How low can Jim go?
By which I mean, to put this entertaining question another way, how many seats can Alberta Premier Jim Prentice lose for the nearly 44-year-old Progressive Conservative Government he was brought in expressly to save and still avoid having to resign?
In other words, what is the benchmark for PC failure in 2015?
Nowadays, there are 87 seats in the Alberta Legislature. There was the same number in 2012 when, thanks to a string of negative polls, then-premier Alison Redford was widely expected to lose, but managed somehow to pluck victory from the jaws of defeat, emerging after April 23 with 61 seats for her PCs.
This in itself is a powerful lesson in expectations management.