Home
KenS
\,,/ rabble-rouser-l33t \,,/
Member: 2174
Joined: Aug 6 2001
November 23, 2009 - 8:21am
#1

Debater wrote:
The commentators have certainly had to change their minds quite a few times over the past year about who is up and who is down.

In fairness though, part of that has been the volatility of the polls and the leaders going from being dead to alive and alive to dead.

ottawaobserver wrote:
If they were worth their salt as pundits, they'd be able to look ahead and see events and possibilities on the horizon that might lead the polls to go up and down.  The way you think about it, it's all passive, and they're just following the polls, and we're just to follow the pundits.

 

Go back Debator several months to discussions here about Quebec, and look at the wisdom you praised in the pundits of your choice, and prediction ranges you made based on that. Then look at my resposes and equivalent predictions of the range of possibilities. Mine would still fit today.

 

That isn't because I 'happened' to be right. Its because some of us are more rooted in the longer term trends that don't change as much.


  • Email this comment
So...why wasn't Hochelaga closer? By: Ken Burch (96 replies) November 11, 2009 - 6:41pm
  • flight from kamakura By: adma (Nov 13 2009 - 10:45pm)
  • Thanks ffk. I think the NPD By: V. Jara (Nov 13 2009 - 9:36pm)
  • I think those people will be By: ottawaobserver (Nov 13 2009 - 8:30pm)
  • That's a good on the ground By: Stockholm (Nov 13 2009 - 7:49pm)
  • a few things: 1. hochelaga By: flight from kamakura (Nov 13 2009 - 6:00pm)
  • I think the simple reason By: genstrike (Nov 13 2009 - 4:13pm)
  • ... it's more than a By: ottawaobserver (Nov 13 2009 - 9:47am)
  • Maybe if one were to By: adma (Nov 13 2009 - 9:29am)
  • Another thing that convinces By: V. Jara (Nov 13 2009 - 3:14am)
  • BTW, it's so fantastic that By: ottawaobserver (Nov 13 2009 - 2:57am)
  • Probably the one union with By: ottawaobserver (Nov 13 2009 - 2:54am)
  • That being said Wilf, it was By: V. Jara (Nov 13 2009 - 2:16am)
  • ottawaobserver wrote:Give By: Wilf Day (Nov 13 2009 - 1:12am)
  • V.Jara, your points #1 and By: ottawaobserver (Nov 12 2009 - 7:27pm)
  • Most people haven't tried to By: V. Jara (Nov 12 2009 - 7:16pm)
  • The NDP vote in Hochelaga By: Stockholm (Nov 12 2009 - 5:19pm)
  • ottawaobserver wrote: I By: Debater (Nov 12 2009 - 4:39pm)
  •  interesting reading OO, By: remind (Nov 12 2009 - 2:54pm)
  • The answer to the thread By: madmax (Nov 12 2009 - 2:08pm)
  • KenS wrote: And the Liberals By: bekayne (Nov 12 2009 - 1:27pm)
  • Who represents anglophone By: autoworker (Nov 12 2009 - 12:02pm)
  • Debater wrote: Ken Burch By: ottawaobserver (Nov 12 2009 - 9:43am)
  • Debater wrote:And the By: KenS (Nov 12 2009 - 9:07am)
  • adma wrote:...to say "even By: KenS (Nov 12 2009 - 8:39am)
  • Considering that Outremont By: adma (Nov 12 2009 - 8:22am)
  • Ken Burch wrote: Then again, By: Debater (Nov 12 2009 - 5:29am)
  • Then again, even fewer are By: Ken Burch (Nov 12 2009 - 3:29am)
  • Ken Burch wrote: What By: Debater (Nov 12 2009 - 2:29am)
  •  I wonder what the NDP plan By: NorthReport (Nov 12 2009 - 1:27am)
  • Ken, I don't know if that's By: ottawaobserver (Nov 12 2009 - 12:43am)
  • Is the assumption that By: Ken Burch (Nov 11 2009 - 11:31pm)
  • Compare the 2000 election By: David Young (Nov 11 2009 - 9:53pm)
  • To me the key By: ottawaobserver (Nov 11 2009 - 7:27pm)
  • But not Layton. Jack said he By: NorthReport (Nov 11 2009 - 7:15pm)
  • The future is a longer By: Sean in Ottawa (Nov 11 2009 - 7:06pm)