The Liberals said Thursday they will elect their new leader next April. But the result is a foregone conclusion: Justin Trudeau will enter the race and he will win.
The last remaining hurdle to his entry was the spending limit – too low and the fear was that Mr. Trudeau would not be able to respond to Conservative attack ads mid-campaign, once it became clear he was winning. That limit has now been set at $950,000, with a series of exemptions for travel, fund-raising and research that could add up to another $500,000.
The Trudeau camp will not confirm anything officially but Mr. Trudeau had already made up his mind to run, if the rules did not hobble his candidacy. They do not, and the National Post has now confirmed that he will make it official in due course and all the wishful thinkers, currently enjoying their 15 minutes in the spotlight, will be well advised to save themselves the $75,000 entry fee.
The reasons are clear. Bob Rae, the interim leader, boasted the party will hold the most “broad-based leadership race in Canadian history,” with an increased level of participation from previous races. This is because you no longer have to be a Liberal Party member to vote in the contest – you just have to sign up as a supporter online, supplying an email address and declaring you are not a member of another party.
I'm sure Mulcair and Harper are quaking in fear.