Federal NDP Candidates 2015

Rokossovsky wrote:

Debater wrote:

What explains the NDP drop in all of the other Western by-elections under Mulcair's leadership?

Calgary Centre (NDP dropped to 4th)

Brandon-Souris (NDP dropped to 3rd)

Provencher (NDP dropped to 3rd)

Macleod (NDP dropped to 5th)

Fort McMurray-Athabasca (NDP dropped to 3rd)

Yellowhead (NDP dropped to 3rd)

The crappy performance of the provincial parties.

So the fact that the NDP has dropped in all the Western by-elections under Mulcair is all the fault of the provincial parties?  Nothing to do with Tom Mulcair, right?

The reason I sometimes wonder whether you work for Mulcair is because on every topic you seem to want to shield Mulcair from having anything to do with the NDP's results.

Let's say the NDP had done very well in the by-elections under Mulcair - would you not be arguing that it was as a result of his leadership?

And if the Liberals had dropped in all the by-elections under Trudeau, are you telling me you would ascribe it all to provincial factors and say it didn't reflect on Trudeau at all?

When a party does well it means the leader is a genius but when a party does badly it has nothing to do with the leader? 

Meena Wong is standing in the way of Sarah Blyth .

She didn't keep her mayoral campaign office up and running for nothing.

Stockholm wrote:

I doubt very much if Meena Wong would get nominated (if she even ran). Most NDPers in Vancouver are affiliated with Vision Vancouver and supported Robertson for re-election. Only a handful of fringe ideologues are involved with COPE - so I don't think the NDP members in vancouver east would be in any hurry to nominate someone they were all dead set against in the mayoral election.

Except Van East tends to lean further to the left than the rest of Vancouver, and Libby Davies was once a COPE councillor. I don't think a COPE-type would have any problem being elected in that part of the city.

Lets not confuse Municiapl and Federal politics; Meena was known as a New Democrat before running for COPE. COPE and Vision both occuply places within the NDP voting world and you can see that, so I don't think that being known as the former COPE candidate would really have a huge impact on those who voted Vision if Meena were to run under the NDP. Same can be said for Blyth, COPE voters would probably still vote for her as the NDP candidate. 

Why would Meena not run in Vancouver South now that she has a much larger public profile, would that not help her chances?, even in the less NDP friendly VanSouth

... Personally I really hope to see two women win the nomination in two Female held seats, Van East looks good but HamMountain might go to a man if the rumouirs of two city councillors possiby running.

Speaking of Thunder Bay - Superior North, are there any links to potential candidates running for the NDP? 

Pat Martin could be Mulcair's ambassador to Israel.  Or Harper's or Trudeau's for that matter.

The only NDP person that rivals Libby Davies popularity in Vancouver East is Jenny Kwan.

She was one of only two people to survive the NDP wipeout in the late 90s. She runs ahead of that party, expecially in Vancouver East.

If she were to be nominated, it would be over for the other parties.

Jenny Kwan would be unstoppable, and no one would be able to beat her for the seat in Vancouver East.

Justin Trudeau could run against her (for the Liberals) in Vancouver East and Jenny would still win by a WIDE margin.

Ellen Woodsworth said on Facebook she is considering running for the Van East nomination. She would be amazing.

Meena will run again in Van South. Why wouldn't she? And as a mayoral candidate she got 9% of the vote against an incumbent mayor considered left-wing with a fraction of his funding. And she controlled much of the mayoral discourse. Impressive for "a handful of fringe ideologues." 

Catchfire wrote:

Meena will run again in Van South. Why wouldn't she?

Because Vancouver East is a better fit for her, and it would be a cakewalk for her to win if she were the nominee in that riding.

Adrian Dix has just released a tweet saying he WILL NOT be seeking the nomination in Vancouver East.

Just wanted to mention that Daniel Beals will be NDP candidate for Kingston and the Islands (ON), same as 2011.  I can't find any news report on it, but happened to bump into him Saturday where he explained it would be announced that evening.

I see that according to Pundit's Guide that the NDP are ahead in the % of female candidates nominated once again.

Justin (It-For-Me) Trudeau talks the talk about promoting female candidates, but he doesn't walk the walk!

David Young wrote:

I see that according to Pundit's Guide that the NDP are ahead in the % of female candidates nominated once again.

Justin (It-For-Me) Trudeau talks the talk about promoting female candidates, but he doesn't walk the walk!

 

You're so insufferable.

1.  I asked you earlier this year not to refer to Justin Trudeau as 'It For Me'.  It's immature and doesn't contribute to the discussion.  Have you noticed that I don't refer to Mulcair as 'Angry Tom'?  I try to avoid that type of immature attempt at trolling, but you can't seem to help it.

2.  The Liberals are a strong 2nd in the number of female candidates nominated right now - it's not as if the NDP is way ahead.  The NDP is at 40% and the Liberals are at 35%.  The Liberals are doing better in female candidates from where they were under Ignatieff, whereas the NDP is in danger of dropping down from the high they reached under Layton.

debater, you claim you avoid "immature trolling" !!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

Would you prefer mature trolling, or just simple trolling?

What kind of trolling is it that you do?

Yes, I joined the NDP when the the Liberals imposed the War Measures Act, one of the most perfidious in a long series of obnoxious measure that blacken the Liberal brand.

It is obvious why Glen Thibeault has defected to the Ont Libs. He wants a cabinet post and actually institute policy in government. Rather than bang your head against the wall in opposition.

If he gets defeated provincially, will he run for the Libs federally?

scott16 wrote:

Can any Hamilton babblers tell me about these councillors?

http://www.thespec.com/opinion-story/5203491-dreschel-mp-charlton-s-exit...

Re: Hamilton Mountain and replacing Charlton --

Scott Duvall is the best-placed to run - current councillor on the mountain, very effective local politician, union background, well-liked across the spectrum.

Problem for him is that his cross-appeal is strong and he could be mayor potential if he sticks on council for a few more terms.  Being a former Hammerotnian I get the sense that he likes being effective more than being elected - the question is whether he'll feel he can make a difference at the federal level as opposed to his current role.  I see him as more of a provincial politician, personally and was very surprised to see his assistant Monique Taylor run for the NDP provincially, instead of him.

Sam Merulla is a former Liberal turned NDP about ten years ago.  Lost the Hamilton East nomination to MPP Paul Miller a few years back.  Merulla is the opposite of Duvall - flashy, livewire, a show man. 

Problem for him is that his ward doesn't really cover that much of the riding and that he's quite polarizing and to some can be very unlikeable.  Hamilton East and Hamilton Mountain are two very different worlds.  Also, he was former Liberal MPP Dominic Agostino's protégé so if I had to I'd bet on him rejoining the Liberal fold sometime in the future, particularly given Wynne's perceived leftward tilt and Trudeau's perceived left-leanings.  Imean, if a grassroots NDP politician like Glenn Thiebault can jump shimp, it is surprising that a Liberal-at-heart like Merulla hasn't also left the orange fold by now.

This is a very big opening for the Liberals and I'm surprised they haven't asked very popular former MPP Sophia Aggelonitis run federally.

If Duvall is the candidate, he'll likely win and I doubt that Terry Whitehead (local councillor from the area too) would run.

If Merulla is the candidate, Whitehead will probably run for the Liberals and would be very competitive.  I'd say a squeaker Liberal win.

Adamczyck is a loyal party soldier but likely wouldn't hold the riding given the current climate, in my view.

benhart, I've removed both your posts. 1, they are copyrighted material from punditsguide; 2, they are waaayy too long for a bulletin board discussion. Please post a link and one or two comments next time. That's sufficient. Thanks!

I'll weigh in with "opportunistic scumbag"

I guess we can't call him a rat, eh? Those are associated with sinking ships.

josh wrote:

Unionist wrote:

bekayne wrote:

Brachina wrote:

 Its good we're shaking off all the fleas and scumbags before forming the first NDP governement federally.

Did you know he was a flea and a scumbag before today?

And, I'm still not clear as to whether he's a flea or a scumbag. Clarification, please?

 

 

Maybe he's a scumbag with fleas.

 

Or a scumbag of a flea. I suppose even some fleas are scumbags.

Brachina wrote:

 Its good we're shaking off all the fleas and scumbags before forming the first NDP governement federally.

So you're saying the NDP has a lot of fleas & scumbags in it?

No one has posted about the awesome new candidate in the Laval riding of Marc-Aurèle Fortin, Marie-Josée Lemieux.

This is one of the three new Quebec ridings, extremely winnable. (I know, it has the same name as the veteran New Democrat Alain Giguère's riding, but almost half of his old riding shifted into the new Blainville riding where he is running, leaving Marc-Aurèle Fortin as effectively the new riding.)

Former vice president of the College of Psychologists of Quebec, a psychologist for 25 years. Vice-president from 2007 to 2009 of the Commission multidisciplinaire régionale de l’Agence de la santé et des services sociaux de Montréal. Since 2012 she is operations manager at a CSSS (Centre de santé et de service sociaux). She got a diploma in public administration from Quebec's ENAP (one of the largest public administration universities in the world) in 2012, now working on her Masters in Public Administration.

sherpa-finn wrote:

According to The Globe and Mail, Jenny Kwan is indeed sizing up Vancouver East:

Jenny Kwan considers federal NDP run for Libby Davies’s seat in Vancouver East

http://www.theglobeandmail.com/news/british-columbia/jenny-kwan-considers-run-for-libby-daviess-seat-in-vancouver-east/article22137555/?cmpid=rss1&click=dlvr.it

That wouldn't be a bad place for her to land given that she is kind of now persona non grata with the provincial party.

I predicted that Jenny Kwan would think about seeking the nomination a few days ago

http://rabble.ca/comment/1473908#comment-1473908

She could put her name on the ballot, not campaign at all, have Justin Trudeau run against her (for MP in Vancouver East as the Liberal candidate) and she would still win by a WIDE margin.

Her popularity in Vancouver East rivals Libby Davies.

Only question mark are her kids. Being a BC MLA allows her to be home every night. Not so for an MP from Vancouver working in Ottawa.

Stockholm wrote:

Kwan would likely win Vancouver East easily as a federal candidate - but she is widely reputed to be a toxic personality and to be as dump as a post

You're right Stockholm. A riding with issues like drug addiction and large-scale poverty is very toxic. These people don't count, we should shove them aside so that we can represent "respectable" canadians.

Stockholm wrote:

Kwan would likely win Vancouver East easily as a federal candidate - but she is widely reputed to be a toxic personality and to be as dump as a post - so while she would be a seat on the NDP bench she would also waste a seat that could be occupied by someone who would actually add something to the caucus. I hope the Vancouver East can do better.

I assume you mean "dumb as a post"

There is a famous interview of her shortly after she became a cabinet minister in the Glen Clark government where she just repeats the same talking points over and over again and sounds like a robot.

That said, she was considered highly enough at one point that she was briefly the finance critic under Carole James.

I've heard both good things about her (from a couple federal Liberals nearly 10 years ago) and bad things about her (mainly from Vaughn Palmer).