trains, busses or automobiles

dw_ptbo
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dw_ptbo
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Although politicians have apparently recognized the environmental and economic costs of our dependency on the automobile, what baffles me about their response is that for the most part there has been no rush towards improving rail transportation. The GOTrain/Via rail link to my current place of residence, Peterborough, is still years away. Another thing that I can't help but shake my head about is when people say that we should have a VIA link instead of a GO link. Has anyone travelled VIA rail lately? It is far more expensive than driving or taking the bus. A roundtrip from Oshawa to Toronto with VIA rail's comfort fare is $48. With GO the fare is $15.50, and Greyhound charges $30. All of these options are more expensive than taking the car, or even a truck.

Meanwhile, very few people are suggesting the need to subsidize trains and buses so that people can actually afford to take them. Or, since we're in a "free market" society how about taking away the right of bus and train companies to monopolize certain routes. There are some countries where you have a plethora of choice between different carriers offering different prices, this should be the same with our rail and bus lines.


KenS
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Canadian lefties have this tendency towards fossilized thinking that 'subsidies are good'. I figure this is a reaction to the neo-liberal attack on subsidies. An understandable reaction, but one that imports misunderstandings.

When people say 'subsidy' they are in practice thinking operating subsidies. IE, topping up operations with social value that we do not expect to be able to break even financially.

Improving rail transport does not require [ongoing] operating subsidies. What is required is investment that 'the market' will not do.

Wholesale government investment in a company or an industry or an infrastructure can often be rightfully called a subsidy- as is definitely the case with the nuclear power industry.

But investment in infrastructure is not inherently a 'subsidy'. And it unwittingly plays to the neo-liberal agenda to call such investments subsidies.

One of the 5 points of the NDPs Green Agenda is Green Transportation Strategy and one of the points within that is improved support for rail transport [freight and passenger].

Its a pretty general and thin agenda. But good enough for the kind of exposure we can get now. A 20 point rail plan would not be appropriate at this juncture. Need first to get people on board with the basic principles.

And Jack has been touring around putting flesh on those general principles by calling for support of particular projects.

[ 03 August 2008: Message edited by: KenS ]


dw_ptbo
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The NDP's strategy for rail transportation is essentially what I am hoping for. I don't think you can convince most people to take the train until the prices of travel come down. This should be pretty high up in the priority list for any green transportation strategy. It needs to be cost competitive. (Hopefully this is what you mean by getting people on board with basic principles).


KenS
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Its interesting what is happening in Europe now.

Various European countries started binges on high speed rail some years ago. I don't know enough about it to know how much of that was coordinated. But obviously a lot. For example, cutting central London to Paris down to 2 and 1/4 hours.

This would never have been undertaken by simply waiting until 'markets' 'wanted' to finance the ventures.

These new rail options have matured just when jet fuel price hikes are making untenable the RyanAir / Easy Jet model of cheap travel within Europe.

Build it and they will come, because it will be cost competitive.

For high speed rail here is no direct comparison for Canada. But the same principle applies to expanding/starting intra-urban light rail: by the time it is built, demand for it will be much higher than the assumptions on which it was built.

Same for the much less sexy expansions of bus systems. Be that more express buses in medium size cities like Halifax Metro that get more commuters riding, or expansion of routes in very low density systems such as Kings Transit [Kings and Annapolis Counties of NS].

[ 03 August 2008: Message edited by: KenS ]


bruce_the_vii
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I’m enthusiastic about electrifying the roads. A rail down the center of arterial roads with a sunken conduit that a car or bus could connect to with a computer controlled trolley that it tows. There is no known battery for the electric car so they’re going to have to go with something like this. Vehicles would be hybrids. An advantage is electricity in Toronto is currently 25 cents a liter of gas equivalent at the axle, electric engines being four times as efficient as gas and diesel.

Toronto currently has several hundred batter powered buses. The government should wire one or two routes and build the computer trolley for the buses and test the idea. This could be done now.

At current prices tractor trailers consume $1200 of diesel a day. The money to pay for electrifying the roads is there.


lagatta
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I'm not. That doesn't eliminate the car from urban areas or begin to grapple with cancerous suburban sprawl.


bruce_the_vii
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It saves the automobile and the suburbs. But this is what people want. It's for family.

Also it helps truck transport. The whole economy requires all these trucks and shuffling of wares back and forth.

You were thinking that they were going to plough the suburban houses under and return the land to orchards or something? The houses will be there for over 100 years, that's how long buildings last.

[ 04 August 2008: Message edited by: bruce_the_vii ]

[ 04 August 2008: Message edited by: bruce_the_vii ]


lagatta
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People had families long before cars and car-dependent suburbs, and will have families when such poisons are as bad a memory as slavery and the genocidal "cleansing" of aboriginal populations.

Actually, a lot of suburbs are currently being densified and urbanised - there is an photo-article about Surrey BC in Geist.


bruce_the_vii
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I grew up in the Toronto suburb of Mississauga before there was enough density to support buses. The lack of things to do without a car was stupifying. However there is now mile after mile of new suburbs around Toronto. People like it. I think it's the price of space. And the electric car will make it viable.


lagatta
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"People like it".... Hmm, wonder why?

I suspect you escaped that suburban wasteland to live in a city, no?

Electric cars are NO solution to sprawl, to an urbanism where people can access goods, services, culture and friends via public transport, walking and on bicycle (weather permitting).

I reallly don't understand your worship of one of the worst evils of capitalist society.


rural - Francesca
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...and Lord knows that Toronto is the centre of the world and that we live and die for what Toronto needs


lagatta
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Well actually in this case, while the solution bruce is advocating is no solution to the cancerous growth around cities, it IS actually much more appropriate for rural areas - provided the electric cars can have a larger range of KM storage.

Though actually I think solutions must be found other than the car (or in conjunction with it) even for smaller centres, as first of all not everyone can drive, or drive safely. And even very small towns are ringed with sprawl nowadays.


bruce_the_vii
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Personnaly I live in an urban apartment and take a battery powered bus to work. However even buses and trucks will have to be electfied withing my life time.


Policywonk
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quote: Canadian lefties have this tendency towards fossilized thinking that 'subsidies are good'.

Depends on the subsidy. This is the same as saying "production" is good. It depends on what is being produced.


Policywonk
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quote: There is no known battery for the electric car

Perhaps you mean there is no truly viable battery, There most certainly are batteries for electric cars.


bruce_the_vii
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Well, yes. The current nickle metal hydride use rare earths which will quickly become expensive.


dw_ptbo
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quote:Originally posted by lagatta:
Well actually in this case, while the solution bruce is advocating is no solution to the cancerous growth around cities, it IS actually much more appropriate for rural areas - provided the electric cars can have a larger range of KM storage.

The electric car as a solution to rural living is something I've often given some thought to. I would like nothing more than to eventually retire to a cabin far from civilization, but I do not want to support a fossil fuel addicted society in doing so.

I don't think that the electric car necessarily promotes sprawl, rather it can if we don't have a corresponding intensification policy. The electric car (and possibly the electrification of roads) is a necessary element of an environmentally progressive set of policies, as long as we simultaneously discourage sprawl through other policies. Rarely is there ever one solution to any of our problems.

[ 04 August 2008: Message edited by: dw_ptbo ]


lagatta
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Er... trams are an example of electrification of roads, at least in urban, suburban and peri-urban areas, moreover they are pretty much user-friendly or "idiot-proof". Small children, most elderly people no longer able to drive, disabled or slightly-disabled, distracted, tired and somewhat intoxicated people can take them (obviously not advocating being drunk or stoned and disorderly, just mean it is a safe way to get home after a "souper bien arrosй" or a party)... And in our climate, they could be equipped with a front snow plough or other measures for comfort and safety of passengers and staff.

If you look at historical tramlines, it is astonishing how far they
went beyond city cores!

But where population density does not make that feasible, perhaps "bornes" alongside highways where drivers could recharge their electric vehicles would be a good solution.

No, I don't think electric vehicles cause sprawl - it is merely annoying when it is seen as a way of keeping current driving and town planning patterns, which have never been sustainable, and will become increasingly less so.

Weather permitting, trams can also be twinned with bicycles (and electric bicycles for those who need them or for difficult terrain).


bruce_the_vii
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What is unsustainable is the cost of housing in the major centers. Places like Toronto do not need to get bigger and even more expensive. They'll become like NYC and London.


lagatta
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That is an utterly different issue - over-concentration as opposed to development of regional centres. Doesn't excuse being an apologist for the poison of suburban sprawl.

I don't think you know much about environmental issues, and the harm car-centred development causes. Oh well, you can learn.

There is a lot on the net about sustainable planning, carfree cities, etc.

[ 04 August 2008: Message edited by: lagatta ]


dw_ptbo
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quote:Originally posted by bruce_the_vii:
What is unsustainable is the cost of housing in the major centers. Places like Toronto do not need to get bigger and even more expensive. They'll become like NYC and London.

The cost of housing in major cities is one of the biggest causes of sprawl. Until we find a way for our tax systems to penalize fringe development and encourage brownfield and intensive development we are unlikely to get far in creating energy efficient, denser cities. Same thing goes for real estate values, although I'm hard pressed to answer how we might change that, nonetheless we need to find a way. It is not right that a house in Newmarket is three times cheaper than a house of a similar size in Rosedale.


lagatta
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Didn't an NDP government nationalise "soil" decades back? I don't mean nationalising buildings or saying people can't own their own dwellings, but nationalising the soil beneath to brake speculation. Indeed it is a key problem - important to look at measures that have been taken elsewhere in the world.

This has always been a matter of social justice - now it is also a matter of life and death.


KenS
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quote: There is no known battery for the electric car

There are bigger flaws with bruce's technicist vision than this, but that will have to wait for later.

It is simply not true that there are no known batteries for EVs.

For one thing, a highway speed EV is already feasible using existing lead acid batteries. Auto companies did not want to build them until better batteries made longer ranges possible. But that was a choice on what they could and/or were willing to market.

The recent changes in fuel price consumer expectations would have changed that even without changes in storage battery capabilities.

But production of battery packs for EVs using nickel hydride and lithium ion are less than two years away. The manufacturing plants for them are being built in the next several months.

Battery packs using the next generation of technology are already past the drawing board stage. IE, small versions already exist- as has been the case with litium ion for several years- it is a matter of making EV size packs production viable.

Nor is expense or availability of the metals going to be a serious obstacle. In the first place, technology will change what minerals are used.

But 100% recycling [including the plastic cases] is already common with higher end lead acid batteries used by commercial fleets in golf carts and fork lifts. Leasing of battery packs- with the EV manufacturer taking lifetime responsibility for them- is probably going to be the norm. At the very least, the battery packs will have such a high core charge on them that they will not be simply discarded.


KenS
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quote: I’m enthusiastic about electrifying the roads. A rail down the center of arterial roads with a sunken conduit that a car or bus could connect to with a computer controlled trolley that it tows. There is no known battery for the electric car so they’re going to have to go with something like this. Vehicles would be hybrids.

Theres so much that we could do now with the existing infrastructure and technology before we go jumping to futuristic visions like electrified roads. Not to mention saying "this could be done now" while saying "there is no known battery for the electric car" is seriously flawed.

Even if some roads were electrified, most would not be- even in the urban core let alone beyond. And battery packs are the large scale and longer term answer to that, not hybrids.

With the in-production technology available right now we could have mass produced pure electric EVs for the same price as a subcompact that have a range more than what a third of vehicles drive in a day. Way over half of households could use one such vehicle to do everything except commutes beyond the median range.

And thats with lead acid batteries. The pure full speed EVs with lithium ion batteries that will start hitting the market in less then 5 years will beging expanding on that range possibility, and within a few more years rapid recharging will spread in availability.

Another knock against electrifying roads, and in favour of electrifying with battery packs, is our need to use already existing capabilities to decentralize the production of electricity.

The technology and the economics of electrifying roads requires centralized power plant capacity. The economics and technology of photovalics and wind power is already good enough that with some pump priming we can get individuals and businesses to begin producing their own power, and the economic and technological incentives for that will improve.

The reason we have hybrids rather than pure electric vehicles is because the automakers assumed you could not sell a vehicle that will not drive to infinity without needing to be plugged in.

While I think they WERE more or less right, thats a marketing decision, not a technical [let alone social needs based] one.

There will soon be plug-in hybrids that will drive a fair distance on just the battery pack and electric motor. [The hyped up Chevy Volt is touted as the first electric car- but its just another hybrid.]

But hybrids are more expensive than [full speed] EVs. As well as more resources going into building them, they use a lot of energy lugging around that gas engine- whether it is in use or not.

Here is a still open thread on electric cars: Electric Cars- Sustainability of, Build Yourself, Etc. . I think hybrids and the Chevy Volt come up in the discussion.

Just gave it a bump up onto TAT- in the "babblers helping babblers" forum.

[ 04 August 2008: Message edited by: KenS ]


Boom Boom
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GM had an electric car out years ago before they recalled and demolished every one of them - documented in the movie Who Killed The Electric Car?. I forget what kind of battery was used in those vehicles, but those who leased the vehicles raved about them.

ETA: GM's behaviour in setting back the electric car by recalling and demolishing the finest example of electric cars ever produced is reason enough for that asshole company to be boycotted and die. [img]mad.gif" border="0[/img]

[ 04 August 2008: Message edited by: Boom Boom ]


lagatta
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Boom Boom, they were also among the cartel that killed the extensive tramway /streetcar systems in many North American cities, replacing them with vastly inferior bus systems and forcing a great number of workers to buy cars.

I'm looking up the report - cycling and sustainable transport activist Robert Silverman here had a copy of it decades ago.

http://www.bilderberg.org/nclchoms.htm#Burden

Ah, yes, the Snell Report!

General Motors and the demise of streetcars


Boom Boom
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General Motors is evil, and I'm a tad bit skeptical about their new electric vehicle to be released soon, the Chevy Volt. But, who knows, maybe with this new vehicle they will redeem themselves, albeit maybe just a bit.


Lard Tunderin Jeezus
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quote:It is not right that a house in Newmarket is three times cheaper than a house of a similar size in Rosedale. I don't think that I can agree with this statement. The house in Rosedale is certainly 3x as convenient, and likely more than 3x as prestigious.

What I'm certain we could agree on is the fact that it is insane that the owners of the house in Rosedale pay 3 (or more) times as much tax on the property; when the environmental footprint of the house in Newmarket is much higher due to the increased cost of delivery of services, and commuting costs.


Frustrated Mess
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Given the money and the choice, I'd live above a busy, neon lit, noodle house on Spadina before I'd live in Newmarket.


lagatta
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I'd rather live in a squalid room in a major city (with good public transport, and cyclable) than live in any place like Newmarket.

We have exurbs of our own now, "la deuxiиme couronne", beyond Montrйal island, Laval and Longueuil.... seventh circle of hell.


Webgear
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Newmarket and Orangeville were once nice lovely little towns, I hate seeing what they have become over the last 20 years.

I can not believe the amount of great farmland that has been destroyed due to these new and ugly subdivisions.


Stargazer
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I feel the same way Webgear. Every time I take road trips out of the city I see this beautiful land, all closed up with massive signs promoting the next "community". These giant houses, so close together, next to no backyard, I wonder why anyone would want to live in them, and it pisses me off to no end that good beautiful land was killed to make room for these monstrosities. Truly the most ugly, unimaginative houses I have seen.

quote: I can not believe the amount of great farmland that has been destroyed due to these new and ugly subdivisions.


Webgear
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I was in Orangeville a few months ago, there is no way I would live in the community. The historical homes and buildings are now disappearing at an alarming rate.

The town I once remembered is long gone. The smaller surrounding villages, and hamlets are slowing losing their charm. Anything south of Hwy 9 is a wasteland of ugly, unimaginative buildings and big box stores.


Stargazer
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The saddest part about it all is that it is the new wave of housing. When I was a kid we used to be able to take the bus up to Sheppard Ave just west of Morningside and ride horses at a farm. There were a lot of farm houses then. We'd spend the entire day exploring the forests, the old farm houses and riding horses. Now, the same area is nothing like it used to be. No farm houses, the stables closed down long ago and these huge houses and box stores are everywhere.

There are some towns which have voted and said no to Walmarts and big box stores. Cobourg is one of these towns. It's also where I plan on living when I finish school.

What I find even more distressing is seeing these horrendous housing complexes in the middle of vast farm land. It simply makes no sense to me why anyone would move from the city to live in a city-like community which has zero charm.

I'd take a small house with a nice backyard any day.


Frustrated Mess
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quote: The town I once remembered is long gone. The smaller surrounding villages, and hamlets are slowing losing their charm. Anything south of Hwy 9 is a wasteland of ugly, unimaginative buildings and big box stores.
Last year I took a trip to Niagara Falls and all that beautiful country side has been converted into a wasteland of ugly. *sigh*


Webgear
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Stargazer

I remember the farms south of Caledon village, now long gone, there once was a horse farm that had amazing animals but I think there is an overly expensive subdivision built on the farm.

Frustrated Mess

Recently I read a news article about an apple farm in the area that closed down because they could not find any businesses to by the apples. The farm use to provide apples for juice producer however that business collapsed last year.

What a sad state we are in.


Lard Tunderin Jeezus
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quote:Originally posted by Webgear:
Recently I read a news article about an apple farm in the area that closed down because they could not find any businesses to by the apples. The farm use to provide apples for juice producer however that business collapsed last year.Actually, dealing with Canadian food content issues is the only action taken by Harper that I've had to respect.


Frustrated Mess
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Ah, LTJ, the don't be so quick to commendation. the devil is in the details and it is one very big piece of legislation of which that bit forms a very nice media distraction from the many other bits.

Have a read: http://nhppa.org/?page_id=24

Bill C-51 and C-52 must be read together and with an eye toward the larger strategy of SPP and harmonization.


Policywonk
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quote: rare earths which will quickly become expensive

Some rare earth elements are not particularly rare (they were thought to be rarer when they were named). And catalytic converters and other electronic components can be recycled. Still, the supply of some rare earth elements is limited and even with the more abundant ones it's a question of finding concentrations that are feasible to extract from both an economic and energy point of view.


bruce_the_vii
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That's what I hear.


Michelle
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quote:Originally posted by dw_ptbo:
Another thing that I can't help but shake my head about is when people say that we should have a VIA link instead of a GO link. Has anyone travelled VIA rail lately? It is far more expensive than driving or taking the bus. A roundtrip from Oshawa to Toronto with VIA rail's comfort fare is $48. With GO the fare is $15.50, and Greyhound charges $30. All of these options are more expensive than taking the car, or even a truck.

It's infuriating. VIA is the biggest rip off ever. It should be subsidized to the hilt, but instead, it costs a limb or your firstborn to buy a ticket unless you book weeks in advance (and even then, you can't always get the discounted fare if it's a busy time). On their web site, their newest flash ad says, "High price of gas getting you down? Escape with VIA."

Excuse me, wtf? I don't think so. A round trip ticket for one adult, regular coach fare, between Kingston and Toronto (that's a 2.5 hour trip one way) is $168. One Hundred And Sixty Eight Dollars. What the hell is that? My mother can drive to Whitby to pick me up from the GO station, drive me back to Kingston, then drive me back to Whitby again and drive back home to Kingston on one tank of gas, which is probably around $50-60, plus the price of my round trip on the GO which is around $11-12. Even the "supersaver" discount fare, the cheapest fare available, for a round trip to Kingston costs a little over $100.

And the bus! The bus costs about $100 for a round trip to Kingston too for an adult. For the privilege of being squashed into too-small seats with no leg room, you can pay 60% more than it would cost you to drive in a single-occupant car.

It's not only ridiculous, but downright offensive. Especially considering that VIA is a crown corporation. It should be subsidized so much that no one would even CONSIDER driving a car along the Windsor-Montreal corridor.

Amtrak, by the way, charges $250 for a round trip, coach, to New York City. That's a total of 24-28 train hours. VIA charges $168 for a round trip to Kingston, a total of 5-6 hours. A comparable trip to Toronto-New York would be Windsor-Montreal, which is still shorter at 18-23 hours round-trip. On VIA, it costs $409.50 for a round-trip coach ticket between Windsor and Montreal. "Hmm, gosh, honey, do you think we should spend $819 to take the train to Montreal, or should we drive our car? Gosh, it's such a difficult decision, let me think. It'll cost us a couple of tanks of gas to take the car, or a mortgage payment to take the train. Golly, I can't decide!"

What the jebus is wrong with this picture? Why is there not a cheaper commuter train option (like the GO) for short-haul trips?

Here's another comparison. You can take New Jersey Transit and SEPTA from New York City to Philadelphia (with a transfer in Trenton, NJ) for $20 (combined fare) one way. That's about a two and a half hour trip:

Check it out.

NJ Transit trains are basically like GO trains. I'd happily take a GO train to Kingston. Why don't they go that far? It's not like we don't have the train tracks already in place? And you know what? If there aren't enough tracks for the freight trains AND commuter trains, then freakin' well build some more, instead of adding more and more lanes to the damned 401. I say NO MORE LANES on the 401. Ever. All money gets put into new train tracks, and when there's a decent and affordable train service going all over Ontario, not a penny more to expand the highways - just maintain the ones we have.

[ 06 August 2008: Message edited by: Michelle ]


Stargazer
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Webgear, have you been hearing about this?


quote: Applause broke out again when Regional Councillor Richard Whitehead spoke about the "dark tunnel" Caledon was being pushed down by "one developer," a path he said others would soon follow.

The developer referred to by all three councillors was Benny Marotta, who owns Solmar Development, with whom the town has been mired in an acrimonious battle over his plan to build a community of 21,000 southeast of Bolton.

Marotta recently filed notice he intends to launch a $500 million lawsuit against the town if it did not follow through on its promises to his company. He also asked for an apology for comments by Morrison, which she has refused to do.

The threat prompted council to ask the province to hold an inquiry into the struggles small communities face as they deal with Ontario's anti-sprawl legislation.

Many councillors are concerned the provincial plan for growth has put into play a swath of agricultural land in south Caledon, which has been the subject of developer speculation. This land is not protected through the Green Belt or the Oak Ridges Moraine Conservation Plan. They are concerned the municipality has been left to its own devices to face developers.

http://www.thestar.com/News/GTA/article/472978

Arrogant these developers. Arrogant, mean fuckwits with nothing better to do than sue when they don't get their way. The town doesn't want this development but as far as the developer is concerned that's just too freaking bad.


HeywoodFloyd
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quote:Originally posted by Michelle:

It's infuriating. VIA is the biggest rip off ever.
[....fucking stupendous rant...]


Well said Michelle. I completely agree with you.


Lard Tunderin Jeezus
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Spun off from CN during the privatization of the public service, VIA was intended to be a massive rip-off of the public from its very conception.

[ 06 August 2008: Message edited by: Lard Tunderin' Jeezus ]


Webgear
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quote:Originally posted by Stargazer:
Webgear, have you been hearing about this?

Arrogant these developers. Arrogant, mean fuckwits with nothing better to do than sue when they don't get their way. The town doesn't want this development but as far as the developer is concerned that's just too freaking bad.

I have read a few articles about this in the past. Suing people that disagree with you is the Canadian especially way when you do not get your way.

In the end the developers will win.


Unionist
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quote:Originally posted by Lard Tunderin' Jeezus:
Spun off from CN during the privatization of the public service, VIA was intended to be a massive rip-off of the public from its very conception.

That's not even close to being true, LTJ.

VIA was created as a government-owned institution in 1978 (there was no privatization of anything whatsoever taking place at that time) to take over passenger services previously offered by CN and CP.

CN and CP lost massive amounts of money, because it is inherently impossible to run a for-profit intercity passenger rail service in any country of the world that I'm aware of. (As opposed to freight rail, which is hugely profitable in North America.) The taxpayers in those days (pre-1978) picked up 80% of CN and CP's operating deficit on passenger transport, but they grumbled obviously about having to lose the other 20%. VIA was set up for the express purpose of removing passenger rail from the "commercial" sector (because CP was always private, while CN had by then been given a "commercial" mandate as a crown corporation), and continuing to operate it without any explicit profit motive.

To that end, the government heavily subsidized VIA from the start. Operating grants reached as high as $400-600 million in the late 1980s. Then, in 1989, the Mulroney government slashed half of VIA's routes, got rid of lots of workers, etc., and drastically reduced the subsidy.

For several years now, VIA's annual grant has been fixed at around $170 million. They also get occasional capital grants to renew their fleet, stations, etc. (like the $700 million that was announced earlier this year, almost 5 years late - Chrйtien had promised it in 2003, but Paul Martin immediately nixed it, even though he wasn't yet crowned leader!). It still "loses" lots of money.

VIA must be treated like any other mass transit facility. It should indeed, as Michelle says, be subsidized to the hilt. We need high-speed rail in the "corridor" (Windsor to Quйbec City), or at a minimum Ottawa-Toronto-Montrйal, but these studies have died on the vine since the 1970s.

VIA is a precious national asset. Neo-lib and neo-con politicians are always looking for excuses to shut it down or parcel it out. Instead of complaining about the high fares, IMO we should be lobbying loud for VIA to be treated like other essential transit services and given the funding and the mandate it needs to do the job right.


Lard Tunderin Jeezus
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Thanks for the correction, unionist.

Just goes to show that the things we think we 'know' deserve an occasional fact-check. (That's the Royal 'we', meaning me.)


bruce_the_vii
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There’s some very interesting arithmetic involved with electrifying the roads. An electric engine is 98% efficient while a gas or diesel engine is 25% efficient at most, 18% in practice. So electricity is more efficient by a factor of 5.

At the same time Wikipedia puts the amount of oil used in liquid fuels as 70% to 84%. Mostly this is gas, diesel and jet fuel. That is of the 84 million bbl a day used in the world. Thus if the worlds roads were electrified, and it’s only a matter of time, you might be looking at requiring 35 million bbl a day equivalent less energy. This dents the problem that it’d take 7,000 nuclear reactors or 14 million wind turbines to replace the 84 million bbl’s a day.

Bruce


jester
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Yeah, new electic direct drive DC motors can achieve 98% efficiency but the remainder of an electic system still has large inefficiencies.

New computerised control systems will make this technology very efficient and new component technology will reduce the weight of these systems to a point where it is practical in smaller vehicles but commercial availability is still several years away.


Lard Tunderin Jeezus
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Joined: Aug 27 2001

Allow me to renege slightly on my previous mea culpa.

Via was set-up to fail. Spun out of CN (and forced to provide a massive public subsidy to the private CP), it was from day one saddled with their antiquated rolling stock at over-inflated values and yet not granted nor given any rights to track and passage, leaving the passenger service forever in thrall to its predecessors.

I had known that led to a spiral of repeated subsidy and service cutbacks, but for some reason (continuous neocon speculation, perhaps?) had assumed that VIA too had eventually been privatized. As Unionist pointed out, it has not.


KenS
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But you have to look at efficiency and emmissions from the point where ALL the energy is consumed.

For example, all that efficiency of electricity at the point of motive propulsion dissapears in greater overall emissions if the electricity is coal produced. The efficiency of emmissions in an internal combustion engine FAR outstrips that efficiency in any fossil fuel fired electricity production [even natural gas].

And the bulk of added electric production is, and for the near future will be, coal fired.

Which brings us back to the problem with electrification of the roads rather than the vehicles- the further dependence on centralized power production.

You can't look at the efficiency of electrical propulsion in isolation. And it is not just a question of energy efficiency.

You have to look at how the electricity is going to be produced.

Even for near term battery powered electric vehicles this is a concern for environmentalists. It does not matter that electricity CAN be produced by cleaner means. It isn't, and with the investment time frames entailed, let alone the regulatory frameworks we do not have yet, it is quite a few years before we are talking about lower emission production for capacity that is being added.

The biggest chunk of that added capacity is coal- and in many jurisdictions it is all coal.

So you have to look at how increased grid demand from battery powered electric vehicles is going to be served.

At least with battery powered vehicles it is policywise feasible to ensure that increases in electricity demand are tracked by increases in small scale private power production by businesses and households.

It is simply out of the question to expect capacity increases caused by electric vehicle plug-in to the grid to be covered by increases in zero emmission centralized power production.

You can say that by the time massive electrication of the roads could happen, then added electricity production CAN be near zero emmission. But that is a product of and fosters technicist thinking that helped get us into the enivironmental quagmire we are in.

It's no coincidence that bruce referred to electrification of roads is something we could be starting now, while saying that batteries for electric cars don't exist.

Making that kind of mistake is fostered and encouraged by the kind of thinking that has driven the infrastructure we have now- that technical progress is going to solve our problems.

Technical progress is going to help. But environmental and social and policy ends efficiency FAR lags behind technical efficiency. That is where we can make our biggest gains, and where we have our most pressing needs.

[ 10 August 2008: Message edited by: KenS ]


KenS
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quote: New computerised control systems will make this technology very efficient and new component technology will reduce the weight of these systems to a point where it is practical in smaller vehicles but commercial availability is still several years away.

All electric vehicles are already quite viable. The components are much improved. But they are viable now with lead acid batteries.

The improvements that are on the way will make the vehicles better. But the fact we do not have these vehicles widely available already is a business decision based in marketing limitations of the comapnies involved, not technical limitations.


bruce_the_vii
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Hi Ken. It's true that coal is the cheapest source of electricity now and would power battery propelled venhicles. My understanding is prime wind power and also nuclear are about 3 kw hr as well so coal is not that far ahead.

You say that lead acid batterys make a good electric car. I suppose. They are awfully heavy, the batteries in electric fork lifts are 100 lbs each.

I longer range possibility is sodium sulphur. I've actually see these. They are a bit dangerous because of the sodium.


bruce_the_vii
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Joined: Dec 29 2006

It's curious but as market prices for energy go up electricity will remain regulated. In Ontario the electricity is a public utility but I understand that in the USA where electricity is sometimes private the price is still set by regulation. This will affect the whole energy equation.


KenS
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Member: 2174
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It doesn't matter what drawing board or even real live run costs per killowat hour are for producing electric power.

To put it simply- but not oversimplifying- it is what is available now or in the near enough future to hook up to the grid.

If we are talking about the power companies on the scale they work with, it doesn't matter how low the cost of wind power is becoming... they have to plug in existing infrastructures. And even for several years from now, that means what is up and running right now.

So as long as we are stuck on talking about what is done by our cenralized power production system wind and other alternatives are going to be a drop in the bucket for adding capacity for a while to come. And coal is number one.

Its when we are talking about decentralized power production and use that alternatives are ready to plug right into our infrastructure.


Lard Tunderin Jeezus
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quote:To put it simply- but not oversimplifying- it is what is available now or in the near enough future to hook up to the grid. I have to agree with Ken here. As interesting conceptually as 'electrified roadways' are, there is no effective transition to such an infrastructure, and not enough advantage to it in the long run. (Particularly in Canada, with our low population density.)

Battery electric vehicles have several advantages. They are immediately useful; they allow off-peak electrical production from low-emission sources to be stored effectively, and they could even be utilized to share their stored lower-cost low-emission power on the grid during peak hours - with much less infrastructure required than the electrified road.


M. Spector
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Catchfire
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