Mighty Middle you seem to be in a state of denial about the unpopularity of Wynne. Because modern elections are primarily driven by party leaders and their popularity, this is an enormous problem for the Liberals. Here are several analyses of why this is the case. Admittedly, these analyses are somewhat older than the polls I cited in the last post, but her popularity has only shown small improvement since these articles were done. The analyses come from several different pollsters, in case there is one you particularly don't like.
Perhaps, you are out of touch with regular people, like Wynne, as the analyses suggest. Or maybe, you know that, like her political team, you already know what the situation is and that the lack of trust in her is "the kiss of death". Maybe you're even part of that political team.
Polls by three different firms in recent months suggest that just 13 to 16 per cent of voters approve of the job Wynne's doing. One pollster, Forum Research, called it "the lowest value we have ever recorded for a sitting premier."
The conventional wisdom of the moment is voters are angry about the skyrocketing price of hydro. The government's messages "didn't seem to jibe with what people were feeling in terms of their concerns about pocketbook issues," admits one senior Wynne adviser
There's no doubt hydro is a big issue — so much so that tackling electricity costs will be the Liberals' chief priority in the upcoming budget. But a bill that arrives once a month can't alone account for the extent of disapproval for Wynne. There must be something more fundamental.
Liberal sources tell me their own polling finds Wynne is scoring badly with voters on such measures as "understanding the pressures in my daily life" and "understanding my situation."
In short, she's seen as out of touch with regular people.
The political team around Wynne knows this is the kiss of death for a politician. They also know that if the Liberals are to have any hope of winning the election in June of 2018, Wynne must do more than just say she "feels your pain" — she must prove it. ...
Other pundits are all but writing Wynne off.
"She has lost that credibility with voters and once it's gone it's almost impossible to get back," said Quito Maggi, CEO of Mainstreet Research. ...
"There comes a point with governments when there may be little they can do to change circumstances, particularly after a party has been in power for a long time," said Shachi Kurl, executive director of the Angus Reid Institute.
Wynne remains the most unpopular premier in the country.
Kathleen Wynne doesn’t seem to be gaining any traction among voters in Ontario as she remains the most unpopular premier in Canada with a provincial election slated for June, according to a new poll.
A survey by Angus Reid Institute, released on Wednesday, found Wynne’s approval rating is stagnant at 19 per cent, just one percentage point lower than numbers reported in December, and seven percentage points more than her lowest recorded rating of 12 per cent in March of last year.
Another earlier poll even suggests that Wynne could lose in her own riding.
With the province seemingly ready to vote out the Liberal party in the upcoming June election, a Forum Research poll conducted on March 11th, the day after Doug Ford was announced the PC leader, concludes the 416, which is traditionally a Liberal stronghold, could start turning Tory.
My personal opinion is that it is not scandals that have made Wynne the most unpopular premier in the country, although they helped. Nor is it simply the desire for change: Ontario and Alberta governments stayed in power for over 40 years in the past. It's primarily the loss of trust due to the promises made in the 2014 government that made it seem her government was going to carry-out major left-wing oriented reforms followed by three years of austerity. That's why even though the Ontario economy is growing and unemployment is down, people don't trust her. So that's why new promises and in some cases actions, such as the $15 minimum wage, are ignored because, people do not believe the new promises will be implemented based on their past experience.