Who's running, who should be for the ONDP in 2011 - part II

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oldgoat
Who's running, who should be for the ONDP in 2011 - part II

...continued from here

Krago

According to Inside Queen's Park, Sandra Pupatello is rumoured to be looking for a job outside of politics.  The Windsor West NDP has a nomination meeting scheduled for June 8, with four announced candidates.  Can anyone tell me who's running, other than Mariano Klimowicz?

Stockholm

Cryno more "poo-poo"?

Lord Palmerston

The Davenport nomination is scheduled for June 12.  Jonah Schein, who ran a really good campaign against Cesar Palacio in the municipal election, is planning to run.  Sounds like the person to take out Ruprecht.

Quote:
Dear Friends,

June 12, 2011 will mark an important next step in changing the political culture in Davenport. Please join me at Hungarian House and help nominate me to be our Ontario NDP candidate for Davenport. While only NDP members in good standing who reside in Davenport are eligible to vote at the nomination, I encourage you all to come out, show your support, and help kick off this exciting campaign. 

For too long, our community has suffered under uninspiring, unaccountable and ineffective political representation. As we face growing challenges in our communities, thousands of Davenport residents suffer alone without support and have almost given up hope that change is possible.

But times are changing. 

For the first time in 49 years, Davenport fought to oust our tired Liberal MP. We came together as a community to elect an inspiring new MP, Andrew Cash, to represent us in Ottawa. 

I know that change is possible. I know that we can build a city and province that we are proud of, and communities that care for each other, that nurture us and allow us to prosper. 

The “orange wave” of the Federal campaign began in Davenport well before Quebecers made their historic move to elect New Democrats. The orange wave began in coffee shops, the No Frills, on the Dufferin bus and in the streets of Davenport. The wave began as a ripple. It began with speaking and listening to each other at your front door, making connections, and building an organization that we can all believe in, be proud of, and one that can win elections. 

I’m honoured to have worked with so many of you on this project. Last fall we worked to win the hearts and votes of nearly 5000 people in Davenport North in the municipal election. Despite many challenges, we received more votes than any progressive candidate in Ward 17 in history, and nearly defeated Councillor Cesar Palacio. 

After the municipal election, my campaign team and I went straight to work to carry our momentum and support forward into the Cash campaign, working all winter and spring, knocking on doors, raising money and building a strong volunteer base to elect Andrew Cash.

I’ve committed my life to public service, as a social worker, educator, and community organizer. I’ve helped thousands of people across the city in some of Toronto’s most marginalized communities, as an advocate for people with disabilities, low-income and homeless folks, as a harm reduction worker and as a counsellor in the LGBT community.

For the past six years I have worked in the Davenport community, where I helped to launch the Civic Engagement Program at The Stop Community Food Centre, working as a community organizer and as an advocate for food security. After my municipal campaign in Davenport North, I worked all winter and spring for Andrew Cash to help him win his seat in the House of Commons. I am currently employed by Social Planning Toronto as an organizer on the “Commitment to Community” campaign to contest Mayor Rob Ford’s privatization agenda.

Now, with a provincial election just four months away, we need a team and a candidate that can win this seat for the Ontario NDP and advocate for Davenport. I’m writing to ask for your support to become your NDP candidate for Davenport in the provincial election this October.

I have a proven track record of bringing people together and I have the support of an amazing group of activists and community leaders in Davenport. The nomination in Davenport is contested, but I believe that I am the only candidate that can win a seat for the Ontario NDP in Davenport. I need you to come out to support me at the nomination meeting on June 12. I look forward to working with all of you to win in October.

Please contact me at 647 802 6586 or by email at [email protected] if you have any questions or if I can be of any further assistance. You can also visit my website at www.electjonahschein.com 

Sincerely,

Jonah Schein

http://www.facebook.com/event.php?eid=204695312904896

Aristotleded24

Grant Robertson, Huron-Bruce?

adma

Or Paul Klopp again?  (It'd be interesting if any 1990-ers tried to catch the Laytonmania wind back into the Legislature,)

Life, the unive...

No to Paul Klopp for sure - was just elected Deputy Mayor in Bluewater last fall.  Grant Robertson is a big maybe.  I hear there is a lot of pressure on him to run, but energy issues are quicksand in this riding provincially so he may prefer to stay out and just build towards 2015.

I have also heard that Taras Natyshak in Essex has thrown his hat in.  That is very good news.

Life, the unive...

Aristotleded24 wrote:

Grant Robertson, Huron-Bruce?

To my complete surprise I think there is a chance that Grant Robertson might actually jump in.  Heard from two friends that this week on the same day he was at Queens Park during the day supporting the Walkerton jail closure protest and then later in the evening at a community forum on industrial wind getting a really positive reception and afterwards there was a knot of people around him asking him to run.   I know he has always kept up a busy schedule of community involvement, but it does have tongues a waggin' as they say.

Stockholm

Apparently Peter Kormos is retiring after 23 years. Its sad to lose him - but now is probably a good election for him to go since the NDP just re-won Welland federally and I suspect that between Kosmos and Malcolm Allen - they can find someone formidable to retain the seat.

Life, the unive...

A big loss for Ontario as his voice is needed now more than ever.  Them's some big cowboy boots to fill.

Stockholm

I don't know that his voice is needed now MORE than ever. He voice was always needed - probably most of all during the darkest days of Harris. But right now the ONDP caucus has too many old timers who have been there forever who are not team players. In some ways I wish a few more incumbents would quit so there could be some renewal and new blood.

lil.Tommy

He will be missed, but i agree now is probably the best time with momentum on the NDP's side.

With Kormos leaving, the 90's bunch left sitting are Marchese, Bisson and Hampton (who i think is retiring as well?

(i'd love to see someone like Karen Sun and Tanya Cameron run in those ridings, talking a new blood)...

So now we need a Candidate in Welland, Any thoughts on Cindy Forster? (former mayor of Welland and Niagara regional chair)

 

 

more nominated candidates:

Mary Kozorys in Thunder Bay - Atikokan http://www.chroniclejournal.com/content/news/local/2011/05/14/jobs-agenda-ndp-candidate

 

Come sunday we will know who the candidate in TB Superior North will be - "Current contenders are Jay Stapleton and Cindy Crowe"

 

 

 

Lord Palmerston

Agreed, it would be good to see a new NDP candidate for Trinity-Spadina and Karen Sun would make a great MPP.  But Rosario was re-nominated.

Krago

Forum Research has released a poll for the City of Toronto.

  • Rob Ford is still popular (57% job approval)
  • Dalton McGuinty, not so much (Liberal - 34%, PC - 34%, NDP - 26%, Green - 7%)
edmundoconnor

Kormos favourably compared to Aneurin Bevan (in the Sun, of all places).

Aristotleded24

Life, the universe, everything wrote:
To my complete surprise I think there is a chance that Grant Robertson might actually jump in.  Heard from two friends that this week on the same day he was at Queens Park during the day supporting the Walkerton jail closure protest and then later in the evening at a community forum on industrial wind getting a really positive reception and afterwards there was a knot of people around him asking him to run.   I know he has always kept up a busy schedule of community involvement, but it does have tongues a waggin' as they say.

So you can vote strategically for Grant to stop both the Liberals and Conservatives. Sounds like a good deal!

Stockholm

I just heard that Sandra Puputello (aka "poopoo") is retiring and not running again in Windsor West. Move that riding to the very top of the list of likely ONDP pickups now!

lil.Tommy

http://ca.news.yahoo.com/interest-strong-local-ndp-nominations-141446782.html

 

Already a number of people have stepped up for the NDP in the windsor area:

Essex - Taras Natyshak (awesome!), looks liek he will be acclaimed on the 14th

WW - Victoria Cross, Louis Sleiman, Helmi Charif

WT - Laurie Koman, Andrew McAvoy and Dave Morris

Not familiar with any, and Windsor babblers here who can comment on who would might be a) best to pick up/represent WW and b) defeat Dwight in WT

Stockholm

I love the idea of having the name "Victoria Cross" as in the Victoria Cross that is the highest honour the British military can confer!

Uncle John

Q.E.D.

ghoris

With the retirement of Pupatello, does the NDP actually have a realistic chance to win Windsor West? I know the party owns the seat at the federal level (and won it only after the longtime Liberal MP retired) but I find it hard to believe that the huge margins that Pupatello has racked up since 1995 are solely based on personal popularity. Based on recent history, Windsor-Tecumseh is actually the more likely pickup opportunity.

Stockholm

Yes, the margins Puptello racked up since 1995 were 100% solely based on her personal popularity (and to some extent because her party was popular while the NDP had fallen on hard times). This election will be the first one in many many years where the Liberals will have to defend that seat with no incumbent and with the ball and chain of being an extremely unpopular government that is crashing and burning in the polls. It might be hard to take out Dwight Duncan the Finance Minister in Windsor-Tecumseh - but with Windsor West being an open seat and with the Tories apparently set to run active campaigns in the region - I predict the Ontario Liberals will have a hard time even finding a credible candidate to replace PooPoo, and they will finsih a distant third like their federal counterparts.

adma

ghoris wrote:

With the retirement of Pupatello, does the NDP actually have a realistic chance to win Windsor West? I know the party owns the seat at the federal level (and won it only after the longtime Liberal MP retired) but I find it hard to believe that the huge margins that Pupatello has racked up since 1995 are solely based on personal popularity. Based on recent history, Windsor-Tecumseh is actually the more likely pickup opportunity.

Well, not just "recent" history. W-T contains the heart of Dave Cooke's old provincial stronghold--it's always been the "NDP end of town".  And federally, WW was, of course, long owned by Liberal Herb Gray--in a way, Brian Masse's present NDP advantage is more outsized relative to "natural" strength.

So, literally speaking, you're right.  But that said: yes, the NDP has a realistic chance of winning WW, simply because it's...Windsor.  Ground strength, machinery, and all.  And the fact of Dwight Duncan presumably running again levels the relative-strength argument, so it's realistic (I'm not saying "likely", just saying "realistic") for the NDP to win WW or even Essex ahead of W-T.  Open seats make the fruit hang lower, you know.

Robo

The Welland NDP nomination meeting will be held on Sunday August 7, according to the last paragraph in a story about a person seeking the Liberal nomination found here.

Stockholm

Apparently Jonah Schein won the NDP nomination in Davenport today. He seems to have performed well when he ran for city council and played a central role in Andrew Cash's big win - so this is probably a good thing. I was told that something like 30 ONDP nomination meetings are happening in the next week!

lil.Tommy

Nice Articule, looks like that momentum is starting to appear!
http://www.thestar.com/news/canada/politics/article/1007065--candidates-dive-into-orange-wave
 
Bruce Budd nominated in what should be a tight race in Scarborough SW
(I believe) Kathleen Mathurin is the candidate in Scarborough Centre

lil.Tommy

Ok i am seeing a smattering of other nominations:

 

Hamilton Mountain - Monique Taylor (sounds like a strong local candidate with municipal ties)

http://www.hamiltonmountainnews.com/news/article/232188

Guelph - James Gordon (acclaimed tonight by the sounds of it)

Stockholm

lil.Tommy wrote:

Bruce Budd nominated in what should be a tight race in Scarborough SW
(I believe) Kathleen Mathurin is the candidate in Scarborough Centre

I'm not sure if i'm all that crazy about that...I think I remember Bruce Budd running for city council in 1976! He must be almost 80 years old by now. Shouldn't the ONDP be trying to get a new generation of candidates?

lil.Tommy

I completely agree, After election 31yr old Dan Harris (whom i know and have worked with within the party) to then turn around and nominate someone of that age (i'm trying not to be agist here)

 

Other candidates for the nomination were:  

Barbara Warner (who was the candidate in 2003, ran for nominations in Beaches and Danforth);

Alagimir Hussain (don't know much about him)

robbie_dee

lil.Tommy wrote:

I completely agree, After election 31yr old Dan Harris (whom i know and have worked with within the party) to then turn around and nominate someone of that age (i'm trying not to be agist here)

 

Other candidates for the nomination were:  

Barbara Warner (who was the candidate in 2003, ran for nominations in Beaches and Danforth);

Alagimir Hussain (don't know much about him)


Clearly Budd out-organized two other quality candidates so his political skills can't be that diminished. I probably would have voted for Warner if I was a member of that riding association, but I am not. I think New Democrats should rally around the candidate the local membership democratically selected.

Stockholm

I googled Bruce Budd and it says he's born in 1944 - so he's 67 not 80 - still a bit on the old side but at least we might get one good term out of him (now that 70 is "the new 50")

lil.Tommy

And Now to defend Bruce :) ... maybe thats just the candidate that the NDP needs to burrow into the older/wealthier/whiter areas of the bluffs? With a Federal MP now to throw a lil'weighty support around for Bruce that will be a huge boost for their campaign

And i didn't mean to come across as not supporting him, if i live in SSW i would, my comment was just to say what i'd prefer to see. :P

lil.Tommy

double post

Aristotleded24

Well Al Mackling just ran for the NDP in Manitoba and he's 83, so why shouldn't Bruce run at his age?

Stockholm

Al Mackling ran as a sacrificial lamb in one of the safest Tory seats in Canada. It was nice of him to be willing to put his name on the ballot and show the flag in debates with Vic Toews. Scarborough Southwest on the other hand is a highly winnable swing riding for the ONDP that just elected an NDP federal MP. The NDP nominee in SSW has a good chance of winning - so I think we need to apply a different standard.

robbie_dee

Can anyone say anything [b]good[/b] about Bruce Budd? I don't know him. Has he run for or held any elected office before?  What's his profile in the community?

Polunatic2

Bruce is personable and sharp as a whip. He's also an avid electoral system reformer. 

Stockholm

I dug up another bit of electoral trivia about Bruce Budd. In 1979 he ran for the federal NDP nomination in Beaches where the NDP incumbent was retiring. He lost that race by ONE VOTE to Neil Young who went on the be the MP until 1993.

I didn't mean to cast any aspersions on him. He may be a fantastic candidate. I was just a bit concerned about picking someone that old.

Life, the unive...

If we want young candidates to better reflect the true face of society, doesn't it also make sense to have a few progressive seniors.  And if Dan Harris was his nominator, doesn't it suggest that he might be a strong candidate.

On another note- contested nomination in Bruce-Grey-Owen Sound of all places.  It will be between federal candidate Karen Gventer and previous provincial candidate and president of the Owen Sound jail union Paul Johnstone.  

Johnstone would be the stronger candidate I suspect, but there are some who seem to think that Gventer's "success" was based on personal popularity- so who knows.

Stockholm

Did Dan Harris nominate him or did he simply endorse him AFTER he was nominated. It wasn't clear to me.

Life, the unive...

Sorry if I got that wrong, I was just basing that on what was said above, maybe I misread it.  Anyway he sounds like a good well-rounded candidate to me. Not being a New Democrat though I don't know the people involved like others might.

adma

lil.Tommy wrote:

Alagimir Hussain (don't know much about him)

2008 Fed candidate in SSW.  (The only fed election this century where Dan Harris *didn't* run.)

Stockholm

I hear that Cathy Crowe is going to run again in Toronto Centre. With the momentum from the federal election that seat could actually be winnable - esp. since Glen Murray is so underwhelming and has no where near the (undeserved) star quality that Bob Rae has.

I'll be very curious to see who the NDP runs in Scarborough-Rouge River which went NDP by such a wide margin federally. Seems to me that the idea candidate would be Neethan Shan. He ran in Scarborough-Guildwood for the ONDP in 2007 and did very well and then ran for city council in Scarborough-Rouge River last Nov. and lost - but he was endorsed by all the right people (even the Toronto Star) and he is a Tamil in a riding where that was the key to Rathika's federal win...

lo and behold, i did a search and it seems that Shan is running for the nomination in Rouge River on June 23!

robbie_dee

What about Sheila White?

lil.Tommy

Looks like the NDP team in the Niagara area is going to be very competative

http://www.niagarafallsreview.ca/ArticleDisplay.aspx?e=3170687#.TfjWSpk7mw8;facebook

 

Niagara Falls - Wayne Redekop, formere mayor of Fort Erie (which made him a former regional councillor). The articule is very positive,

Wayne comes across as well liked, popular and a competent former mayor. Hudak is also from that area so Kim Crator (Lib incumbent) might

see support eaten away on both the right and left, if thats the case i think Wayne might help push this into the NDP column on personal

popularity/experience. (note Niagara Falls was one of the ridings that went NDP in 1990)

adma

lil.Tommy wrote:
(note Niagara Falls was one of the ridings that went NDP in 1990)

So did a lot of ridings.  However, the former NF and Niagara South ridings both reached into the landslide high 40th percentile in 1990, and it's the kind of seat where pre-90s (and currently federally under Jack Layton), 20%+ counted as "normal".

I'd consider it targetable--though for those who seek to nitpick, one immediate dent in the optics is that the NDP were *fourth* in 2007 (a clumsily parachuted candidate + an above-average Green effort did that)

Stockholm

One riding that the NDP probably should think about is St. Catherine's. There are more rumours that Jim Bradley will retire (he was first elected in 1977!) - and St. Catherine's is pretty working class town.

jfb

 

Is Duncan ready for defeat?

The opposition parties both smell blood. Helmi Charif, who is running for the NDP nomination in Pupatello's old riding, says he's going to improve on the second-place finish he managed against Duncan last election.

I failed to mention Charif 's candidacy in my last column when I said Victoria Cross and Louis Sleiman Jr. were contesting the nomination. Sources say Charif has sold well over 200 party memberships and will overpower the other two for the nomination tonight.

Read more: http://www.windsorstar.com/news/Duncan+ready+defeat/4954424/story.html#ixzz1PRT4gdRu

 

 

lil.Tommy wrote:

http://ca.news.yahoo.com/interest-strong-local-ndp-nominations-141446782.html

 

Already a number of people have stepped up for the NDP in the windsor area:

Essex - Taras Natyshak (awesome!), looks liek he will be acclaimed on the 14th

WW - Victoria Cross, Louis Sleiman, Helmi Charif

WT - Laurie Koman, Andrew McAvoy and Dave Morris

Not familiar with any, and Windsor babblers here who can comment on who would might be a) best to pick up/represent WW and b) defeat Dwight in WT

______________________________________________________________________________________ Our kids live together and play together in their communities, let's have them learn together too!

adma

On grounds of his turf's electoral history, I can't see why Dwight Duncan *shouldn't* be ready for defeat--essentially, the reason why he's still there is the Rae humiliation of '95, "strategic voting" in '99, and the McGuinty bandwagon in '03 and '07.  But otherwise, he's in a normally "NDP-leaning" riding.  And big deal if he's a cabinet heavy hitter.

robbie_dee

Former Wentworth North NDP MPP Don Abel has been [url=http://www.haliburtonecho.ca/ArticleDisplay.aspx?e=3168154]nominated in Haliburton-Kawartha Lakes-Brock, where he now lives[/url].

Krago

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