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NDP leadership 39

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KenS
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Joined: Aug 6 2001

NDP hopefuls split on reviving gun registry

Quote:

Brian Topp, the Montreal-born Toronto union leader considered by many as a front-runner, said as prime minister, he would attempt to revive the controversial program to register all long guns.

Frankly, I think its stupid. To raise the issue. But my opinion isnt the point here.

The candidates evenly split on yes or no to the idea.

Except for one who would not take a position. Guess who?


AnonymousMouse
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Joined: Sep 19 2011
KenS wrote:

For Mulcair to take stands on the issues he would have to move away from being all things to all people.

I don't mean this nearly as flippantly as it sounds, but I remember when people used to say the same thing about Jack Layton. In the 2004 campaign one of the networks tried to setup small meetings for each leader with four or five voters. I don't remember how many leaders agreed to do it at the time, but I do remember the primary negative reaction to Layton was "he has an answer to everything". As if that was the worst thing in the world. Seeking consensus--and to partially satisfy all reasonable people even if you can't completely satisfy them--should noy be considered a weakness. Now, in this case, I assume KenS may be referring more to Mulcair avoiding controvertial policy announcements and the like. That's fair enough. But I really hope we don't succomb to the false choices we are so often presented with in politics.

KenS
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Joined: Aug 6 2001

I'm not at all advocating anything extreme. And my own track record should be clear enough on that.

All politicians try in the course of things to be as many things to as many people as is possible.

Jack Layton was more like that than I would prefer or thought necessary. Though not in a category with Darel Dexter.

But maybe Jacks positioning was necessary. If it was, that doesnt mean it still is, or that Jack himself would have stayed there.

Generally, there is some significant movement away from that from the field of candidates. And when it is stands the candidate will have to wear now, it cannot all be chaked up only to telling the membership what they want to hear. [To do that, you have to pick things that will not haunt you even when/if you drop talking about them.]

And I am saying that Mulcair doesnt just do some of the all things to all people- it IS his strategy. To date at least. He positions himself as the centrist who can win, while doing general talk and in a tenor that the cadre wants to hear.


AnonymousMouse
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Joined: Sep 19 2011
AnonymousMouse wrote:
KenS wrote:

That said, I cannot imagine Mulcair not being on the last ballot.... barring some really stupid self inflicted wounds, which I do not think he is prone to. [That he pisses off and alienates only those he chooses to.]

I dont think there are great odds for Nash pulling past Topp to be there. But if her campaign gells, and she being able to eat into a good chunk of Topp's support base, it is more than conceivable.

Dewar has the big set of question marks, but if he can get past those, I can easily see him in the last round.

The rest will require some big rolling wave to get to the last round. And if one of those does not start just about the minute after the first debate, forget it.

As to who might win the last round, or even who most likely of each plausible pairing.... I see no basis for even a guess at this point.

I get the impression that Dewar may actually be better organized--with Mulcair and Topp just behind him. Topp's campaign seems to be too "top heavy". Nash is getting started way too late, but will no doubt ramp up fast. That being said, I think this analysis (including the previous comment) is dead on overall.

Idealistic Prag...
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Joined: Aug 29 2011

I've dealt with each of the campaigns' organizations in planning our riding association's series of Kitchen Table talks, and definitely have the impression that Dewar's is on the ball.


nicky
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Joined: Aug 3 2005

From the Cornwall Free Press:

"Is Mr Newman Right About the Liberal Party/"

http://cornwallfreenews.com/2011/11/is-mr-newman-correct-about-the-federal-liberal-party-a-few-thoughts-by-jamie-gilcig-november-21-2011/

The wild card is of course the NDP and Thomas Mulcair.

If Thomas Mulcair doesn’t become leader of the NDP that is the note that should ramp up Liberals across the country.   Mr. Mulcair could be a leader for any of the big three parties in Canada.   He can speak .  He’s smart and has fire in his belly a plenty.   A cross between a Jean Chretien and Jack Layton and someone that if he achieves the leadership of the NDP could garner enough cross over support to threaten Mr. Harper in the next election.

That would spell trouble for the current Liberal position.

2012 will be interesting indeed; for the future of the NDP, the Liberals and the next election.


AnonymousMouse
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Joined: Sep 19 2011
KenS wrote:

And I am saying that Mulcair doesnt just do some of the all things to all people- it IS his strategy. To date at least. He positions himself as the centrist who can win, while doing general talk and in a tenor that the cadre wants to hear.

Mulcair has again and again said he supports NDP policy on issue x, y or z. It is a constant refrain in his comments. I don't it's fair to refer to that as "general talk". It's nothing new, but it is specific. And it's not centrist either. All that said, I agree with your basic point that Mulcair seems focused on promoting his electability as the defining feature of his campaign and--in that context--I would expect him to emphasize how similar all the candidates are in terms of policy. The difference as far as I

AnonymousMouse
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Joined: Sep 19 2011
AnonymousMouse wrote:
KenS wrote:

And I am saying that Mulcair doesnt just do some of the all things to all people- it IS his strategy. To date at least. He positions himself as the centrist who can win, while doing general talk and in a tenor that the cadre wants to hear.

Mulcair has again and again said he supports NDP policy on issue x, y or z. It is a constant refrain in his comments. I don't it's fair to refer to that as "general talk". It's nothing new, but it is specific. And it's not centrist either. All that said, I agree with your basic point that Mulcair seems focused on promoting his electability as the defining feature of his campaign and--in that context--I would expect him to emphasize how similar all the candidates are in terms of policy. The difference, as far as I'm concerned, is that that doesn't make me worry he's tto centrist given his clear progressive record on so many issues.

Wilf Day
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Joined: Oct 31 2002
KenS wrote:

. . I am saying that Mulcair doesnt just do some of the all things to all people- it IS his strategy. To date at least. He positions himself as the centrist who can win, while doing general talk and in a tenor that the cadre wants to hear.

You can't win department:

1. If a candidate promotes a specific plank, she or he can be criticized for failing to respect internal party democracy (policy is set by the Convention, and by the Council between conventions, not by the leader.)

2. If, on the other hand, a candidate focusses only on how the party can defeat Harper, he's accused of being all things to all people.

3. If a candidate tries to take a middle path of expressing an attitude and an orientation, she is accused of spouting empty phrases like "New Politics."


ottawaobserver
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Joined: Feb 24 2008

:-) Wilf


Hunky_Monkey
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Joined: Jun 11 2004
Mulcair has said he would scrap the changes from the crime bill as Prime Minister. As for specific policies on various issues, he said he will release them over the course of the campaign. We'll have to wait and see what he has to say... as we do for the rest of the field. So, why is Mulcair being nailed with "he's not being specific" while the other campaigns (besides Dewar's job proposals and Cullen's "cooperation" platform) are pretty much on the same page at this point in the campaign? That all said, I have doubts there will be significant differences between the candidates.

Gaian
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Joined: Aug 5 2011
KenS wrote:

Gaian wrote:

Trying again: "Perhaps you can point to another candidate even mentioning that CENTRAL issue in Canadian politics? " And I'm sure James Lockyer and company will demand generalizations from him. :)

Which is supposed to be a response to this:

KenS wrote:


talking about issues is easy, it is what you propose to do about them that we are talking about.

If you were not just harrasing that should suffice as an answer.

Substantively: You are looking for people to at least mention the issue you see as the most important.

I am looking for what is proposed to do about the issues.

To elaborate where Mulcair fits in: he can talk about an issue, and that binds him to no action in the future. That includes for example if he is going to feature a talk on the Ominbus Crime Bill. What counts is differentiation of what you will do as Leader- even in general terms. If Mulcair takes a stand on the Omnibus Crime Bill that is different than the critical but cautios stuff you get from the NDP- that means something. Demonstrating you are aware of the issues means sweet fuck all.

 

I'll see your SFA and raise you. WEN (What Effing Nonsense)

Gaian
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Joined: Aug 5 2011
ottawaobserver wrote:

I would like to hear Mulcair's thoughts on the Omnibus Crime Bill. I hope we can get them without what seems to be the requisite shot from his campaign each time that others are somehow not as righteous as him.

While we're at it, I'd like to know his thoughts on P3 projects like the Pont Champlain too, because I hear he sat on his hands during the debate on that resolution in Alma.

On the Champlain Bridge....he said that the commuters should not have to pay.

ottawaobserver
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Joined: Feb 24 2008

Well, that would probably rule out a P3, then.


Pogo
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Joined: Aug 19 2002

Other than Mulclair being a front runner I have no idea where the rest stand.


KenS
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Joined: Aug 6 2001

Hunky_Monkey wrote:
So, why is Mulcair being nailed with "he's not being specific" while the other campaigns (besides Dewar's job proposals and Cullen's "cooperation" platform) are pretty much on the same page at this point in the campaign? That all said, I have doubts there will be significant differences between the candidates.

For the Nth time, I did not say it is a matter of 'not being specific'.

It is the strategy of positioning yourself as the centrist who can win, while making soothing noises for the cadre that would not like that, which are general enough that they could mean anything.

And if you go in with an assessment there are not going to be significant differences in the offerings of the candidates, then I guess we might as well vote for the candidate with the best 'style', eh. Coincidence I suppose that we hear that line from Mulcair supporters.


Hunky_Monkey
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Joined: Jun 11 2004
KenS wrote:

And if you go in with an assessment there are not going to be significant differences in the offerings of the candidates, then I guess we might as well vote for the candidate with the best 'style', eh. Coincidence I suppose that we hear that line from Mulcair supporters.

You think, policy wise, the NDP would have been different much different under Nystrom than Layton for example? Interesting though considering your first choice is a political chameleon :)

wage zombie
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Joined: Dec 8 2004

KenS, do you see Mulcair as a triangulator?  To me, that is what centrist means.  Otherwise I'd think he's more of a moderate.

I do not quite get what you are saying about Mulcair.  Because of the stands he's taken, and because of his willingness to stand his ground to media, he doesn't come off as the typical centrist.  Maybe I read dailykos too much but when I hear of centrist I think of some of the cowardly caving Blue Dog Dems.  That's doesn't seem like Mulcair.

To me centrist doesn't signify someone whose policy tendencies are in the political centre.  That's a moderate.  Centrist means someone who applies the questionable strategy of ceding half the difference between yourself and your political adversaries in the hopes of appearing "most reasonable".


Wilf Day
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Joined: Oct 31 2002
Raoul Gebert, President, Quebec Section:
Quote:
This week, I have decided to throw my support behind Thomas Mulcair. Also, I am temporarily stepping away from my elected position, President of the NDP’s Québec Section, in order to accept the position of Campaign director on Mr. Mulcair’s team. The fabulous membership numbers coming out of Québec last week have shown us that Thomas Mulcair’s campaign is a winning campaign that will be instrumental to building our membership here in Québec. Without Thomas Mulcair we would have never been able to succeed our breakthrough on May 2nd 2011. With him at the NDP’s helm and as our next Prime Minister, I am convinced that the NDP will put down roots in Québec and break through in other parts of Canada. This being said: much work remains to be accomplished and I am fully at Thomas Mulcair’s side to get the job done.
http://www.facebook.com/raoul.gebert

toronto_radical
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Joined: Jul 3 2011

Something that hasn't been mentioned but I hope comes up is the party itself and if it needs to be reformed, changed etc. Peggy Nash coming out of the NPI has always been a strong advocate of an activist party/party-movement. She's been a strong advocate of encouraging young people to vote, more female participation in politics and engaging social movements from Occupy to local community groups. This factor is a big reason why I think Ducasse has endorsed her. I want to see an activist party, a 24/7 party that is more than just about electing people to parliament. This is something others who have been following her for a while are expecting. This is something to also engage the youth who I think Jack turned solidy NDP and have become increasingly politicized through Occupy. For this reason this is why I'd argue Peggy is the candidate of the "left" insofar as she would encourage space in the party for one to develop, though if every candidate was going to release a detailed policy statement, Peggy's would be more to the left than say Mulcair and Cullen even if we assume those other candidates aren't trying to pull the NDP to the centre. I met Peggy during the federal election, and we got to talking about economic policy and low and behold she was citing Jim Stanford and giving good left wing arguements on economic policy. 

Jack did some good activist work and it was nice to see him pop up at rallies where I didn't think he would show up. His activist cred from Toronto was obviously excellent, but I think his preoccupation with modernizing the party and winning more seats distracted from this to an extent. Being where the NDP is now it's going to need an extra little "oomph" to get it over the top. Perhaps Harper will run the country into the ground and the NDP could get elected regardless of who wins but if we want to build more than just a progressive majority but a politically engaged left wing electorate that will put pressure on the NDP to enact the policies we want to see we need a party and a leader who can do more than just go toe to toe with Haper in QP. Even if Mulcair is a good social democrat, if the Liberals implode and Harper really screws up, there will be pressure to play it safe in 2015. Not to mention the plethora of Liberals that will flood into the party under those circumstances. I don't think that will necessarily lead to a NDP government doing everything we want it to. My concern with Topp is that I simply don't trust him to run the party in a manner that will empower the rank and file.


Malcolm
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Joined: Mar 14 2004

Bookish Agrarian wrote:

I didn't get the impression in Toronto this weekend . . .

I wasn't intending to sound "testy" earlier.  I was merely pointing out that there were possible layers of reasons rather than one omnibus reason that a campaign might have made a given choice.

While I'm involved in the Aston campaign, I'm not privy to why there was no presence at the ONDP council meeting. 

One possibility that does strike me (and again, this is speculation, not explanation) is that few of the campaigns have organizational / representational capacity in every part of the country right now.  Topp and Mulcair appear to (as befits the perceived front-runners).  I rather suspect that most (all?) of the rest will have regional gaps at this point.


ottawaobserver
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Joined: Feb 24 2008

I don't think Mulcair does, yet. Dewar's campaign has city leads in every major city now, I heard on the weekend.

ETA: Of course, he has Michele Girash as his org director, and she's amazing, so what else would you expect.


vaudree
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Joined: Sep 7 2001

I think that some will put their second or third choice first on a ballot figuring that it will go to more than one ballot and that their first ballot choice will be knocked off but will still have a decent showing.

Winston says:

Quote:
I am starting to wish that we could make a Frankenstein hybrid of the leadership candidates: Chisholm's policy ideas, Dewar's genuine approach, Nash's negotiation and arbitration skills, Topp's strategic mind, Ashton's enthusiasm and ambition, Saganash's collaborative approach, with Mulcair's gravitas and media presence. That synergy would be unbeatable!

The "collaborative approach" seems to differ from "negotiation skills" in the perception that all things are interconnected. Agree that what we need in a leader is someone who can negotiate - both with other MPs in opposition and then with other world leaders.

Agree with everyone who says that Topp's support is over estimated. Bookish Agrarian - that is something that Mulcair has to be careful about - especially since Dewar is one of the smaller players right now. One can forgive that kind of sign move if done on the front runner - otherwise it does make one look like a bully.

HM - Nystrom was never really in it - it was a two man race with many being inspired by Ducasse's speech. I don't think it would have been much different ideologically under Blaikie than Jack - but concede that we would not have been where we are now without Jack.

Stockholm - Ducasse endorsing Nash!

AnonymousMouse - this "seeking consensus" thing only works if one is a good negotiator. Jack was a good negotiator - which means that he usually punched above the weight of his caucus in getting positive things done - even under the most averse circumstances. We got universal healthcare because Tommy Douglas was a good negotiator.

 


Hunky_Monkey
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Joined: Jun 11 2004
vaudree wrote:
HM - Nystrom was never really in it - it was a two man race with many being inspired by Ducasse's speech. I don't think it would have been much different ideologically under Blaikie than Jack - but concede that we would not have been where we are now without Jack.
Ok... use Blaikie then over Nystrom... my point is we got to where were are today by a certain leader and a team of work over 8 years. Canadians, more so Quebecers, eventually grew to like Jack over the years and he finally earned their vote which was a big part of our result. Would they if it had been Bill with the exact same platform? That was my point. Interesting to note too that our success in the last election was really Quebec based. We did get a few extra seats in the rest of the country. I think our seat count outside Quebec was the exact same result we got in... 1988. We should really examine HOW we won those Quebec votes besides Jack's likability. A little off topic :)

Lord Palmerston
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Joined: Jan 25 2004

[moved to thread #40]


KenS
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Joined: Aug 6 2001

me too


Rebecca West
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Joined: Nov 28 2001

Closed for length.


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