For Stephen Harper to lose power in the next election, either the Conservative voter base must decline, or more people need to turn up and vote.
2015 federal election
The Harper government will introduce a Fiscal Update that includes tax cuts, mostly of the boutique kind. First, it will table the next budget implementation bill that will likely have some surprises.
The NDP's announcement that it will push for a national minimum wage if elected suggests that the party may finally be overcoming its aversion to engaging its federal adversaries on the economy.
Yes, opinion polls have turned against the Conservatives and it's true many Canadians cannot abide Harper. But Stephen Harper and his party can still win the next election, scheduled for October 2015.
Canada's electoral system is failing democracy. We need a citizen-led consultation process and a new electoral model. Make every vote count!
If pundits and reporters insist on quoting public opinion polls, as though they have meaning, they should take the time to analyze them -- all of them -- very carefully.
The challenge in progressive politics is to reach out to allies in order to create public space on the left, and move public opinion away from the so-called centre, really the corporate right.
Making yourself heard, getting attention for your favourite subjects, and rallying support is what preoccupies leaders of Canada's five political parties as they prepare for key upcoming events.
The triumphal Harper plan -- trash the public sector, and let the oilsands economy pick up the slack while transforming Canada into a right-wing energy superpower -- is on the skids.
If Canada is ever to become a representative democracy, the NDP and the Liberal Party will have to co-operate to make it happen. The next federal election offers a unique opening.