Not to mention that Carole is very likely to lose the next election anyhow JKR, even without help from the dissidents. Her active membership base was in steep decline well before this blew up, signficantly more than is usual between elections, while her polling numbers consistently lagged behind the party.
I have to say I'm impressed by your clear-sighted impartiality on this KenS. It is a difficult situation for everyone who cares about the party and province.