I am curious about the Trinity Spadina statistics. This is an awesome increase in voter turnout. Provincially voter turn out increased by 3% or something, in Trinity Spadina there was a 20% increase in voter turnout. Any ideas on that? Is that the case in any other ridings?
Andrea Horwath's fate on Friday the 13th
I was reading Svend Robinson book and he write that being openly gay worked against him, when he ran against Hedy Fry in Vancouver Center.
Vancouver Center has a large LGBT population, and they were angry that they were asked to make a choice between Hedy and Svend. They felt this label was being put on them of voting for Svend just because he is gay. They didn't want to be defined that way.
They overwhelming voted for Hedy because she had done more for their individual community in Vancouver Center, then Svend would. They saw Svend running in Vancouver Center as opportunisim.
It is all in Svend book.
I'm not sure it was an LGBT issue, but it sure was opportunism. Svend ran for Parliament mere months after claiming he was mentally incapable of being held responsible for stealing a ring. He came across as a complete flake and voters of Vancouver Centre responded accordingly.
the increased "turnout" in Trinity-Spadina is because of the population growth, particularly in waterfront condos. That why a new seat in being added in the new redistribution.
Wilf Day wrote:
Rosario worked his ass off; I saw the stuffs he posted on facebook. He is so knowledgeable about the needs of his constituents and they voted for THAT GUY.
All the new condos are changing the demographics. Just look at the result in working-class York West: Tom Rakocevic got 39.2%, up from 34.8%, while Rosario dropped to 30.5%.
I find on this forum and within NDP circles, you hear all this talk about Trinity-Spadina. You also find many Trinity-Spadina folks later working in higher up position within the party or as staffers to NDP MPs/MPPs/City Councillors throughout the city. Because of that many within the NDP see Trinity Spadina as some kind of natural NDP turf, when in fact it is more of a swing riding that leans towards the NDP (more so provincially). With the changing demographics, I think ridings such as Davenport and Parkdale High Park will become the 'new' Trinity Spadina - and Trinity-Spadina replacement ridings will become more in play until/unless the NDP can supplant the Liberals (as most Labour parties have done elsewhere in the world) or some kind of proportional represetnation or ranked ballot came in.
I can tell you this: if we had ranked ballots, you'd see a NDP majority government as most Liberals and Conservatives would have ranked Andrea and the NDP as their 2nd choice.
This is why I oppose single-member district ranked ballots. Those who champion it for municipal politics will champion it for both provincial and federal politics. It blows away the notion that those who advocate for single-member district ranked ballots are doing so only at the municipal level. They want it implemented at the provincial and federal levels also. Finally, based on the Australian elections for the House of Representatives, around 90 to 95% of the first choice candidates do go on to win their electoral districts. In practically every election, the ranked-ballot effect does not change the overall party composition in the House of Commons from first-choice to 50%+1 on the final vote count.