Forcing Dion into climate change ACTION

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KenS
Forcing Dion into climate change ACTION

 

KenS

My name is Ken Summers and I wrote the article "Proggressives Shun Layton on Climate Change" posted on Rabble a couple days back.

The article spawned a thread on what people thought of a Green/NDP alliance. An interesting topic, and the thread got broader than that, but it only touched briefly on my main concern as an environmental activist.

So I'm launching this new thread. First, reposting what I said in the earlier thread with only some minor proofreading corrections.

In the article I was pointing out that Jack Layton gets blamed by both environmentalists and 'general lefties' for being concerned only with the NDPs narrow and near term electoral fortunes- at the expense of [unspecified] possibilities for 'getting something done' with the Greens or with the Liberals.

I pointed out that Elizabeth May is 'guilty' of the same 'charges' of not putting the cause ahead of electoral gain: that people just [i]assume[/i] she would like an arrangement with the NDP for each party not running a candidate in selected ridings.

She has never said such a thing, and it would not be in the overall interests of the Green Party.

In a way, I was just asking for 'equal negative time' for Elizabeth and the Green Party.

In the NDP/Green thread I got that and a lot more.

A number of people enthusiastically agreed that an arrangement with the NDP is not in the interests of the Green Party- because the Greens are a bunch of right wingers in sheep suits.

I don't buy that, at all.

The Greens are unlikely to get into an arrangement with the NDP for the simple reason that they are competing electoral parties. As such, the Greens have to distinguish themselves: in an overall sense, and specfically in relation to the NDP.

While it would be advantageous for Elizabeth May and a few other Greens to run without an NDP candidate in the riding, the larger cost would be far too great.

Two big costs to the national message that has to be their paramount priority. One cost is that the NDP and Greens are seen as interchangeable. If so, why should people vote Green? Second cost is to swing voters who would not consider voting NDP: for them the arrangement would reflect poorly on them choosing to vote Green.

While there is a grain of truth in each of the specific criticisms about the Greens made in the thread, they are way overboard.

I give Elizabeth May and the Greens as a whole lot more credit. I just wouldn't vote for them. Big deal.

This moralistic colouring of politicians that don't meet ones approval is a product of infantile leftism.

Politicians are hopelessly tainted by some stain they can't wash out... be that right wing orientation, obsession with pandering to voters (and the wrong ones to boot), or dumping on Trekkies.

Either they are all inherently and fatally flawed (and we should stick to protests in the streets); or maybe one of them is worthy of being not totally panned (if so we make sure to shit on the rest even more).

It happens in that thread that the strongest expression of this infantile analysis was directed at the Greens. It is more often directed at the NDP- if not everywhere. But it makes no difference.

The slicker and far more pernicious form of infantile analysis is what we get from the Jim Laxers [Dec 19 Globe] and Murray Dobbins [posted Rabble Dec 30]

The title of Dobbins column is "Vote NDP to Keep Liberals Honest"- but it reads to me as a turgid re-hash of Laxer's more straightforward piece.

It would be more aptly titled "Vote NDP, but A, but C, but X getting to Q, Vote Liberal"

Unlike many, I don't think the "Vote Liberal" is really intentional. But what matters is the outcome. As has been said more than once in this thread, complex arguments about how to vote don't work.

And it's not because voters are 'simple', its because they aren't stupid. If you say "Vote NDP to Keep the Liberals Honest" then you want the Liberals to govern. So whoever you think might be best in an ideal world, vote for the Liberals.

Period.

The rest of the contorted logic by the Laxers and Dobbins is just the mutterings of the chattering classes.

Albeit more polished, these mutterings are an expression of the same Canadian left proclivity for infantile analysis.

Jim Laxer in particular should know better, that he doesn't is testimony to how pernicious this is.

Laxer, and Dobbin among many others, are so sure that Jack Layton is obsessed with making deals with other parties so the NDP will get more seats in the next election that:

* it doesn't matter how many times Layton says he's not interested in propping up the Conservatives for token gestures to action on climate change. The skepticism would be understandable except...

* Layton says repeatedly that he wants a Lib/NDP/BQ total rewrite of the legislation that would pass in SPITE of the Harper government. A goal not worthy of note by our esteemed critics...

* Liberal Environment Critic Godfrey says repeatedly that the Liberals do not WANT to pass an Opposition bill. I guess reading in alleged motives for Jack Layton's actions is supposed to be more relevant than commenting on what the Liberals SAY.

As I said in the article- that's a smoking gun the Liberals are holding. And what do the Laxers and Dobbins say: "Jack Layton should be working more with the Liberals to bring down the Harper government."

Excuse me.

Jack Layton bends over backwards to try to get an opposition bill passed- a bill that he knows, especially with Dion as Leader- the Liberals will take primary credit for... and he knows they will largely succeed in getting that credit.

But that isn't good enough for the Liberals. Because they will fare better in the next election with NO bill having short and long term Kyoto targets.

Does Dion face criticism for putting party electoral interests ahead of citizens wishes?

No he doesn't. Jack Layton gets the blame for that.

It's really quite stunning.

===================

But enough of being stunned. It's not too late to jump and down and shame the Liberals into joining the effort to rwrite a completely revamped act and get it passed into law.

Somebody not far back in this thread aggreed that we are passing up an opportunity to get something done NOW. But obviously thought I was talking generally, and wondered how.

I's very simple. Staring us right in the face. As Rick Smith of Environmental Defense said yesterday on CBC The Current, "political moments like this do not come often".

We have a minority parliament with all the horse trading possibilities that brings, we have legislation in the process that can end up anywhere; and we have an election within months and an electorate keen to see progress on climate change action.

Bingo.

I want to start a new thread. The NDP/Green thing is a sideshow really. I say that even though the Greens stand to deprive the NDP of a number of seats, which matters to me. But it's still a sideshow.

Enough of the green scarves. Let's smoke out Dion.

sgm

Good post and article, Ken Summers.

As a student of the missile defence debate in Canada, I take your point about the opportunities minority parliaments offer progressive Canadian activists and politicians.

As you put it, "Bingo."

The political stars are aligning now on climate change as they did in late 2004/early 2005 on missile defence, when another minority government was forced away from its desired position towards one which acknowledged Canadians' wishes.

Obviously, there are important differences between the cases, including the existence of a specific legislative processs.

That said, such a process may well give us even more leverage over Harper than we enjoyed over Paul Martin's government as it disingenuously dithered over whether or not to agree to Bush's BMD plans.

In any event, I agree with the basic argument that [b]now[/b] is the time to press [b]all[/b] politicians to take action on this issue.

Finally, in the interest of 'smoking out Dion,' I'll point out that now would be a good time for Dion to undo the damage he did to his own credibility on the environmental issue in [url=http://www.rabble.ca/babble/ultimatebb.php?ubb=get_topic&f=7&t=000639]Au... of 2004[/url], when he was quietly reassuring Alberta's Lorne Taylor that the Martin government did not intend to live up to its Kyoto committments:

quote:

"They can't back away entirely from Kyoto and I can understand that. But Stephane [Dion] clearly said he could not do anything nor would Martin do anything which would damage the economy. I said' Well, you know that means you can't meet 2010 or 2012 timelines,' and he did not disagree with me. So they're saying the right things. If they live up to that, it's positive."

Obviously, Stephane Dion's 2004 Kyoto-abrogating 'positive' message to Alberta's oilpatch is not the signal he would like to send today.

We should all pressure Dion now to repudiate his record as Martin's Environment Minister by showing he actually cares more about action on climate change than he does about electoral advantage.

[ 06 January 2007: Message edited by: sgm ]

KenS

Khans defection to the Conservatives and the rejigging of the numbers in Parliament does give Layton more leverage to cajole the Liberals into supporting a complete Opposition rewrite of the Act going through Committee.

Our illustrious critics who in practice save all their suspicions for the NDP- tacitly or explicitly supporting the Liberals- will see this as an increase in the likelihood of a deal between Harper and Layton.

Maybe. But not the kind of sweetheart deal they continue to suspect is in the works.

I'd say there is a longshot chance Harper will decide to stick it to the oilpatch and cut a deal with the NDP where the Coservatives do a 180 degree turnabout on the non-negotiability of abandoning Canada's short term Kyoto commitments.

Layton and the NDP will accept no less than such a complete turnaround. Anything less will be political suicide for the NDP.

And I can see that agreeing to such a fundamentally altered bill could be a tipping point for the Conservatives being able to win an election. But it's an awful long way for Harper to go.

It COULD happen. However great the odds against, the fact it is possible should make the Liberals less complacent that they can just sit back and wait for the election scenario they have chosen:

"Only Papa, the Big Dog Liberals, can bring you the commitment to Kyoto that you seek."

Come to Papa.

Papa is all.

Trust in Papa.

============

But it would be a mistake to get caught up in speculation about how the various parties may position and reposition themselves.

We need to pay attention to that.

But our task is to keep up the pressure.

And so far the Liberals are getting a completely free ride.

Fidel

I think the NDP should step up the attack on both old line parties for a referendum on PR. We're never going to get the number of seats we deserve with this Gerrymandered outdated electoral system. The NDP will never have the same kind of friends in big business and banking to lock arms with during campaign season. We don't have the resources to fight a plutocracy pretending to be two parties for appearance sake.

NDPundit

This op-ed which appeared in last week's Toronto Star suggests that more and more environmental groups see a real opportunity to get something done through the Clean Air Act. I don't care who gets credit, I just think that this opportunity shouldn't be missed. That seems to be the spirit of these leading environmental organizations as well. [url=http://www.thestar.com/article/167590]op-ed[/url]

Boom Boom Boom Boom's picture

quote:


Originally posted by NDPundit:
I don't care who gets credit......

That's an expression John Baird has used in
[i]three[/i] interviews I've seen since he was appointed Minister of the Environment.

jeff house

Actually, I don't care who gets the credit either.

If it makes it easier for action to occur because all the parties get to claim they are better than the other guys, so what?

I would be sorry if the opportunity were missed, though. It might take years to get another similar Bill before Parliament.

West Coast Lefty

quote:


This op-ed which appeared in last week's Toronto Star suggests that more and more environmental groups see a real opportunity to get something done through the Clean Air Act.

[img]biggrin.gif" border="0[/img] What a great article! It could have been taken verbatim from a Layton speech, and that's fine. I'm glad the enviro groups have come around from their initial criticism to endorse Jack's approach of re-writing the Clean Air Act rather than just defeating it and being left with nothing, as the Liberals initially wanted to do.

I'm getting some glimmers of optimism that we can really get serious movement on climate change this time, with all-party support for the totally revised Clean Air Act within 2-3 months. And I also don't care who gets the credit (though Jack deserves a lot of it) or who we have to cut deals with to get results - this issue is way more important than partisan politics.

On Dion, I do think he is sincere about climate change - the key thing is how far he's willing to go in endorsing measures that will hurt the Liberal corporate friends, and will also make Harper look good. I predict Dion will want to work with Harper in a non-partisan way and he'll get whipsawed by the rabid partisans like Mark Holland in his caucus.

DavidMR

quote:


Originally posted by NDPundit:
[b]This op-ed which appeared in last week's Toronto Star suggests that more and more environmental groups see a real opportunity to get something done through the Clean Air Act. I don't care who gets credit, I just think that this opportunity shouldn't be missed. That seems to be the spirit of these leading environmental organizations as well. [url=http://www.thestar.com/article/167590]op-ed[/url][/b]

The willingness to work with the government and all opposition parties is indeed a shift of emphasis, especially since a representative of the David Suzuki Foundation is among the authors of this op-ed. When Elizabeth May was seeking the Green Party leadership, events were held for her Suzuki and his staff. This can be researched in the archives of Sean Holman's PublicEyeOnline site. If Suzuki is reaching out now to other parties as well, that's a relief.

Malcolm Malcolm's picture

quote:


Originally posted by jeff house:
[b]Actually, I don't care who gets the credit either.

If it makes it easier for action to occur because all the parties get to claim they are better than the other guys, so what?

I would be sorry if the opportunity were missed, though. It might take years to get another similar Bill before Parliament.[/b]


But the Liberals are scared to death of the possibility of any progress on the environment in this parliament. The Liberals are the ones putting partisan advantage ahead of the interests of the country.

minkepants

quote:


Originally posted by jeff house:
[b]Actually, I don't care who gets the credit either.

If it makes it easier for action to occur because all the parties get to claim they are better than the other guys, so what?

I would be sorry if the opportunity were missed, though. It might take years to get another similar Bill before Parliament.[/b]


It [i]already[/i] took years to get a bill before Parliament. It was called Kyoto. If the new legislation doesn't build on and confirm Kyoto it's complete BS. If Layton is able to get Harper over a barrel and exact real change, great. WHile he's at it, he should hold a gun to Harper's head on health care. If the NDP want 50 seats in the next election, lets see Jack get Harper to put up the money for a couple of thousand MRI machines. If we charged yanks a bargain rate for off hours scans compared to an HMO, we could probably make them self financing.

[ 07 January 2007: Message edited by: minkepants ]

Malcolm Malcolm's picture

And what exactly was the Liberal plan on climate change?

Oh yeah. They didn't have one.

And the Liberal plan on health care?

Oh yeah, they slashed healthcare spending deeper than Brian Mulroney ever dared or Stephen Harper had ever dreamed.

The Clean Air Act, as it stands, is appalling.

It is still 12 times better than the nothing we got from the Liberals.

NDPundit

Looks like the Liberals may have belatedly decided to play ball on the C-30 committee.

[url=http://www.liberal.ca/news_e.aspx?id=12164]press release[/url]

It doesn't say so in this press release, but in the press conference I saw on newsnet, godfrey said that he would work in good faith with other paties on C-30.

Substantively, these kinds of things are very much in line with what the NDP said in November that they would be looking for from C-30.

[url=http://www.ndp.ca/page/4570]NDP press release[/url]

KenS

Excellent news.

Things have obviously been moving quickly in the last week or so.

Two weeks ago you have Godfrey repeating publically that "there isn't time" to put together the legislature required to change C-30. [Having already established in practice their intent to run out the clock.]

But there's nothing to be gained by trying to push their faces in it.

I haven't seen what the Climate Action Network proposed. [It isn't on the website.] But what I see of it looks like the heart of it comes from what the House Committee has already been working on.

So it would appear that the Liberals simply chose to use the CAN announcement as a vehicle to say they were going to play along- without having to say that.

For what its worth, it looks to me like they are scrambling. If they thought they could look good, Dion would have been making the announcement.

All that matters is that they've said they'll play. Too early to cheer, but it would seem that means there will be a new Act. The Liberals just have to decide how they are going to make the case that it's their steamroller.

For that matter, we may get all party aggreement on a souped up C-30. It's worth something to have the government supporting it [which will smooth the road to effective implementation], and for the Conservatives there are a huge number of downsides to standing by and watching the Opposition force through a popular piece of landmark legislation.