Who's running, who should be for the ONDP in 2011 - part II

102 posts / 0 new
Last post
Krago

Here are the Facebook pages of two of the candidates running for the NDP nomination in Windsor-Tecumseh.  No date has been set for the meeting.

Laurie Komon - "I'm blind. blonde and have a brain tumour ~ don't hold that against me!"

Andrew McAvoy - "It's Time for Change."

janfromthebruce

excellent news! Thanks for the update!

 

______________________________________________________________________________________ Our kids live together and play together in their communities, let's have them learn together too!

adma

robbie_dee wrote:
Former Wentworth North NDP MPP Don Abel has been [url=http://www.haliburtonecho.ca/ArticleDisplay.aspx?e=3168154]nominated in Haliburton-Kawartha Lakes-Brock, where he now lives[/url].

Well, there's one answer for my "any Rae-era MPPs trying to catch the Jackmania wind" question.  (And the migratory tendencies of Haliburton/Kawartha reps is worth noting: Dennis Drainville went from Rae-era MPP here to running in the Gaspe and assuming the Anglican bishopric of Quebec)

robbie_dee

[url=http://www.mississauga.com/news/article/1031558--singh-seeks-provincial-... Singh seeks provincial NDP nod[/url]

Quote:
Having come within 539 votes of pulling off one of the biggest upsets in Peel's federal election history, Jagmeet Singh is anxious to climb back into the political ring.

Singh, a virtual political unknown at age 32, came close to becoming the first-ever New Democrat MP in Peel in the May 2 federal election. He polled 19,368 votes in losing to Conservative Bal Gosal in the riding of Bramalea-Gore-Malton. The veteran Liberal incumbent, Gurbax Malhi, finished third.

Now Singh, a criminal lawyer who lives in Mississauga, is hoping to run for the NDP in the same riding in the Oct. 6 provincial election.

On election night Singh said that "before, I think people would have said (victory) was a long shot, but now I think I am a legitimate contender. People in Bramalea-Gore-Malton are looking for a change. They want something new, they want an alternative to the two parties, that both have had their stints in government."

Singh and Glenn Crowe, who ran as a provincial candidate in the 2007 election in Bramalea-Gore-Malton, are battling each other for the NDP nomination in the riding.

Crowe, who has lived most of his life in Brampton and graduated from Bramalea Secondary School, works in a senior position in the heating, ventilation and air conditioning business.

The nomination vote will be held tomorrow night (Thursday, June 232) at 6:30 p.m. at the Earnscliffe Recreation Centre, located at 44 Eastbourne Dr. in Brampton.

Stockholm

that is great news and i have to think that Singh will be heavily favoured to win the nomination given what an incredible federal campiagn he did!

Yogurt Baron

Any word out of Welland? With Malcolm Allen just barely eking out two terms, and Hudak high in the polls, the NDP should probably get moving on candidate selection, no?

Stockholm

I heard that there is a very long list of people interested in running for the NDP nomination in Welland (which in itself is a good sign)

adma

Well, one 2007 candidate (and before that, a Mississauga political legend) has passed on...
http://www.simcoe.com/news/article/1033192--ndp-s-taylor-fought-for-ideals

Yogurt Baron

News from Durham: the Durham riding has nominated James Terry (campaign being managed by former federal candidate Tammy Schoep, who did a great job in a bluer-than-blue seat), and Ajax-Pickering has nominated Evan Wiseman, son of former local MPP Jim Wiseman.

Robo

Here are links to stories about Evan Wiseman and James Terry

Wilf Day

Stockholm wrote:
i have to think that Singh will be heavily favoured to win the nomination given what an incredible federal campiagn he did!

He did. "In October, Ontario is going to see the Orange Crush again," Singh said after being nominated last week to run in the same Ontario riding that he almost won in the May 2 federal vote.

Wilf Day

Stockholm wrote:
One riding that the NDP probably should think about is St. Catherine's. There are more rumours that Jim Bradley will retire (he was first elected in 1977!) - and St. Catherine's is pretty working class town.

If we win St. Catharine's we should win government. On May 2 we got only 23.8% there, compared with 25.6% across Ontario.

edmundoconnor

Any news from any of the Etobicoke ridings?

Stockholm

Wilf Day wrote:

Stockholm wrote:
One riding that the NDP probably should think about is St. Catherine's. There are more rumours that Jim Bradley will retire (he was first elected in 1977!) - and St. Catherine's is pretty working class town.

If we win St. Catharine's we should win government. On May 2 we got only 23.8% there, compared with 25.6% across Ontario.

I'm not so sure about that - you can get all kinds of anomalies depending on whether a seat is heavily targetted and depending on whether or not a seat has a popular incumbent. One could argue that if the Liberals HOLD St. Catherine's they shoudl win re-election - but they have won it in the past while being crushed across the province on the strength of Bradley's personal popularity. (e.g. in 1990 when the ONDP won 74 seats in Ontario - they failed to beat Bradley). In the federal election, my impression is that the NDP did not put any priority on St. catherine's. The Tory incumbent seemed impregnable and all available resources were focused on holding on to Welland. But in reality when you look at the demographics of St. Catherine's - it is a place that should be winnable for the NDP IF it is an open seat and IF they get a high profile candidate.

adma

I thought Layton did earlier pinpoint St. Kitts as one of his Ontario "HST targets"--but in previous elections, yes, the NDP rather underprioritized, or else the "Hargrove Liberal" impetus hogged the spotlight.  (And even so, they continued to bob around the 20% mark.)

Don't make too much of 23.8 vs 25.6 provincially; a lot of that balance-shifting "upper vote" was hogged by incumbent or supertarget seats...

Stockholm

Breaking news - grade Z Liberal incumbent MPP for Cuba - I mean Davenport - Tony Ruprecht is retiring You have to think that after Andrew Cash’s 10,000 vote win in May, Ruprecht saw the writing on the wall. I’m not sure if this is good news or just neutral news. He is such a weak MPP and so out of step with the way Davenport has evolved that almost anyone else the Liberals run would probably be (slightly) more formidable (or less repulsive). Also, I would have enjoyed seeing Ruprecht lose rather than retire undefeated!

Aristotleded24

Stockholm wrote:
Breaking news - grade Z Liberal incumbent MPP for Cuba - I mean Davenport - Tony Ruprecht is retiring You have to think that after Andrew Cash’s 10,000 vote win in May, Ruprecht saw the writing on the wall. I’m not sure if this is good news or just neutral news. He is such a weak MPP and so out of step with the way Davenport has evolved that almost anyone else the Liberals run would probably be (slightly) more formidable (or less repulsive). Also, I would have enjoyed seeing Ruprecht lose rather than retire undefeated!

"Ladies and gentlemen, please give a warm welcome for your new MPP, Jonah Schein"

notaradical

Stockholm wrote:

I hear that Cathy Crowe is going to run again in Toronto Centre. With the momentum from the federal election that seat could actually be winnable - esp. since Glen Murray is so underwhelming and has no where near the (undeserved) star quality that Bob Rae has.

I'm still dumbfounded as to how Glen Murray managed to squeeze past the saintly Cathy Crowe in the recent by-election. If I remember correctly, he received basically the entire vote north of Gerrard, which would account for the Village and Rosedale.

Cathy is an amazing person and just the sort we need to be handling health care and social housing.

Krago

Here are the Toronto Centre by-election results by neighbourhood (and there's a link to a map too!):

http://rabble.ca/comment/1150361

notaradical

Krago wrote:

Here are the Toronto Centre by-election results by neighbourhood (and there's a link to a map too!):

http://rabble.ca/comment/1150361

Thanks for that. Looks like the NDP numbers rose over 2007-2010 and maybe, just maybe, Cathy Crowe can come away the victor this fall.

edmundoconnor

Stockholm wrote:

Breaking news - grade Z Liberal incumbent MPP for Cuba - I mean Davenport - Tony Ruprecht is retiring You have to think that after Andrew Cash’s 10,000 vote win in May, Ruprecht saw the writing on the wall. I’m not sure if this is good news or just neutral news. He is such a weak MPP and so out of step with the way Davenport has evolved that almost anyone else the Liberals run would probably be (slightly) more formidable (or less repulsive). Also, I would have enjoyed seeing Ruprecht lose rather than retire undefeated!

Might Silva refuse to take the hint, and ru(i)n as a provincial Liberal?

Stockholm

Silva is likely unemployed right now - so I guess he might try to run provincially. Then again after the way he was shellacked - its hard to imagine him having any chance. It would also be great if one of the two deadbeat Ford supporting city councillors from Davenport decided to run provincially for the Liberals - that way someone progressive could win a municipal byelection and replace worthless deadwood like Cesar Palacio or Ana Bailao - but they probably both know that they'd lose as well. Quite frankly, I think the Ontario Liberals will have a very hard time finding a candidate who is anything more than a name on the ballot.

edmundoconnor

notaradical wrote:

I'm still dumbfounded as to how Glen Murray managed to squeeze past the saintly Cathy Crowe in the recent by-election. If I remember correctly, he received basically the entire vote north of Gerrard, which would account for the Village and Rosedale.

Cathy is an amazing person and just the sort we need to be handling health care and social housing.

The PC vote completely imploded, thanks to Pamela Taylor being arm-twisted into running, who then proceeded to run a decidedly half-hearted campaign (witness her outing of John Baird to Andy Barrie on CBC). She was also decidedly independently-spirited, which can't have endeared her to PC HQ, who simply wanted someone to parrot the party line. The PC vote on election night was the bedrock Tory vote, and centre-right voters who weren't committed PCers waltzed into the welcoming arms of Glen Murray. This is the one riding where having George Smitherman on your side is an actual advantage.

The mathematics of the riding meant that in 2010 the NDP needed the PCs to bite into the right-wing Liberal vote in order to pull down Murray's numbers into the mid-30s (or lower). That didn't happen.

With a brand-spanking-new PC candidate, Martin Abell, who seems to all appearances an extremely good outlet for His Master's Voice, the PC vote can only go up. This is oddly good news for the NDP, since the PCs will never have a prayer south of Bloor.

Yogurt Baron
lil.Tommy

Forster's was teh first name that popped into my head; shes a woman, with years of political experience... Anyone from the Niagara region on here want to comment on how well liked/well known? she is/her chances of winning?

If the NDP was able to hold on to Welland Federally i think this is a hold provincial especially with a weakened liberal party but i wouldn't call this a cake walk just yet. Just like Parkdale, we will have to run good strong local campaigns and hope that Andrea can run a good province-wide campaign.

 

Stockholm

In Welland I don't think the Liberals will be a factor at all. If there is any threat to the NDP it will come from the PCs - look at how close Welland was federally between the NDP and the CPC with the Liberals and very distant third.

adma

...and that very distant third with the former MP, yet.  Remember, too, from a PC POV that this is also Hudak country--quite literally, as Port Colborne (and Wainfleet) was Hudak-held from 1995 to the last redistribution...

(though yes, Port Colborne was Hudak's weakest part.  And Wainfleet's too much of an outlier rump.)

Stockholm

Another Liberal bites the dust. David Caplan is quitting in Don Valley East. Believe it or not this could actually be an NDP target. In the federal election, the NDP came out of no where to take 26% of the vote there and demographically it is very much an extension of Scarborough. The NDP candidate there seems very impressive:

"Pediatrician named NDP candidate in Don Valley East

Dr. Robert Hilliard is expected to be named the NDP candidate in the provincial riding of Don Valley East this week. Hilliard is a pediatrician at the Hospital for Sick Children and is also a professor of pediatrics at the University of Toronto."

There is some specualtion about who would run for the Liberals - and Shelley Carroll would be an obvious possibility. But I think she is better off being the de facto leader of the opposition on Toronto city council and running for mayor in 2015 - as opposed to running provincial and either losing and being stuck with nothing or winning and being stuck in opposition for the foreseeable future.

 

adma

Stockholm wrote:
There is some specualtion about who would run for the Liberals - and Shelley Carroll would be an obvious possibility. But I think she is better off being the de facto leader of the opposition on Toronto city council and running for mayor in 2015 - as opposed to running provincial and either losing and being stuck with nothing or winning and being stuck in opposition for the foreseeable future.

Yasmin Ratansi?

Yogurt Baron

Stockholm wrote:
But I think she is better off being the de facto leader of the opposition on Toronto city council and running for mayor in 2015 - as opposed to running provincial and either losing and being stuck with nothing or winning and being stuck in opposition for the foreseeable future.

She wouldn't have to resign from council to run provincially. Agreed that she'd probably rather be mayor than an MPP, though.

Uncle John

If you have 25% or more of the vote you are defnitely a contender and you should have the slight delusion that you are going to win.

Robo

It seems now to be a race for the NDP nomination in Welland, with retired police officer Mick Riddle now in the running there. in addition to the previously announced Welland Regional Councillor and nurse Cindy Forster .

adma

robbie_dee wrote:

[url=http://www.mississauga.com/news/article/1031558--singh-seeks-provincial-... Singh seeks provincial NDP nod[/url]

And considering the federal polling map

 

methinks the old "ethnoboomburbs = NDP no-man's land" formula has been shattered for keeps. (NB: the recent megagrowth has been in the mainly-orange zone at the top--a decade ago or more, there was scarcely any subdivision there)

Robo

In Ancaster-Dundas-Flamborough-Westdale, small business owner Trevor Westerhoff has been nominated for the NDP

lil.Tommy

Some nominations from Eastern Ontario, really not our strongest suit but maybe this time... in May the NDP recieved 17.5, just shy of the Liberal 17.9... ok the torries won 62... but i'm looking at teh positive here.

http://www.ourhometown.ca/news/EM0001.php this will probably be a PC win... but Elaine is well known (city councilor, former teacher) her daughter ran in 99 (my first election campaign was working for Maggie. It shows some muscle for the NDP out east. From 74-85 the NDP held the Cornwall portion of the riding with George Samis

 

Paul Loewenberg (Operations manager of two business's) is the candidate in Subdury http://www.northernlife.ca/displayArticle.aspx?id=49861

Irene Lowell (CAW activits) http://bulletnewsniagara.ca/2011/06/09/irene-lowell-nominated-as-st-catharines-ndp-candidate/
Thoughts? Sudbury is a target this time (ok probably in 07 too, but this is legit) how do these candidates stack? I think we've mentioned St. Caths is probably on the list as a potential target

Life, the unive...

Today, according to twitter, Andrea Horwath was visiting "her friend" Grant Robertson's farm in Huron-Bruce and then making a visit to support the Walkerton Jail and the workers there.   I expect an announcement must be coming.

adma

If it were all about putting heavy leverage upon Cornwall proper (and maybe a touch of rural populism for good measure), I wouldn't even write off Stormont et al--at least, to send a message that the NDP means business...

Aristotleded24

Life, the universe, everything wrote:
Today, according to twitter, Andrea Horwath was visiting "her friend" Grant Robertson's farm in Huron-Bruce and then making a visit to support the Walkerton Jail and the workers there.   I expect an announcement must be coming.

[url=http://www.owensoundsuntimes.com/ArticleDisplay.aspx?e=3226905]Have a look and see how it went:[/url]

Quote:
The Walkerton and Owen Sound jails would remain open if the New Democratic Party wins the upcoming provincial election in October, leader Andrea Horwath said Friday.

"Walkerton doesn't deserve the economic consequences that will come with the closure of this correctional facility. An NDP government would keep the Walkerton jail open, plain and simple," Horwath said during a visit to the Walkerton jail on Friday. She also promised to keep the Sarnia jail open.

Horwath told people in Port Elgin earlier Friday that a provincial NDP government would not end the Green Energy Act and industrial wind turbine development, but communities would have a lot more say than they have under the Liberals.

timeandspace

 

re: Welland

 

It's a 2-person race in Welland for the NDP nomination between college professor and former police officer, Mick Riddle and former mayor, Cindy Forster.  The vote is on August 7.

Life, the unive...

Aristotleded24 wrote:

[url=http://www.owensoundsuntimes.com/ArticleDisplay.aspx?e=3226905]Have a look and see how it went:[/url]

Quote:
The Walkerton and Owen Sound jails would remain open if the New Democratic Party wins the upcoming provincial election in October, leader Andrea Horwath said Friday.

"Walkerton doesn't deserve the economic consequences that will come with the closure of this correctional facility. An NDP government would keep the Walkerton jail open, plain and simple," Horwath said during a visit to the Walkerton jail on Friday. She also promised to keep the Sarnia jail open.

Horwath told people in Port Elgin earlier Friday that a provincial NDP government would not end the Green Energy Act and industrial wind turbine development, but communities would have a lot more say than they have under the Liberals.

Well I'm not all that keen on that confused answer on the GEA, but the work done on the Walkerton Jail is important.

Local radio was actively and openly speculating on Robertson running with this going on.   I can't remember the last time that was the case locally for any NDP candidate.  Things have sure changed since the federal election and that seems to have rolled right over to provincial politics.

Robo

The Hamilton Spectator ran a story on the front page about the [url=http://www.thespec.com/news/elections/article/567891--election-ready]nom... candidates in the Spec's readership area[/url].  The three major parties each have a full slate in this area -- not a surprize, given that the two opposition party leaders are from this area.  In case the link gets delinked, the link within the story to the pdf of the pictures and three-line profiles of candidates can be found [url=http://media.mmgdailies.topscms.com/acrobat/97/6d/0bffb3994dcb84115990d3....

JimWaterloo

lil.Tommy

Candidate in Etobicoke Lakeshore... Dionne Coley (who ran for TDSB in october in Scarborough i think)

http://www.insidetoronto.com/news/elections/article/1028496--new-democrats-nominate-candidate-to-take-on-broten

 

What surprises me is that "The riding association canvassed "extensively" in the riding to find a candidate... In the end, only Coley put herself forward for nomination"

Really? this was once the riding of Ruth Greer (sp)... we had a good candidate federally (michael Erickson i believe) no star name, but no local candidate? (i'm big on candidates should live in their ridings which i'm glad to see Dionne will/would move)

Stockholm

FYI: Michael Erickson didn't actually live in Etobicoke-Lakeshore either. Its true that this area was once somewhat of an NDP stronghold but that was before redistribution moved the riding boundaries much further north to take in a lot of very inhospitable territory. I could probably only become NDP-winnable if the Liberals collapsed and the NDP was able to get the non-Tory vote coalsce behind it there - we are probably still one election away from that at the provincial level.

lil.Tommy

Thanks for clearing that up, not a huge fan of that cause i'd rather a candidate who isn't a "star" but knows the community, lives and breaths it then a planted one.

It looks like Etobicoke North is in the same boat; used to be strong for the NDP, hurt by redistribution and would require a liberal crash.

adma

lil.Tommy wrote:
It looks like Etobicoke North is in the same boat; used to be strong for the NDP, hurt by redistribution and would require a liberal crash.

No, hurt by demographics and the wholesale co-option of the ethnoburban vote by the Liberals.  Which means, however, that in the "Rathika" era, it could well be on-radar again...

adma

dp

Lord Palmerston

Stockholm wrote:
It could probably only become NDP-winnable if the Liberals collapsed and the NDP was able to get the non-Tory vote coalsce behind it there - we are probably still one election away from that at the provincial level.

David Miller in 2015 (federally)?  

Stockholm

David Miller has no ties to Etobicoke - if he ran federally I'd rather see him run in Toronto Centre.

robbie_dee

Stockholm wrote:
I'll be very curious to see who the NDP runs in Scarborough-Rouge River which went NDP by such a wide margin federally. Seems to me that the idea candidate would be Neethan Shan. He ran in Scarborough-Guildwood for the ONDP in 2007 and did very well and then ran for city council in Scarborough-Rouge River last Nov. and lost - but he was endorsed by all the right people (even the Toronto Star) and he is a Tamil in a riding where that was the key to Rathika's federal win...

lo and behold, i did a search and it seems that Shan is running for the nomination in Rouge River on June 23!

[url=http://www.insidetoronto.com/news/elections/article/1045846--shan-to-run... was nominated June 23 and held his campaign kickoff event last Thursday, July 20.[/url]

Pages

Topic locked