Mexico post election 2018

36 posts / 0 new
Last post
epaulo13 epaulo13's picture
Mexico post election 2018

Issues Pages: 
epaulo13 epaulo13's picture

Mexican Presidential Candidates Gang up on Frontrunner Lopez Obrador

Mexico held its first debate of the presidential campaign season. All candidates attacked leftist frontrunner Andres Manuel Lopez Obrador relentlessly, who managed to make his points without getting dragged down, says Mexico analyst John Ackerman

GREG WILPERT: It's The Real News Network. I'm Greg Wilpert, joining you from Quito, Ecuador. Last Sunday, Mexico's five main presidential candidates held their first televised debate for the July 1st presidential election. Andrés Manuel López Obrador, the leftist candidate of the Morena Party and former mayor of Mexico City, enjoys a massive twenty-two point lead, according to a poll released last week.

quote:

JOHN ACKERMAN: Well, let's get a little context first, because, you know, it's really funny, this whole debate thing. You know, historically, debates were not the center of the political campaigns. It was more about-and it still is, in many ways, about campaign stops, visiting public meetings, more close contact with Mexican people. In the recent elections, the Mexican electoral system has become more Americanized and now, like never before really, there's all this emphasis on "the debate as spectacle," as, you know, the great moment in which the different candidates are going to question each other on these one minute soundbites. And, so it's kind of strange. It's still kind of a new thing for Mexicans. Those of us who support political change in Mexico see it with some sort of suspicion, because it seems to be the imposition of American model.

Those of the people in the Mexican population who are very anti-López Obrador- López Obrador is the leader in the polls- are really hoping that in these debates, the other candidates will be able to eat away at his his lead. And that was the purpose that some of these- so, all the candidates, all four other candidates, attacked sort of systematically. There's a statistic that was published yesterday by Reformer Newspaper which shows that López Obrador also received over 50 attacks from the different candidates, while the other ones received less than 10 each of them.

iyraste1313

The election of Obrador, the overwhelming favourite from the people´s organizations has promised to establish oilñ refineries to become self reliant for their people´s gasoline...and end foreign direct involvement in the extraction industires...will this crack the NAFTA and the stability of any remaining North America alliance?

epaulo13 epaulo13's picture

Mexico’s Presidential Race: López Obrador has a 25% Lead, How Reliable are The Polls?

López Obrador of the MORENA party is polling at 51 %, weeks before the July 1st election. We ask professor John M. Ackerman if such a lead is sustainable if PRI and PAN form an alliance to defeat him.

quote:

JOHN ACKERMAN: The polls might actually be underestimating Lopez Obrador’s advantage. These pollsters are not left-wing, pro-Obrador pollsters. In fact, in the past they’ve been highly questioned for slanting the balance towards the sitting government, and against Lopez Obrador in past elections. Of course, in 2012 is a big scandal with, you know, poll manipulation. I guess Lopez Obrador, it’s hard to imagine now they’re somehow helping Lopez Obrador. The advantage, you could see it in the streets. You know, the rallies, Lopez Obrador rallies have turned into these massive festivities while the rallies of both Anaya and Meade are very low-key bureaucratic affairs, normally, that are between four walls.

And so you can feel it on the streets. And the advantage is, you know, between 20 and 30 percent. Depending on the polls that, you know, that on average, the average you’re using is pretty correct. Of course, the big question is going to be turnout on election day. And you know, the government, at least some sectors of the government, the national oligarchy, are not ready to give up. You know, they want to bring things to the mat. Over the last few days, for instance, there’s been a very aggressive telephone, you know, robocall dirty war going on. You know, I myself and just about all my friends, I would probably say most Mexicans, millions of people in Mexico have received over the last two days very aggressive, intimidating supposed polls, which are basically push polls, anti-Lopez Obrador polls. My phone call actually came from Brazil. When you look at the number, it came in from Brazil. Some of them are coming in from Greece. You know, it’s, it is a lot of money going in here, a lot of negative, negative, you know, aggressive tactics going on. They’re desperate, and they’re trying to turn things around the last few weeks. But it looks, it looks like it will be difficult for them.

epaulo13 epaulo13's picture

Presidential Campaign in Mexico Gets Dirty

quote:

It’s clear the big data is being employed here. I got the call on foreign investment. Others got calls on education, security, and other issues. Experts have noted that the call can also generate a database by registering whether voters are for or against the candidate. They seemed to be aimed at changing votes. Given the margin AMLO has, the opposition, whoever it is is behind this, would have to flip at least some voters because it can’t even win with undecideds. On Twitter the hashtag #GuerraSucioElectoral is trending: Electoral dirty war. The special prosecutor on electoral crimes has agreed to take complaints and look into the calls.

Calumnious phone calls from anonymous sources are an ominous sign for the days to come, but it gets worse. There have been over 110 political assassinations since the campaign period began on September 8. Most have been candidates, especially on the local level. These elections are already among the bloodiest in Mexican history. On June 2, for example, four women politicians who were assassinated, including Juana Maldonado, a candidate in Puebla, and Pamela Teran, a candidate in Oaxaca who was murdered with the young photographer assigned to cover her campaign, Maria Del Sol Cruz.

epaulo13 epaulo13's picture

Mexico Update: Establishment Parties Fail to Unite to Defeat Leftist Candidate

The third and final presidential debate took place, as Lopez Obrador maintained his considerable lead. The ruling parties, PRI and PAN, seek a common front to defeat the center-left but internal conflicts and their weak position make that a dim prospect

Ken Burch Ken Burch's picture

They're probably already planning the computer crash for election night.  

epaulo13 epaulo13's picture

..yes quite possible. something is going to happen to try and prevent obrador from taking power.

epaulo13 epaulo13's picture

..7.5 min video

Mexico Update: Mexican and International Media Focus on Discrediting Lopez Obrador

With the results of Mexico’s presidential elections practically a foregone conclusion, his opponents and conservative sectors are lashing out. Meanwhile, Mexican society and the candidates weigh in on Trump’s unconscionable zero tolerance policy on migrant children. Mexican Elections Update courtesy of: Rompeviento.tv

josh
WWWTT

Great news!

 

iyraste1313

AMLO has also suggested he would curtail or even end crude oil exports, diverting supplies for domestic refining. Mexico’s aging refineries are operating way below capacity, and Mexico has become increasingly dependent on imported fuel from the United States....from zerohedge

...one more signpost, we are entering a new era! Yes great news!

Obrador will cut the flow of Mexican crude to the refineries of Louisiana...watch the blowback and economic war with the Trump administration...what is crucial here in Canada is the building of a sovereigntist and socialist movement nation wide!

NDPP

"This is a triumph against a great deal of fear-mongering and 'fake news' that attempted to link Lopez Obrador to Russia and warned that his policies would bring economic disaster to Mexico - CEPRDC Co-Director Mark Weisbrot."

https://twitter.com/TheRealNews/status/1013844754465865728

josh

Only you can somehow work Russia into it.

NDPP

It's the Real News actually. And you should talk! LOL

josh

The Real News didn't post it. 

I only work Russia in when they try to hack an election.  Or when it involves the two fascist BFFs, Trump and Putin.

WWWTT

If Obrador turns out to be a real socialist, then expect the western media to make up any bullshit it can to demonize! 

Fabricated stories about the evil demonic Russia for some reason are very popular with the western corporate media. I’m sure the corporate media will sample a couple minor different stories to see if it gets traction 

Mr. Magoo Mr. Magoo's picture

Quote:
If Obrador turns out to be a real socialist, then expect the western media to make up any bullshit it can to demonize!

At this point the western media is surely patient enough to just wait until the first time he fails to live up to the standards of socialists who don't even live in Mexico, and let them do the ripping and tearing.  Wait and watch, WWWTT.

WWWTT

Perhaps? We’re in the land of speculation so really anything goes. 

Not sure where we socialists are going to set the bar at? Not even sure where the bars at right now in Mexico? So you could be right? 

But really Mr Magoo, do you really believe the corporate media is going to say to each other “ok everyone we can relax, the western socialists have got this one”

 

iyraste1313

By John Vibes

This week, Olga Sanchez Cordero, the future interior minister of incoming Mexican president Andres Manuel Lopez Obrador, announced that the government is strongly considering the decriminalization of all drugs.

Sanchez Cordero said at a seminar that she has full permission from the incoming administration to do whatever it takes to stop the cartel violence in the country, and ending the drug war is at the top of the list.

“On the subject of decriminalizing drugs, Andres Manuel told me, and I quote: ‘Carte blanche. Whatever is necessary to restore peace in this country. Let’s open up the debate,’” Cordero said.

bekayne

WWWTT wrote:

If Obrador turns out to be a real socialist, then expect the western media to make up any bullshit it can to demonize! 

Fabricated stories about the evil demonic Russia for some reason are very popular with the western corporate media. I’m sure the corporate media will sample a couple minor different stories to see if it gets traction 

What does Russia have to do with socialism?

Michael Moriarity Michael Moriarity's picture

bekayne wrote:

What does Russia have to do with socialism?

Good question. My answer is "not a fucking thing".

iyraste1313

If Obrador turns out to be a real socialist, then expect the western media to make up any bullshit it can to demonize! ...

Wait for his attempts to build a self reliant petroleum industry, processing Mexican oil in Tabasco, not Louisiana!
Along with a declining crude fracking industry in US, feeding their refining industry.....the bullshit derives from economic interests....and yes the US oil and war industries are nervous about detente with Russia!

Ken Burch Ken Burch's picture

WWWTT wrote:

Perhaps? We’re in the land of speculation so really anything goes. 

Not sure where we socialists are going to set the bar at? Not even sure where the bars at right now in Mexico? So you could be right? 

But really Mr Magoo, do you really believe the corporate media is going to say to each other “ok everyone we can relax, the western socialists have got this one”

 

Magoo's just pissed off because the rest of us here don't join him in getting all "1950s right-wing 'anticommunist' social democrat" about Venezuela.  He thinks we owed it to all that's good a holy to join him in trying to rehabilitate the discredited idea that privileged North Americans are entitled to lecture a Latin American country with a history of military coups and a wealthy class seeking to stage yet another coup in order to Pinochetize the whole country about "democracy".

Mr. Magoo Mr. Magoo's picture

Quote:
But really Mr Magoo, do you really believe the corporate media is going to say to each other “ok everyone we can relax, the western socialists have got this one”

Perhaps they'll try to gild the lily.  But some conservative pundit surely realizes that his/her harsh criticism of some "socialist" government will pale beside a criticism from a "better" socialist.

Quote:
Magoo's just pissed off because the rest of us here don't join him in getting all "1950s right-wing 'anticommunist' social democrat" about Venezuela.

You've been guessing wrong about my motives for literally years now, Ken.

Ken Burch Ken Burch's picture

Mr. Magoo wrote:

Quote:
But really Mr Magoo, do you really believe the corporate media is going to say to each other “ok everyone we can relax, the western socialists have got this one”

Perhaps they'll try to gild the lily.  But some conservative pundit surely realizes that his/her harsh criticism of some "socialist" government will pale beside a criticism from a "better" socialist.

Quote:
Magoo's just pissed off because the rest of us here don't join him in getting all "1950s right-wing 'anticommunist' social democrat" about Venezuela.

You've been guessing wrong about my motives for literally years now, Ken.

You've been acting like Venezuela is the DDR/DPRK of South America for years.  And you've made it clear that you will only accept election results from that country as legitimate if the put they anti-Left, pro-privatization parties in power. 

Mr. Magoo Mr. Magoo's picture

Quote:
And you've made it clear that you will only accept election results from that country as legitimate if the put the anti-Left parties in power.

I'd like it if the government could play by the same rules we would expect ours to play by -- no using the state broadcaster for exclusive electioneering, for example, and no banishing your opponents from the electoral world, for example.

But frankly, it's the "Chavismo" supporters who won't accept an electoral outcome that doesn't favour their wishes.

That's why the elected government of... how many years ago now?... wasn't even allowed to govern.  I'm not the sore loser here, Ken.  Maduro is, and his supporters are.  Don't tell me you don't remember when they LOST.

Ken Burch Ken Burch's picture

It wasn't the government and that's been put to rest.  Maduro was not required to resign just because the right-wing won a temporary majority in Congress.  And the Right had all the seats the election results entitled them to.  

epaulo13 epaulo13's picture

What Does López Obrador’s Cabinet Say About His Upcoming Presidency?

On July 2, Andrés Manuel López Obrador (AMLO) of the recently formed Morena Party swept to victory in Mexico’s presidential election with 53 per cent of the vote, the first time since 1982 that a candidate won more than half the vote. His closest competitor, Ricardo Anaya of the National Action Party (PAN), took 22 per cent, while José Antonio Meade, candidate for the PRI though not a member of the party, finished with 16 per cent. Morena also replaced the PRD as the leading party in Mexico City, capturing the Mayor’s office and a majority of the local assembly. Mexico City’s Mayor is often considered the second most important political figure in the country.

AMLO was ahead in polls throughout the campaign, but even so, the breadth of the victory, including majority control in both houses of Congress, caught many observers by surprise, although apparently not Mexico’s political class. Prior to the election, and at the invitation of López Obrador, many previous stalwarts from the opposition abandoned their parties to run on the Morena ticket. Even important elements of the business class joined the Morena effort, led by Monterrey industrialist Alfonso Romo, who will serve as AMLO’s Chief of Staff. During his first two presidential runs, López Obrador faced opposition from a united business class. This time he made sure to highlight his pro-capitalist credentials in the proper forums, guaranteeing that he would not challenge privatization of petroleum or the construction of a new airport. These will likely be Mexico’s biggest boondoggles ever.

quote:

“Leftist” or “Populist”?

López Obrador has been considered a “Leftist” by the mainstream press. The Zapatista movement disagrees, characterizing López Obrador as the furthest right of the three main candidates. It is probably accurate to call him a populist nationalist with modest tendencies toward redistribution to stabilize a decaying society without threatening the fundamentals of capital accumulation. As Mexico City Mayor from 2000 to 2005, he was best known for three programs designed to keep everyone happy. His “segundo piso” was a massive highway infrastructure project that sped the trip from tony suburbs to downtown Mexico City. His re-development of the historic city center provided real estate tycoons, particularly Carlos Slim, one of the world’s wealthiest men, with unparalleled opportunities for gentrification and immense profits. His small monthly cash handouts to single mothers, seniors and handicapped citizens were straight out of the PRI clientelist playbook but without the corporatist organizational intermediaries. AMLO built a direct and uncharacteristically personal relationship with his “viejitos” who eventually formed part of Morena’s electoral base.

quote:

While AMLO presents a clean public persona (he drives an older model sedan, lives in a modest apartment and eschews a personal security detail), the same cannot be said of his many new allies imported from the PRI, PAN and PRD. Mexican politics is widely understood as a path to wealth and López Obrador knows how to play the game. During his years as Mayor of Mexico City, AMLO surrounded himself with some questionable characters. Perhaps best known was Rene Bejarano, AMLO’s principal political operator in the Mexico City Legislative Assembly and the husband of Dolores Padierna. In 2004, Bejarano was videotaped accepting wads of cash from businessman Carlos Ahumada, most likely for AMLO’s presidential campaign. He spent eight months in jail before being exonerated (well-connected political operatives seldom spend much time in prison, whatever their crimes), then spent the next 13 years keeping a low profile as a PRD agent, and, at least publicly, at a healthy distance from AMLO. López Obrador claimed Bejarano was working “on his own” when he accepted the money, a claim that is difficult to reconcile with the facts. In any case, now he’s back, supporting his old boss and with a likely future in an AMLO administration.

quote:

Dangerous “Leftist”

For the moment, let’s assume AMLO can tame rampant government corruption. That still leaves the much more important “legal” robbery known as capitalism that allows a small class of owners to steal from workers. This kind of corruption is called exploitation, but AMLO never addresses it. López Obrador may be the most dangerous of “leftists,” the kind that is convinced heart and soul that capitalism is not only inevitable, but can be just and productive for the majority of humanity under the right political conditions – and it just so happens that he has the secret recipe. Hence, his political program is populist (bread and circus for the masses), nationalist (though a particularly narrow form of nationalism in which he occupies the center of attention), and adamantly pro-capitalist (favoring those members of the capitalist class who are willing to support his brand of populism).

Ken Burch Ken Burch's picture

So...if the Zapatistas thought Obrador was the furthest right of any of the main candidates, who did they see as the furthest left?

iyraste1313

No doubt, Obrador is a populist, so far with the support of the people by his actions...and no doubt as a southerner, will try to rewrite the balance of support traditionally to the Northern States maquiladoras, what with his low cost bullet train project through the southern states...and as a populist plans to use the referendum to back up his programs.....

and to place Mexico first!
Whatever people may think of the fossil fuel industry, he plans to drastically ramp it up, throughout the southern states and likely establish Mexican refineries. Whatever one may think of his political direction, the guy has guts, and will not let anyone interfere with his plans.....

epaulo13 epaulo13's picture

link

AMY GOODMAN: And also Mexico’s incoming foreign minister, not the government of Peña Nieto but the government of AMLO, of Andrés Manuel López Obrador, saying that they have agreed to wait, that the migrants should stay waiting on Mexican soil as they wait to hear their appeals, but that in return, the U.S. government should pay at least $20 billion for Marshall Plan-style programming into developing the economies of Salvador, Honduras, and Guatemala.

DANA FRANK: And then this question of the $20 billion Marshall Plan—well, I don’t know if people might remember after the so-called crisis on unaccompanied children coming to the U.S. in 2014, the Obama administration’s response was something called the Biden Plan, promoted by Vice President Joe Biden, that wanted to give $1 billion to the governments of the so-called Northern Triangle of Honduras, Guatemala and El Salvador in order to stop migration and address root causes. And if you look at that—and $750 million of that was eventually funded by Congress—if you look at that, it is pouring precisely into the same security forces and sectors of the economy that are causing the very repression, the very destruction of the economy that people are fleeing.

So when you start hearing—I mean, of course we’re all watching to see what López Obrador is going to do in Mexico, and of course the Honduran economy does need to be rebuilt, but not according to a model run by the current U.S. government and run by the repressive regime of Juan Orlando Hernández and the Honduran elites. And that’s what’s so terrifying here, is like you pour that kind of money in, in the same model, and we have been down this road before, and you’re just handing money over to the elites to steal and use it to really terrorize their people over and over again at higher and higher levels.

epaulo13 epaulo13's picture

Mexico’s López Obrador vows to end neo-liberalism in inauguration

Andrés Manuel López Obrador was sworn in as Mexico’s president with a vow to abolish free-market policies that he said had been a “calamity” for the country. The 65-year-old leftwing nationalist attacked neo-liberalism as he pledged to initiate a “fourth transformation of Mexico” in a combative speech on Saturday that at times made his business-friendly predecessor Enrique Peña Nieto squirm. “It may sound pretentious or exaggerated but today is not only the start of a new government but a change of political regime,” said Mr López Obrador, whose election win overturned a political establishment that had been entrenched for more than a century.

quote:

The new president launched a fierce attack on the economic status quo and the energy reforms completed in 2013 that were the centrepiece of Mr Peña Nieto’s policy achievements. Mr López Obrador harked back to Mexico’s golden growth period, from 1930 to 1960, and vowed not to repeat the way the country had racked up debt from 1970 to 1982. He condemned “the manifest failure and corruption” of neo-liberal policies that he said had delivered a fraction of the growth of earlier decades but rampant graft.

“We will do all we can to abolish this neo-liberal regime,” said the blunt-talking nationalist in a speech in Congress before scores of foreign dignitaries. He also repeated his vow to respect the independence of the Bank of Mexico and to serve just one six-year term. Critics have feared that he could cling to power like other Latin American leftists including Bolivia’s Evo Morales, who was hailed by the new president at the swearing-in as an “amigo”.

He praised Donald Trump’s friendship — the US president sent his daughter Ivanka and vice-president Mike Pence to the ceremony.

epaulo13 epaulo13's picture

"Like Versailles": Mexicans marvel as presidents' home opened to public

Dazzled Mexicans filed into the opulent residence of their presidents on Saturday, when the new government threw open its doors in a highly symbolic moment one visitor likened to entering the Palace of Versailles in the French Revolution.

Before leftist President Andres Manuel Lopez Obrador was even sworn in Saturday morning, hundreds of Mexicans lined up to be among the first to see formerly private quarters in “Los Pinos,” the home of presidents during the last eight decades.

Mario Lozano, a 47-year-old vendor from one of the poor neighborhoods that are part of a sprawl of cinder block homes surrounding Mexico City, said he felt like he was entering the palace of French kings after the revolution.

“It’s like I am entering the Palace of Versailles. I imagine the French people when they entered,” he said. “It is obscene to see this ostentation compared to the misery.”

Lopez Obrador, the first leftist in a generation to rule Mexico, won a landslide victory in July on a promise to end record violence, purge the government of widespread corruption and to put Mexico’s poor at the top of his agenda.

In his inaugural address, Lopez Obrador vowed to end the rule of a “rapacious” elite and pledged to bring about a radical rebirth of Mexico that he likens to independence from Spain and the Mexican Revolution.

quote:

Located in a section of the capital’s huge Chapultepec park, Los Pinos will be converted into a cultural center.

Lopez Obrador has not been totally clear about where he will live.

Recently he said he will likely move from his unassuming home in a middle-class neighborhood into an apartment in the city’s historic center near the National Palace that he will use as the presidential office.

Among the crowds passing through Los Pinos on Saturday was Maria Antonia Cortes, a 50-year old grade school teacher from the Pacific resort town of Puerta Vallarta.

“We are being given the freedom to see something that belongs to us, this is all from our taxes,” Cortes said.

NDPP

Lopez Obrador Proposes Austerity Budget, Creates Free Economic Zone at the Border

https://www.wsws.org/en/articles/2019/01/03/mexi-j03.html

"....Millions of people voted for AMLO and Morena with the expectation that, holding every lever of power, they would be able to carry out what AMLO has called a historic 'fourth transformation' of Mexican society. The new administration's financial plan strips away his populist pretensions and exposes precisely what is meant by 'change' under the capitalist government of AMLO..."

 

Zapatistas Warn Mexico: 'We Won't Back AMLO Projects'

https://t.co/tplA44yx51

"Mexico's National Liberation Zapatista Army (EZLN) has declared it won't allow the 'death projects' of President Manuel Lopez Obrador in its territory, vowing to maintain autonomy based on Indigenous customs..."

iyraste1313

Zapatistas Warn Mexico...

I am dumbfounded by this condemnation of such projects as the Yucatan to Chiapas rail system, the agroforestry plans by the new government...direct benefits to the poor and campesinos of Chiapas....The Yucatan tourist industry is a temporary relief for so many, for work...and complaints that the tree plantings will destroy the rainforests, which are being cut down by everyone for their daily sustenance...condemning the plantings of trees for firewwood?

Sure this is only a temporary reformist  plan...but the projects could be used to build community based social organization....Where are these Z´s at?! Their condemnation certainly does not represent the interest of their base!