Eight NDP/NPD Nominations tomorrow Nov.29,2014 They are as follows
Abitibi—Témiscamingue: Christine MOORE will be acclaimed
Chicoutimi—Le Fjord: Dany MORIN will be acclaimed
Jonquière: Karine TRUDEL will be acclaimed
Laval—Les Îles: François PILON will be acclaimed
Portneuf—Jacques-Cartier: Elaine MICHAUD will be acclaimed
Saint-Jean: Hans MAROTTE will be acclaimed
Oxford: Zoé KUNSCHNER will be acclaimed
Vancouver Centre: Constance BARNES and Alisdair SMITH will compete for the nod
Matthew Dube will contest again in Beloeil-Chambly, not sure when the nomination will happen. One of the McGill 4. I believe all 4 will re-contest no? Charmaine Borg and Mylène Freeman are nominated, leaving Laurin Liu and Matthew Dube. All have done exceedingly well for "poteaux" I think
http://www.oeilregional.com/2014/11/28/matthew-dube-se-representera
Of benhart's list of nomination meetings tomorrow, the most notable is the acclamation of Hans Marotte in Saint Jean, to replace retiring NDP incumbent Tarik Brahmi. Marotte is a well-known anti-poverty activist in Quebec and lawyer / spokesperson for the Mouvement action-chômage. His nomination will reinforce the NDP's progressive (and nationalist) credentials in Qc. (Discussed above already on the first page of this thread.)
In a contribution above, Debater suggests that "Scarborough-Rouge Park is likely to be a Liberal-Conservative race (re-distribution gives the Liberals the edge), so it's not surprising that Rathika would prefer Scarborough North".
Meh. Here is how they see it at Pundit's Guide:
Scarborough-Rouge Park: This new riding gains the Scarborough parts of the old Pickering-Scarborough East riding plus about a third of the old Scarborough-Rouge River. It transposes to a pure 3-way race last time: 35L-32C-31N. The current Pickering-Scarborough East Conservative MP Corneliu Chisu has announced a run in the new Pickering-Uxbridge next door, as reported by Wingrove in the Globe. I'm inclined to believe the Conservatives' maxed out their Scarborough support in the last election, and that they'll run third in an NDP-Liberal fight this time around.
Matthew Dube will contest again in Beloeil-Chambly, not sure when the nomination will happen. One of the McGill 4. I believe all 4 will re-contest no? Charmaine Borg and Mylène Freeman are nominated, leaving Laurin Liu and Matthew Dube. All have done exceedingly well for "poteaux" I think
http://www.oeilregional.com/2014/11/28/matthew-dube-se-representera
Matthew Dubé was never a "poteau." He ran in his home riding of Chambly--Borduas, where he was a volunteer coach for local hockey and soccer teams. He was president of the Quebec Young New Democrats, and co-president of McGill NDP, but already had a BA in political science and history.
Federal B.C NDP candidates and M.Ps who are running again
1.Kennedy Stewart,48, Burnaby South, Public Policy Professor, B.A-History, M.A-Political Science, PHD-Government, M.P 2011-, Critic: Science and Technology, Acclaimed
2.Gord Johns, Courtney-Alberni, Executive Director Tofino-Long Beach Chamber of Commerce (oddly enough this is Long Beach, California 
), Former CEO Ecoeverything (clothing retailer) and former Art Gallery Owner, Tofino District Councillor 2008-2011, Defeated Ronna-Rae Leonard Courtney City Councillor and 2011 NDP candidate
3.Randall Garrison,63, Esquimalt-Saanich-Sooke, Criminal Justice and Political Science Instructor, M.A-Political Science, former Esquimalt Township Councillor 2008-2011, M.P 2011-. Critic: Public Safety and LGBTQ Issues
4.Bill Sundhu, Kamloops-Cariboo-Thompson, Human Rights Lawyer and former Provincial Court Judge (resigned), B.A-International Relations, M.A-International Human Rights Law, Acclaimed
5.Sheila Malcomson, Nanaimo-Ladysmith, Reservations Manager Gabriola Cycle and Kajak Ltd, Former Researcher Canadian Institute for Environmental Law Policy, Former Owner Adventure Travel Management, B.A- Environmental Resource Studies, Islands Trust Councillor 2002-2014 and Chair 2008-2014, Won Nomination on Second ballot 339-217 defeated
A.Dominque Roelants (2nd ballot opponent) Executive Officer B.C College, Public Service and Teacher's Pension Board, Lawyer and former Law Professor, B.A and M.A-Sociology, B.Sc, M.Sc and PHD-Computer Science, B.Sc-Psychology, 1991 Provincial NDP candidate North Vancouver-Seymour
B.Kip Wood, Math Teacher and former Union Local President
C.Natasha Bob, Native Band Child and Family Services Cultural Permancy Worker, Nanoose First Nationan Band Councillor, Just elected Nanaimo-Ladysmith School Trustee
D.Jackie Moad, Registered Nurse, Fruit and Vegetable Farmer (organic?), Bed and Breakfast Owner, B.Sc-Kinesiology
6.Peter Julian,52. Executive Director Western Institute for the Deaf and Hard of Hearing, Former Executive Director Council of Canadians, B.A-Political Science (International Relations), M.P 2004-, House Leader
7.Rachel Blaney, Executive Director Multicultural and Immigrant Services of North Vancouver Island, B.A-First Nations and Women's Studies, defeated Dave Coles, former National President CEP
8.Jacqui Gingras, North Okanagan-Shuswap, Sociology Professor and Editor Journal of Critical Dietics, Self Employed Nutrition Counsellor, B.Sc-Dietics, M.Sc-Nutrition and Metabolism, PHD-Education, Defeated Richard Smiley, B.A-Political Science, B.A-Agriculture (Subtropical Horticulture)
9.Fin Donnelly,48, Port Moody-Coquitlam, Executive Director Rivershed Society of British Columbia, B.A-Philosophy, Coquitlam City Councillor 2002-2009, M.P 2009-, Deputy Critic: Fisheries and Oceans (West Coast), Deputy Critic: Infrastructure
10.Nathan Cullen,42, Skeena-Bulkley Valley, Self Employed Strategic Planning Consultant, M.P 2004- Critic: Finance
11.Richard Cannings, South Okanagan-West Kootenay, Biologist and Consultant and Author, Bird Studies Canada Program Biologist, B.Sc-Zoology, M.Sc-Zoology and Animal Biology, former U.B.C Zoology Museum Curator, 2013 Provincial NDP candidate in Penticton, over 750 voters at nomination meeting, Defeated Margaret Maximenko, former Vice President and Safety Officer Sound Structures and Supplies Ltd, former Pet Store Owner, Kootenay-Boundary Regional District Director ?-2014
12.Jasbir Sandhu,48, Surrey Centre, Justice Institute of B.C Program Coordinator and Manager, Owner My Village Restaurant, B.A-, MBA, M.P 2011-, Critic Asia Pacific Gateway
13.Jinny Sims,62, Surrey-Newton, Former President BCTF, B-Ed, M.P 2011- Critic: Employment and Social Development
14.Libby Davies,61, Vancouver East, HEU Ombudsperson for Human Rights and Co-Ordinator of Human Resources, Former DERA Organizer, Vancouver City Councillor 1982-1993, 1993 Vancouver Mayoral Candidate, M.P 1997-, Deputy Leader (one of three), Critic: Health
15.Don Davies,51, Vancouver-Kingsway, Lawyer and Teamsters Canada Local Director of Legal Services, B.A-Political Science, M.P 2008-, Critic: International Trade, Deputy Critic: Citizenship, Immigration and Multiculturalism
16.Scott Andrews, Vancouver-Quadra, Spectrum Society for Community Living Researcher, Co-Founder Youth in Development, B.A-English Literature and Economics, M.A-International Studies, defeated Sarah Blyth, Mental Health Worker, Parks Board Commissioner 2008-2014
17.Murray Rankin.64, Victoria, Law Professor and Envrionmental, Aboriginal and Public Lawyer, former President West Coast Environmental Law Association, B.A (Hons)-Political Science, M.A-Law, M.P 2012- Critic: National Revenue and Pensions
18.Larry Koopman, West Vancouver-Sunshine Coast, Sea to Sky Country, Community Co-Ordinator Opportunities Fund for Persons with Disabilities, Cottage Rental Business Owner, B.A-History, defeated Elizabeth Nordlund, Anthropologist and Textile Artist, Instructor Opus Framing Ltd, Art Studio Owner (Sea Sprite Studio), M.A-
Hans Marotte has been acclaimed as the NDP candidate in St. Jean. He sounds like an amazing candidate - a lawyer who started an organization defending the rights of the unemployed. He has cool hair too!
Check out his appearance last year on Tout le monde en parles
https://www.facebook.com/video.php?v=561691670628020&video_source=pages_...
Who won in Vancouver Centre? The results were supposed to be announced at 4.
Great link to the Marotte interview, Stockholm - thanks!
Re Vancouver Centre, I haven't seen anything official but Tweets from the hall say its Constance Barnes.
Ex vision parks board commish @ConstanceBarnes wins @VanCentreNDP nomination. Lesson? Start org'ing early #vanpoli #cdnpoli v @brentgranby
With the Liberal nomination in Vancouver South now by acclamation I believe this is the final NDP/Liberal contested nomination in B.C for the year.
In a contribution above, Debater suggests that "Scarborough-Rouge Park is likely to be a Liberal-Conservative race (re-distribution gives the Liberals the edge), so it's not surprising that Rathika would prefer Scarborough North".
Meh. Here is how they see it at Pundit's Guide:
Scarborough-Rouge Park: This new riding gains the Scarborough parts of the old Pickering-Scarborough East riding plus about a third of the old Scarborough-Rouge River. It transposes to a pure 3-way race last time: 35L-32C-31N. The current Pickering-Scarborough East Conservative MP Corneliu Chisu has announced a run in the new Pickering-Uxbridge next door, as reported by Wingrove in the Globe. I'm inclined to believe the Conservatives' maxed out their Scarborough support in the last election, and that they'll run third in an NDP-Liberal fight this time around.
Yes, but as you can see, Pundit's Guide has the riding highlighted in Red in the 2015 database, based on the fact that re-distribution theoretically gives the Liberals a win. Obviously many of those races were close last time because of the Liberal collapse and NDP wave. So yes one could argue it's theoreticlaly a 3-way race. However, it still doesn't change the fact that Rathika is running in Scarborough North because it's more favourable to the NDP (based on 2011 numbers) than Scarborough-Rouge Park.
It's important to keep in mind though that all the Scarborough ridings were Liberal strongholds until the 2011 Latyon wave. If the Liberal vote in Ontario remains well above the NDP like it is now in 2014, the NDP will probably be defeated in all the Scarborough ridings as it was prior to 2011.
I wonder what the point of any of this is. Debater tries to convince the dippers that the Libs are going to win and the Dipper try and convince Debater and Pondering that Trudeau toast or at least in trouble.
The truth is a zillion things can change the political landscape and why does it matter if one side believes the other can or will win, is the goal to demoralize each other, to see who cracks first and runs shrieking in absolutely certainty that they've already lost?
Who cares if debater thinks that Liberals are going to win and that most of us still think the NDP can take it. We'll find out in 2015 and its not like we're likely to conivince each other as it means surrendering to defeat.
OK, folks. So maybe some people may not want to vote NDP because of the leader. I get it.
And maybe some might not want to vote NDP because of some particular policy issue. I get that too.
But surely, EVERYONE (under 40) will want to vote NDP because its the only party with two sitting MPs (and candidates for 2015) who were in a punk rock band that opened for (amongst others) the Dead Kennedys, Billy Idol and the Violent Femmes.
Ladies and gentlemen, please welcome .... L'Etranger - starring Chuck Angus and Andrew Cash.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=dYt8QCdoRYc
Who won in Vancouver Centre?
Calgary Stampeders!
Constance Barnes
Russ Christianson won the nomination Sunday for Northumberland--Peterborough South, after 87 ballots were cast.
dp
dp
The NDP has selected a solid candidate for Vancouver Centre -- Barnes has the potential to give Hedy Fry a close race.
It's interesting that someone from the Vancouver Park Board was successful in Vancouver Centre, but not in Vancouver Quadra. Constance Barnes was selected in VC, but for some reason the NDP membership decided to go with Scott Andrews in VQ instead of Sarah Blyth.
Eight NDP/NPD Nominations tomorrow Nov.29,2014 They are as follows
Abitibi—Témiscamingue: Christine MOORE will be acclaimed
Chicoutimi—Le Fjord: Dany MORIN will be acclaimed
Jonquière: Karine TRUDEL will be acclaimed
Laval—Les Îles: François PILON will be acclaimed
Portneuf—Jacques-Cartier: Elaine MICHAUD will be acclaimed
Saint-Jean: Hans MAROTTE will be acclaimed
Oxford: Zoé KUNSCHNER will be acclaimed
Vancouver Centre: Constance BARNES and Alisdair SMITH will compete for the nod
On top of all these NDP nominations on weekend, Alexandre Boulerice was acclaimed in Rosemont-Petit-Patrie.
You can see some video for the live web streaming they did HERE.
I heard the book club was the deciding factor in Vancouver Quadra. I would have loved to see Blyth as the candidate, but there wasn't the signups and organizing in Quadra like in Centre because much less was at stake. I wouldn't read too much into it.
Hopefully we'll see Blyth working with Barnes and Davies since she's a strong and valuable voice.
Babbler 8: The book club?
I heard the book club was the deciding factor in Vancouver Quadra. I would have loved to see Blyth as the candidate, but there wasn't the signups and organizing in Quadra like in Centre because much less was at stake. I wouldn't read too much into it.
Hopefully we'll see Blyth working with Barnes and Davies since she's a strong and valuable voice.
True. The NDP has a shot in Vancouver Centre, whereas they don't in Vancouver Quadra. Quadra is one of the wealthiest ridings in British Columbia and the NDP finishes 3rd there. Even in 2011, the NDP only got 14% of the vote in VQ.
By contrast, the NDP has been able to finish a strong 2nd in Vancouver Centre and has the potential for a win if Hedy Fry doesn't benefit from strong enough Liberal numbers in 2015.
The NDP has a shot in Vancouver Centre, whereas they don't in Vancouver Quadra. Quadra is one of the wealthiest ridings in British Columbia and the NDP finishes 3rd there. Even in 2011, the NDP only got 14% of the vote in VQ.
By contrast, the NDP has been able to finish a strong 2nd in Vancouver Centre and has the potential for a win if Hedy Fry doesn't benefit from strong enough Liberal numbers in 2015.
Vancouver Center is for the Libs what Vancouver East is for the NDP
Hedy Fry runs ahead of the party, and is way too popular to get knocked off. This seat is hers for as long as she wants it.
The NDP has a shot in Vancouver Centre, whereas they don't in Vancouver Quadra. Quadra is one of the wealthiest ridings in British Columbia and the NDP finishes 3rd there. Even in 2011, the NDP only got 14% of the vote in VQ.
By contrast, the NDP has been able to finish a strong 2nd in Vancouver Centre and has the potential for a win if Hedy Fry doesn't benefit from strong enough Liberal numbers in 2015.
Vancouver Center is for the Libs what Vancouver East is for the NDP
Hedy Fry runs ahead of the party, and is way too popular to get knocked off. This seat is hers for as long as she wants it.
That`s not a true comparison; Hedy has never gotten above 42% of the vote and that was in 2000, in 2011 and 2008 Hedy only won 31% & 34% While Davies in VanEast consistently breaks 54-56% since 2004 and hit 62 in 2011; the NDP have only ever lost VanEast twice... remember from 84-93 the PCs held the riding.
That`s not a true comparison; Hedy has never gotten above 42% of the vote and that was in 2000, in 2011 and 2008 Hedy only won 31% & 34% While Davies in VanEast consistently breaks 54-56% since 2004 and hit 62 in 2011; the NDP have only ever lost VanEast twice... remember from 84-93 the PCs held the riding.
No matter Hedy Fry is unbeatable in that riding.
That`s not a true comparison; Hedy has never gotten above 42% of the vote and that was in 2000, in 2011 and 2008 Hedy only won 31% & 34% While Davies in VanEast consistently breaks 54-56% since 2004 and hit 62 in 2011; the NDP have only ever lost VanEast twice... remember from 84-93 the PCs held the riding.
No matter Hedy Fry is unbeatable in that riding.
Perhaps.
But she'll turn 74 before the next election, and who here thinks she'll want to still be a candidate and have to commit for another 4 years (+/-) if re-elected. She can retire on her nice $100,000+ per year M.P. pension any time she wants to.
The NDP has a candidate with way more name recognition and way sooner than last election. It is true that the central campaign and "air war" matter a lot, but Hedy is far from undefeatable. I also expect to see the Greens run hard here again after their municipal gains in Vancouver.
2011 Redistributed Results for Vancouver Centre:
Liberal by 1919 votes, 4.63%
Electors: 74094 Turnout: 55.92%
Liberal 12844 | 31%
NDP 10925 | 26.37%
Conservative 10791 | 26.05%
Green Party 6250 | 15.08%
double post
That`s not a true comparison; Hedy has never gotten above 42% of the vote and that was in 2000, in 2011 and 2008 Hedy only won 31% & 34% While Davies in VanEast consistently breaks 54-56% since 2004 and hit 62 in 2011; the NDP have only ever lost VanEast twice... remember from 84-93 the PCs held the riding.
No matter Hedy Fry is unbeatable in that riding.
Perhaps.
But she'll turn 74 before the next election, and who here thinks she'll want to still be a candidate and have to commit for another 4 years (+/-) if re-elected. She can retire on her nice $100,000+ per year M.P. pension any time she wants to.
Hedy Fry has already been renominated.
News hot off the presses Retired judge Carol Baird Ellan, who served as Chief Judge of the BC Provincial Court from 2000 – 2005, is seeking the nomination of the NDP in the new riding of Burnaby North – Seymour in the 2015 federal election. She served as a provincial court judge in burnaby from 2000-2005 and in north vancouver until she retired in 2012. She has lived in north vancouvr since 1983 and has strong ties to burnaby through the provincial court and has already won the endorsement of burnaby mayor Derek Corrigan. She is the right candidate to give the ndp a strong chance at retaining the north burnaby seat. www.carolbairdellan.ca
The NDP has selected a solid candidate for Vancouver Centre -- Barnes has the potential to give Hedy Fry a close race.
It's interesting that someone from the Vancouver Park Board was successful in Vancouver Centre, but not in Vancouver Quadra. Constance Barnes was selected in VC, but for some reason the NDP membership decided to go with Scott Andrews in VQ instead of Sarah Blyth.
According to several tweets Sarah Blyth was a late entrant.
News hot off the presses Retired judge Carol Baird Ellan, who served as Chief Judge of the BC Provincial Court from 2000 – 2005, is seeking the nomination of the NDP in the new riding of Burnaby North – Seymour in the 2015 federal election. She served as a provincial court judge in burnaby from 2000-2005 and in north vancouver until she retired in 2012. She has lived in north vancouvr since 1983 and has strong ties to burnaby through the provincial court and has already won the endorsement of burnaby mayor Derek Corrigan. She is the right candidate to give the ndp a strong chance at retaining the north burnaby seat. www.carolbairdellan.ca
This will probably guarantee a split between the NDP and LIberals ang get the Conservatives back in that riding.
Anyway, any relation to John Baird?
Adam T wrote: This will probably guarantee a split between the NDP and LIberals ang get the Conservatives back in that riding.
WTF? The NDP nominates a top-rated candidate in a riding that is effectively a Con/NDP race (the Libs got 15% in 2011, well behind the two competitive parties) - and this "guarantees a split"? You're joking, surely. We're talking Lib Entitlement humour, here, right?!
Yuk-Yuk. Good one. "I'M ENTITLED TO MY ENTITLEMENTS!!" Classic.
Adam T wrote: This will probably guarantee a split between the NDP and LIberals ang get the Conservatives back in that riding.
WTF? The NDP nominates a top-rated candidate in a riding that is effectively a Con/NDP race (the Libs got 15% in 2011, well behind the two competitive parties) - and this "guarantees a split"? You're joking, surely. We're talking Lib Entitlement humour, here, right?!
Yuk-Yuk. Good one. "I'M ENTITLED TO MY ENTITLEMENTS!!" Classic.
1.She hasn't been nominated yet, she hsa two challengers for the nomination: Acting teacher Michael Charrois and school teacher Trevor Ritchie
2.The NDP has very little support in North Vancouver District. The Liberals are the main challengers there.
Hedy Fry has already been renominated.
True, and I'm told by Liberal staffers that Hedy Fry genuinely enjoys her job and is running again because she likes being an MP and isn't interested in retiring. Those who know Hedy say that being an MP is her life and that because she doesn't have a spouse, etc., she isn't interested in sitting around at home in retirement.
Adam T wrote: This will probably guarantee a split between the NDP and LIberals ang get the Conservatives back in that riding.
WTF? The NDP nominates a top-rated candidate in a riding that is effectively a Con/NDP race (the Libs got 15% in 2011, well behind the two competitive parties) - and this "guarantees a split"? You're joking, surely. We're talking Lib Entitlement humour, here, right?!
Yuk-Yuk. Good one. "I'M ENTITLED TO MY ENTITLEMENTS!!" Classic.
1. Obviously the Liberals had a bad election in 2011, but considering that the Liberals have been up in every riding so far under Justin Trudeau, I wouldn't refer back to 2011 numbers when trying to project 2015 seats. 2011 was like another lifetime ago. Liberal support is way up since 2011, and NDP support is down. We should also keep in mind that the NDP has not been performing well in Western Canada under Tom Mulcair. Meanwhile, Justin Trudeau has deeper connections to B.C. than Mulcair does, both through his grandfather who was a cabinet minister, and because he himself lived & worked in B.C. for several years as a teacher.
2. Since 2011, it has actually been the NDP that has been acting very entitled. The NDP assumed that because it had finished in 2nd place once that it was guaranteed to sweep to power in 2015 and run over both the Liberals and the Conservatives. The NDP forgot that 2011 was a personal vote for Jack Layton, not for the NDP itself. By assuming that Canadians had anointed them as the permanent alternative to the Conservatives, the NDP made the same mistake Ignatieff did in 2011 - underestimating their opponents. That's one of the reasons that Trudeau has been beating Mulcair for 2 years.
The Transposed results for Burnaby North- Seymour are:
Con 44.2%
NDP 35.2
Lib 15.7
Debater has polluted this and other threads with his constant claims that the Liberals can win this and any number of other ridings if only the NDP doesn't split the vote.
These numbers show what an unmitigated liar he is and why no one should take him seriously.
You will note debater that I didn't call you a "troll."
Adam T wrote: This will probably guarantee a split between the NDP and LIberals ang get the Conservatives back in that riding.
WTF? The NDP nominates a top-rated candidate in a riding that is effectively a Con/NDP race (the Libs got 15% in 2011, well behind the two competitive parties) - and this "guarantees a split"? You're joking, surely. We're talking Lib Entitlement humour, here, right?!
Yuk-Yuk. Good one. "I'M ENTITLED TO MY ENTITLEMENTS!!" Classic.
1. Obviously the Liberals had a bad election in 2011, but considering that the Liberals have been up in every riding so far under Justin Trudeau, I wouldn't refer back to 2011 numbers when trying to project 2015 seats. 2011 was like another lifetime ago. Liberal support is way up since 2011, and NDP support is down. We should also keep in mind that the NDP has not been performing well in Western Canada under Tom Mulcair. Meanwhile, Justin Trudeau has deeper connections to B.C. than Mulcair does, both through his grandfather who was a cabinet minister, and because he himself lived & worked in B.C. for several years as a teacher.
2. Since 2011, it has actually been the NDP that has been acting very entitled. The NDP assumed that because it had finished in 2nd place once that it was guaranteed to sweep to power in 2015 and run over both the Liberals and the Conservatives. The NDP forgot that 2011 was a personal vote for Jack Layton, not for the NDP itself. By assuming that Canadians had anointed them as the permanent alternative to the Conservatives, the NDP made the same mistake Ignatieff did in 2011 - underestimating their opponents. That's one of the reasons that Trudeau has been beating Mulcair for 2 years.
Lets not totally discredit what he is saying, THAT would be a mistake, the NDP just has to work that much harder then the Liberals, nothing new there...
Burnaby North - Seymour with the current polling becomes a very tight three way race, the NDP and Tories down, the Liberals up. This is where a strong candidate and campaign come into play.
1 - The exact same thing can be said about polling!, polling is more often then not wrong and is a snapshot of current moods and trends and should be taken with a gain a salt. You can't discredit the 2011 election results fully and the NDP has done well to hold most of its support since that time, with the exception of by-elections which tend to be more local (I know this from the Trinity-Spadina race... the NDP had it until Vaughan was nominated, then it was a bust, Cressy didn't stand a chance. and TOCentre the NDP grew its support it was the collapse of the Tories that pushed the riding to the Liberals)... (the NDP is polling roughly about 6-8% lower then 2011 in current polling from what i've seen). You can say Justin has deeper roots and ties but those ties include the BCLiberals, who are a polarizing force (many don't understand the two Liberals are in no way related but ive talked to Liberals who rant about the success of the BCL as part of the LPC brand so) recent and upcoming Austerity in Quebec and Ontario could hurt Justin buy the time the 2015 comes around.
2 - The NDP has every right to feel miffed at the fact that the Media has never treated the NDP as the opposition, which it rightly deserves to be, and the party has every right (and so do the supporters) to demand the party be given its just treatment. BUT I can see your point and the party should never take anything for granted, but I really don't see that. The personal vote for Jack might have been the case in Quebec, but I would wager less so in much in the rest of Canada where strong local candidates and the party itself being much more established along with a weak Liberal party helped.
Carol Baird Ellan sounds like a potentially very strong candidate for a riding like that, one that takes in more conservative voting areas and will be a three way race. Being endorsed by Corrigan has huge sway in Burnaby, I don't think we can overlook that at all, Corrigan's name and team are huge in Burnaby (they did just sweep every elected position last month)
Hedy Fry has already been renominated.
True, and I'm told by Liberal staffers that Hedy Fry genuinely enjoys her job and is running again because she likes being an MP and isn't interested in retiring. Those who know Hedy say that being an MP is her life and that because she doesn't have a spouse, etc., she isn't interested in sitting around at home in retirement.
Again Hedy Fry is unbeatable in her riding. She can represent Vancouver Center for as long as she wants, no one will be able to beat her. She runs ahead of the party.
I'm not sure why Hedy Fry is popular I met her once and found her singularly unimpressive and a bit of a wingnut
Here is an impressive new candidate for the NDP in Montreal:
Is Tyrone Benskin not running again?
She is challenging Benskin for the nomination...IMHO she sounds like she would be MUCH better than Benskin
I'm not sure why Hedy Fry is popular I met her once and found her singularly unimpressive and a bit of a wingnut
I remember listening to a radio debate in1993 between her, Kim Campbell and, I believe, Betty Baxter for the NDP (who is now a Sunshine Coast school trustee) and thinking to myself "what a classless jerk"
The LGBT block of voters always puts her over the top
From 2011 Hedy is Ready!
The 18,000 LGBT voters in Vancouver Centre love it. Dr. Fry won them over when she worked locally as a physician during the early AIDS epidemic, and they reaffirmed their loyalties once she was inside the House of Commons, when she championed gay rights and gay marriage.
Other parties have courted the LGBT vote in Vancouver Centre, with little success. Back in 2004, Stephen Harper’s Conservatives nominated a gay candidate, a West End resident named Gary Mitchell. He came a distant third. Mr. Mitchell found Dr. Fry and her team to be formidable. “She had a high level of confidence in herself and in the people around her,” he says. “There was also a sense of entitlement. She had already been in [the Chrétien] government for 11 years. Of course, she’d had the benefit of doling out money to organizations then.”
Canada’s first openly gay MP, Svend Robinson, represented a Burnaby riding for 15 years before contesting Vancouver Centre in 2006; this was a comeback attempt after his theft of an expensive, bejewelled ring, and he was expected to put up a great fight. Dr. Fry demolished him.
http://news.nationalpost.com/2011/04/02/brian-hutchinson-hedy-fry-appear...
