NDP Pulls Away From Pack. Which Right-Wing Party, Cons or Libs, will Right-Wing Canadians choose to try and stop the NDP?

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Sean in Ottawa

Slumberjack wrote:

Sean in Ottawa wrote:
I am not speaking for how others took it but I did not see it as offensive. Written the other way I would have -- so the direction of such a comment is part of the meaning.

In any other situation the perspective of 'the eye of the beholder' is generally sufficient to establish a case.

Not sure I follow what you are trying to say.

My point is that there is clearly a difference in the direction. Since I am a man, presumably I would be offended by this comment (if it were offensive to men) but I was not.

The difference is that men and women are not on an equal footing in our society when it comes to power. They are getting closer but there is a difference. This is the context of the statement.

The comment was not individual and so I struggle to see your difficulty. On gender issues men, having accumulated centuries of advantage that has not been erased entirely, can accept a little sarcasm, understanding that this is not meant aggressivley towards them personally but against the injustice of inequality. Sarcasm was used effectively to make a point. I thought the point was clear -- and was hostile only to inequality and not to an individual here. In the context I don't find that men were the target so much as inequality.

My comment was just to indicate how I took it personally -- others may take it differently and of course they are welcome to do so. Since this is a discussion forum, I made my comments a personal reaction.

 

Slumberjack

Sean in Ottawa wrote:
The difference is that men and women are not on an equal footing in our society when it comes to power. They are getting closer but there is a difference. This is the context of the statement.

Yes, but that in itself should not provide a blank cheque for gender based discriminatory remarks.  Knowing all that it entails should provide more of a disincentive imo for the people engaging in it, irrespective of whether it's men or women doing it.

Quote:
The comment was not individual and so I struggle to see your difficulty. On gender issues men, having accumulated centuries of advantage that has not been erased entirely, can accept a little sarcasm, understanding that this is not meant aggressivley towards them personally but against the injustice of inequality. Sarcasm was used effectively to make a point. I thought the point was clear -- and was hostile only to inequality and not to an individual here. In the context I don't find that men were the target so much as inequality.

Well, you accept it.  That's your choice.  I choose not to.  Others are free to be similarly put off by remarks like that, or not.  Commentary doesn't have to be individually directed to have an effect, as anyone who has ever felt slighted by a generalized slur will tell you.

Maybe we need to revive "The Man Thread" to discuss this issue.  The last time we had one we mainly covered beer and underwear.

Sean in Ottawa

Slumberjack wrote:

Sean in Ottawa wrote:
The difference is that men and women are not on an equal footing in our society when it comes to power. They are getting closer but there is a difference. This is the context of the statement.

Yes, but that in itself should not provide a blank cheque for gender based discriminatory remarks.  Knowing all that it entails should provide more of a disincentive imo for the people engaging in it, irrespective of whether it's men or women doing it.

Quote:
The comment was not individual and so I struggle to see your difficulty. On gender issues men, having accumulated centuries of advantage that has not been erased entirely, can accept a little sarcasm, understanding that this is not meant aggressivley towards them personally but against the injustice of inequality. Sarcasm was used effectively to make a point. I thought the point was clear -- and was hostile only to inequality and not to an individual here. In the context I don't find that men were the target so much as inequality.

Well, you accept it.  That's your choice.  I choose not to.  Others are free to be similarly put off by remarks like that, or not.  Commentary doesn't have to be individually directed to have an effect, as anyone who has ever felt slighted by a generalized slur will tell you.

Maybe we need to revive "The Man Thread" to discuss this issue.  The last time we had one we mainly covered beer and underwear.

Back to the same disagreement. I did not read this as a generalized slur against men. I took it as sarcasm targeting inequality and a comment on the significant number of men in the House who are lacking in merit
(do we need to create a list?). It is this interpretation that is setting us apart. When it comes to the overall quality of the MPs in the House men vs women, I do not take a suggestion that merit would lead to 70-80% women to be a reflection on men in general. I took it to be a reflection on the average quality of the men in the House. Many men in the House are dinosaurs who do not believe in the basics of equality among human beings. This is what I read the post as saying.

All that said, I admit that even if it were a generalized slur against men, in light of the power differences that persist in our society including what we get paid, I'll be somewhat more forgiving. Part of privilege is an acceptance that you might have to put up with generalized comments meant to symbolically strike at an unlevel ground.

By the same token some comments about white people are going to be taken differently than if directed at people of colour. I won't rush out to defend white people from all generalized comments made in a context of a racist and sexist society.

So to sum: 1) this was not generalized and 2) even if it were, the context is different than if it were reversed. Finally, in a sexist society, this sure isn't the battle I would pick even if I were offended.

ETA: this is not a rejection of the principle that you raise nor any hostility to you or a presumption that you are part of a problem rather than a solution. I understand your point -- I did not read the post as having the same meaning as you did and I see a context differently.

Slumberjack

Sean in Ottawa wrote:
 this is not a rejection of the principle that you raise nor any hostility to you or a presumption that you are part of a problem rather than a solution. I understand your point -- I did not read the post as having the same meaning as you did and I see a context differently.

Sean, remarks like that have been occurring here for years.  It is not just about one instance, but part of along running sexist theme that has been freely put to use.  I am not asking you to sign on to it.  I am stating how I perceive the matter.

Sean in Ottawa

Slumberjack wrote:

Sean in Ottawa wrote:
 this is not a rejection of the principle that you raise nor any hostility to you or a presumption that you are part of a problem rather than a solution. I understand your point -- I did not read the post as having the same meaning as you did and I see a context differently.

Sean, remarks like that have been occurring here for years.  It is not just about one instance, but part of along running sexist theme that has been freely put to use.  I am not asking you to sign on to it.  I am stating how I perceive the matter.

Ok -- fair enough. I think we read the content differently.

NorthReport

Did you know we have 2 mainstream political medias in Canada?

We have the no matter what they do, or how weak they actually are media, especially the right-wing Liberals, but the right-wing Conservatives as well, need to be supported by us all the time.

Then we have the no matter what, trash the NDP media, and no matter how much they are leading in the polls, minimize it. 

 

Today is perfect example of the Abacus headlines not matching the increasing NDP lead, and the dropping in support Liberals and Conservatives.

NorthReport

The latest Nanos poll out today shows voters are coalescing around the NDP as the agent for change in Ottawa.

What do you think the answer to the question in the title of this thread is, now that you have see these results? 

NDP - 52%

Libs - 19%

Greens - 10%

NDP viewed as clearest alternative to Conservatives, poll shows

The NDP is seen as the party that offers the best-defined alternative to the Conservative government before an election in which Canadians will be asked to choose between political stability and renewal, a Globe and Mail/Nanos Research poll has found.

Fifty-two per cent of respondents said the NDP “represents the clearest change from the current Stephen Harper government.” The Liberal Party was far behind at 19 per cent, with the Green Party at 10 per cent.


http://www.theglobeandmail.com/news/politics/ndp-viewed-as-clearest-alte...

Pondering

NorthReport wrote:

Today is perfect example of the Abacus headlines not matching the increasing NDP lead, and the dropping in support Liberals and Conservatives.

Any links to these disappointing headlines?

Winston

NorthReport wrote:

Did you know we have 2 mainstream political medias in Canada?

We have the no matter what they do, or how weak they actually are media, especially the right-wing Liberals, but the right-wing Conservatives as well, need to be supported by us all the time.

Then we have the no matter what, trash the NDP media, and no matter how much they are leading in the polls, minimize it. 

Today is perfect example of the Abacus headlines not matching the increasing NDP lead, and the dropping in support Liberals and Conservatives.

I wouldn't worry too much about it. The mainstream media has little remaining credibility at this point, even amongst the dwindling and ageing audience base that still consumes their drivel. It also appears to me that the public is becoming increasingly savvy (or cynical, as the case may be) to see through their ideological and partisan agendas. The worst offenders (the former Sun News, the CBC, and the Toronto Star, IMHO) have so eroded their credibility that they have become laughable parodies of themselves.

As for all of the media's typical tendency to ignore or diminish the NDP, I will note that I seem to be seeing a reasonable amount og postitive (or at least, "balanced") coverage of the NDP in the more stodgy conservative press (Glib and Stale, CTV, Global). To a certain degree, I wonder whether elements of the old, white, male establishment realize we need a change in government, recognize that Justin Trudeau is woefully not up to the task, and that the NDP isn't all that "scary" an option as they've traditionally thought.

Finally, this election may be one where I think that the media's ignoring us could work to our benefit. First, it prevents us from peaking too soon, and spooking our opponents. Second, it allows us to make our own, unfiltered case to a public that, judging by polls, is receptive to it.

NorthReport

Canada's Political Trends:

Seats:

Gen Election / NDP, Change / Libs, Change

2004 / 19 seats, Up 6 seats / 135 seats, Down 37 seats

2006 / 29 seats, Up 10 seats  / 116, Down 19 seats

2008 / 37 seats, Up 8 seats / 77 seats, Down 39 seats

2011 / 103 seats, Up 66 seats / 34 seats, Down 43 seats


Canada's Political Trends:

Popular Vote:

Gen Election / NDP, Change / Libs, Change

2004 / 16%, Up 7% / 37% , Down 4%

2006 / 17.5%, Up 1.5% / 30%, Down 7%

2008 / 18.2%, Up 0.7% / 26%,  Down 4%

2011 / 31%, Up 13% / 19%, Down 7%

 

 

NDP leading a tight horse race, two national polls show


http://www.nationalobserver.com/2015/07/08/news/ndp-leading-tight-horse-...

 

Slumberjack

NorthReport wrote:
 NDP leading a tight horse race, two national polls show 

Which helps to explain the cowboy hats.

iyraste1313

and that the NDP isn't all that "scary" an option.....from Winston

yes unless "progressives" get it together to offer a real option, we may just get NDP......nothing of course will change, and with the NDP in control(?) what with the dissolution of the global finance capitalist system?

Yes it is strategically crucial to begin building a real option, a movement party, community based, an alternative to the oligarch controlled system we have in Canada, whether it's PC's, Libs or NDP in titular control...

NorthReport

It is continuing to becoming apparent now that the race for government will be between Mulcair and Harper, as the right-wing Trudeau Liberals continues to bled support. 

http://poll.forumresearch.com/data/Federal%20Horserace%20News%20Release%...

Sean in Ottawa

NorthReport wrote:

It is continuing to becoming apparent now that the race for government will be between Mulcair and Harper, as the right-wing Trudeau Liberals continues to bled support. 

http://poll.forumresearch.com/data/Federal%20Horserace%20News%20Release%...

As pread of only 6 points at the start of a campaign does not give me the same absolute.

Not as exciting news but they are all close enough to be in it.

ilha formosa

Pulling away from the pack at this point is an encouraging development, but it's no lock-up of results at the polls in the fall. Though it should help with attracting better candidates, and since there is a real expectation of winning this time, it should also keep candidates from vacationing in Vegas during the campaign, for example.

 

NorthReport

A caveat as well is that it is a Forum poll......

Sean in Ottawa wrote:

NorthReport wrote:

It is continuing to becoming apparent now that the race for government will be between Mulcair and Harper, as the right-wing Trudeau Liberals continues to bled support. 

http://poll.forumresearch.com/data/Federal%20Horserace%20News%20Release%...

As pread of only 6 points at the start of a campaign does not give me the same absolute.

Not as exciting news but they are all close enough to be in it.

Sean in Ottawa

ilha formosa wrote:

Pulling away from the pack at this point is an encouraging development, but it's no lock-up of results at the polls in the fall. Though it should help with attracting better candidates, and since there is a real expectation of winning this time, it should also keep candidates from vacationing in Vegas during the campaign, for example.

 

The NDP is not pulling away from the pack. It is leading it but everyone is in reach. Show me 5 consecutive polls with a greater than 5 point lead and I'll agree to this language.

ilha formosa

Ok: they "are taking a few strides ahead at this early point." Certainly nothing to gloat about, but still a small encouraging flash of data.

NorthReport

Latest Forum Poll - Jul 14, 2015

Pop Vote

NDP - 34%

Cons - 27%

Libs - 27%,

Seats

NDP - 132

Cons - 107

Libs - 79

 

http://www.thestar.com/news/canada/2015/07/17/ndp-captures-lead-in-publi...

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NorthReport

It's beautiful to see someone cut through the BS of the Liberal media complex.  Smile

 

  1. Norman Spector ‏@nspector4 12m12 minutes ago

    Of course campaigns matter, but if Trudeau doesn't recover, it will be hard to trump Mulcair as the guy who can knock off Harper

     2 retweets2 favorites Reply  Retweet2  Favorite2 More

  2. Norman Spector ‏@nspector4 15m15 minutes ago

    Here's Hebert, 1 month before polls began to shift, saying things looked grim for @ThomasMulcair in Quebec  http://www.thestar.com/news/canada/2015/01/16/electoral-prospects-looking-grim-for-thomas-mulcairs-ndp-hbert.html …

    View summary 0 retweets0 favorites Reply  Retweet   Favorite  More

  3. Norman Spector ‏@nspector4 18m18 minutes ago

    Mulcair has shifted his position on Energy-East but it's an artful pirouette that's been serving him well on the west coast

    1 retweet0 favoritesReply Retweet1 FavoriteMore

  4. Norman Spector ‏@nspector4 59m59 minutes ago

    Norman Spector retweeted Bruce Anderson

    Prior to February, analysts predicting #LPC cd overtake #NDP in QC w Red Door/Blue Door; that narrative has ceased

    Norman Spector added,

    Bruce Anderson @bruceanderson.@nspector4 in my view any of the 3 parties could win this elxn & any could finish 3rd.1 retweet0 favoritesReply Retweet1 FavoriteMore

  5. Norman Spector ‏@nspector4 3h3 hours ago

    For the record, here's the report on last week's @ForumPoll poll on A13 of the @TorontoStar cc @bruceanderson

    Embedded image permalinkView photo1 retweet0 favoritesReply Retweet1 FavoriteMore

  6. Norman Spector ‏@nspector4 4h4 hours ago

    Re previous tweet: successful politicians are masters at skating on delicate issues, and Mucair appears to have the talent!

    3 retweets1 favoriteReply Retweet3 Favorite1More

  7. Norman Spector ‏@nspector4 4h4 hours ago

    Norman Spector retweeted Rosemary Barton

    In other words, @ThomasMulcair did *not* say the #NDP is against the Energy East pipeline

    Norman Spector added,

    Rosemary Barton @RosieBartonSo about that whole Mulcair/Energy East thing: there's now an editor's note at the top of the article. http://www.lactualite.com/actualites/politique/entrevue-la-longue-route-...…1 retweet0 favoritesReply Retweet1 FavoriteMore

  8. Norman Spector ‏@nspector4 4h4 hours ago

    Norman Spector retweeted Bruce Anderson

    Report on that poll in @TorontoStar A 13 under hed: "Liberals, Trudeau slip to third place" had no reference to QC

    Norman Spector added,

    Bruce Anderson @bruceandersonLatest @TorontoStar @ForumPoll has no links to new data, nor comment on last week's reported @CPC_HQ surge in QC http://on.thestar.com/1ObkZqV 0 retweets0 favoritesReply Retweet FavoriteMore

  9. Norman Spector ‏@nspector4 5h5 hours ago

    Norman Spector retweeted Derek Leebosh

    "the #NDP rise started back in February, long before the Alberta election"

    Norman Spector added,

    Derek Leebosh @DleeboshIt's like the Liberals are turning into a slowly melting ice cube https://twitter.com/nspector4/status/622070553826889728 

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2,600

 

NorthReport

Norman Spector ‏@nspector4  8h8 hours ago

Norman Spector retweeted Mike McDonald

Liberal position in this is devastating for the party if it holds to final days of campaign http://www.theglobeandmail.com/news/politics/conservatives-ndp-have-even-chance-of-winning-election-simulator/article25521285/ …

 

 

NorthReport

NDP Leads In Three Provinces Any Party Needs To Win An Election

 NDP leader Thomas Mulcair and his party continue to lead in national voting intentions and have the inside track on winning the most seats, thanks to wide leads in British Columbia and Quebec and a tight three-way battle in Ontario.

The New Democrats hold the lead in polls with 32.1 per cent support, compared to 29 per cent for the Conservatives and 27.1 per cent for the Liberals. The NDP has been holding steady in the polls, and has led or been tied for the lead in each of the last 11 national surveys. The Liberals, who appeared to be poised for a rebound of their own a few weeks ago, have plateaued, reported CBC news.

Instead, it has been the Conservatives who have seen their support levels improve. After placing third or tied for second in five of seven polls, the Tories have placed second or tied for first in the last two.

If an election were held, the New Democrats would likely win between 113 and 135 seats, with the Conservatives winning between 102 and 139 seats. The Liberals would likely take between 74 and 106 seats.

 

http://thelinkpaper.ca/?p=47833

 

NorthReport

So what's this going to do to the polls?

Pierre Poilievre's hunt to hand out $3B in child care cheques'

Isn't it interesting, he's always popping up in areas where they want to shore up the Conservative vote?'

http://www.cbc.ca/news/politics/pierre-poilievre-s-hunt-to-hand-out-3b-i...

NorthReport

Liberals now in 4th place in Quebec according to Leger's poll out tonite. 

Mat Vaillancourt ‏@MVLibertas  3h3 hours ago Thurso, Scotland

Federal poll in Quebec. NDP first, CPC second. Liberal fourth.

Embedded image permalink

 

NorthReport

Liberals falling further behind NDP-Conservative race

Latest poll suggest the Liberals' last redoubt, Atlantic Canada, is also in danger

There is a degree of confusion surrounding where the Conservatives really stand, however.

Polls are starting to be more unanimous on the third place position of the Liberals (the two last surveys put them as low as 24 or 25 per cent), but it is up for debate as to whether the Conservatives are solidly in second or pushing the NDP for the lead.



http://www.cbc.ca/news/politics/poll-tracker-liberals-falling-further-be...

NorthReport

Do we have the answer to the thread's question yet?

With Liberals squeezed out, a new two-way race

http://www.theglobeandmail.com/globe-debate/with-liberals-squeezed-out-a...

NorthReport
NorthReport

Conservatives have committed voters, NDP has growth potential, polls suggest

The Conservatives are least at risk of losing voters, while the NDP is the most likely to gain

http://www.cbc.ca/news/politics/conservatives-have-committed-voters-ndp-...

NorthReport

Poll Tracker: Front-runner status produces cautious NDP ahead of first debate

http://www.winnipegfreepress.com/special/federal-election/poll-tracker-f...

 

NorthReport

Norman Spector ‏@nspector4  3h3 hours ago

Norman Spector retweeted David Akin

Mulcair not challenged in BC by Greens in same way as Dix because centre-right is split federally

Norman Spector added,

David Akin @davidakinI'm almost certain @ottawaAnne will not let Mulcair let Dix make the same mistake Dix did.

 

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