Mexico Presidential Election 2018

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epaulo13 epaulo13's picture
Mexico Presidential Election 2018

epaulo13 epaulo13's picture

Mexican Presidential Candidates Gang up on Frontrunner Lopez Obrador

Mexico held its first debate of the presidential campaign season. All candidates attacked leftist frontrunner Andres Manuel Lopez Obrador relentlessly, who managed to make his points without getting dragged down, says Mexico analyst John Ackerman

GREG WILPERT: It's The Real News Network. I'm Greg Wilpert, joining you from Quito, Ecuador. Last Sunday, Mexico's five main presidential candidates held their first televised debate for the July 1st presidential election. Andrés Manuel López Obrador, the leftist candidate of the Morena Party and former mayor of Mexico City, enjoys a massive twenty-two point lead, according to a poll released last week.

quote:

JOHN ACKERMAN: Well, let's get a little context first, because, you know, it's really funny, this whole debate thing. You know, historically, debates were not the center of the political campaigns. It was more about-and it still is, in many ways, about campaign stops, visiting public meetings, more close contact with Mexican people. In the recent elections, the Mexican electoral system has become more Americanized and now, like never before really, there's all this emphasis on "the debate as spectacle," as, you know, the great moment in which the different candidates are going to question each other on these one minute soundbites. And, so it's kind of strange. It's still kind of a new thing for Mexicans. Those of us who support political change in Mexico see it with some sort of suspicion, because it seems to be the imposition of American model.

Those of the people in the Mexican population who are very anti-López Obrador- López Obrador is the leader in the polls- are really hoping that in these debates, the other candidates will be able to eat away at his his lead. And that was the purpose that some of these- so, all the candidates, all four other candidates, attacked sort of systematically. There's a statistic that was published yesterday by Reformer Newspaper which shows that López Obrador also received over 50 attacks from the different candidates, while the other ones received less than 10 each of them.

iyraste1313

The election of Obrador, the overwhelming favourite from the people´s organizations has promised to establish oilñ refineries to become self reliant for their people´s gasoline...and end foreign direct involvement in the extraction industires...will this crack the NAFTA and the stability of any remaining North America alliance?

epaulo13 epaulo13's picture

Mexico’s Presidential Race: López Obrador has a 25% Lead, How Reliable are The Polls?

López Obrador of the MORENA party is polling at 51 %, weeks before the July 1st election. We ask professor John M. Ackerman if such a lead is sustainable if PRI and PAN form an alliance to defeat him.

quote:

JOHN ACKERMAN: The polls might actually be underestimating Lopez Obrador’s advantage. These pollsters are not left-wing, pro-Obrador pollsters. In fact, in the past they’ve been highly questioned for slanting the balance towards the sitting government, and against Lopez Obrador in past elections. Of course, in 2012 is a big scandal with, you know, poll manipulation. I guess Lopez Obrador, it’s hard to imagine now they’re somehow helping Lopez Obrador. The advantage, you could see it in the streets. You know, the rallies, Lopez Obrador rallies have turned into these massive festivities while the rallies of both Anaya and Meade are very low-key bureaucratic affairs, normally, that are between four walls.

And so you can feel it on the streets. And the advantage is, you know, between 20 and 30 percent. Depending on the polls that, you know, that on average, the average you’re using is pretty correct. Of course, the big question is going to be turnout on election day. And you know, the government, at least some sectors of the government, the national oligarchy, are not ready to give up. You know, they want to bring things to the mat. Over the last few days, for instance, there’s been a very aggressive telephone, you know, robocall dirty war going on. You know, I myself and just about all my friends, I would probably say most Mexicans, millions of people in Mexico have received over the last two days very aggressive, intimidating supposed polls, which are basically push polls, anti-Lopez Obrador polls. My phone call actually came from Brazil. When you look at the number, it came in from Brazil. Some of them are coming in from Greece. You know, it’s, it is a lot of money going in here, a lot of negative, negative, you know, aggressive tactics going on. They’re desperate, and they’re trying to turn things around the last few weeks. But it looks, it looks like it will be difficult for them.

epaulo13 epaulo13's picture

Presidential Campaign in Mexico Gets Dirty

quote:

It’s clear the big data is being employed here. I got the call on foreign investment. Others got calls on education, security, and other issues. Experts have noted that the call can also generate a database by registering whether voters are for or against the candidate. They seemed to be aimed at changing votes. Given the margin AMLO has, the opposition, whoever it is is behind this, would have to flip at least some voters because it can’t even win with undecideds. On Twitter the hashtag #GuerraSucioElectoral is trending: Electoral dirty war. The special prosecutor on electoral crimes has agreed to take complaints and look into the calls.

Calumnious phone calls from anonymous sources are an ominous sign for the days to come, but it gets worse. There have been over 110 political assassinations since the campaign period began on September 8. Most have been candidates, especially on the local level. These elections are already among the bloodiest in Mexican history. On June 2, for example, four women politicians who were assassinated, including Juana Maldonado, a candidate in Puebla, and Pamela Teran, a candidate in Oaxaca who was murdered with the young photographer assigned to cover her campaign, Maria Del Sol Cruz.

epaulo13 epaulo13's picture

Mexico Update: Establishment Parties Fail to Unite to Defeat Leftist Candidate

The third and final presidential debate took place, as Lopez Obrador maintained his considerable lead. The ruling parties, PRI and PAN, seek a common front to defeat the center-left but internal conflicts and their weak position make that a dim prospect

Ken Burch Ken Burch's picture

They're probably already planning the computer crash for election night.  

epaulo13 epaulo13's picture

..yes quite possible. something is going to happen to try and prevent obrador from taking power.

epaulo13 epaulo13's picture

..7.5 min video

Mexico Update: Mexican and International Media Focus on Discrediting Lopez Obrador

With the results of Mexico’s presidential elections practically a foregone conclusion, his opponents and conservative sectors are lashing out. Meanwhile, Mexican society and the candidates weigh in on Trump’s unconscionable zero tolerance policy on migrant children. Mexican Elections Update courtesy of: Rompeviento.tv

josh
WWWTT

Great news!

 

iyraste1313

AMLO has also suggested he would curtail or even end crude oil exports, diverting supplies for domestic refining. Mexico’s aging refineries are operating way below capacity, and Mexico has become increasingly dependent on imported fuel from the United States....from zerohedge

...one more signpost, we are entering a new era! Yes great news!

Obrador will cut the flow of Mexican crude to the refineries of Louisiana...watch the blowback and economic war with the Trump administration...what is crucial here in Canada is the building of a sovereigntist and socialist movement nation wide!

NDPP

"This is a triumph against a great deal of fear-mongering and 'fake news' that attempted to link Lopez Obrador to Russia and warned that his policies would bring economic disaster to Mexico - CEPRDC Co-Director Mark Weisbrot."

https://twitter.com/TheRealNews/status/1013844754465865728

josh

Only you can somehow work Russia into it.

NDPP

It's the Real News actually. And you should talk! LOL

josh

The Real News didn't post it. 

I only work Russia in when they try to hack an election.  Or when it involves the two fascist BFFs, Trump and Putin.

WWWTT

If Obrador turns out to be a real socialist, then expect the western media to make up any bullshit it can to demonize! 

Fabricated stories about the evil demonic Russia for some reason are very popular with the western corporate media. I’m sure the corporate media will sample a couple minor different stories to see if it gets traction 

Mr. Magoo Mr. Magoo's picture

Quote:
If Obrador turns out to be a real socialist, then expect the western media to make up any bullshit it can to demonize!

At this point the western media is surely patient enough to just wait until the first time he fails to live up to the standards of socialists who don't even live in Mexico, and let them do the ripping and tearing.  Wait and watch, WWWTT.

WWWTT

Perhaps? We’re in the land of speculation so really anything goes. 

Not sure where we socialists are going to set the bar at? Not even sure where the bars at right now in Mexico? So you could be right? 

But really Mr Magoo, do you really believe the corporate media is going to say to each other “ok everyone we can relax, the western socialists have got this one”

 

iyraste1313

By John Vibes

This week, Olga Sanchez Cordero, the future interior minister of incoming Mexican president Andres Manuel Lopez Obrador, announced that the government is strongly considering the decriminalization of all drugs.

Sanchez Cordero said at a seminar that she has full permission from the incoming administration to do whatever it takes to stop the cartel violence in the country, and ending the drug war is at the top of the list.

“On the subject of decriminalizing drugs, Andres Manuel told me, and I quote: ‘Carte blanche. Whatever is necessary to restore peace in this country. Let’s open up the debate,’” Cordero said.

bekayne

WWWTT wrote:

If Obrador turns out to be a real socialist, then expect the western media to make up any bullshit it can to demonize! 

Fabricated stories about the evil demonic Russia for some reason are very popular with the western corporate media. I’m sure the corporate media will sample a couple minor different stories to see if it gets traction 

What does Russia have to do with socialism?

Michael Moriarity Michael Moriarity's picture

bekayne wrote:

What does Russia have to do with socialism?

Good question. My answer is "not a fucking thing".

iyraste1313

If Obrador turns out to be a real socialist, then expect the western media to make up any bullshit it can to demonize! ...

Wait for his attempts to build a self reliant petroleum industry, processing Mexican oil in Tabasco, not Louisiana!
Along with a declining crude fracking industry in US, feeding their refining industry.....the bullshit derives from economic interests....and yes the US oil and war industries are nervous about detente with Russia!

Ken Burch Ken Burch's picture

WWWTT wrote:

Perhaps? We’re in the land of speculation so really anything goes. 

Not sure where we socialists are going to set the bar at? Not even sure where the bars at right now in Mexico? So you could be right? 

But really Mr Magoo, do you really believe the corporate media is going to say to each other “ok everyone we can relax, the western socialists have got this one”

 

Magoo's just pissed off because the rest of us here don't join him in getting all "1950s right-wing 'anticommunist' social democrat" about Venezuela.  He thinks we owed it to all that's good a holy to join him in trying to rehabilitate the discredited idea that privileged North Americans are entitled to lecture a Latin American country with a history of military coups and a wealthy class seeking to stage yet another coup in order to Pinochetize the whole country about "democracy".

Mr. Magoo Mr. Magoo's picture

Quote:
But really Mr Magoo, do you really believe the corporate media is going to say to each other “ok everyone we can relax, the western socialists have got this one”

Perhaps they'll try to gild the lily.  But some conservative pundit surely realizes that his/her harsh criticism of some "socialist" government will pale beside a criticism from a "better" socialist.

Quote:
Magoo's just pissed off because the rest of us here don't join him in getting all "1950s right-wing 'anticommunist' social democrat" about Venezuela.

You've been guessing wrong about my motives for literally years now, Ken.

Ken Burch Ken Burch's picture

Mr. Magoo wrote:

Quote:
But really Mr Magoo, do you really believe the corporate media is going to say to each other “ok everyone we can relax, the western socialists have got this one”

Perhaps they'll try to gild the lily.  But some conservative pundit surely realizes that his/her harsh criticism of some "socialist" government will pale beside a criticism from a "better" socialist.

Quote:
Magoo's just pissed off because the rest of us here don't join him in getting all "1950s right-wing 'anticommunist' social democrat" about Venezuela.

You've been guessing wrong about my motives for literally years now, Ken.

You've been acting like Venezuela is the DDR/DPRK of South America for years.  And you've made it clear that you will only accept election results from that country as legitimate if the put they anti-Left, pro-privatization parties in power. 

Mr. Magoo Mr. Magoo's picture

Quote:
And you've made it clear that you will only accept election results from that country as legitimate if the put the anti-Left parties in power.

I'd like it if the government could play by the same rules we would expect ours to play by -- no using the state broadcaster for exclusive electioneering, for example, and no banishing your opponents from the electoral world, for example.

But frankly, it's the "Chavismo" supporters who won't accept an electoral outcome that doesn't favour their wishes.

That's why the elected government of... how many years ago now?... wasn't even allowed to govern.  I'm not the sore loser here, Ken.  Maduro is, and his supporters are.  Don't tell me you don't remember when they LOST.

Ken Burch Ken Burch's picture

It wasn't the government and that's been put to rest.  Maduro was not required to resign just because the right-wing won a temporary majority in Congress.  And the Right had all the seats the election results entitled them to.