

 

 

bekayne

Warren Kinsella jumps the shark:

  FollowWarren Kinsella  Verified account‏@kinsellawarren

Goodbye, every Jewish Liberal vote, forever. '@JustinTrudeau: I'll end ISIS mission, restore relations with Iran'  http://www.cbc.ca/m/news/politics/justin-trudeau-i-ll-end-isis-combat-mission-restore-relations-with-iran-1.3124949 …

  ReplyRetweetFavoriteMore

 

josh

He's jumped it so many times, he must be getting tired by now.

mark_alfred

That's true.  I like Kinsella.  But, yeah, often his opinions are out there, particularly on security and foreign affairs.

alan smithee alan smithee's picture

I don't see why anyone here would oppose an end to a pointless perpetual war and improve relations with Iran..Seems to be a lot of Bibi fans here. I wonder how you'd react if Mulcair say that.

Oh wait,it was TRudeau,therefore very bad.Afterall , he's the Anti-Christ,right?

josh

I have no problem with it. 

alan smithee alan smithee's picture

epaulo13 wrote:

..includes the song "harperman"

The movement against Stephen Harper

The movement to bring down the Harper government goes well beyond the opposition political parties. Canadians horrified by the authoritarian market fundamentalism of the Conservatives are trying in a number of ways to expand democracy to overcome the authoritarian grip that the Harperites hold on our national politics. Here is a compendium of a few such efforts and contact information.

https://canadiandimension.com/articles/view/the-movement-against-stephen...

 

 

Thanks epaulo...This is what we all should be discussing. This election is a hell of a lot more important than any election I can remember. Canadian democracy hangs in the balance.

NorthReport

Spies wanted mere info-sharing tweaks, government ushered in total overhaul

http://www.nationalnewswatch.com/2015/06/24/spies-wanted-mere-info-shari...

NorthReport

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