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Latest polling thread - started April 3, 2012

102 replies [Last post]

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bekayne
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Joined: Jan 23 2006

adma wrote:

Though re Joe Jordan and the unpredictability even in sure-shot seats: remember that his father originally won not in 1993, but in 1988--a beneficiary of the free trade backlash in a seat which, then as now, was supposedly in the uppermost tier of Conservative safety in Ontario...

They also lost Prince Edward-Hastings & a few others like it, & rolled up their biggest margins in the 905. An anti-Meech backlash also played a part in some of those Ontario seats


Ippurigakko
Online
Joined: May 30 2011

on CTV polls

If you had to vote today, who should lead Canada?
Rae 51%
Mulcair 30%
Harper 19%
1,421 votes

 

other CTV polls:

If you had to vote, who would you vote for?
Rae 42%
Mulcair 37%
Harper 16%
Paille or May 5%
815 votes


NorthReport
Online
Joined: Jul 6 2008

What kind of mumbo-jumbo is this?

March 2012 Federal Poll Averages

http://threehundredeight.blogspot.ca/2012/04/march-2012-federal-poll-ave...


madmax
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Joined: Apr 15 2008
LOL.. now thats a funny poll And the 308 poll seat projection is also amusing...

Arthur Cramer
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Joined: Nov 30 2010

NR, Grenier is a Lib. I have no idea how he built a web prescense for himself but he did and has tunred it into an "expert" blog spot on Huff Po. His polling is laughable at best. I take nothing he posts seriously. He is a faux pollster.


JeffWells
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Joined: Dec 15 2003

NorthReport wrote:

What kind of mumbo-jumbo is this?

March 2012 Federal Poll Averages

http://threehundredeight.blogspot.ca/2012/04/march-2012-federal-poll-ave...

Meaningless now, as 308 acknowledges: "A last snapshot, then, of the political landscape in Canada before the arrival of Thomas Mulcair."

For our own good, let's not have such short memories. There was some nice recovery on the eve of the convention, and the party's been polling better since, but for months, including much of March, the polling story was that of the NDP's declining fortunes.


NorthReport
Online
Joined: Jul 6 2008

Usually when you are doing polling analysis you take into account the most recent polls. I guess Eric is hoping that the NDP will crash and burn before he has to acknowledge that they are front-runners.


Arthur Cramer
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Joined: Nov 30 2010

NR, exactly! Bang on as always!


Ippurigakko
Online
Joined: May 30 2011

CTV many polls, they r pro-Liberals lol

 


Sean in Ottawa
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Joined: Jun 3 2003

CTV polls are opt-in surveys. Totally meaningless.


Doctor Manderly
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Joined: Mar 29 2012

Opt in causes self selection bias...ie Liberals tell all their friends to opt in..and the polls magically shows Bob Rae is our next PM...

 

It is a smart PR victory for Liberals though....Joe Q Publiic may not delve into the methodology issues

 

 

*******************************************************************************************************

Pass it on...The NDP has the balance....unless you act now, they are going to pass a ""Slash and Burn" Mike Harris budget....

Economists predict massive unemployment if the NDP lets these cuts go through...


If we all write to Dalton & Andrea .......we can save Ontario...tell all your friends!!!


e-mail Dalton now at:

dmcguinty.mpp.co@liberal.ola.org


e-mail Andrea now at :

ahorwath-co@ndp.on.ca

 

 


Rebecca West
Offline
Joined: Nov 28 2001

CFL


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