New poll suggests that an even three-way vote split would present Ford’s best chance of winning the election despite his unpopularity.
The Ford voter is younger, has a lower income, lives in Scarborough or Etobicoke/York and is a provincial PC voter. The Chow supporter is younger, lower income, lives in the downtown and is a provincial NDP supporter. The Tory voter is oldest, wealthier, lives in Etobicoke/York or North York and votes Liberal provincially.
Just less than three-in-ten will vote for Ford with no other candidates named (28%), and this is considered the measure of "Ford Nation", which stood at one quarter (25%) last month. Ford nation comprises the youngest (35%), males (34%), the least wealthy (44%), in Scarborough (38%), the least educated (42%), provincial PC voters (46%) and those of Caribbean ethnic background (59% - caution, small base size).