Market economics is still no solution to environmental (or any other) problems

M. Spector
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M. Spector
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Continued from THIS THREAD, where I drew attention to the article The Myth of the Tragedy of the Commons.

Now, in response to questions and criticisms of the article, Ian Angus has followed up with a supplementary article, portions of which appear below:

Quote:
So the point is not whether ecological destruction is real. Of course it is. The point is, did Hardin’s essay correctly explain why that destruction is taking place? Is there something about human nature that is inimical to shared resources? Hardin said yes, and I say that’s a myth....

So Hardin’s later claim that historical facts don’t matter was an attempt to rewrite his own history. He only claimed the story was “just a model” after it had been thoroughly disproved....

There’s no evidence that Hardin meant the “tragedy” to be seen as “only a metaphor” — but if he did, it was a very poor metaphor indeed....

Hardin, like the economists Wall describes, looked at the world with capitalist blinders on. As a result, he couldn’t recognize a community-managed non-tragic commons when it was right before his eyes.


M. Spector
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Why carbon trading will increase carbon pollution [excerpt]

Quote:
In an ETS [emissions trading scheme], governments create a limited number of “carbon pollution permits”. Corporations compete to purchase these permits, which entitle them to emit a specified amount of greenhouse gases, particularly CO2 and methane. The corporations that value pollution permits most highly will pay more for them, providing the government with money that it will supposedly use to combat climate change. Other corporations may find it cheaper to reduce emissions. By progressively reducing the number of permits made available each year, the government can supposedly encourage more and more corporations to find ways of reducing their GHG emissions.

The most prominent example of emissions trading is the European Union ETS, which came into effect in January 2005. At its outset, emissions licenses were granted free of charge to established corporations. Allocations were largely based on estimates prepared by the corporations themselves, resulting in permit allocation levels that, in some industries, exceeded real carbon emissions by up to 50%. This meant that most companies were not forced to make emissions cuts nor purchase pollution permits.

When, in May 2006, the extent of the permit surplus became public knowledge, the price of permission to emit 1 tonne of CO2 collapsed from a peak of 33 euros to 0.20 euros and has since remained too low to encourage corporations to reduce emissions. Indeed, between January 2005 and August 2007, emissions from installations covered by the ETS actually rose by 0.8%. Meanwhile, big electricity generators were allowed to pass onto consumers the “opportunity cost” of withholding their freely-granted permits from the market. The World Wildlife Fund for Nature (WWF) has estimated that by 2012, this scam will have delivered European power generators US$112 billion in additional profits.

The Kyoto protocol’s Clean Development Mechanism (CDM), operational since January 2006, allows First World countries to earn carbon pollution permits through funding pollution reduction projects in the Third World. Like the EU ETS, the CDM has proven to be a scam that benefits polluting companies, disadvantages the poor, and delivers negligible benefit to the environment.

By September, 2007, 30% of the “certified emissions reductions” (CERs) had come from projects in which refrigerant manufacturers burn HCF-23. Given that one tonne of HCF-23 is estimated to cause as much global warming as 11,700 tonnes of CO2, the installation of HFC-23 incinerators allows these companies to generate huge numbers of pollution permits. In an article published in the February 8, 2007 issue of Nature, Michael Wara, a research fellow at Stanford University’s program on energy and sustainable development, estimates that for every 100 million euros spent installing HFC-23 incinerators, 4.7 billion euros worth of pollution permits are generated. This allows the predominantly European companies that buy these permits to avoid emissions reductions.

Moreover, these refrigerant companies can now earn more from selling these credits than from selling refrigerants, creating an incentive to expand HFC-23 production. In doing so, they increase the output of other pollutants. In his upcoming book The Impact of Climate Change in India, Larry Lohmann cites the example of the Indian company SRF, which has made a $600 million profit from selling pollution permits after spending $2.2 million installing infrastructure that allows it to burn off HFC-23. Lohmann writes: “Meanwhile, residents of the area near the SRF installation have complained about chemical leaks which they claim have affected crops and water. Suresh Yadav, a local landowner, said: ‘Fifty per cent of my crops are damaged by the chemicals. Our eyes are pouring, we can’t breathe, and when the gas comes, the effects last for several days.’”

A March 12, 2007 article in Newsweek notes that “only 2 percent of the United Nations’ trading projects involve renewable energy like hydro dams and wind farms, and communities that preserve forests and follow other ecofriendly practices are ignored”. Similarly, a September 2007 review article in Climatic Change by Karen Holm Olsen of the University of Copenhagen’s research network for environment and development, examining 200 studies of the CDM, concludes that “left to market forces, the CDM does not significantly contribute to sustainable development”.

Indeed, emissions trading may be an obstacle to the development of renewable energy. This is revealed by a leaked document from the UK government’s Department of Trade and Industry, exposed by August 13, 2007, Guardian. The document criticises the government’s target to produce 20% of energy through renewables by 2020. It complains that introducing renewable energy is more expensive than an ETS and warns that “the GHG savings achieved through the renewables target and energy efficiency risk making the EU ETS redundant and prices to collapse”. In other words, direct government spending to increase renewable energy production should be avoided because it threatens the ETS scam that is generating billions in corporate profits.


M. Spector
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Carbon trading: the new sub-prime?

The Guardian, January 30, 2009 [excerpt]

Quote:
The row over the working of the European Union's emissions trading scheme intensified last night when EDF Energy warned that speculators risked turning carbon into a new category of sub-prime investment.

Vincent de Rivaz, the chief executive of the UK arm of the French-owned gas and electricity group, said politicians and regulators needed to revisit the way the ETS was working and whether it was bringing the results they wanted. "We like certainty about a carbon price," he said. "[But] the carbon price has to become simple and not become a new type of sub-prime tool which will be diverted from what is its initial purpose: to encourage real investment in real low-carbon technology."

Green campaigners have long been critical of the way the emissions trading scheme was set up, but it is unusual for a leading industry figure to cast doubt on it, as power companies lobbied hard for a market mechanism to deal with global warming....

[His] comments came days after the Guardian revealed that steelmakers and hedge funds were cashing in ETS carbon credits obtained for free, causing the price of carbon to plunge. The price of carbon has slumped from €30 a tonne to below €12, leading to a tail-off in clean-technology offset projects in the developing world.

The EU's emissions trading scheme was set up as a market solution to cut greenhouse gas pollution from industry. Polluters were issued with permits that can be traded between companies and countries as a way of encouraging an overall reduction in carbon output. However, companies are now cashing them in. Up to €1bn-worth of permits are said to have been sold off in recent months as companies see an opportunity to bring in funds at a time when their carbon output is expected to fall due to lower production....

"Recession in Europe is bringing a slowdown in manufacturing, meaning less production and less emissions," said Henrik Hasselknippe, global head of carbon at Point Carbon. "Companies are doing exactly the rational thing in these circumstances, which is to sell if they are long on credits. If they are emitting less then they do not need the credits so much and the price of carbon will fall."

However, Bryony Worthington, an expert on climate change and founder of sandbag.org.uk, said: "What should have been a way to kick-start investment in much needed low-carbon, efficient technologies is now a cash redistribution exercise." A study commissioned by the WWF environmental organisation from Point Carbon, published in March last year, estimated that "windfall profits" of between €23bn and €71bn (£20.9bn-£64.4bn) would be made under the ETS between 2008 and 2012, on the basis that the price of carbon would be between €21 and €32. Up to €15bn could be made by British companies that were given credits they did not need.


M. Spector
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Other babble threads illustrating the failure of market-based economics to solve environmental problems:

Climate Change Paradox

Recycled waste goes from Ontario to China and back

Unrealistic Moderates


M. Spector
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To allow the market mechanism to be the sole director of the fate of human beings and their natural environment...would result in the demolition of society.

– Karl Polanyi, The Great Transformation, 1944

 

 


M. Spector
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Quote:

The free market has got us into this mess, and the free market will get us out of it.


This nonsensical idea is at the heart of all carbon trading measures...

Nicholas Stern, the economist asked by the Blair government in 2006 to present a report on the global warming threat, described climate change as "the biggest market failure in history".

The solution advanced by Stern and Europe's capitalist governments: let's create a new market.

It's a perplexing example of the kind of irrational thinking George Orwell coined as "doublethink" in his classic dystopian novel 1984: the ability to hold two contradictory ideas at the same time - and believe both of them to be equally true.

It's not that the world's political and corporate heads just aren't thinking clearly, however. Carbon trading is the favoured policy of the powerful vested interests determined to defend their market share above all else.

Carbon trading provides many advantages for the corporate polluters that profit most from the fossil fuel economy currently devastating the Earth's ecosystem, and placing the future of literally billions of people under a cloud.

Partly, it is designed to alleviate the political pressure building on governments and polluters to take serious action to reduce emissions - pressure applied by the growing numbers of people around the world sincerely concerned about the dire threat global warming poses.

At the same time, it creates a brand new commodity - carbon emissions - which, like any other commodity, is open to speculation and profiteering.

Most of all, carbon trading schemes are all designed to keep polluting industries in business for as long as possible - regardless of the warnings from climate scientists that there is already too much carbon in the atmosphere to ensure a safe future.

Read more...


M. Spector
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Fidel
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Thanks, M. Lots of good reading here.


M. Spector
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Life after capitalism: alternatives to market tyranny

An interview with Alex Callinicos, a British Marxist.

Quote:
Q: We live in a world where the market decides what we produce, how we produce it, and how products are allocated. How else could we resolve these issues, if not through the market?

A: It’s important to stress that the market allocates resources and values things very badly.

Control over the productive resources of society is concentrated in the hands of a small number of people. This infamous “1 percent” dominates the big corporations, banks and states.

Different units of the capitalist system compete with each other for profits and power. So ultimately priorities emerge as the outcome of a blind process of competition.

Vast amounts of resources are wasted along the way. Think, for example, of the value that has been destroyed in the present global economic crisis.

This process of competition is guided by fluctuations in prices. But from the point of view of any genuine system of valuation, the results it produces are absurd.

Worthless individuals like hedge fund bosses are paid many times more than useful ones like nurses and teachers. And the price system fails to register many important costs, such as those of the destruction of the planet by industrial capitalism.

In a democratically planned economy, decisions about the allocation and use of resources would be made on the basis of discussion and voting by those directly affected.

Today economic processes are treated as if they were governed by laws of nature known only to a handful of “experts”. Instead we would subject them to collective democratic debate and decision.


epaulo13
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..hudson paints a picture of the future.

Systemic Deficit Strategy                             November 29, 2011
..interview with real news
http://michael-hudson.com/2011/11/systemic-deficit-strategy/


M. Spector
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Quote:
The postulates promoted under the Green Economy are wrong. The current environmental and climate crisis is not a simple market failure. The solution is not to put a price on nature. Nature is not a form of capital. It is wrong to say that we only value that which has a price, an owner, and brings profits. The market mechanisms that permit exchange among human beings and nations have proven incapable of contributing to an equitable distribution of wealth. The Green Economy should not distort the fundamental principles of sustainable development.

Bolivia's proposals to the Rio+20 conference, June 20-22, 2012, paragraph 44


Red Tory Tea Girl
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... Farmland, forestry, hydroelectric power, geothermal, clean air that allows people to live longer and be more productive, eco-tourism, sustainable fisheries, fossil fuels... Yes, by definition nature is a form of capital. If it wasn't we wouldn't have a country, since the only way we were able to get the most basic infrastructure (a railway) built was by offering the companies that ponied up the finances in the late 1800's some massive swaths of that capital.

I think we should be reclaiming land and restoring watersheds for numerous reasons, and yes, that it looks pretty, and that we have an obligation to leave things better than we found them (that whole contract between the dead, the living, and those to be born, that classical conservatives like to go on about) but we're never going to reclaim, preserve, and repair, nature so long as we view it as something separate. Our environmental policy needs to be a little more bloodless than a Pete Seeger song.

We can have a green economy, expand the earth's carrying capacity, or place nature as something separate from humans and the industry that we create. We can't do all three, and I'm sorry, but animism is last on my list and it's last on the list of a subsistence farmer in Burundi farming the less than two-acre plot that is the national average.


Gaian
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That concern for the future that "classical conservatives like to go on about." Heard any of those folks lately? I don't believe that they would admit to "animism."

And I've no idea how you arrived at that neat division of the natural pie to build your do-nothing case from hubris (that's what our species (Home sapiens ?) is up to, according to believers in animism).

But maybe your analysis comes from Genesis? Hopefully I'm not displaying too much animus for one of the stewards of the Earth?


M. Spector
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Is that last post by Red Tory Tea Girl a quote from somewhere?

By whose definition of what is nature "a form of capital"? By the definition of "nature"? No. By the definition of "capital"? surely not. The example given of the railroads was one of the conversion of nature into capital by privatizing it.

And who here mentioned "animism"?


Gaian
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Jeez, you're not paying attention to Tea Girl's fll post, MS. It's an argument going back to classical politics and anthropology, apparently.


Fidel
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Yes, corporate greed will help us to curb our insatiable appetites for fossil fuels and finite resources. Markets will safe us from rack and ruin. All that's required is to have a leap of faith in an invisible hand god. Everyone knows it's true. Long live Caesar.


M. Spector
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I have no idea what you're talking about.


Gaian
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You've fnally explained for me the meaning of "invisible hand" Fidel. Thanks. :)


Fidel
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Yes, and it's the subsistence farmer in Burundi lobbying for free markets in carbon. Or have I minsunderstood something?


Red Tory Tea Girl
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I think you have, yes. I'm not arguing for markets, but yes, there is an inherent value to the environment, and anybody who makes a living from the land could tell you as much. Will free markets solve the problem? Not likely. But yes, attaching a tax, of, say, $20 a tonne to the price of carbon emissions would raise the price of crude by about $6 a barrel. When thermal depolymerization is only economical at $80 a barrel at the moment, for example, that six dollars does say a lot about encouraging us to switch from artificially cheap fuel sources that aren't renewable and cause long-term environmental harm.

Especially when the revenue is used to improve renewable resources, like land reclamation, expansion of desalination powered by renewables, solar, wind, tidal power, etc.

And yeah, there aren't a lot of proper conservatives out there. I know. I'm doomed to be a member of a movement where most of the membership doesn't really understand the central tenets and acts out of truthiness, confirmed prejudice, and miopic analysis that treats the working poor and lumpen as an enemy to progress... but that's okay, I'm also a feminist and a nationalist, so this isn't anything I don't experience elsewhere.


Gaian
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RTTG: " And yeah, there aren't a lot of proper conservatives out there. I know. I'm doomed to be a member of a movement where most of the membership doesn't really understand the central tenets and acts out of truthiness, confirmed prejudice, and miopic analysis that treats the working poor and lumpen as an enemy to progress... but that's okay, I'm also a feminist and a nationalist, so this isn't anything I don't experience elsewhere."

Those old landed folk had the right idea about posterity for sure, sort of like Green folk today.

But what in hell keeps you associating with their hand-me-down camp followers if you are so critical of their morals ?


Red Tory Tea Girl
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Because the fundamentals of the philosophy are sound. Socialists don't stop being socialists just because the Russians did it wrong.


Fidel
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Red Tory Tea Girl wrote:

Because the fundamentals of the philosophy are sound. Socialists don't stop being socialists just because the Russians did it wrong.

 

We socialists will usually never argue that markets create wealth are more efficient for distributing goods and services. The problem with capitalism and finite resources, though, is that no one ever knows where theyve hidden the off button. With state capitalism, corporate taxes are designed to be avoided either by lax regulations or by straight-up corruption. There is no incentive to conserve anything and especially not fossil fuels or energy in general. 

One of the few instances where free market mechanisms have been used to tax oil exports occurred in Russia by 2003. The oligarchs were trying to bribe members of the Duma in order to avoid the new tax regime on natural resource exports. Oligarchs and their US and Euro helpers had signed crooked oil deals with Moscow in the early 1990s at a time when corruption was rampant. And now the west is interfering in Russian elections again and calling for a "reset" for East-West relations.

We've been trying on capitalism since 14th century Italy, and each incarnation of laissez-faire has failed on time every time. By comparison, the experiment in socialism is about 70 years-old. We all know which one is looking to be worth a second look.


Red Tory Tea Girl
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And have I struck you as a believer in laissez-faire policies, really Fidel? You can't reconcile 'disposition to preserve and an ability to improve' with public ownership? You can't reconcile a belief that society is an organism with the belief that firms are most efficient when they're controlled by the people who make and buy the goods that firms produce?

Heck, you could read Adam Smith if you liked. Not even he believes in the kleptarchal policies ascribed to him. I believe the commanding heights of the economy should be publicly owned. We'll take some of our taxes in common stock, thank you. I believe that there is such a thing as social income and that it should be equally distributed, contempt for the lumpen that some have expressed aside... and I believe that yes, we ought to know what an unspoiled environment produces in quantifiable terms for human benefit, if only so that it becomes easier to make the political case for environmental preservation and farmland dearidification.

So you can put me next to bourgeois oligarchy masquerading as capitalism if you like, and claim that because I think we should recognize that emitting a tonne of carbon does at least X damage, I somehow believe that BP should be trusted to be environmental stewards. You can do that. You just can't do it with my acquiescence. Conservative does not mean the same thing as right-wing, or socially-repressive, or holding a capital-first mindset... and usually, I'm busy explaining it to all the right-wing, socially-regressive, appropriators of the word. But they're too busy worshipping at the feet of those who own but don't create to listen.

 


Gaian
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Interesting, RTTG. Bet you can't wait to read David STockman's Crony Capitalism (we'll have to wait a year :) )

But do you believe, with Roger L.Martin in Fixing the Game that it can be fixed? I'd really like to see your views on how the market would be involved in meeting your goals: "I believe that there is such a thing as social income and that it should be equally distributed, contempt for the lumpen that some have expressed aside... and I believe that yes, we ought to know what an unspoiled environment produces in quantifiable terms for human benefit, if only so that it becomes easier to make the political case for environmental preservation and farmland dearidification."

Nice thoughts and wishes aside.


Red Tory Tea Girl
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I think the game can be fixed, but it involves changing some of the fundamental motivations for it, so that 'the game' would only resemble what we currently have going on on an ephemeral level.

We're reaching a level of income where we can guarantee a Western subsistence lifestyle for all, if the political will can be found. Per capita global GDP is over $11K a year in terms of purchase price parity, 10.5K if you measure in nominal terms, which I tend to think is a better measure of well-being, since PPP doesn't count clean air and water, for example... That's right around what someone needs to have a fairly basic, though nowhere near average, Western standard of living, splitting a 2 bedroom apartment, using public transit, being able to enjoy a show or a new book a couple times a week, more than adequate clothing...

Of course, it's really quite impossible to have completely equal resource distribution, so disparity will continue, but as we work to ameliorate all absolute poverty in the Western world, one of the big political rationalles against development projects disappears. Also, again, if I manage to get my way and we get a Guaranteed Annual Income indexed half to per-capita GDP and half to inflation,  it will do a lot to shift the political economy to focusing on productivity, not jobs, since a late-industrial economy can't employ everyone, it just can't, but what that shift in thinking will do is focus the minds of policy makers on how to increase productivity, which means irrigation, which means land reclamation, and the only way to do that for arid areas is going to be desalination, and the wide-spread use of renewable energy... Aid will start to be measured in arable acres and bushels of wheat instead of military hardware.

Yes, there will be free markets, but they won't be free to impoverish people. This is what I go back to with A GAI. Giving someone the ability to walk away from a bad deal without facing poverty will be the best thing you can do to blunt the implicit market power that an employer has. People will do work that makes them better off and work that feels like a mutually beneficial exchange instead of wage slavery. Post-Secondary Education will cease to be a subsidy to the children of the professional class, because every child who decides against post-secondary, not that I think they should, is going to have about $50,000 in their pocket (today's money) with which to put 50% down on a starter home, or start that small business they've been thinking about, or whatever else they've had in mind that will best give them a future and fulfillment.

The market isn't really good for marshalling investment with positive externality. The market isn't as good at picking winners when it comes to R&D either, as we've found, but what the market remains good at is rationing goods and services when everyone has sufficient income. The market's really good at stuff like that. For a simple example: The market's good at selling T-shirts, not so good at making sure the land that grew the cotton is in better shape than it was last decade or that the working standards of the person who put the shirt together are fair and safe.

We have chocolate prices, for example, that are skyrocketing because cultivated cocoa land is slowly dying out and the farmers aren't paid enough to stay in the business... so if we assume that there's a social benefit to ensuring that the cocoa farmer is paid, say, $5 a day up from the $2 she's getting, and if we assume that there's a social benefit to having that same land around and still productive seventy years from now, and if we assume that there's a social benefit to having cocoa, then we need the state to become a wholesaler of this commodity, buy the cocoa from farmers at a higher price, buy land for improvement and hire agricultural farmers at a non-exploitive wage, and sell the cocoa on a commodities market to finance the purchase of cocoa and cocoa land and land improvements... the market, however, is good from that point. They're good at taking that commodity and making a thousand different products. They're good at marketing those products, distributing them, setting price points, and with a Guaranteed Income, they'll even be okay at hiring workers. It's the power dynamic of a worker-employer relationship that makes it dangerous, nothing else.

If we were all working for extra money over and above what covers a basic lifestyle and all knew our rights, those employers, and I know it's hard to envision, but you see this in the professional class where people have liquidity, those employers would be unable to coerce employees into work, and suddenly, yes, the game may look the same, but the outcomes, and for that matter the strategies employed, cease to look the same.

And we can make it so that there's free entry into the marketplace, even by someone with no capital. Enterprise zones where we set up 50 sq. ft. kiosks, row upon row, charging $100 a month, deducted automatically from a GAI cheque. I don't think it will do much for the economy to have those, though venture capital makes money just that way, throwing darts at a wall and seeing what sticks, but really it's more important that people understand that an economy which makes provision for every person to be able to get into business for themselves without fear that they'll be homeless if their business is a flop has a lot more of what the right likes to call 'economic freedom' than their Fraser Institute utopias ever will.

So yes, I think we can have a mixed economy without exploitation. It's just a question of giving everyone sufficient bargaining power, and ensuring that no economic mistake is fatal. I'll stop now because I'm rambling.


Fidel
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The game will take some un-rigging. What we have today are not just corporations and a few billionaire families running things but supranational corporations and marauding international capital gaming the system. Stephen Harper's job, for example, is to sit quietly and idly by while pointing to markets as the reason why Ottawa is completely and utterly impotent to change anything. If we turn on the TV set, we can see and listen to the real government discussing economic matters in terms of which foreign multinationals would be interested in predatory takeovers of companies like Canada's RIM, and our energy stocks and mineral wealth. There is rarely discussion of creating jobs with any of the billions of dollars floating in and out of Canada and U.S. We are being informed of mere market plays and speculation as if this represents transparency and accountability. Decisions surrounding allocation of resources and environmental concerns are now not only once removed from workers in the halls of power in Ottawa but twice removed in the hands of multinationals and their lobbyists, right wing think tanks bending the ears of government and senators, themselves lobbyists for corporations and banks etc. And then we have Harper suggesting that European banks should be bailed out by their taxpayers even more. It's a more dictatorial setup in Europe than here with the EU central bank dictating austerity and money policies to sovereign countries, but it's another thing when our corrupt stooges are cheering them on as if increasing neoliberal policies here might be a good choice some day. And none of that long-term agenda, the GATS and WTO agenda are made transparent to Canadians. We are being hoodwinked slowly but surely. It's the only way they can do it, because trying on the full neoliberal Monty was observed to be totally incompatible with democracy in Nixon's America, Pinochet's Chile, Bolivia, and Yeltsin's Russia. The people will eventually reject neoliberalism but only after a number of years of tolerating the oppressive conditions introduced without their full knowledge. Eventually the people are backed into a debt corner and new rounds of austerity imposed on them by rich nationals and foreigners working in unison to bankrupt governments and rein in oligarchies. Observe BNN and the other financial news programs televised 24/7 - they are the new government being introduced to us slowly but surely. Their vision of democracy is to elimiminate the senseless arguing in the House of Commons between phony majority governments and the those representing the two-thirds true majority of us. It will be so much easier when governments hands are officially tied by massive debts owed to private individuals and banks here and abroad, debts which will be mathematically unpayable in anyone's life times. Sovereignty will be no more, and we will be fully conquered and occupied by maruading international capital. No need for national military defence then just routine domestic security and sweeping the streets of cranks demanding what used to be their democratic rights etc. It's Orwellian.


Red Tory Tea Girl
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Quote:
The game will take some un-rigging.

That much is painfully obvious. We have had class war openly prosecuted in the West by the owners of property, and more importantly, their rentier managers, for forty years. It's going to take a counter offensive on many, many, fronts.

As to the level of democracy tolerated in Nixon's America, I'm going to side with Hunter S. Thompson's fully elucidated view, complete with the benefit of hindsight, of the president.

Debts of 150% of GDP are definitely repayable, just like homes that cost three years' income are... Canada's total public debt-GDP ratio is 84% at the moment, and on gargantuan long-term, inflation-adusted yields of forty-nine basis points, we really don't have anything to worry about when it comes to taking on debt for infrastructure in a liquidity trap.

Should we raise taxes? Yes, dramatically. What's being sold as a brave agenda for people-driven change?

Quote:
"Cancelling the corporate income tax cut scheduled to take place January 1, 2012 and investing the $3 billion in revenue that would be lost to a tax cut in affordable housing instead could increase GDP by $4.5 billion, create more than 47,000 new jobs and create 155,550 new affordable housing units and 200,000 repaired existing homes over the next ten years."

Wow. 0.191% of GDP in additional taxes. Remember, they have to be corporate because Canadians don't comprehend that corporations, like governments, are a nexus of arrangements with people, we just think that government and corporations are holes from which money is either spewed or sucked depending on your political prejudices. Zero. Point. One. Nine. Percent. Yeah, the NDP really knows how to present serious solutions to serious problems. Call me when someone from your vanguard finds the intestinal fortitude to say, "We need to raise taxes, across the board, including the GST, that or abolish the GST and raise income and gas taxes even more."

Instead we get weak-as-water moralizing about three billion dollars. Three billion... it's quite literally nothing. It's thirty-five cents a day for a year. (Which is also why I never understand the right's animus against properly funding the CBC)

Let's talk about real change. Let's talk about moving three hundred billion back into the wages-and-transfers column.

Politics may be the art of the possible, but so many people automatically assume the modifier, 'immediately' belongs in that sentence.


Fidel
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I agree with debt being cheap right now. Even if they don't want to have government-created money, we should not be cutting back on public services or neglecting the infrastructure deficit.

In the US and Europe capitalists and governments are thinking that they can return to profitability and expansion by cutting wages in half and gutting public employment. They seem to think that the way to compete with Chinese and Asian workers is to knee-cap our standard of living here. But it won't work. If we want to be more competitive and productive, like China's workers, then they should improve our standard of living as is occurring in Asia not the opposite. Capital thinks we can be better workers by simply impoverishing us, and that goes against the grain of the pre-neoliberal era, post-war school of thought at the Chicago School of economics by what I've read. Yes there were Nobel prize winning economists in Chicago before Milton Friedman's time in the sun - a time when the U.S. economy was considered the richest bar none and looked up to by the rest of the world as the land of opportunity and beacon of hope for immigrants seeking better lives.


stevebrown
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A)Market economics trump environmental considerations

B)Gaians posts make me want to slap someone in the face.


Gaian
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Fidel: "The game will take some un-rigging. What we have today are not just corporations and a few billionaire families running things but supranational corporations and marauding international capital gaming the system."

And even more concerning for those seeking a fix, they are gaming it with our savings, so that very few are ready to "un-rig," being scared shitless of havng nothing in their golden years. Rather than those neat, complex fixes from theory and wishful thinking, I'd like to see reasoning from the perspective of the individual on Mainstreet. Something achieveable.

And I'm sorry about that spontaneous sensation of yours, steve. Sometimes it helps to talk about it. :)


Red Tory Tea Girl
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Fidel, you're definitely right not just about neo-liberals selling the rope with which they will be hung but angrily demanding reduced taxes on the manufacture of said rope. And when you talk about the three decades of post war hope and prosperity, it's an object lesson: Marx was right about what would go wrong. FDR, Ford, Diefenbaker, MacMillan, et al, were right about how to prevent that kind of decline. I think we need different structures than the early Fordists had for sharing the gains in productivity, since we're approaching a point where full employment in a formal for-profit economy is becoming a fantasy, but the point remains: Make sure a rising tide lifts all boats.

stevebrown

A) Human considerations are often tandem with environmental considerations, but human considerations should be paramount, and are often quantifiable. Market mechanisms are part of the way we measure those human considerations, even in centrally planned economies.

B) People who don't reinforce an absolutist mentality tend to have that effect on some.


Policywonk
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Red Tory Tea Girl wrote:

A) Human considerations are often tandem with environmental considerations, but human considerations should be paramount, and are often quantifiable. Market mechanisms are part of the way we measure those human considerations, even in centrally planned economies.

Since humans are part of the environment they are always in tandem (even if we are changing the environment to make it less hospitable for ourselves and some other species), and to consider human considerations paramount is to ignore this fact. When economic considerations are in tandem with human and environmental considerations we may be able to build a sustainable society.


Gaian
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RTTG: "B) People who don't reinforce an absolutist mentality tend to have that effect on some.*

Absolutely. And a most perspicacious observation.


stevebrown
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A) Balls get sweaty

B)Gaian likes sweaty balls.


Gaian
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Gaian wrote:

Interesting, RTTG. Bet you can't wait to read David STockman's Crony Capitalism (we'll have to wait a year :) )

But do you believe, with Roger L.Martin in Fixing the Game that it can be fixed? I'd really like to see your views on how the market would be involved in meeting your goals: "I believe that there is such a thing as social income and that it should be equally distributed, contempt for the lumpen that some have expressed aside... and I believe that yes, we ought to know what an unspoiled environment produces in quantifiable terms for human benefit, if only so that it becomes easier to make the political case for environmental preservation and farmland dearidification."

Nice thoughts and wishes aside.

RTTG in response: "I think the game can be fixed, but it involves changing some of the fundamental motivations for it, so that 'the game' would only resemble what we currently have going on on an ephemeral level.

We're reaching a level of income where we can guarantee a Western subsistence lifestyle for all, if the political will can be found."

-----------------

Wouldn't you have to fix the system's schools, first? It's not just the Fraser Institute and like institutions at fault. The University of Chicago has been the font of all that has gone bad about economic theory and analysis.

Roger L. Martin poiinnts out in a chapter on "The Origins of our Current Theory: In 1976, finance professor Michael Jensen and Dean William Meckling of the Simon School of Business at the University of Rochester published a seemingly innocuous paper in the Journal of Financial Economics entitled "Theory of the Firm: Managerial Behavior, Agency Costs and Ownership Structure." The authors likely had no idea that it would go on to be the single most frequently cited article in business academia and that it would form the prevailing theory of the role of the firm and proper conpensation in our society today."

I just chanced across the obit of Michael Mussa, the IMF's chief economist through most of the 1990s, learning that "Mussa taught at the University of Chicago before joining the IMP and also served a a member of the U.S.Council of Economic advisors under former U.S. president Ronald Reagan. (my insert, edit., at the same time as David Stockman).

"He was also once on the faculty of the University of Rochester."

I guess what I'm sayinig, RTTG, is that your reforms would have to begin with the expunging of University of Chicago school of thinking from the centers of power.

As for the GAIncome, a "subsistence" life...it does sound all too 1984ish,too dependent on the master's good will. :) Although incorporated as a basic income along with universal acceptance of investments in agriculture like Slow Money (and I believe agriculture in high on your reform list) and the incorporation of co-operatives as work and living places, it might mean the grandkids could count on collectivization as an antidote to today's piracy.


Rebecca West
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stevebrown has been suspended.


Red Tory Tea Girl
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That's good, because now I don't have to speculate on the gender of said balls... though that was where I was tempted to go. ^_^


Red Tory Tea Girl
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@Gaian as to the Chicago School, you'll find Lord Acton's belief in circumstances moulding people in positions of power is a strong one indeed.

The reference was to Western Subsistence, and a link to per-capita GDP ensures that that standard of living will rise with output. I'm not talking about that GAI as though that's all people get, and then the rich can have more. Most people are, for a significant period of their lives, employable. So take someone who's truly living a subsistence lifestyle now, working thirty hours a week and earning minimum wage. Let's make them an Albertan, because that takes provincial tax out of the equation because of their high basic deduction. Right now they gross 9.40 (minimum wage unless you're in the service industry. Don't get me started on that one) * 30 * 52 * 1.04 (mandatory 'vacation pay') or $15 250.56. or $586.56 gross every two weeks, also $539.19 after deductions (14.27 federal, 22.37 CPP, 10.73 EI)That's subsistence.

Put them on a GAI, which, if it started today would be $51 203.27 * 0.25 / year or $12 800.82 a year, or $492.34 every 2 weeks. Then we'll add that minimum wage worker's pay under a new tax code to that amount. First, we leave CPP unchanged, so there's still a deduction of 22.37. Next, we abolish EI premiums (as well as EI, shifting the tax points that employers paid to a tax on profits or on overtime or working/middle-class salaried labour (unpaid overtime) or whatever else we like, so long as the tax points are redistributed to make exploitation pay a little less well.)  so our subsistence worker pays no EI. What they will pay is a 30% income tax starting at dollar one of income. (we'll shift the upper brackets to pick up the slack as well, but let's talk about our subsistence worker for now) That's a deduction of $175.06, much higher than previously. So now their paycheque, assuming no upward pressure on wages gets them above $9.40 an hour, will be $386.12 every two weeks, but after GAI, it goes up to $878.46, or $22 840.01 a year. Not so much subsisting going on... not so much dependence on being a deserving welfare case, just an entitlement to social income, and an obligation to pay into that social income from the first dollar earned.

For those of you wondering what different working and middle-class people would take in on a bi-weekly cheque under this system:

Retail salesperson working 40-hour week in British Columbia:

Gross $1215.55 Net before GAI $1002.00 Net after GAI $761.80+492.34 = $1254.14

Ontarian Registered Nurse with 25 years' experience working 48-hour weeks

Gross $4074.24 Net before GAI $2675.68 Net after GAI $2253.98+492.34 = $2746.32

Might want a higher bracket at roughly per-capita GDP, since the nurse, hard worker though they are, is getting a top up on top of wages that're double the average income, but you see where I'm going. A GAI liberates people from cycles of working poverty instead of entrenching them.

 


Gaian
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RTTG: "@Gaian as to the Chicago School, you'll find Lord Acton's belief in circumstances moulding people in positions of power is a strong one indeed."

Quoting dear old Acton is not going to change the power of the Chicago School to skew thinking. Your arithmetically correct idea can never come to fruition, but would be "drowned in the bathtub" along with everything else "statist", at birth. We are now in a period of severe contraction of state involvement in the name of fiscal responsibility. Sorry, but I am always concerned about the political-economy of change, and the dominant schools of thought - together with current investment of savings of the hoi-polloi - have a stranglehold on political thought at the moment. :)

And when climate change has finally forced people to consider the "completely corrupt" nature of our ideas, GAI is not likely to seem a way out simply by providing support for the pursuit of a standard of living that in 2012 seems at the root of our faux concern for sustainability.


Slumberjack
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stevebrown wrote:
Gaians posts make me want to slap someone in the face.

I know he's gone and all...but personally I am rarely left in any position to consider such a thing, or much of anything else for that matter, after the pounding my head takes on the keyboard sometimes.  It's probably for the best.


Gaian
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The only help that I could offer him was this, SJ :" And I'm sorry about that spontaneous sensation of yours, steve. Sometimes it helps to talk about it. :)"

To which he simply responded : "B)Gaian likes sweaty balls," and left me hanging. I'm sure you are not considering such a retort, but I am again left wondering? Leaves a nasty feeling just by itself. Like the silent smirk.


Slumberjack
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No I certainly wouldn't consider it because I don't really care to attempt an analogy with such things in a sentence dealing with political preferences.  He could have pointed at anyone in any thread for that matter to say the same thing...which leaves me with the nasty impression that my stuff keeps getting ignored even by people who get turfed.


Gaian
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Gaian wrote:

RTTG: "@Gaian as to the Chicago School, you'll find Lord Acton's belief in circumstances moulding people in positions of power is a strong one indeed."

Quoting dear old Acton is not going to change the power of the Chicago School to skew thinking. Your arithmetically correct idea can never come to fruition, but would be "drowned in the bathtub" along with everything else "statist", at birth. We are now in a period of severe contraction of state involvement in the name of fiscal responsibility. Sorry, but I am always concerned about the political-economy of change, and the dominant schools of thought - together with current investment of savings of the hoi-polloi - have a stranglehold on political thought at the moment. :)

And when climate change has finally forced people to consider the "completely corrupt" nature of our ideas, GAI is not likely to seem a way out simply by providing support for the pursuit of a standard of living that in 2012 seems at the root of our faux concern for sustainability.

Is that it, RTTG?

The silly bastard has not returned to disturb discussion.


Red Tory Tea Girl
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... which silly bastard?


Unionist
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Rebecca West, on Jan. 29 wrote:

stevebrown has been suspended.


Slumberjack
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Well that's a relief.


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