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Latest polling - the Prairies, part 1
AR
Manitoba
PCs - 44%
NDP - 37%
Libs - 13%
http://www.cbc.ca/canada/manitoba/story/2010/03/19/mb-poll-ndp-progressi...
The only poll that counts is the one on election day. If there was a 15 point difference then I would give a poll some merit.
I think for that poll, we're going to have to see at least one more poll corroborate it before we take it too seriously - it is quite a significant shift, which is more or less inexplicable. Did something big happen that I slept through, or is it the 20th out of 20?
Some people will be happy to know the next Philmon-wannabe crooks in waiting are riding as high in the polls.
I think for that poll, we're going to have to see at least one more poll corroborate it before we take it too seriously - it is quite a significant shift, which is more or less inexplicable. Did something big happen that I slept through, or is it the 20th out of 20?
What confuses me is that the poll is reporting higher support for the PCs than the NDP even though the NDP remains ahead in the City of Winnipeg.
In any case, what this poll means is that safe rural PC seats will go PC by an even bigger margin and the NDP loses a few seats in Winnipeg. Instead of a 37 or 38 seat majority, the NDP would have 30 or 31 seats.