Just updated
Please post latest polling - thanks.
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https://www.youtube.com/results?search_query=ndp%27s+enough
https://www.youtube.com/results?search_query=ndp%27s+not+working
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Polling details here are in the following order:
1 Preamble:
2 Latest polling details
3 Canadawide Polling
4 Regional Election Results Popular Vote 2011
5 Regional Polling
6 Canadawide Leadership Polling
7 Regional Leadership Polling
8 Political Trends Seats
9 Political Trends Popular Vote
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1 Preamble
We have no way of ascertaining for sure what polling results actually are, and sometimes it just might be too tempting to resist tweaking the polls. There are lots of dirty tricks in politics, so their is no reason to assume that some polling is exempt. For example, if a Conservative supporting pollster wants the Conservatives to win, rather than showing the NDP with a commanding lead over a 3rd place party, it might be helpful to show both the NDP and a 3rd place party, closer together than they actually are, to encourage splitting the vote against the Conservatives. Just sayin'
As we get closer to the actual election date, herding* is one thing to watch out for in the polls.
* - see Nate Silver
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2 Latest polling details:
Aug 10 '15
Ipsos Reid
N / 33%
C / 31%
L / 28%
BQ / 4%
Grns / 4%
Leaders’ debate, attack ads and a week of campaigning have little effect on voters, Ipsos poll shows
http://globalnews.ca/news/2158996/leaders-debate-attack-ads-and-a-week-o...
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3 Canadawide Polling
Date / Event / NDP, Change / Cons, Change / Libs, Change / BQ / Grns
May 2 '11 / GE / 31% / 40% / 19%
Aug 10 '15 / Ipsos Reid / 33%, Down 1% / 31% / Down 2% / 28%, Up 3% / 4% / 4%
Aug 7 '15 / Nanos / 30% / 31% / 29%
Aug 2 ' 15 / Forum / 39%, Up 8% / 33%, Down 7% / 24%, Up 5% - Liberal media complex
Aug 1 '15 / Robbins / 36% Up 3% / 28%, Up 1% / 30%, Down 3%
Jul 31 '15 / Nanos / 30%, Down 1% / 32%, Down 8% / 29%, Up 10% - Conservative media complex
Jul 30 '15 / Innovative / 34%, Up 3% / 29%, Down 11% / 26%, Up 7% - Conservative media complex
Jul 28 '15 / EKOS / 34%, Up 3% / 30%, Down 10% / 23%, Up 4% - Liberal media complex
Jul 27 '15 / Ipsos Reid / 34%, Up 3% / 33%, Down 7% / 25%, Up 6% - Accurate pollster
Jul 21 '15 / Mainstreet / 27%, Down 4% / 38%, Down 2% / 25%, Up 6%
Jul 16 '15 / Leger / 32%, Up 1% / 32%, Down 8% / 25%, Up 6% - Conservative media complex
Jul 6 '15 / Abacus / 32%, Up 1% / 29%, Down 11% / 27%, Up 8% - Liberal media complex
Jun 18 '15 / Environics / 30% / Down 1% / 28%, Down 12% / 28%, Up 9%
Jun 7 '15 / Angus Reid / 36%, Up 5% / 31%, Down 9% / 23%, Down 4% - Accurate pollster
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4 Regional Election Results Popular Vote 2011
Party / May 2 '11 / GE / BC / AB / SK / MB / ON / QC / AC
NDP / May 2 '11 / GE / 33% / 17% / 32% / 26% / 26% / 43% / 30%
Cons / May 2 '11 / GE / 46% / 67% / 56% / 79% / 44% / 17% / 38%
Libs / May 2 '11 / GE / 13% / 9% / 9% / 17% / 25% / 14% / 29%
BQ / Gns / May 2 '11 / GE / 8% / ? / ? / ? / ? / 23% / ?
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5 Regional Polling
Regional Polling - Forum
Party / Aug 2 '15 / Forum / BC / AB / SK / MB / ON / QC / AC
NDP / Aug 2 '15 / Forum / 44% +11% / 34% +17% / ? / ? / 37% +11% / 38%, Down 5% / 45%, Up 15%
Cons / Aug 2 '15 / Forum / 35% -11% / 38% -29% / ? / ? / 35% -9% / 17% UC* / 38% UC*
Libs / Aug 2 '15 / Forum / 26% +13% / 9% +12% / ? / ? / 24%, -1% / 23%, +9% / Down
BQ / Gns / Aug 2 '15 / Forum / ? / ? / ? / ? / ? / 19% -4% / ?
* denotes unchanged
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Regional Polling AB
Date / Pollster / NDP, Change / Cons, Change / Libs, Change / BQ/Grn, Change
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Regional Polling AC
Date / Pollster / NDP, Change / Cons, Change / Libs, Change / BQ/Grn, Change
Aug 7 '15 / Nanos / 32% / 18% / 48%
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Regional Polling NL
Date / Pollster / NDP, Change / Cons, Change / Libs, Change / BQ/Grn, Change
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Regional Polling NB
Date / Pollster / NDP, Change / Cons, Change / Libs, Change / BQ/Grn, Change
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Regional Polling PE
Date / Pollster / NDP, Change / Cons, Change / Libs, Change / BQ/Grn, Change
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Regional Polling NS
Date / Pollster / NDP, Change / Cons, Change / Libs, Change / BQ/Grn, Change
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Regional Polling BC
Date / Pollster / NDP, Change / Cons, Change / Libs, Change / BQ/Grn, Change
Aug 7 '15 / Nanos / 41% / 26% / 29% / 4%
Aug 6 '15 / Mainstreet / 37% / 23% / 26% / 5%
Augb 2 '15 / Forum / 44%, Up 11% / 35%, Down 11%, 26%, Up 13%
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Regional Polling Prairies
Date / Pollster / NDP, Change / Cons, Change / Libs, Change / BQ/Grn, Change
Aug 7 '15 / Nanos / 19% / 56% / 18%
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Regional Polling SK
Date / Pollster / NDP, Change / Cons, Change / Libs, Change / BQ/Grn, Change
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Regional Polling MB
Date / Pollster / NDP, Change / Cons, Change / Libs, Change / BQ/Grn, Change
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Regional Polling ON
Date / Pollster / NDP, Change / Cons, Change / Libs, Change / BQ/Grn, Change
Aug 7 '15 / Nanos / 26% / 37% / 29%
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Regional Polling QC
Date / Pollster / NDP, Change / Cons, Change / Libs, Change / BQ/Grn, Change
Aug 7 '15 / Nanos / 39% / 13% / 28% / 17%
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Regional Polling Terrritories
Date / Pollster / NDP, Change / Cons, Change / Libs, Change / BQ/Grn, Change
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6 Canadawide Leadership Polling
7 Regional Leadership Polling
Best Prime Minister Polling BC
Date / Pollster / Mulcair, Change / Harper, Change / Trudeau, Change / DuceppeMay, Change - Mulcair leads by 7%
Aug 6 '15 / Mainstreet / 34% / 21% / 27% / 2%
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8 Political Trends Seats
Gen Election / NDP, Change / Libs, Change
2004 / 19 seats, Up 6 seats / 135 seats, Down 37 seats
2006 / 29 seats, Up 10 seats / 116, Down 19 seats
2008 / 37 seats, Up 8 seats / 77 seats, Down 39 seats
2011 / 103 seats, Up 66 seats / 34 seats, Down 43 seats
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9 Political Trends Popular Vote
Gen Election / NDP, Change / Libs, Change
2004 / 16%, Up 7% / 37% , Down 4%
2006 / 17.5%, Up 1.5% / 30%, Down 7%
2008 / 18.2%, Up 0.7% / 26%, Down 4%
2011 / 31%, Up 13% / 19%, Down 7%
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