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November 24, 2009 - 9:14pm
#1

KenS wrote:

Go back Debator several months to discussions here about Quebec, and look at the wisdom you praised in the pundits of your choice, and prediction ranges you made based on that. Then look at my resposes and equivalent predictions of the range of possibilities. Mine would still fit today.

 

That isn't because I 'happened' to be right. Its because some of us are more rooted in the longer term trends that don't change as much.

I have to agree with you that at this point in time the Liberals are not doing as well in Quebec as they were predicted to do earlier this year.  I also have to concede that as of now, some of my original predictions for Quebec are not looking too good.

However, I'm not sure what you mean by the "longer term trends that don't change as much".  The only long-term trend in Quebec politics is that things are always volatile.  Quebecers are a very fickle electorate, and who's up and who's down can change very quickly as we have seen over the past few years.

It's important to remember that things can change again by the time of the next election, or sooner.


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