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Columnists

The Bank of Canada blows it

By raising interest rates, the governor of the Bank of Canada has made a mistake. He got an easy question wrong. Is the economy expanding or contracting? He called it expansion, meaning output is growing, putting upward pressure on prices. The increase of 0.25 per cent in the overnight lending rate of the bank signals the beginning of a cycle of increases that will push all interest rates in Canada up over the next 18 months by as much as two percentage points.

World economic signs signal deflation meaning slower output, and faltering employment.

Inflation calls for interest rate increases, and government spending cuts. Deflation means no interest rate hikes, and government spending increases.

Polozomics: Nine thoughts about the choice of the new Bank of Canada governor

| May 6, 2013
Columnists

Drinking the financial hemlock: Balancing public budgets to enrich the financial sector

Photo: d.neuman/Flickr

It's budget season everywhere, and it's all about debt and deficits and the elusive quest to balance the beast, which can only be done, it is said, by cutting services or raising taxes.

The burden of interest charges -- on the same scale as health or education in most provincial budgets -- doesn't get questioned because interest is fixed by the gods according to divine law, retribution from which we can only escape through harsher and harsher penance.

Or is it? Let's chew on a couple of startling points.

Labour market still weak: Bank of Canada

| January 24, 2013
Columnists

Canadian financial stability requires Canadian rules

Photo: kevin dooley/Flickr

Canada's financial system emerged from the global crisis in better shape than in many other countries. Canadian banks avoided the all-out panic that struck some jurisdictions. It's a myth that Canadian banks stood on their own two feet right through the crisis; they received important and timely liquidity assistance from government agencies during the worst months of the meltdown (through a C$200-billion "Extraordinary Financing Framework"). But no bank failed or was taken over by the state. This relative (imperfect) stability has been important to Canada's partial economic recovery since the crisis.

Mark Carney's tenure and the state of monetary policy

| November 28, 2012

The enigma that is Mark Carney

On the Bank of Canada's website Mr. Carney's speeches dating back to when he first took office as Governor are available to read. I noticed as I perused a few of the speeches he gave prior to the more pronounced crashes in the fall of '08 that he - on more than one occasion - spoke of the risks of financial deregulation and it's potential to wreak havoc on markets.

My confusion about the man that's been deemed a "genius", "smooth", and a "whiz kid" by many people in the business and financial sectors lies in his apparent time spent as a high-up executive with Goldman Sachs - an institution which has fought tooth and nail to keep financial regulators at bay at nearly every turn.

Columnists

Another look at oil prices and the loonie

Photo: merlinprincesse/Flickr

There's a refreshingly pragmatic and detailed piece in the National Post by Peter Spiro questioning the assumed correlation between oil prices and the loonie. It builds nicely on previous discussion of the "oil price-loonie transmission mechanism" that has occurred here and here.

Columnists

Spinning Mark Carney at the 2012 CAW convention

Photo: Jolanda Flubacher/World Economic Forum/Flickr

For novelty value if nothing else, Mark Carney's appearance at the CAW convention last week was bound to spark lots of attention. After all, we could find no other historical example of a Bank of Canada Governor ever speaking to a union convention. That says something in and of itself, of course. Central bankers speak to audiences of financial leaders and business leaders all the time. (To be fair, Mr. Carney and his predecessors have met regularly with labour reps in private sessions.) Sitting next to Mr.

Bank of Canada governor says to end privatization of gains and socialization of losses

| August 27, 2012
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