So, without getting into all the charges and counter-charges over polling numbers, which by definition cannot be resolved until Oct. 19th:
1. in 2011 there was a three-way race in Papineau
2. one of those 3 parties has collapsed
3. its votes (10,000+) will go somewhere.
Do the math: are ex-Bloc voters more likely to vote Justin, to abstain, to go elsewhere, or ....
to vote for the anti-Harper centre-left NDP led by soft nationalist Mulcair, who are currently sitting on a massive lead across Quebec and Montreal?
I know what I conclude about that.
This Huff piece covered most of the angles:
http://www.huffingtonpost.ca/2015/09/20/papineau-trudeau_n_8167140.html
I'm largely on the same page.
I know I'm repeating myself, but...
[url=https://secure.ndp.ca/riding13/index.php?riding=24055&language=e][color=... to Anne's campaign![/size][/color][/url]
Just do it!!!