It sure looks like Prentice, Harper, and Trudeau are fucked in Alberta
Let's not break out the bubbly just yet. At least a quarter of the votes Alberta's NDP is going to get tomorrow are from dyed-in-the-wool Harper supporters. It's a populist vote, more than a left-wing one.
The results of this election will need to be well-spun from now until Sunday to have an impact federally. Incidentally, I am sure they will be!
Can’t translate it into federal results so easily. The Alberta PCs have held power for 44 years, and the Notley factor is huge. Also, the provincial NDP needs to be very judicious in its first days. Stupid moves, which I don’t foresee, would trigger a backlash and conceivably a federal Conservative majority.
I’m thinking the actions of the voters who elected Nenshi as mayor will decide if it’s a majority or minority NDP government.