latest polling thread - 5 july, 2012
i wanted to get back to this:
"Actually, Jan, if you want to be an objective political analyst, you need to acknowledge that Justin Trudeau has some good political skills and knows how to campaign. That's how he got elected twice in Quebec, in difficult circumstances. Once against an incumbent Bloc MP, and then in an election in which almost 60 ridings went NDP and very few Quebec incumbents survived. Even giants like Duceppe were toppled."
barbot was the bq candidate in all of quebec whose vote total dropped the least. people account for dion and coderre surviving because of the ethnic voting patterns in their ridings, and in papineau, this holds as well, but with a twist: trudeau survived the ndp wave up there because of 5000+ votes from the cultural communities that went barbot, that in any other riding would have gone ndp. leader or not, if the ndp stay over 40% in quebec in 2015, the guy will lose that seat, and believe me that with demographics like we have up there, there'll be no shortage of city councilors and other notables jostling to take a run at the guy under the ndp banner.