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Tories want to destroy the gun registry

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Northern Shoveler
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Joined: Feb 17 2011

6079_Smith_W wrote:

But I cited the stories in order to establish that I did not make it up. I wouldn't assume it is absolutely true, but the breakdown of that whole group is quite overwhelmingly conservative, so neither would I say it is wrong simply because I disbelieve it. 

After all, there are plenty of other communities which vote solidly conservative even though it makes little logical sense. 

...which was my whole point in the first place.

6079_Smith_W wrote:

If you think that's puzzling, why would the people who are put in prison by those laws vote in overwhelming numbers for the Harperites? 

Yet they do.

You were quite definitive in your presentation of this junk as science. Here is the result of a quick google search. Try to be more careful of the MSM garbage you present as fact.

Quote:

Political Empowerment


Denying prisoners the right to vote can have a real impact on the politics of a nation. Most convicted offenders are poor or working class, and as noted, in many nations there is a disproportionate number of ethnic minorities represented within their ranks. These groups are likely to vote Liberal or Democratic rather than Con- servative or Republican. In the United States, Uggen and Manza (2002) estimate that since 1972, on average, 35% of disenfranchised felons would have voted in presidential elections and 24% would have voted in Senate elections. About seven of ten votes cast by convicted felons would have been for the Democratic party. Historically, therefore, seven senate elections may have been overturned in favor of the Democrats if felons were enfranchised. It has been estimated that the outcome of the 2000 U.S. Presidential election, where G. W. Bush won by 537 votes, may have been determined by the permanent ban on the voting rights of over 400,000 ex-felons in Florida (even after excluding the ban on felons). The impact of en- franchisement on local or district-level elections would be greater since there is a larger concentration of felons and ex-felons in urban areas.

 

A similar observation of the political impact of prisoner disenfranchisement has been made in the UK. The Prison Reform Trust (2001) has argued that in the 1997 General election, the ban on prisoners’ voting rights may have affected the results in eight marginal constituencies that accommodate a large number of prisoners.4 For instance, in Dorset South, which includes three prisons accom- modating nearly 1,500 prisoners, a Conservative candidate won by a majority of only 77 votes. Therefore, the enfranchisement of prisoners and ex-felons provides ample opportunities to think counterfactually about how politics might have been altered in democracies.

 

 

http://www.asap-spssi.org/pdf/0501dhami.pdf

 

 


6079_Smith_W
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Joined: Jun 10 2010

Look, I think this tangent has gone far enough, but unlike the article I cited, there aren't any real numbers, and no actual voting prisoners in that piece at all.

There are numbers of ex-felons, sure, but as for how they might vote, there is only a guess based on the extrapolation of a claim that the whole community of "ethnic minorities" tend to vote Democrat. No numbers, unfortunately. And a bit odd, assuming that the values of the prison population can be equated to those of the entire non-white population, rich,  poor, and in-between.

If we want to be careful  and scientific and all...

Anyway, that's enough for me on this one.

(edit)

Hey, I did find this... 

http://www.ctv.ca/servlet/ArticleNews/story/CTVNews/20060112/elxn_prison...  

Hard to say if it was representative of the whole system, but it is real prisoners who really vote Liberal, a deviation from the general population that was also predicted by the Election Report.

 

 

 


6079_Smith_W
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Joined: Jun 10 2010

In other news, Vic Toews has dismissed as inaccurate the memo which BoomBoom cited at #22.

http://www.montrealgazette.com/news/todays-paper/Toews+dismisses+secret+...  

No news flash there.


RedRover
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Joined: Feb 23 2006

Somebody better get their shit together on this issue...and quick.

Rafferty says...

“I was very encouraged by your support and believe that I have a clear mandate to vote to abolish the Long Gun Registry when I return to Ottawa.” (Nov. 11)

http://www.tbnewswatch.com/columns/columnentry.aspx?cid=173646&catid=133

Turmel says...

“All of us, we believe registration should be kept and I believe they do support that too,” she said of MPs John Rafferty and Bruce Hyer who voted to scrap the long-gun registry. (Nov. 16)

http://blogs.canada.com/2011/11/16/turmel-flouts-facts-vows-unity-on-gun-registry/

Two question for people here in the know...

1) Who is advising Turmel and briefing her on what her own MPs are saying publicly in the issue?

2) Do MPs, the Leadership, and their staff not talk about important issues or what?????

This is becoming very painful to watch unfold...


Northern Shoveler
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Joined: Feb 17 2011

60789 if you don't want people to comment on your poorly researched comments then don't make them. Do an iota of checking first. You stated categorically that they did vote for Conservatives.  Your words not mine and not the weasel words you are falling back on as you try to dismiss the fact that you stated a stupid right wing talking point as a fact.


6079_Smith_W
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Joined: Jun 10 2010

Well to try again to steer this back on topic, I don't see it as stupid or right wing to make the general point that many Canadians voted for Harper despite the fact that his policies are completely against their interest. 

And the gun control issue has been one of the most important issues to blame for that - particularly in rural Canada. I happened to stumble this morning on the site of a group opposing the registry. It featured a neat little animated gif of the Liberal logo (written as "LIE bral" which morphed into a hammer and sickle. 

I think the Harper caucus might actually be regretting getting rid of the registry, since they have gotten so much mileage out of it. One wonders what they will use as their next great threat to freedom if they manage to get rid of it.

To use just one example, there are many supporters of the Wheat Board who claim they voted for Harper, but not for ending the single desk- many of them in ridings which used to go Liberal or NDP.  It begs the question - what DID they vote for?

(edit)

I suspect the gun registry had more than a little to do with influencing that demographic. I don't think Harper would have ever gotten his majority had it not been for the registry, and I think it has always been more a political tool than a policy issue for him. After all, on every other aspect of justice he is all for more power and control, and more invasion of privacy. 

Yet on this one flashpoint of an issue He is exactly the opposite. So of course they'll say they are going to destroy it. That's what this is all about.

But I'd be surprised if a carbon copy of the registry doesn't get handed over to someone at CSIS after it gets "destroyed". Why would he ever want to really get rid of that information?

 

 

 

 


Northern Shoveler
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Joined: Feb 17 2011

6079_Smith_W wrote:

Well to try again to steer this back on topic, I don't see it as stupid or right wing to make the general point that many Canadians voted for Harper despite the fact that his policies are completely against their interest. 

I would have agreed with that point. That is akin to saying the sky is blue.  WOW


6079_Smith_W
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Joined: Jun 10 2010

PM'd you, Northern Shoveler.


Unionist
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Joined: Dec 11 2005

6079_Smith_W wrote:

At this point I hope some of the municipal forces can follow Quebec's lead and hold onto registry records.

The draft legislation would destroy all existing records, so that can't happen - unless Québec wins in court and others follow:

Quebec takes feds to court over guns

Quote:
Public Security Minister Robert Dutil announced Tuesday that Quebec will go to court to keep the Quebec portion of the federal long-gun registry in service. [...]

In the event Quebec wins its court battle and gets its hands on the gun records, Quebec would then adopt a bill to create its own arms registry.

Dutil noted that 2,561 weapons were ordered seized across the province during the past year out of concerns for the safety of the owner or another person.

Bill C-19 proposes that the arms registry be not only abolished but that all the records will be destroyed.


Arthur Cramer
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Joined: Nov 30 2010

This is going to get so messy. Its almost as if Herr Harper and his little storm troppers have completely written off Quebec.


Unionist
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Joined: Dec 11 2005

Too bad other provinces don't give a shit.

 


Chauchat
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Joined: Dec 13 2011

Loretta wrote:

Karl Nerenberg wrote:


Coté also referred to the 2005 murder of four RCMP officers in Mayerthorpe, Alberta. The long-gun registry, he said, was a key tool in apprehending and convicting the murderers in that case.



So much for the statement that the registry hasn't solved one crime. Also, within the RCMP annual report for one year (2009, I believe) there was a case cited where RCMP pulled over some guys in a truck who had long-guns. Using the registry, they were able to determine that those guns had been stolen from someone whose house had been broken into while they were away. Another case where the registry solved a crime, one of those mysterious "unreported" ones, too.

I notice that we're not hearing much from rural women.

The "key tool" was a hunting rifle found at the scene (note that it was NOT the murder weapon) that was reported stolen by the uncle (?) of one of the accomplices. Even without the registry, that rifle still would have been reported stolen (as it is required by law), and the situation would not have changed in the slightest.


Chauchat
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Joined: Dec 13 2011

6079_Smith_W wrote:

Well to try again to steer this back on topic, I don't see it as stupid or right wing to make the general point that many Canadians voted for Harper despite the fact that his policies are completely against their interest.

To say that the opposition was mediocre would be generous...


Emilio
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Joined: Dec 20 2011

WHAT!?!?! Please please please tell me this is not so! Back in my home country, we know that guns kill - please tell me Canada is not making a big mistake! senior Harper is a capitalist pig! when the NDP get power, i hope they make him politcal prisoner number 1! I'm sorry canada!


GuyF
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Joined: Dec 20 2011

Loretta wrote:

Karl Nerenberg wrote:


Coté also referred to the 2005 murder of four RCMP officers in Mayerthorpe, Alberta. The long-gun registry, he said, was a key tool in apprehending and convicting the murderers in that case.



So much for the statement that the registry hasn't solved one crime. Also, within the RCMP annual report for one year (2009, I believe) there was a case cited where RCMP pulled over some guys in a truck who had long-guns. Using the registry, they were able to determine that those guns had been stolen from someone whose house had been broken into while they were away. Another case where the registry solved a crime, one of those mysterious "unreported" ones, too.

I notice that we're not hearing much from rural women.

Actually, Cote made several errors in his statement. There was only one Murderer, Roszko. He was found dead on the scene from a self inflicted gun shot wound. The case was pretty much closed right there.

Hennessey and Cheeseman were convicted of murder, but weren't on scene when it happened, and had no idea what Roszko was up to. The only reason they helped him was because he showed up to their house and threatened them with a gun, demanding a ride back to his farm. Their only crime was not being able to afford a lawyer who could argue the defense of necessity. Mark my words, those guys were wrongfully convicted.

The registry was used to track one of the several guns, back to one of the two individuals' uncles who reported it stolen years before. While the registry was able to do this, the Canadian Police Information Centre, which contains a record of all reported stolen property, also does this. To be fair the cons have never really claimed that gun registry isn't useful for solving crime, it just can't prevent it, as we've seen.

Its the same with your 2009 example, stolen property gets reported in CPIC. In fact, if you check the Ottawa Citizens website you can see what information is in the Registry. No where does it list the status of a gun, ie held by owner, loaned, or stolen. The system isn't set up for that.


GuyF
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Joined: Dec 20 2011

Emilio wrote:

WHAT!?!?! Please please please tell me this is not so! Back in my home country, we know that guns kill - please tell me Canada is not making a big mistake! senior Harper is a capitalist pig! when the NDP get power, i hope they make him politcal prisoner number 1! I'm sorry canada!

Welcome to Canada Emilio!

I would politely like to inform you that in Canada we don't throw capitalist pigs into prison, we elect them into office. We live in a democracy, governed by a rule of law, and believe in Individual rights. Like the right to life, liberty, and security of the person.

I would be very disappointed in the NDP if they chastized a former Prime Minister just because you said so...


GuyF
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Joined: Dec 20 2011

Loretta wrote:

And the registry is one of the tools for doing so.

How is it supposed to do that if their crime guns aren't registered?


078
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Joined: Dec 20 2011

RedRover wrote:

Somebody better get their shit together on this issue...and quick.

Rafferty says...

“I was very encouraged by your support and believe that I have a clear mandate to vote to abolish the Long Gun Registry when I return to Ottawa.” (Nov. 11)

http://www.tbnewswatch.com/columns/columnentry.aspx?cid=173646&catid=133

Turmel says...

“All of us, we believe registration should be kept and I believe they do support that too,” she said of MPs John Rafferty and Bruce Hyer who voted to scrap the long-gun registry. (Nov. 16)

http://blogs.canada.com/2011/11/16/turmel-flouts-facts-vows-unity-on-gun-registry/

Two question for people here in the know...

1) Who is advising Turmel and briefing her on what her own MPs are saying publicly in the issue?

2) Do MPs, the Leadership, and their staff not talk about important issues or what?????

This is becoming very painful to watch unfold...

 

This happened during the C391 vote as well. Layton forced his MP's  to tow the party line or risk penalty....   Then denied it in public. Pretty much guaranteed that the NDP won't see my vote.....


superbrad
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Joined: Dec 19 2011

I find it absolutely disgusting that NDP'rs are suddenly overwhelmingly in favor of the gun registry,

When the Conservatives were in a minority government Jack Leighton himself told his MP's to "vote their conscience".... the bill to scrap was defeated by one measly vote.... Now, all of a sudden you garner heavy support in Quebec, the most feverishly anti gun province in Canada and your political platform changes?...

The registry is a ridiculous waste of money and does nothing to stop crime. The weapon used in the massacre at l'ecole polytechnique was registered... what good did that do? Criminals are going to have guns because they don't care about gun control laws or any other laws for that matter... that is what makes them criminals...

Jack would be ashamed of the party's current state cowtwiung and pandering in a desperate effort to keep a fading hold on newly acquired seats... Hell, just ask any of the 17 people that watch CSPAN and they will tell you that Bob Rae is the official opposition leader.... shame... Jack was a good guy...


078
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Joined: Dec 20 2011

superbrad wrote:
Jack was a good guy...

I suppose everyone is entitled to an opinion. Frown


GuyF
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Joined: Dec 20 2011

Letting MPs vote their conscience was the only way to handle situation. Gun control/Crime control wasn't a big part of anyones campaign, asides from the Conservatives.

Why risk his MPs popularity in their own riding by trying to control a non confidence, non election issue? RCMP and SatsCan numbers show less than half of all long guns are even registered in the first place. I think getting rid of the Registry is probably more popular than than most people realize.

I think every party could probably think of better ways to spend the money, and the NDP have bigger fish to fry...Like trying to get Jack Harris not come off as completely hysterical every time he mentions the non restricted guns that he wants to ban.


GuyF
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Joined: Dec 20 2011

Duplicate sorry. How do you delete?


GuyF
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Joined: Dec 20 2011

2nd duplicate oops. I'm new.


078
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Joined: Dec 20 2011

The Liberal party lost a lot of seats in the last election thanks to their stand on the registry. Not just in the country either. Just ask Mark Holland how things went for him.


PT_farmer
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Joined: Dec 21 2011

Fidel wrote:

I don't trust anything that the lying liars or their lapdog newz media say nowadays. Whatever it is they do broadcast for public consumption, imagine that the opposite is true, and it's good bet that you'll be right.

 

You and I think the same.  I always thought that way when the Lieberals were in power.   But now I actually trust the Gov.


stevebrown
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Joined: Dec 19 2011

The Lieberals? That's so early 2000's, besides it's not the Liberals you need to worry about anymore, gonna be an ORANGE REVOLUTION in 2015.

 


Unionist
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Joined: Dec 11 2005

Sewer's backing up again. Why is it so goddam hard to find a plumber just before Christmas?

 


Fidel
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Joined: Apr 29 2004

PT_farmer wrote:
You and I think the same.  I always thought that way when the Lieberals were in power.   But now I actually trust the Gov.
 

How can you trust a guy that blurts out things like this:

Steve Harper wrote:
"..fundamentally Conservative values are Canadian values. We are beginning a new era of pre-eminence for those values."

It's obvious that Steve flunked elementary school math because more than 60 percent of Canadian voters voted against the Harper Gov't of Canada and in more than one election, too.

I can't trust someone who doesn't know basic ratio and proportions. If he doesn't know that, what else does he not understand? It's pretty scary if you ask me.


PT_farmer
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Joined: Dec 21 2011

This is the political system we have.  How come Liberals only bitch about it when they lose?

Just man up a bit  and try again next election like we had to many times.


stevebrown
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Joined: Dec 19 2011

Fidel wrote:

I can't trust someone who doesn't know basic ratio and proportions. If he doesn't know that, what else does he not understand? It's pretty scary if you ask me.

I knew there was something amiss behind those Alaskan Husky eyes, and from an economist no less.


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