Federal NDP Candidates 2015

Sounds awewsome! My kind of people.

In Brantford-Brant 2011 and second place candidate Marc Laferriere, a Professor of Justice Studies at Mohawk College, is running for the nomination. 

http://www.brantfordexpositor.ca/2014/11/19/laferriere-eyes-breakthrough...
http://marcyourvote.ca/about-marc/ 

What's interesting about nominations for the NDP, as it is for all the parties, is that you get a sense of perhaps where the party thinks its areas of strengths are by which ridings it has gotten nominated already, versus which ones have not been done so far or are perhaps being put off till later in case no one wants them (eg. 'paper candidate' ridings).  All parties make these calculations.

The NDP has nominated a number of candidates in Québec so far (although none so far in Liberal-held ridings from what I can tell), but not very many in Ontario except for incumbent MP's.  Of note is that the NDP has very few candidates nominated in the 905 (an area of weakness as we saw in Whitby-Oshawa this week).  The NDP also hasn't nominated very many candidates in the Maritimes, except for a few of its incumbents.  This may be because it doesn't expect to make many gains there.

In contrast to the NDP, the Conservatives have already nominated candidates for a large number of Ontario ridings, particularly in the 905.  This is not a surprise as they hold the majority of these seats and have a lot of incumbents, but it shows the Conservative machine is off to a strong start and that they know that this is where a big part of 2015 will be determined.  They also have nominated a lot of their candidates in Western Canada, not surprisingly, although still have a majority to nominate in the Maritimes (one of their weak areas).  They also have very few candidates nominated in Québec so far except for their 5 MP's and a few others here & there. (I notice that former CPC MP Sylvie Boucher is making a comeback attempt in the Beauport-Limoilou area).

The Liberals are also off to a pretty good start and are a strong 2nd to the Cons in number of candidates nominated so far.  They are really focusing on Ontario, Québec & the Maritimes.  Most of the Maritime seats already have Liberal candidates as they are expected to do well there and already have a number of incumbent MP's. (New Brunswick is the province which has the fewest Liberal candidates so far).  The Liberals also have quite a few candidates nominated in Québec - all of the incumbent MP's (except Justin Trudeau who will be nominated in Papineau this weekend.) as well as quite a few other candidates throughout Montréal and throughout the regions of Québec.   The Liberals have also nominated a large slate of candidates in Ontario and are well-ahead of the NDP there, but behind the Conservatives.  The Liberals have also nominated a number of candidates in Western Canada in what are expected to be the best Liberal ridings in Manitoba, British Columbia, Alberta & Saskatchewan, but still have quite a few left to do.  Former MP Larry Bagnell has also been nominated in the Yukon.

It appears that the Greens have about only half a dozen candidates nominated so far, and the BQ is apparently getting several candidates of its own ready, but Alice Funke is finding it more challenging to track nominations for the Greens & BQ since they are more under the radar.

Btw, it's also interesting to see that the Liberals still retain a narrow lead over the NDP in the % of women candidates nominated.  This may be both a product of Trudeau's greater dedication to recruiting women candidates compared to prior Liberal leaders, and a corresponding weakness in this area by Mulcair.  Thus far it doesn't seem that as many women are being nominated in Mulcair's NDP, but perhaps it's too early to draw any conclusions and this could change in the months ahead as more nominations take place.

http://www.punditsguide.ca/

David Young wrote:

BetterOnTheLeft wrote:

In Brantford-Brant 2011 and second place candidate Marc Laferriere, a Professor of Justice Studies at Mohawk College, is running for the nomination. 

http://www.brantfordexpositor.ca/2014/11/19/laferriere-eyes-breakthrough...
http://marcyourvote.ca/about-marc/ 

I tried both links, but was not able to get through on either one.

 

Hope it works

http://www.brantfordexpositor.ca/2014/11/19/laferriere-eyes-breakthrough...

Am I correct that the NDP candidate for Papineau is expected to be Marcos Tejada, the NDP riding President who was the candidate in 2011?

So far I am not aware of anyone else running for the NDP nomination in Papineau.  Curious to know if there are any other names coming forward.

Here's the most recent article I could find, dated August 20, 2014:

http://www.npdpapineau.com/#!Marcos-R-Tejada-candidat-à-linvesture-du-NPD-dans-Papineau/c1ge2/38FF5685-6A36-4C06-98E1-3E5EF28564BA

Just got my invitation to the Nomination Meeting here in Hull-Aylmer - for Monday, December 8th. Only Nicole Turmel's name mentioned, and it reads like an invitation to a party. So I am presuming she is running unopposed.

There's a nomination meeting this afternoon in Vancouver Quadra for the NDP to select the candidate to face off against MP Joyce Murray in 2015.

Sarah Blyth & Scott Andrews (not the one from Avalon ) are the 2 people running, I believe.

Lord Palmerston wrote:

Stockholm wrote:

That's a bit of an upset - she beat Dave Coles the ex-President of CEP - one of the two unions that merged to create Unifor...and it wasn't even close she won something like 385-180!

Indeed, that is an upset. 

BTW what do you think of the policy of "destroying the ballots and making it unanimous" policy of the NDP? 

Without knowing this particular situation, typically there is a "scrutineer" for each of the candidates.  So there doesn't seem to be anything wrong with destroying the ballots.  If one kept the ballot there is always a chance of a future challenge in which case the ballots would need to be secured for the duration... in a double locked safety deposit box?   It seems unnecessary if there is wide participation in the balloting and counting.

Scott Andrews won the Vancouver Quadra nomination tonight

greyscale wrote:

Scott Andrews won the Vancouver Quadra nomination tonight

'Scott Andrews' is going to cause some confusion in the months ahead!

BetterOnTheLeft wrote:

Rachel still has quite the CV so I think she makes a good candidate; Also, there is nothing stopping Coles from running in another Van Island Riding or in another BC one... but all ridings on the Island are going to be contested and competative, the NDP has some real strength on the island both federally and provincially. Although based on his Facebook page, he probably won't run anywhere else...

In the Victoria by-election in 2012, NDP support dropped quite substantially and almost lost the seat to the Greens.

Mulcair could be a drag on NDP fortunes in British Columbia, and if so, Elizabeth May could be the main beneficiary on Vancouver Island.  After nearly taking Victoria from the NDP two years ago, it will obviously be one of the areas where the Greens focus on electing another MP.

Does anyone know who might be running in the Mount Royal riding?  I helped a bit in 2011 but haven't heard anything for 2015.

There are any number of seats that are NDP vs. Conservative races, and hopefully most Liberals will coalesce behind the NDP candidates.  The Liberals finished a distant 3rd in many of these races in 2011.

You just don't get it, Nicky, do you.

When the Libs are in second place but falling in the polls (see 2011) we should all rally behind the Libs to ensure the Cons don't get in.

And when the NDP is in second place but falling in the polls (see 2014), we should all rally behind the Libs to ensure the Cons don't get in.

ARE YOU DEAF OR SOMETHING!?!?  Get with the program.

Debater, thanks for the update on Mount Royal.  I am starting to think that the NDP might be a "0" entity in the riding in 2015.  I worked with Itcush and knew that a lot of people who voted NDP only voted for Itcush.  He was different than a lot of the NDPers who I met at places like the Rialto during the campaign.  He was a good speaker on the media but seemd a bit centrist.  

Looks like it might be the Libs for me next time.

Debater wrote:

That was 2011.  We are now in 2014.  NDP is 3rd in both polling & by-election results, and very few people expect the NDP to be in contention to form Government in 2015.

Stephen Harper certainly doesn't consider the NDP a threat - that's why he largely ignores Mulcair.

Ignoring the fact that the NDP was far further behind in 2011, going into the campaign, as it is now. No one thought the NDP would be in contention in 2010, either. What is your point?

Harper plays to his strength. He knows he can beat Trudeau, but doesn't know if he can beat Mulcair if he makes it into a contest between himself, and the only parliamentarian ever to make his voice crack in the house. It's not really clear to me that your object is to defeat the Conservatives, all you ever talk about is the failings of the NDP.

Debater wrote:

NDP has never won a federal election.  Liberals have - many times.

[...]

SERIOUSLY!?! This is your leading argument? Do yourself a favour and stop drinking that red Kool-Aid they serve at Liberal HQ.

Hey! Why not just take it a step further:

[insert more Liberal propaganda here:]

"NDP has never walked on water. But Justin Trudeau has!

NDP has never raised the dead. But Justin Trudeau has!

NDP has never been resurrected! But thanks to Justin Trudeau, the Liberal party has!"

 
But in reality:

- NDP had never had never elected an MP in Quebec. Liberals have ... [WAIT!] Mulcair was elected in the 2007 by-election.*

- NDP has never swept Quebec. Liberals have ... [WAIT!] There is that little matter of the Orange Wave of 2011.

So Debater, when you start to spew the self-righteous Liberal entitlement "we're the natural governing party of Canada" b*lls**t that come up time and time again like:

NDP has never won a federal election.  Liberals have - many times 

Just remember: there is a first time for everything.

____________
* Technically, the first elected NDP MP in Quebec was Louis-Phillip (Phil) Edmonston in 1990 (also a by-election).  

Rokossovsky wrote:

Debater wrote:

That was 2011.  We are now in 2014.  NDP is 3rd in both polling & by-election results, and very few people expect the NDP to be in contention to form Government in 2015.

Stephen Harper certainly doesn't consider the NDP a threat - that's why he largely ignores Mulcair.

Ignoring the fact that the NDP was far further behind in 2011, going into the campaign, as it is now. No one thought the NDP would be in contention in 2010, either. What is your point?

Harper plays to his strength. He knows he can beat Trudeau, but doesn't know if he can beat Mulcair if he makes it into a contest between himself, and the only parliamentarian ever to make his voice crack in the house. It's not really clear to me that your object is to defeat the Conservatives, all you ever talk about is the failings of the NDP.

1.  NDP supporters keep bringing up the fact that the NDP was further behind in 2011.  The NDP was the 4th Party then.  Why does this keep getting left out of the analysis?  The NDP is now the Official Opposition.  Official Opposition parties are not supposed to be 3rd in the polls, 3rd in by-election results & 3rd in fundraising.  Even Dion & Ignatief had better numbers than Mulcair has now.

2.  How do you know what Harper knows?  This sounds like NDP spin to me.  Most logical, objective analysts consider Trudeau to be Harper's main opponent.  The Conservatives know the Liberals are far more likely to beat them than the NDP, that's why they largely ignore the NDP.  If the NDP are able to beat the Conservatives, why have they not been able to challenge the Conservatives in any of the polls or by-elections in the past 3 years since Mulcair has been leader?

3.  I've been very critical of the NDP, yes.  Because this is what the NDP has been doing to the Liberals.  It has been more interested in pointing out the failings of the Liberals than in defeating the Conservatives.  The NDP went after the Liberals in 2011, and Harper got a Majority.  And here it is now nearly 2015 and the NDP is still attacking the Liberals even though the Liberals are the only ones who have demonstrated they can beat Harper.  Both in 2004 when they actually did so, and in recent by-elections under Trudeau.

Quote:

....ok, well.....anyway, Scott Bell was just nominated as the NDP candidate in Saskatoon-Grasswood. He's a lawyer with many years of experience in Aboriginal law and is vice president of the Fédération des francophones de Saskatoon.

I mentioned the nomination being tonight on the previous page.  Bell beat Lilian Nguema-Emane. What kind of profile does Scott Bell have? 

BTW, as Kenny Bania would say "what's the deal with grasswood, is it grass or is it wood?"

Does anyone know if Rathika is running in the newly created Scarborough North or Scarborough Rouge Park?

Scarborough-Rouge Park is likely to be a Liberal-Conservative race (re-distribution gives the Liberals the edge), so it's not surprising that Rathika would prefer Scarborough North.  It's more favourable to the NDP (although that's based on Layton's 2011 numbers, it's not looking as good under Mulcair).