NDP Pulls Away From Pack. Which Right-Wing Party, Cons or Libs, will Right-Wing Canadians choose to try and stop the NDP?

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NorthReport
NDP Pulls Away From Pack. Which Right-Wing Party, Cons or Libs, will Right-Wing Canadians choose to try and stop the NDP?

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NorthReport

Today:

Will it be the Cons?

Combine the Senate scandal with a Conservative MP going to jail today, doesn't look good.

Harper's Parliamentary Secretary Dean del Mastro sentenced to jail. 

Dean Del Mastro sentenced to month in jail, 4 months house arrest for election overspending

http://www.cbc.ca/news/politics/dean-del-mastro-sentenced-to-month-in-ja...

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Dean_Del_Mastro

 

 

NorthReport

Today as well:

Will it be the Libs?

Waren Kinsella does not appear to think so.

IT’S FORUM, BUT…

it’s more or less consistent with other, recent, polls. There are a variety of reasons for it, some of which I’ve written about.

But – as I asked a couple Tories seen in Ottawa this week – my question remains this: “Did you guys do your job on Justin too well?”

That they have hurt Justin Trudeau’s reputation, and his party’s brand, is beyond dispute. But they have (as a result) facilitated some of Tom Mulcair’s growth, through neglect.  So why haven’t the CPC done to the godless socialists what they did to Trudeau?

http://warrenkinsella.com/2015/06/its-forum-but/

 

alan smithee alan smithee's picture

Fuck Kinsella...His word is not the gospel.

Personally,I like the Liberals to finish second and the Conservatives not but a shit stain in Canadian history.

NorthReport

alan,

Read Stephen's response in his comment section at 8:10 AM today.

http://warrenkinsella.com/2015/06/its-forum-but/

 

NorthReport

The right-wing Liberals will probably eek out 1 of the 42 seats in BC, right up there with 1 Green seat.

What must be of major concern for the right-wing Liberals and Conservatives now is that the phrase "majority NDP government" is starting to rear its head in the mainstream media.

'Orange door' is opening

But now an "orange door" has emerged.

Barring a complete political earthquake in voting patterns, the NDP has little chance of winning a majority government but it does have the real potential to win the most seats come October, which means it may be able to form a minority government with the support of the Liberals.

In British Columbia, things should be more interesting than usual when it comes to which seats will be won by which party.

Frankly, most B.C. riding races lack drama on election night. Most are won by one particular party (generally, either the Conservatives or the NDP) by fairly comfortable margins.

But this time things should be more exciting, to the point where Eastern voters may be paying attention well into the evening as some B.C. races may go down to the wire with a number of ridings potentially changing hands. If the Conservative vote from 2011 does indeed slip from 2011 levels, and if NDP support also climbs a bit (a scenario that seems to be a realistic possibility) it would appear that as many as 10 or so ridings may disappear from the Conservative camp and walk over to the NDP side.

That would be a near-unprecedented redrawing of B.C.'s electoral map.

Of course the campaign still has four more months to run. It's likely most voters have yet to really start paying attention to the campaign, but that interest and focus will begin to intensify in the weeks ahead.

It's going to be fascinating to watch. No matter what the outcome, the result in October will be a profound one that may affect this country like few elections before it.

Keith Baldrey is chief political reporter for Global BC.

 

http://www.thenownews.com/opinion/orange-door-is-opening-1.1979231

NorthReport

Agreed.

Too soon to break out the bubbly, Harper-haters

http://ipolitics.ca/2015/06/24/too-soon-to-break-out-the-bubbly-harper-h...

NorthReport

Progression of Liberal supporters' perspective following the Liberals being relegated to only 34 seats and 3rd party status in 2011.

 

1 - Liberal talking heads say the only thing that can save our party is the Trudeau name 

2 - Liberals ignore more experienced MPs and once again anoint a leader, this time Justin Trudeau 

3 - Liberals skyrocket in the polls and there is talk of PM Justin Trudeau and Liberal talking points say the only way to defeat Harper is to vote Liberal

4 - Canadians get to observe Trudeau in action

5 - Meanwhile Tom Mulcair provides the only effective opposition to Stephen Harper

5 - Liberals start to tank in the polls

6 - Liberals support Bill C51

6 - May, 2015 Rachel Notley wins 1st ever Alberta NDP majority government

7 - Liberals begin to seriously tank in the polls

8 - Liberals bring up a full court press on the old strategic voting canard via Leadnow, Council of Canadians, etc.

9 - NDP widens lead over both Liberals and Conservatives

10 - Rght-wing voters abandon Liberals for Conservatives in attempt to block Tom Mulcair

11- Liberals attempt media saturation (eg Pondering) to keep Liberals being discussed in the media

11 - Mainstream media begins to discuss possibility of orange majority government

12 - Liberals discuss whether they could even lose seats in the 2015 election, and whether the LPC even has a future.

 

 

 

alan smithee alan smithee's picture

NorthReport wrote:

alan,

Read Stephen's response in his comment section at 8:10 AM today.

http://warrenkinsella.com/2015/06/its-forum-but/

 

I read it and I agree.But don't kid yourself,the Harpercons are further to the right than the Liberals (Forget about Chr\etien and Martin) They are more dangerous.

What I'd like to see is the Cons finish third,I'd be MUCH more comfortable with a Liberal opposition if the NDP wins a minority or a majority.

robbie_dee

I predict a Liberal-Conservative coalition backed by the Bloc and Eve Adams endorsed by both sides as the compromise candidate for Prime Minister.

bekayne

alan smithee wrote:

Fuck Kinsella...His word is not the gospel.

According to Kinsella, every single Jew in Canada will be voting for Harper

alan smithee alan smithee's picture

NorthReport wrote:

Agreed.

Too soon to break out the bubbly, Harper-haters

http://ipolitics.ca/2015/06/24/too-soon-to-break-out-the-bubbly-harper-h...

I don't get it,NR.

The Liberals slide in the polls and you're writing their obituary,meanwhile Harper has sunk much further (third place or tied for second with the Libs) and he's (according to you) alive and kicking.

This is why I always confuse you with a Tory. Bashing Trudeau (even though he's been making an effort to appeal to the left unlike the ultra-right wing Cons) and repeating Conservative attack propaganda.

I have suspicions that you'd be perfectly fine with another Harper mandate (which this country CAN'T AFFORD!!!!)

Northern PoV

the "in my dreams" seat counts ...

NDP 142, LIB 142, GRN 4. CON 50 ... Lizzie for PM  ;-)

NDP 118, LIB 166, GRN 4. CON 50   (prefer Lizzies' finger on the trigger, not partisan Tom)

NDP 166, LIB 118, GRN 4. CON 50   (prefer Lizzies' fingeron the trigger, not partisan Justin)

More likely nightmare (ie scardy cat Blue Libs reacting to the orange wave and voting like 2011) 

CON 173

NDP  130

LIB     34

GRN    1

alan smithee wrote:

Personally,I like the Liberals to finish second and the Conservatives not but a shit stain in Canadian history.

alan smithee alan smithee's picture

I've been phoning consulates making my case for asylum.

Brachina

 Justin Trudeau has proven to be rightwing enough.

alan smithee alan smithee's picture

Brachina wrote:

 Justin Trudeau has proven to be rightwing enough.

You're going to tell me Trudeau is more right wing than Harper? I hope you're joking.

Brachina

 Down with both rightwing Parties, and while we're at it down with the PKP loving Bloc.

NorthReport

Laughing

alan smithee wrote:
 

I've been phoning consulates making my case for asylum.

NorthReport

Alan,

You are entitled to your opinion, and I don't want to get into a pissing contest with you, but you appear to be a hard core Liberal, who can't see the forest for the trees. I have said for a long time now even when the Liberals were leadin' in the polls, that the Liberal support is a mile wide and an inch deep. As we have seen again and again, Liberals have told too many lies to believe anything they say any more. You are a Liberal so you believe them and that's fine, but more and more Canadians don't. If the trends continue, even many non-francophone seats will be going to the NDP in Quebec. The last thing Canada needs is another Cons government, but the Liberals are no alternative. But what we need today, a special day for our PM, is a good cartoon of Harper riding into Ottawa on a horse to clean it up with his accountability bullshit, while his chief deputy Dean del Mastro is thrown in the slammer. Looks like good material for an NDP ad, with Mulcair in the background putting a huge bright orange padlock on the Senate doors in the background of the ad.

alan smithee wrote:

NorthReport wrote:

Agreed.

Too soon to break out the bubbly, Harper-haters

http://ipolitics.ca/2015/06/24/too-soon-to-break-out-the-bubbly-harper-h...

I don't get it,NR.

The Liberals slide in the polls and you're writing their obituary,meanwhile Harper has sunk much further (third place or tied for second with the Libs) and he's (according to you) alive and kicking.

This is why I always confuse you with a Tory. Bashing Trudeau (even though he's been making an effort to appeal to the left unlike the ultra-right wing Cons) and repeating Conservative attack propaganda.

I have suspicions that you'd be perfectly fine with another Harper mandate (which this country CAN'T AFFORD!!!!)

alan smithee alan smithee's picture

NorthReport wrote:

Alan,

You are entitled to your opinion, and I don't want to get into a pissing contest with you, but you appear to be a hard core Liberal, who can't see the forest for the trees. I have said for a long time now even when the Liberals were leadin' in the polls, that the Liberal support is a mile wide and an inch deep. As we have seen again and again, Liberals have told too many lies to believe anything they say any more. You are a Liberal so you believe them and that's fine, but more and more Canadians don't. If the trends continue, even many non-francophone seats will be going to the NDP in Quebec. The last thing Canada needs is another Cons government, but the Liberals are no alternative. But what we need today, a special day for our PM, is a good cartoon of PM riding into Ottawa on a horese to clean it up while his chief deputy del Mastro is thrown in the slammer.

alan smithee wrote:

NorthReport wrote:

Agreed.

Too soon to break out the bubbly, Harper-haters

http://ipolitics.ca/2015/06/24/too-soon-to-break-out-the-bubbly-harper-h...

I don't get it,NR.

The Liberals slide in the polls and you're writing their obituary,meanwhile Harper has sunk much further (third place or tied for second with the Libs) and he's (according to you) alive and kicking.

This is why I always confuse you with a Tory. Bashing Trudeau (even though he's been making an effort to appeal to the left unlike the ultra-right wing Cons) and repeating Conservative attack propaganda.

I have suspicions that you'd be perfectly fine with another Harper mandate (which this country CAN'T AFFORD!!!!)

We are certainly entitled to our opinions. But a hardcore Liberal? LOL...I suppose it's better than being a hardcore Conservative.

But in all seriousness,my politics are much further to the left than the NDP.

NorthReport

This perhaps is over the top. Maybe an attempted right-wing setup by the media, who knows?

Prime Minister Tom Mulcair? New seat projections, poll show NDP surging across Canada

http://globalnews.ca/news/2075610/prime-minister-tom-mulcair-new-seat-pr...

alan smithee alan smithee's picture

NorthReport wrote:

This perhaps is over the top. Maybe an attempted right-wing setup by the media, who knows?

Prime Minister Tom Mulcair? New seat projections, poll show NDP surging across Canada

http://globalnews.ca/news/2075610/prime-minister-tom-mulcair-new-seat-pr...

I thought you'd be happy with that. Go figure.

bekayne

NorthReport wrote:

This perhaps is over the top. Maybe an attempted right-wing setup by the media, who knows?

Prime Minister Tom Mulcair? New seat projections, poll show NDP surging across Canada

http://globalnews.ca/news/2075610/prime-minister-tom-mulcair-new-seat-pr...

Gee whiz, what a roundabout way for Global to announce the latest Ipsos poll

The Ipsos poll surveyed 2,003 Canadians between June 19 and June 23 via an online panel and suggests the NDP is the most popular with 35 per cent support among voters. The Liberals are next with 29 per cent support and the Conservatives have 28 per cent support.

NorthReport

This election is far from over. Although it had been building look at what happened during the 2011 election. Momentum can change or it could continue and the NDP will continue to do well right up and though the beginning of October when the huge advance voting will begin until election nite on October 19th. But time is a movin' as we are just over 3 months away from voting now.   

Unionist

bekayne wrote:

alan smithee wrote:

Fuck Kinsella...His word is not the gospel.

According to Kinsella, every single Jew in Canada will be voting for Harper

Thank Yahweh I'm married!

 

NorthReport

Another excellent article by Karl. Definitely worth taking the time to read, slowly and carefully.  

It's Liberal vs. New Democrat as de facto campaign begins

http://rabble.ca/blogs/bloggers/karl-nerenberg/2015/06/its-liberal-vs-ne...

NorthReport

Psst Scott of beer and popcorn fame, and Paul Martin is going to win 250 seats fame:  Ever hear of C51, Not ready to govern, etc.

Liberal Scott Reid: In the midst of the NDP phenomenon, only the stupid aren't terrified

http://ottawacitizen.com/news/politics/reid-in-the-midst-of-the-ndp-phen...

 

socialdemocrati...

The article is only partially correct. It's actually quite wrong.

A lot of people COULD see this orange wave coming, just like in Quebec. You could see the uptick. You could see that the leader of the party (Layton, Mulcair) was highly trusted across the country, and the other leaders were not. You knew that this was going to pay off eventually, and make the NDP more competitive. That's why a lot of us have been advocating a "slow and steady" approach.

What most of us didn't expect was for the NDP to go from 3rd to 2nd to 1st in less than 6 weeks. Same way that some of us expected that the NDP would win a few seats in Quebec back in 2011, but were shocked to see a sudden sweep across the whole province.

Slow and steady growth. It's why I think that the NDP could plateau soon, after the sudden spike cools off. There's even a good chance that final month of campaigning will be a close tie between the parties. But the days of 3rd place are behind them.

The NDP has a really solid base in Toronto, Vancouver, and Quebec that never really went away. And now there are too many voters in BC, Ontario, and even Alberta who now see the NDP as a viable electoral option. The question of who governs is still up in the air, but all the people who wished that the NDP would just go away after 2011 are gonna be severely disappointed.

Brachina

 The Tories have just spent 130,000,000$, cutting 13 check in CPC held ridings today, so yeah they're worried.

NorthReport

How will the NDP even with a majority government get any legislation passed with the kind of circus we have going on in the Senate?

Senate Speaker Leo Housakos overruled by Conservatives to force vote on anti-union bill

Tory senators, armed with majority, now set to shut down debate on Bill C-377

http://www.cbc.ca/news/politics/senate-speaker-leo-housakos-overruled-by...

NorthReport

Why Is Elizabeth May Helping Elect Conservatives?

With polls showing paper thin margins, it's time Greens consider a new electoral strategy.

 

http://thetyee.ca/Opinion/2015/06/25/Greens-Helping-Conservatives/

Northern PoV

NorthReport wrote:

How will the NDP even with a majority government get any legislation passed with the kind of circus we have going on in the Senate?

Tom will have to appoint 20 good folks to the Senate.

He might have to pull a Brian-M and appoint extra 8 Senators.

Hey, he could borrow a real good Senate appointment plan from Justin.  ;-)

Northern PoV

NorthReport wrote:

Why Is Elizabeth May Helping Elect Conservatives?

Ya, you really like the concept of strategic voting eh? 

Ok for the goose but forbidden to the gander.  ;-)

NorthReport

Oppose Bill C51, Abolish the Senate - my hunch is that these things will sound very good to the vast majority of Canadians come October.

Northern PoV wrote:

NorthReport wrote:

How will the NDP even with a majority government get any legislation passed with the kind of circus we have going on in the Senate?

Tom will have to appoint 20 good folks to the Senate.

He might have to pull a Brian-M and appoint extra 8 Senators.

Hey, he could borrow a real good Senate appointment plan from Justin.  ;-)

Brachina

 Barring that he could send the Senate into exile.

NorthReport

I posted the article from one of if not the best online news sites in BC. - where do you see my comments again about it?  Frown

Northern PoV wrote:

NorthReport wrote:

Why Is Elizabeth May Helping Elect Conservatives?

Ya, you really like the concept of strategic voting eh? 

Ok for the goose but forbidden to the gander.  ;-)

Winston

At the very least, just eliminate their funding; roll back the salaries of Senators to 1867 stipend levels. Pretty sure that doesn't require opening the constitution.

NorthReport

Incroyable!

Conservatives overrule Speaker, force final vote on controversial labour bill

http://www.nationalnewswatch.com/2015/06/26/senate-speakers-says-tories-...

NorthReport
NorthReport

The Liberals must have written this script as they hope to duplicate what happened in Ontario. Frown

NDP leader Mulcair makes pitch to Canadian big business

http://www.wsws.org/en/articles/2015/06/26/cndp-j26.html

NorthReport

Can You Trust Justin Trudeau?

His Liberals are past masters at breaking promises in order to please big banks.

 

http://thetyee.ca/Opinion/2015/06/26/Can-You-Trust-Justin-Trudeau/

socialdemocrati...

Justin Trudeau, the man/boy, seems to have never had an original idea in his life nor any discernible vision of the country that drives his politics.  No matter how long he is on the scene as a potential PM I cannot get past reacting to him as if he is an MC at a high school prom. 

He is all artifice. More than any Liberal party leader in the past 35 years Trudeau is an empty vessel with little choice but to be filled up by his party's corporate brain trust.

Pretty much sums up my response to people who say "give Trudeau time to grow. He's surrounded by great advisors."

Pondering

socialdemocraticmiddle wrote:

Justin Trudeau, the man/boy, seems to have never had an original idea in his life nor any discernible vision of the country that drives his politics.  No matter how long he is on the scene as a potential PM I cannot get past reacting to him as if he is an MC at a high school prom. 

He is all artifice. More than any Liberal party leader in the past 35 years Trudeau is an empty vessel with little choice but to be filled up by his party's corporate brain trust.

Pretty much sums up my response to people who say "give Trudeau time to grow. He's surrounded by great advisors."

Who says that?

NorthReport

That's why those "not ready to govern" Conservative attack ads are resonating so much as they are just confirming the impressions Trudeau has left with the voters, and we are seeing that confirmed in the substantial Liberal drop off in voter's support in the polls.

socialdemocraticmiddle wrote:

Justin Trudeau, the man/boy, seems to have never had an original idea in his life nor any discernible vision of the country that drives his politics.  No matter how long he is on the scene as a potential PM I cannot get past reacting to him as if he is an MC at a high school prom. 

He is all artifice. More than any Liberal party leader in the past 35 years Trudeau is an empty vessel with little choice but to be filled up by his party's corporate brain trust.

Pretty much sums up my response to people who say "give Trudeau time to grow. He's surrounded by great advisors."

socialdemocrati...

Lots of Liberal friends I talk to, when I'm pointing out the numerous stupid things he's said and done. But a lot of the excuse-making stopped after Bill C-51. I think it proved the point I had been making: that even if you think Trudeau is a good person, his advisory team is still the same type of person who tanked the Liberal party over the past decade. Some of those friends are voting NDP now, if only strategically / in protest.

NorthReport

The Liberal party since Paul Martin's ugly putsch on Chretien:  FAIL  

And the Liberal party has never been the same since.

Liberals are great role models for Canadians:

Paul Martin moved his company offshore to avoid Canadian environmental protection laws  Frown

Paul Martin moved his company offshore to avoid Canadian labour laws  Frown

Paul Martin moved his company offshore to avoid Canadian income tax  Frown

 

Liberal party supporters must be saying thank you Paul Martin as you have done, and are continuing to do, one hell of a job.  

 

Results:

 

1993 - Chretien - 177 seats - majority

1997 - Chretien - 155 seats -  majority

2000 - Chretien - 172 seats -  majority

2004 - Martin - 135 seats - minority, Down 37 seats 

2006 - Martin - 103 seats - opposition, Down 32 seats

2008 - Dion - 77 seats - opposition, Down 26 seats

2011 - Ignatieff - 37 seats - last, Down 40 seats

2015 - Trudeau - will the Liberals retain Official Party Status (12 seats)?

alan smithee alan smithee's picture

NorthReport wrote:

That's why those "not ready to govern" Conservative attack ads are resonating so much as they are just confirming the impressions Trudeau has left with the voters, and we are seeing that confirmed in the substantial Liberal drop off in voter's support in the polls.

 

For you maybe.You take the Conservative bait hook,line and sinker.  And btw you;re dreaming if you think the Liberals will be reduced to 12 seats.I suspect that they will retain all their seats and possibly pick up a couple more.

NorthReport

So the Liberal's rsponse is to send out a fund-raising appeal.  Frown

Right-wing Liberals slam right-wing Conservatives for using ISIS propaganda to attack Justin Trudeau

http://www.straight.com/blogra/479161/liberals-slam-conservatives-using-...

NorthReport

So the Liberal's response is to send out a fund-raising appeal.  Frown

Right-wing Liberals slam right-wing Conservatives for using ISIS propaganda to attack Justin Trudeau

http://www.straight.com/blogra/479161/liberals-slam-conservatives-using-...

Pondering

So who will battle the right-wing NDP?

NorthReport

When have the right-wing Liberals ever live up to their promises. Dobbin has it wrong. The promises he makes will not be his to keep because right-wing Trudeau himself, although he is not ready to govern, knows full well the right-wing Liberals has no intention of keeping them.

In the shadow of Paul Martin: Can you trust the Liberals?

Here we go again -- the Red Book 3.0, yet another build-up of Liberal election promises just like the ones we've seen before (though I admit the one about changing the voting system might be hard to dodge). The most infamous, of course, was Jean Chretien's, which he held high and waved at every opportunity in the 1993 election. Co-authored by Paul Martin, it promised the world as we would like it: strong communities, enhanced medicare, equality, increased funding for education, an end to child poverty. You could almost hear the violins playing. But what turned out to be the most remarkable thing about the book of promises was the record number that was ultimately broken: all of them.

The only time you can trust the federal Liberal party is when they don't have a majority -- and even with a minority government they have to dragged kicking and screaming to do anything that does not please Bay Street. This fact needs to be repeated over and over again in the next few months leading up to the election as political amnesia is a dangerous condition to take with you into the voting booth. It's been 10 years since we had a Liberal government and even longer since we had a majority Liberal regime. A trip down memory lane might serve as a curative.

Revisiting the Martin regime

The effect of amnesia as it relates to the Chretien regime (actually the Martin regime) leaves most Canadians recalling Martin as the deficit dragon-slayer, saving us from our profligate, self-indulgent, entitlement culture and getting us back on the road to solvency. A few will actually recall that Martin chopped 40 per cent off the federal contribution to social programs -- but even that memory is diluted by another one: the legendary "debt wall" built exclusively of hyperbole and hysteria over the three years preceding the 1993 election. But few today would credit the fact, documented in my book Paul Martin: CEO for Canada?, that the 1990s under Martin's guidance was the worst decade of the century (except for the 1930s) in terms of growth, productivity, productive investment, employment and standard of living. Unemployment was higher during almost all of Martin's reign than it was as a result of the 2008 financial crisis. But what is worse, this so-called liberal actually made it happen. It was a deliberate strategy, fancied up in policy terms as a commitment to "labour flexibility." The social and economic carnage and the increased personal misery (an additional 300,000 unemployed) was staggering.

Yet because it was all couched in double-speak, Martin and the Liberals were never held to account. The finance ministry's senior officials convinced Martin that the principal cause of unemployment was not low demand but unmotivated workers. The solution -- make them more "flexible." The best way to do that was to ensure that unemployment remained high. The finance department's operating policy assumption (radical compared to the U.S. and other G7 nations) was that the "natural" level of unemployment was 8 per cent -- much higher than the 5-6 per cent that conventional theory suggested. But the spin never mentioned this number -- it was always about keeping inflation below 2 per cent, extremely low given the country was barely out of a recession. The Bank of Canada worked closely with the government, increasing interest rates whenever unemployment went below about 9 per cent.

The cost to the economy was staggering. The federal Human Resources Development Department calculated that Martin's excessive unemployment cost the country's GDP $77 billion just in 1993. Pierre Fortin, a distinguished economist at the Université du Québec à Montréal calculated the radical policy cost the economy $400 billion by 1996. A Canadian Centre for Policy Alternatives (CCPA) study calculated the total loss to all levels of government in foregone revenue and increased social security costs at $47 billion.

At the same time that he was pounding labour (he also slashed unemployment insurance eligibility and eliminated the federal government's role in maintaining decent social assistance rates) he was making the largest cuts to federal spending in the country's history -- including a massive 40 per cent cut to medicare, education and social assistance.

Throughout this period, the Liberal government and its cheerleaders in the media framed the exercise as "deficit fighting." But according to then CAW economist Jim Stanford, had Martin simply frozen federal spending and allowed unemployment to drop to 6 per cent, the deficit would have disappeared just one year later than it did. Martin knew all of this but two years after launching his "labour flexibility" program, he proudly revealed his actual goal in his1995 budget speech to Parliament, announcing the massive cuts. He never mentioned the word deficit -- because that was not his target.

The cuts were intended, in Martin's words, to "redesign the very role and structure of government itself. ... as far as we are concerned, it is … [the] redefinition of government itself that is the main achievement of this budget. This budget overhauls not only how government works but what government does." Martin's biggest boast? "Relative to the size of our economy, program spending will be lower in 1996–97 than at any time since 1951."

To guarantee his handiwork would not be challenged by any future government, Martin, in 2000, introduced the country's largest-ever tax cuts: $100 billion over five years with the vast majority of the total going to high-income individuals and corporations.

Supporting a corporate agenda

Why is Paul Martin's appalling record relevant today? Because Liberal and Conservative politicians, with rare exceptions (like Stephen Harper), are largely at the mercy of their bureaucracies and the agenda of the economic elite at the moment. In Martin's case he was 

easily manipulated by his deputy minister David Dodge, in spite of the fact that Martin had a reputation for being supportive of activist government. His first budget in 1993 actually increased spending.

One of the Liberals' main election planks in the 1993 election was job creation. Supporting this goal was Martin's junior finance minister Doug Peters -- an exceptional economist with excellent standing on Bay Street having worked for the TD Bank as its senior economist for many years before jumping into politics. But in the end, Martin, a long-time corporate CEO, could not have made any other choice. Dodge just made it easy for him. Martin was a Liberal finance minister at a time of unprecedented corporate power and its merger with the state. His role was assigned to him before he even got there. (Dodge actually lobbied Chretien to appoint him.)

Liberal politicians, with few exceptions, are captive to their neoliberal advisers, bureaucratic apparatchiks and senior corporate power-brokers as soon as they actually get into power. This political capture would be even more true of Justin Trudeau if he ever becomes prime minister. Martin was not a blank slate -- he was sophisticated, self-confident, with strong personality and a well-developed liberal vision. He lasted a year.

Justin Trudeau, the man/boy, seems to have never had an original idea in his life nor any discernable vision of the country that drives his politics. No matter how long he is on the scene as a potential PM, I cannot get past reacting to him as if he is an MC at a high school prom.

He is all artifice. More than any Liberal party leader in the past 35 years, Trudeau is an empty vessel with little choice but to be filled up by his party's corporate brain trust. Bay Street desperately wants back into the game and the Liberals are their only option. While they have been given lots of goodies by Harper, they have been cut off from their historic role as the principal source of federal policy-making. (Harper doesn't care what they think.) In addition, the federal bureaucracy has been made to reflect the ideology of pro-business "efficiency" to such an extent over the past 20 years, a genuine small "l" liberal would have to replace most of it to get any advice contrary to the status quo.

Justin doesn't have a chance. The promises he makes will not be his to keep.

 

 


http://rabble.ca/columnists/2015/06/shadow-paul-martin-can-you-trust-lib...  Frown

Pondering wrote:

So who will battle the right-wing NDP?

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