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That also happened in the context of a Liberal surge nationally which took out the NDP. In the 1993 federal election, the Liberals won 4 seats in Edmonton. As the NDP establishes itself, especially since the Liberals do not appear to be coming back any time soon, I think the NDP could conceivably do well here.
I think that second thoughts might produce some last minute slippage in the Wildrose vote, and the PCs will manage to squeeze the Liberal vote somehwat. I expect there will be a virtual tie in the popular vote, however due to the legislature being somewhat titled in favour of rural areas, Wildrose will win a slim majority by sweeping virtually every seat outside Edmonton and Calgary.
I expect results something like:
Wildrose 45
PC 36
NDP 4
Lib 2
I hope I am wrong...
I predict a low turnout than even last time. In the 2008 election the turn out was 40.6% and the 2004 it was 44.7%.
The majority opinion about parliamentary politics in Alberta seems to be, "who the fuck cares they're all the same."
Who thinks they can go below a third of the eligible voters?
http://www.elections.ab.ca/public%20website/927.htm
Brad Lavigne on P&P tonight said the NDP will likely hold the balance of power in a minority. I wonder if he's reading babble?
So what? Andrea Horwath holds the balance of power in Ontario. It just means that the NDP supports the vicious neoliberal agenda of the government in order to prevent another election.
The balance of power means nothing unless you're prepared to use it. If you're afraid of forcing an election, you might as well be dealing with a majority government.
Have to agree with you there, MS.
I think it will be at least 45%
I hope seat distribution would be like this:
WildRose 41
PC 41
NDP 5
Lib 0
NDP leading in 4 ridings - the minimum for party status in legislature.
I'm willing to call Edmonton Strathcona for the NDP, Rachel Notley re-elected.
it sure is going slow jerrym - one person was elected for the PC so far. sign
I'm watching the G & M site and for all the hype for the wild rose party, it sure isn't looking good for them. At this point, they are only leading in 20 ridings where the PCs are leading in 45 - hmm.
A vote split is generating a nail-biting result in Lethbridge West. I'm currently read NDP leading with 669 to PC 668.
Yes. This is good and a surprise given the polls. WRA leads seem to be slim in many ridings. While there are very few results in so far, this suggests the PCs could live to govern another day. Shades of Decore.
Now NDP 1058 PC 995 (from CBC website)
we won a seat but it's not saying where on the globe site????
Rachel won - Howard you are right on! yeah
Now PC 1407 NDP 1319
GO SHANNON GO!!!!!!
Howard, do you have the link to where you are getting the exact numbers?
I should have said this earlier, but I will now project a PC majority. The WRA are just way too low (ten points behind) in the early count.
well with all the hype for wild rose the bloom sure came off and is wilting fast
Elections Alberta (poor gui, but it loads quickly)
CBC website (you can watch the results live)
CBC live is reporting that some outlets have already called a PC majority
Now PC 1,579 NDP 1,472
I think Shannon Phillips might be done this time around. She's now down over 200 votes.
Looks like Wildrose tea partied itself right out of government. Good work!
It looks like Brian Mason will be re-elected in Edmonton-Highlands-Northwood. It is still close enough for him to lose but I wouldn't count on it.
The NDP is polling a clear second at Edmonton with 21% currently. The PCs are riding high.
Well, I did predict this. Oh god 4 more years of PC government.....maybe sometime in my life I will see them lose an election. Hopefully sometime in my life I will see them lose an election.
With the NDP and Liberals polling 7%, it looks like a lot of people voted strategically for the PCs to stop Wildrose as the NDP and Libs were polling from 10 to 13%.
While this is diaappointing, it does mean there were probably significantly more people considering voting NDP under other circumstances. Hopefully we can build on that in the future. Unfortunately there will be no minority government so we could possibly push proportional voting.
Globe calls majority for PCs.