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NDP Leadership #142

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Arthur Cramer
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Joined: Nov 30 2010

Rebecca, don't put that tinfoil hat on too tight, LOL!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!


1springgarden
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Joined: Sep 2 2008

Gaian wrote:
Could I just repeat this reply to your idea of workers waiting while you create a new universe and repeal NAFTA? K? and Sprung Garden

gaian wrote:
Try to imagine your average UFCW workers, putting your groceries through the checkout, and not sure how long her/his employer is going to be able to support union pay rates and benefits in the face of encroachment by those others moving in from south of the border. Somehow, just reciting "solidarity", the mantra of the old guard, does not seem sustaining enough. Some way of gturning back the economic tide, making the commercial/industrial sector viable again, makes sense. At least, that would seem a good reason for the UFCW to support Tom Mulcair.

1springgarden wrote:
Huh? Mulcair has no interest in repealing NAFTA so I don't see how Mulcair will help grocery stores compete against US grocery corporations moving into Canada. http://rabble.ca/columnists/2011/10/tom-mulcair-plays-terrible-hand-trad...

gaian wrote:
As you put it, HUH? You expect the workers at the checkout to survive while you fulfill your damp dream of doing away with NAFTA? Right.

Cheering on more free trade for the Canadian branch of global capitalism is not the way for the NDP to support workers.

An NDP government should renegotiate NAFTA and place Buy Canadian rules in key sectors of the economy, certainly in the energy sector but also in monopolies like CN rail - maybe that way Electro-Motive would still be in London Ontario.  And that way Canadian workers would be able to buy lots of groceries in UFCW grocery stores.  And in this week's news, the same deal with Air Canada hiving off its maintenance first to a separate company in Montreal and now to El Salvador?

Gaian, you live in Ontario, right?  How is global free-trade working out for Ontario manufacturing right now?  If the NDP embraces the free trade agenda, workers in many provinces and sectors will lose their jobs.  The Conservatives and Liberals have done a fine job selling out the country to global capital, the NDP doesn't need to join in.

 


Arthur Cramer
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Joined: Nov 30 2010

If they vote Topp, I saw it again, we are so screwed!


Someone else wrote, we want to lose, we want to lose. That would be so true!


NorthReport
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Joined: Jul 6 2008

1/2 hour till 3rd ballot results.


Brachina
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Joined: Feb 15 2012
Nailed by cyberterrorism, I hope thier is a police investigation and charges laid, we need to crack down on these assholes. I hate these worthless fucking goofs who have nothing better to do with hurting other people with thier hacking, spyware, and adware, viruses. Fucking scum.

NorthReport
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Joined: Jul 6 2008

Regardless of what happens now on the convention floor it has probably already been decided by the advance voting.

I think it would be helpful to chill a bit and reflect on people who are supporting other candidates who did not win, and who will have some bruised feelings. 

Arthur Cramer wrote:

If they vote Topp, I saw it again, we are so screwed!


Someone else wrote, we want to lose, we want to lose. That would be so true!


radiorahim
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Joined: Jun 17 2002

CPAC just reported that the NDP's CEO reported that there has been a DOS attack on the NDP's servers.


Unionist
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Joined: Dec 11 2005

Brachina wrote:
Nailed by cyberterrorism, I hope thier is a police investigation and charges laid, we need to crack down on these assholes. I hate these worthless fucking goofs who have nothing better to do with hurting other people with thier hacking, spyware, and adware, viruses. Fucking scum.

Aren't there bigger enemies of democracy around that we can save some venom for?

 


Unionist
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Joined: Dec 11 2005

radiorahim wrote:

CPAC just reported that the NDP's CEO reported that there has been a DOS attack on the NDP's servers.

I liked DOS. CPM too. I guess times and acronyms have changed.


Policywonk
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Joined: Feb 6 2005

NorthReport wrote:

Is that true Nathan and Tom were seen having dinner a few minutes ago? Laughing

 

If Nathan comes in 2nd, and that appears to be more and more a possibility now, and Tom is very close to going over the top, hopefully Nathan will walk over to Tom and end it. And if that were to happen as Pat Martin says, the combined forces of Nathan and Tom will create a sea change for the NDP.   

We'll see in about 15 minutes. Cullen has a lot of votes to catch up.


1springgarden
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Joined: Sep 2 2008

Brachina wrote:
Nailed by cyberterrorism, I hope thier is a police investigation and charges laid, we need to crack down on these assholes. I hate these worthless fucking goofs who have nothing better to do with hurting other people with thier hacking, spyware, and adware, viruses. Fucking scum.

Cyberterrorism, LOL!  If the system can be disrupted that easily by outsiders then bet it will.  Look at it as comedy in the modern world.  You looking to throw the perpetrators in Guatanamo?  Have CSIS interview them in Sudan?


Gary Shaul
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Joined: Oct 23 2001

Quote:
Are you telling me they cannot handle 5000 online voters??

One would imagine that the system is state of art and has the "pipes' to handle large volumes. It's not rocket surgery any more. There was a denial of service attack in the 2003 leadership race. That's suspected this time (sorry I haven't read many comments above).

One interesting thing is the "low" online voter turnout.

I've gone from Nash to Cullen on ballot 3. Ballot 4? Not sure. I can't see that more of Nash's supporters would go to Nathan over either Mulcair or Topp. Although McDonough going to Topp was interesting. So you never know with all those advanced ballots how people ranked people below Nash.

Spend an inordinate amount of time trying to vote in rounds 2 and 3 but persevered. I was tempted to drive down to the Convention Centre to vote. But I heard there were also some delays there (not sure if that was the case).

Rebecca Blakeney just reported that everyone was able to vote. They blocked 2 IP addresses were somehow involved in clogging the system. She wasn't sure if they would "attack" from a different IP addresss for ballot 4.

Hint: I was able to get through on Ballot 3 with the French link.


Life, the unive...
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Joined: Mar 23 2007

For Unionist

C://dos

C://dos.run

run.dos.run

 

an oldie but a goodie


Arthur Cramer
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Joined: Nov 30 2010

LTU, LOL!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

I bought a hard drive when I was using CPM. It was 40 MBs and cost me 800 dollars!


Unionist
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Joined: Dec 11 2005

Why is Ottawa Citizen reporting this at 5:49?

Quote:

“I think it’s just simply an overloading-the-server problem,” spokeswoman Sally Housser said after voting was extended for a third time.

Asked whether it might be the result of a denial of service attack, Housser said she “has no reason to believe that at the moment.”

Not very confidence-inspiring. Unless it's an old report?


Arthur Cramer
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Joined: Nov 30 2010

Because the Citizen LOVES the Tories and the Libs, and wants things not to change.


Policywonk
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Joined: Feb 6 2005

Gary Shaul wrote:

Quote:
Are you telling me they cannot handle 5000 online voters??

One would imagine that the system is state of art and has the "pipes' to handle large volumes. It's not rocket surgery any more. There was a denial of service attack in the 2003 leadership race. That's suspected this time (sorry I haven't read many comments above).

One interesting thing is the "low" online voter turnout.

I've gone from Nash to Cullen on ballot 3. Ballot 4? Not sure. I can't see that more of Nash's supporters would go to Nathan over either Mulcair or Topp. Although McDonough going to Topp was interesting. So you never know with all those advanced ballots how people ranked people below Nash.

Spend an inordinate amount of time trying to vote in rounds 2 and 3 but persevered. I was tempted to drive down to the Convention Centre to vote. But I heard there were also some delays there (not sure if that was the case).

Rebecca Blakeney just reported that everyone was able to vote. They blocked 2 IP addresses were somehow involved in clogging the system. She wasn't sure if they would "attack" from a different IP addresss for ballot 4.

Hint: I was able to get through on Ballot 3 with the French link.

McDonough went for Cullen, not Topp.


socialdemocrati...
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Joined: Jan 10 2012

I'm not saying it's a Conservative attacking the voting site. But if it's a Conservative, they did something that is going to backfire on them tremendously.


dacckon
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Joined: May 19 2011

If the cons did it the sad thing is that no1 would care, this is just their typical way of doing things and Canadians don't seem outraged by these things as much as I expected us to be. Meh.


West Coast Greeny
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Joined: Sep 14 2004

Some math for you all:

The results of the 2nd ballot:
Mulcair - 38.3%
Topp - 25%
Cullen - 19.8%
Nash - 16.8%

Assuming steady voter turnout (giant assuption at this point) and no non-eliminated candidates drift camps.

Nash voters second preferences for Cullen must exceed those for tops by 31 percentage points. I.E. Nash's 2nd preferences must breakdown something like this

Cullen 55
Topp 25
Mulcair 20

For cullen to get on the 4th ballot

Mulcair needs the support of another 11.7%(+1) of members to win the nomination. If Mulcair and Topp are on the ballot, that means he needs 32% of Cullen and Nash's current vote share to win the nomination. If Mulcair and Cullen are on the 4th ballot, he needs just 28% of Topp and Nash's support to win. 

Algebra. You really do use it in real life. 


Michelle
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Joined: May 10 2001

It's so hilarious that most of the Mulcair supporters calling in to CPAC's open line show don't even know his name.  It's Mul-CAIR, people, not Mul-CLAIR.

"I'm voting for the guy whose name I don't even know!  Go MulCLAIR!"  Heh.


Brachina
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Joined: Feb 15 2012
This is why I voted in advance. I always vote in,advance. I wonder how many really tried to vote, said screw it when they couldn't. only Half the party voted, spin it anyway you like, this is a total disaster. Many will feel disenfrancised, others are talking,about returning to deligated conventions which would screw the rest of us, who ever wins will have this hanging over them, and we've been,publicly humiliated. The only upside is the new leader can't be blamed for the mistake.

KenS
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Joined: Aug 6 2001

Maybe some of the techies could weigh in if adequate tracks will have been left by the hackers.

But some of the biggest hacking events, I dont remember the perps being definitievely traced.


KenS
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Joined: Aug 6 2001

How many people does it take to do a hack attack like this?

1? 2?

Low numbers will make it virtually impossible to pin on the CPC. And maybe hard to guess more than a location.


Policywonk
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Joined: Feb 6 2005

Michelle wrote:

It's so hilarious that most of the Mulcair supporters calling in to CPAC's open line show don't even know his name.  It's Mul-CAIR, people, not Mul-CLAIR.

"I'm voting for the guy whose name I don't even know!  Go MulCLAIR!"  Heh.

No quite as funny as McDonut.


KenS
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Joined: Aug 6 2001

Does anyone remember a figure expected or guessed for voter/member turnout?

I dont know if 50% is that low. What was it in 2003?


dacckon
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Joined: May 19 2011

Im so glad I didn't watch the whole thing.... soccer chants would drive me nutters after 5 hours.


Michelle
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Joined: May 10 2001

Arthur Cramer wrote:

I am down for maintenace. I need another beer! Smile

I hear Catchfire's buying!


Arthur Cramer
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Joined: Nov 30 2010

Ken, it depends on how the attacks were launched, what kind of DOS they used, whether they used zombie pcs (a pc that is accessed and used to attack another), among other things. It depnds truly on how sophisticated an attack or attacks was launched. It is very likely they won't  be able to nail it down at all.


Michelle
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Joined: May 10 2001

Here we go - results!

Nathan Cullen - 15,426

Brian Topp - 19,822

Thomas Mulcair - 27,488


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