Okay, so Probe Research shows that the PCs (43% of popular support) are up on the NDP (29% popular support) by 14 percentage points in the popular vote.
Other polls determined that Manitobans hate the PST hike.
Yet the Dippers & PCs are statistically tied in Winnipeg (for popular support) and the PCs only have a 10 percentage point advantage over the Dippers in southwest Winnipeg.
I find this amazing. I mean, isn't the southwest suppose to be the urban base of the Tories? I mean, without rock solid NDP support I suspected it'd be one of the first areas to fold for the party.
Are there some demographic shifts I'm not taking into account?