Ontario Polling - started March 30, 2015

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Ciabatta2

I'm not convinced that Wynne is really this unpopular and that the PCs are this popular.  I think the high PC polling results are due to their support being regionally concentrated and of the binary "not Wynne" mid-term variety.

In this environment could see the Liberals or PCs maintaining a slim minority.  The PCs might gain some suburbs and semi-rural ridings back but there will be a rush of anti-PC voting that could benefit the Liberals.  The Liberals have a decent brand as the party of modern "progressives" (whatever that means this hour) and have a leader that strongly appeals to that group, particularly when compared to what's-he-hiding Patrick and union-hall-one-note Andrea.

I think the NDP plays well in the ridings it already has in the north, extreme south and Niagara but has no ability for growth and is on the brink in Toronto.  Hamilton is changing rapidly and there could be a surprise loss there too.  They have no momentum.  That being said, I thought the NDP's recent hydro platform was folly and then subsequently watched the Liberal gazzump them on it, so my judgment should always be viewed as suspect.

NorthReport
Pondering

Why aren't the NDP benefiting from the massive unpopularity of Wynne?

Debater

Ontario Liberals could be on comeback trail, new poll suggests

17.05.2017

Campaign Research

OLP 37%

PCPO 34%

NDP 22%

http://www.qpbriefing.com/2017/05/17/ontario-liberals-could-be-on-comeba...

josh

This probably aided their rise also.

https://www.thestar.com/amp/news/queenspark/2017/05/13/ontario-plans-big...

Gee, progressive policies results in rise in support.  You'd think they'd learn this lesson.

Ken Burch Ken Burch's picture

Pondering wrote:

Why aren't the NDP benefiting from the massive unpopularity of Wynne?

Some people are STILL mad at Bob Rae...and they're punishing the NDP even though Rae's been a Liberal for years now.

epaulo13 epaulo13's picture

Ken Burch wrote:

Pondering wrote:

Why aren't the NDP benefiting from the massive unpopularity of Wynne?

Some people are STILL mad at Bob Rae...and they're punishing the NDP even though Rae's been a Liberal for years now.

..some thoughts. i think some may remember rae but that's not it. i have relatives in ontario and the are extremely conservative. the way to counter this is not via a polarized horse race but community interaction. this would include real decisions making processes.  the majority of folk oppose the privatization of hydro. this can be used at the community much more than it is. i don't like the idea of leaving it up to the ndp to fix this..if they get elected.

Debater

Ottawa-area MPP Jack MacLaren expelled from PC caucus

Expulsion comes after remarks he made about French-language rights in Ontario surface online

May 28, 2017

http://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/ottawa/jack-maclaren-removed-pc-caucus-1.4...

Mr. Magoo Mr. Magoo's picture

I'm not sure he was turfed solely for being a nay-sayer about French-language rights.  Perhaps that might have been sufficient, particularly given that he was on his fourth chance.  But I think the kicker might have been:

Quote:
MacLaren, first elected in 2011, then goes on to say, "We have lots of things that we're going to do but we won't say before the election because we won't get elected."

Way to knock down that fourth wall, dude.  The first rule of "Right" Club is you don't talk about the inner workings of "Right" Club.

bekayne

Mr. Magoo wrote:

Way to knock down that fourth wall, dude.  

 

NorthReport

Ontario NDP now in 2nd place as Liberals continue to sink and drop to third

http://poll.forumresearch.com/m/post/2756/ontario-horserace-june-2017

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