Who's afraid of the big bad coalition?
Michael Ignatieff mentioned the elephant in the room yesterday, alluding to the possibility of a coalition if the Conservatives fail to gain the confidence of the house. He framed the idea as a hypothetical possibility, but clearly it was intended as a shot across the bow. It could also be taken as a trial balloon to gauge public reaction to the idea two weeks from the election date. No doubt Harper will take this 'threat' and run with it. But will anybody else really care? I doubt it. Opinion polls have shown that most Canadians are not particularly concerned about a coalition, formal or informal. This will likely be the last pivotal moment of the campaign, clearly framing the realistic alternatives for May 2nd: Conservative minority or potential Liberal minority. I expect that most Canadians will vote for the latter, and not give Harper the "strong, stable, majority Conservative government" that he constantly pleads for. If this choice is clearly defined and openly discussed for the next two weeks, it will effectively provide a mandate for the parliamentary overthrow of the Harper regime.