The Pundits' Guide to Canadian Elections is a web database of election results and statistics, compiled as a labour of love since late 2007 for political junkies and pundits everywhere.
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Election 2015 has one overriding question: do you want to see another Harper Conservative government?
Two-thirds or more of Canadians are answering: no more Harper.
Some voter choices have already been made. Liberal or NDP partisans support their party and will vote for it. The same goes for Green Party or Bloc Québécois members.
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After a visit by the Green Party's Elizabeth May to Powell River on July 31, she was quoted in the local newspaper: "There is no chance of a Conservative winning in this riding. It's either going to be a Green or an NDP member of Parliament in this riding."
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By now Stephen Harper should be down to the low teens in popularity, in territory last occupied when Conservative Prime Minister Brian Mulroney was at 11 per cent, just before he decided to leave politics in 1993.
Yes, 60 per cent of Canadians disapprove of Harper as a leader say EKOS Politics. But an astonishing 50 per cent think the Harper government has the country going in the right direction.
Perhaps the only thing more offensive than the way Stephen Harper has changed Canada is the fact he's done it without the support of anything approaching a majority of Canadians.
Under our "first-past-the-post" electoral system, it's possible to win control of Parliament and exercise enormous power over the country even with only a minority of voters actually voting for you. The democratic shortcomings of such a system have long been evident.
But the rise of Stephen Harper's Conservatives -- with their aggression, their willingness to flout democratic rules and traditions, their indifference to the interests of those who didn't vote for them -- has highlighted the danger of an over-empowered minority in an urgent new way.
With 10 months to go before the expected October 19, 2015 election, the Harper Conservatives are running full out for re-election. Their strategy is simple. First, satisfy the party base, the some 25 per cent of eligible voters who will turn up on election day and vote Conservative. Second, suppress the Liberal vote.
The current incentive for Conservatives to vote Conservative is the so-called "Family Tax Cut." The Conservative tax relief policy will be compared to the "NDP-Liberal coalition" which wants "to increase taxes and wreck business."
I support voting for the most politically experienced and best representative of our diverse and aspirationally inclusive city, the daring one who is explicitly caring, the unapologetic policy wonk and artist, the bicycle pedaller and community convener, the youthful grandmother warrior, Olivia Chow.
But I think we need to realize that there's something even more important in this race than whether Chow or John Tory is elected the next mayor. It is us.
The main and most important thing about this election is getting your ass out to a polling station and voting.