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Trouble in Bank Land III

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Fidel
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Joined: Apr 29 2004
quote:Originally posted by Doug:
Remember this? [img]biggrin.gif" border="0[/img]

It was supposed to be capitalism's swan song, said one proponent of the new laissez-faire. Ya right. Capitalism is a monumental failure.


West Coast Greeny
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Joined: Sep 14 2004
Um, all you socialists rubbing thier hands with glee? I should probably remind you that alot of working class people have thier retirements and their kids college funds riding on the performance of stocks. No, no I'm sorry, an American recession is NOT good for the world.

America (wait, sorry, you all hate America, let me rephrase that) Americans - people living in the United States are going to suffer - badly -if this keeps up. That country doesn't have a social safety net, that country's treasury is swimming in red ink at a time when it really, really can't be. Its credit rating is going to come into question.

The United States government has been weakened, and has lost credibility. 90% of the populace thinks the country is running in the wrong direction, 90% of the populace disapprove of congress. Americans are panicing.

You think pulverising a nation's economy is the right way to make a government less hawkish? You think total inconfidence in the institution of government is healthy for democracy? Yeah, that really worked great in Germany.

At least Obama's not Hitler. The problem is more than a few Americans think he is....

What are you socialists going to do? Start an armed revolution? No. Civil war won't work. Not in an age of nuclear weapons. We'd extinguish ourselves, very literally.

[ 06 October 2008: Message edited by: West Coast Greeny ]


West Coast Greeny
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Joined: Sep 14 2004
quote:Originally posted by Fidel:

It was supposed to be capitalism's swan song, said one proponent of the new laissez-faire. Ya right. Capitalism is a monumental failure.

Communism was a mass suc... oh wait.


M. Spector
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Joined: Feb 19 2005
quote:Originally posted by West Coast Greeny:
Um, all you socialists rubbing thier hands with glee? I should probably remind you that alot of working class people have thier retirements and their kids college funds riding on the performance of stocks. No, no I'm sorry, an American recession is NOT good for the world.
Nobody said it was, and nobody is rubbing their hands with glee except the super-rich who are being bailed out of a situation caused by their own greed and the inexorable logic of the capitalist system that they - and apparently you - are so fond of. The rest of us don't get bailed out.
quote:You think pulverising a nation's economy is the right way to make a government less hawkish? You think total inconfidence in the institution of government is healthy for democracy?
Again, nobody said that. And it's the neocons, not the left, who want to undermine confidence in the institution of government.

The Germans didn't allow Hitler to take power because they had lost confidence in government. The main reason he was able to take power was because the left (which was huge and militant) was divided against itself and the German capitalist class took advantage of their confusion and weakness to crush them by installing a fascist regime.

quote:At least Obama's not Hitler.
Ooh, high praise, indeed!
quote:What are you socialists going to do? Start an armed revolution? No. Civil war won't work. Not in an age of nuclear weapons. We'd extinguish ourselves, very literally.
Translation: TINA

[ 06 October 2008: Message edited by: M. Spector ]


Fidel
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Joined: Apr 29 2004
quote:Originally posted by West Coast Greeny:

Communism was a mass suc... oh wait.

Soviet communism never promised anyone higher pie in the sky dregalated kapitalism. Soviet communism lasted 70 years, and they went into deficit spending for a few measly billion dollars by 1989 after the Saudis began dumping oil on world markets in 1986. Then the U.S. interfered with democracy in the Soviet Union and propped up Boris Yeltsin's election campaign. Long-short, neoliberal capitalism failed in Russia as well as dozens of other countries where tried since 9-11-73 Chile.

And now the new laissez-faire is collapsing all around their ears on Wall Street. Shock and awe paving the way for extensive change again? We know what the results are already time and time again. Capitalism is a car constantly on blocks. It's broken again.


Toby Fourre
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Joined: Oct 26 2006
What is glaringly obvious in all of this is that Bush Inc. has not cancelled SDI missile defense or closed down any military bases or called the Navy home from the Persian Gulf. Nor has Bush Inc. considered anything as socialistic as the GI Bill to beef up the domestic economy starting at the bottom where it counts most.

Doug
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Joined: Apr 17 2001
I think more is made of the whole "this is people's retirements" thing than there is. If you happen to be far away from retirement, this market crash is an opportunity more than a disaster since you can use what savings you have to buy stock for long-term investment cheaply. People close to retirement should have had only a small part of their money in stock. Unless you were particularly greedy or stupid, the sky hasn't fallen. As trouble spreads to the real economy, *that* is where ordinary people start having problems.

George Victor
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Joined: Oct 28 2007
quote:

I think more is made of the whole "this is people's retirements" thing than there is. If you happen to be far away from retirement, this market crash is an opportunity more than a disaster since you can use what savings you have to buy stock for long-term investment cheaply. People close to retirement should have had only a small part of their money in stock. Unless you were particularly greedy or stupid, the sky hasn't fallen. As trouble spreads to the real economy, *that* is where ordinary people start having problems.


Most "ordinary" folk I know have lost about one-third of their portfolio.

Maybe you have a different definition of ordinary, and clear distinctions of holdings to distinguish the "greedy and stupid", who may have been sold a bill of goods, from the virtuous?


Doug
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Joined: Apr 17 2001
Most ordinary folk don't have much of a portfolio to begin with, and so things like the value of real estate are more important to their financial planning. That's why the US is relatively in such a mess because the real estate market has collapsed along with the stock market. That hasn't happened here (yet - but there's reasons to think it shouldn't be as bad).

Most boomers aren't saving enough for retirement


Brian White
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Joined: Jan 26 2005
I agree, I spoke to someone today in tears and shock because she lost 1/3 of her rsps.
Do not forget that that is savings that is lost. Money you COULD have spent over the years is suddenly gone. You get the misery twice over. The money is gone and you didnt get to spend it.
The lady in question had cancer and now has little to fall back on if it comes back.
You are told to save for a rainy day. Rainy day comes and POOF money gone!

quote:Originally posted by George Victor:


Most "ordinary" folk I know have lost about one-third of their portfolio.

Maybe you have a different definition of ordinary, and clear distinctions of holdings to distinguish the "greedy and stupid", who may have been sold a bill of goods, from the virtuous?


DrConway
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Joined: May 6 2001
Ok, explain to me how lying back and thinking the stock market will do all the heavy lifting for you is a good idea.

Rich people have sold a very good con game here, and while they make off with the $700 billion the US government handed them, people like that lady you talked to will blame anybody but themselves for being conned by Raygun and his successors into thinking a measly few bucks on a tax cut was doing anybody a favor but people like Bill Gates.


Jacob Two-Two
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Joined: Jan 16 2002
quote:I agree, I spoke to someone today in tears and shock because she lost 1/3 of her rsps.

Yes, that's very tragic, so let's not forget who's really responsible. All our lives we've been told to put our money into the casino called the stock market. But fear not, true believers! It's a special casino- a casino where everybody wins!

Sorry man, but there ain't no such animal. The truth was that we put the money in and the capital class took it out. Like any pyramid scheme, it all works fine as long as the money keeps coming in, but eventually you run up against a wall and those at the top grab what's left and run for cover while everyone realises that the money is all gone. There's no payoff.

This was easy to predict if you have the intellectual courage to accept that the norm of the historical blip that has been the last fifty years won't necessarily be the norm forever. And that's leaving aside equally obvious impending norm-shifts like the coming energy crisis and ecological upheaval. It was nothing but folly to assume that we had reached an "end to history", to borrow a phrase, and that if you'd invested in the current system it would always be there for you. Even when it's a matter of their own survival, most people can't take the trouble to question the assumptions of the world view they grew up with to see if they hold water.

But here I am blaming the victim. On the other hand, you seem to be shooting the messenger. Your friend has been robbed by the capital class, and they did it right in front of her by telling her to close her eyes and hold out her wallet and they'd show her a great trick. My advice to her is to radically downsize her expectations for retirement, cash in what she's got left and buy something tangible that the paper economy can't take away from her, because if she keeps that money in there she will lose a lot more of it. This isn't over by a long shot.


Fidel
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Joined: Apr 29 2004
Bank economists predict: 'worse than a recession'

quote:TORONTO -- Economists from Canada's Big Five banks expect little or no growth in the near future, warning Monday that the domestic economy's current gloom will deepen into something worse than a recession.

The word "recession" wouldn't describe the deep structural problems affecting everything from the U.S. housing sector to the Canadian oil industry, said Bank of Nova Scotia chief economist Warren Jestin.

"You have to invent a new word to describe what we're in now," he said after the banks presented their perspectives at the Economic Club.

"It's being driven through the financial markets into the real economy. All of those things suggest that it's entirely different than what you might expect from a typical recession."

We knew there was a reason Steve Harper broke his own election rules and called an early vote.


DrConway
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Joined: May 6 2001
And the NDP will have to clean up Harper's mess and get no fucking thanks for it at all, because those assholes running the banks and the oil companies will keep financing the Conservatives in the hopes of being able to rob people like that lady who got told the stock market would do it all for her.

After the first wobbles of late 2000 and early 2001 when the NASDAQ went sideways and the Dow began to fall, that should have been the first clue to anyone with a working brain that the paper economy cannot be relied upon for true prosperity.

First thing the NDP ought to do the day we take Parliament is pass a law nationalizing all the banks without compensation to anyone. The stock markets are already down the crapper so what's another few hundred points off the TSX between CEOs and their golden parachutes?

I wouldn't be surprised if quite a few CEOs are already shipping whatever they have that ain't nailed down into their private estates somewhere in Bermuda or San Marino or Monaco so they can skip town and stick the rest of us with the bill.


Doug
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Joined: Apr 17 2001
Maybe this explains a thing or two if this is where London stockbrokers go for moral guidance.

Stock Market chaplain - Gay men should be forced to have warning tattoos


Doug
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Joined: Apr 17 2001
Reliable investments!

This article certainly makes you want to do what the investment guy does in the video:

quote:After yet another Monday horror show – the fourth in a row in which the Dow Jones industrial average dropped at least 300 points – every one of the world's major equity markets has shed at least one-quarter of its value so far in 2008.

In Europe, stocks are down by a third. Holland's main index has plunged nearly 40 per cent. Ditto for Hong Kong's. You don't even want to know about mainland China and India.

On the bright side, when it's this bad, how much worse could it get?

Much, much worse, says one of the few investors who has prospered in the meltdown.

“Stock markets are not down 50 per cent in Canada or the United States from their highs. They've got a long ways to go down before that happens,” says Prem Watsa, chairman of Fairfax Financial Holdings.

Uh-oh.

“We think there's a significant recession coming, long and deep. It's going to spread all across [the world] … It's very difficult to not be caught by it.”

Worse before it gets better

Also, one bank executive got what's coming to him, amazingly enough.

Lehman Bros CEO decked at the gym

[ 07 October 2008: Message edited by: Doug ]


George Victor
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Joined: Oct 28 2007
quote:

Ok, explain to me how lying back and thinking the stock market will do all the heavy lifting for you is a good idea.
Rich people have sold a very good con game here, and while they make off with the $700 billion the US government handed them, people like that lady you talked to will blame anybody but themselves for being conned by Raygun and his successors into thinking a measly few bucks on a tax cut was doing anybody a favor but people like Bill Gates.


You'll find in Richard Parker's biography of John Kenneth Galbraith the gee whiz moment when U.S. conservatives came to the understanding that sucking the average American into the investment cycle also made them believers in the capitalist system. And Dubya almost made social security dependent on the investment acumen of the individual, just four years ago. Close call.

But I suppose you are simply saying, here, that the RRSP should always be put into GICs? In hindsight, clearly so...although ethical investments should make more sense in your super-rational world.

If only a majority of people read newspapers like the Globe (certainly not the Post or Sun).

If only. If only.

If only most New Democrats could get over that tendency to yearning, read the business pages, come to understand something of the workings of the market and the appeal of the Harpers of this world among the greedy and the great unread, we would in fact be able to bring about Tommy's "New Jerusalem" through the democratic process. Tomorrow, if not sooner.

If only cancer patients understood not only the machinations of the marketers but also how to hermetically seal themselves from the environmental conditions that caused their illness.


Agent 204
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Joined: Nov 19 2003
quote:Originally posted by West Coast Greeny:
Civil war won't work. Not in an age of nuclear weapons. We'd extinguish ourselves, very literally.

Actually, civil war in the US wouldn't necessarily increase the risk of a nuclear war. As long as they're fighting with each other, they don't have the time or resources to attack anyone else (and thus antagonize other nuclear powers). And nuclear weapons wouldn't be much use in a civil war, for obvious reasons.

Where the situation would get dangerous, of course, is if some Rapture nuts were actually win and seize control of the US government. Then the danger of nuclear war would be substantial, again for obvious reasons.


Fidel
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Joined: Apr 29 2004
quote:Originally posted by Agent 204:

Actually, civil war in the US wouldn't necessarily increase the risk of a nuclear war. As long as they're fighting with each other, they don't have the time or resources to attack anyone else.

There was little mention of the civil unrest and ethnic conflicts which broke out across the former Soviet Union after Yeltsin and Kravchuk illegally dissolved the USSR. People in the west were led to believe that there were few social supports for millions of people under Soviet communism, and that people there longed for free markets and western style democracy. Hawks did mouth concerns that phony terrorists desired to gain possession of nuclear weapons strewn throughout the former USSR, and that Soviet scientists impoverished by capitalist reforms would sell nuclear secrets to rogue nations and Islamic Gladios created by the CIA, Brits, and Saudis since the 1980's-90's. One high-ranking U.S. official is rumored to have deliberately handed nuclear weapons technology to Pakistan, a country ruled by U.S.-backed military dictatorship in the 1980's and 90's.


Frustrated Mess
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Joined: Feb 23 2005
The DOW, as of this writing, is down another 400 points and down to 9500. Meanwhile ...

quote: The Federal Reserve's decision today to buy U.S. commercial paper came after money-market mutual funds fled the market, cutting off a vital source of short-term corporate funding and pushing the economy closer to a recession.

Money-market funds, the biggest buyers of commercial paper, reduced holdings of the highest-rated debt by $200.3 billion, or 29 percent, in the final two weeks of September, according to data compiled by IMoneyNet Inc. of Westborough, Massachusetts. Managers unloaded the debt to meet a surge in investor redemptions and to shift assets to Treasuries, which can be sold more quickly if withdrawals persist.

The funds' retreat helped drive the cost of issuing commercial paper to its highest level in eight months, squeezing companies, banks and public institutions that rely on the market to raise cash for expenses such as payroll. Combined with a pullback in bank lending, the commercial-paper freeze threatens to choke the economy.

``If you can't fund yourself, you can't run a company,'' Robert Kelly, chief executive officer of Bank of New York Mellon Corp., said yesterday in a speech to steel-industry executives in Washington. ``Credit availability is the main issue facing the world right now.''


the meltdown continues

Frustrated Mess
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Joined: Feb 23 2005
and this just in

quote: Borrowing by U.S. consumers unexpectedly fell in August by the most on record as banks shut off access to loans, a report from the Federal Reserve showed.

Consumer credit fell by $7.9 billion, the most since statistics began in 1943, to $2.58 trillion, the Fed said today in Washington. In July, credit rose by $5.2 billion, previously reported as a $4.6 billion gain. The Fed's report doesn't cover borrowing secured by real estate.

Consumer spending, the biggest part of the economy, is likely to keep faltering as banks hoard cash, job losses mount and property values drop. The decline in borrowing underscores why Fed policy makers today announced they will create a special fund to purchase commercial paper in a bid to open the flow of credit to the nation's businesses.


Frustrated Mess
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Joined: Feb 23 2005
And it keeps piling on.

quote: Americans' retirement plans have lost as much as $2 trillion in the past 15 months, Congress' top budget analyst estimated Tuesday.

The upheaval that has engulfed the financial industry and sent the stock market plummeting is devastating workers' savings, forcing people to hold off on major purchases and consider delaying their retirement, said Peter Orszag, the head of the Congressional Budget Office.


Frustrated Mess
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Joined: Feb 23 2005
Not at all surprisingly, the management of the bailout package has been handed to a free market ideologue, protege of Paulson's, and Goldman Sachs insider. I kid you not ...

quote: Yesterday U.S. Treasury Secretary Henry Paulson appointed him as interim assistant secretary of the Treasury for financial stability, to run the new Office of Financial Stability and administer the government's Troubled Asset Relief Program.

The job would be daunting for someone twice Mr. Kashkari's age or with many times more experience. But the 35-year-old - who came to the Treasury from Goldman Sachs and has been there for just over two years - mainly as an adviser to Mr. Paulson


There can't be a greater nation of suckers ever in recorded history.

Fidel
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Joined: Apr 29 2004
Nobel Laureate Solution
http://www.cnbc.com/id/15840232?video=874100965

Stiglitz says this bailout isn't likely to work. It's "trickle down."

[ 07 October 2008: Message edited by: Fidel ]


Catchfire
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Joined: Apr 16 2003
Government's Ј50bn bid to save UK banks

quote:Gordon Brown will announce plans tomorrow to use up to Ј50bn of taxpayers' money to take major stakes in the high street banks in a last-ditch attempt to restore confidence in the financial system.

Precipitous collapses in the share prices of Royal Bank of Scotland and HBOS forced the government to accelerate plans to partially nationalise the banking sector, which teetered on the brink of collapse today.

After another tumultuous day, Brown summoned the Bank of England governor, Mervyn King, and Financial Services Authority chairman, Lord Turner, to Downing Street for emergency talks earlier this evening about the future of Britain's banking system.

They also discussed concerns that UK customers of the collapsed Icelandic bank Landsbanki risked losing thousands of pounds of savings.

The Treasury is racing to hammer out a rescue package for the high street banks and holding high-level negotiations with the Icelandic authorities about the payouts for 300,000 customers of Icesave, an offshoot of Landsbanki, who have a total of Ј5bn saved with the bank.


Doug
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Joined: Apr 17 2001
It's amusing to watch New Labour nationalize what Old Labour never dared.

What a great roller-coaster! [img]tongue.gif" border="0[/img]

[ 07 October 2008: Message edited by: Doug ]


peskyfly1
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Joined: Sep 15 2008
I've been working on a new theory. What if tax cuts (large corporate tax cuts) were actually a big part of the cause of the easy money-money supply-boom-pop that we have witnessed? What if the Conservative economic mantra was the cause of the meltdown?
If you understand what I'm saying...that a rapid increase of capital in private/corporate hands ballooned the credit/money supply creating a economy-wide bubble. That's why we have the business cycle...because of Conservative ideology being effected into public policy.

Agent 204
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Joined: Nov 19 2003
So it looks like our own government is holding off on the sale of Canada Savings Bonds:
quote:Sales of one of the country's favourite investments, Canada Savings Bonds, will open Friday after Monday's scheduled start was delayed amid worldwide turmoil in credit markets.

The bonds, a Canadian tradition since 1946, are backed by the government and promoted as a foolproof way for small investors to save. They are put on sale each fall.

Late Tuesday, the Department of Finance's website posted the date and the interest rates.

Earlier in the day, Finance Minister Jim Flaherty said he hoped to have them on sale Wednesday.

"We were setting the rate, and there's been some fluctuations in market rates, as you know, recently," he told CBC News on Tuesday afternoon in explanation of the delay.

"So we wanted to make sure that the rate set for Canada Savings Bonds would be a reasonable rate that would make them attractive."

Oh, is that the reason? Well, maybe not:

quote:Margaret Koniuck, a financial planner in Winnipeg, said the delay may also be tied to the coming federal election.

The government may be trying to avoid any negative criticism of the way it is dealing with a global financial crisis, she said.

One of the comments to the story offers a bit more detail:

quote:Canada Savings Bonds are part of the federal government's debt. When you buy them, the government is able to retire some older, higher interest debt instrument in favour of the bond. At least, that's the case when the government is in surplus, but since the feds are probably currently in a deficit the new bond issue will help to cover that. But since the government doesn't want to reveal their current account deficit until after the election, they don't want to start bond sales until then (since this affects the interest rate they would pay). At least, that's my theory.

It has a certain ring of truth to it, but I don't know enough about the subject to judge this.

DrConway
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Joined: May 6 2001
Aside from nitpickiness over terminology ("current account" is usually not used to mean government budget deficits), I'd say the article is prolly right. Though selling lots of CSBs would be a cheap way to cover any budget deficit that does result; I figure the Canadian government could easily borrow up to $10 billion domestically (If 10 million Canadians all bought $1000 worth of CSBs...), and pay it off a year or two down the road when the bonds are redeemed.

Easy cake.

It still looks politically bad when the Harpoids and their predecessors in spirit were the ones constantly banging on and on and on about the deficit to the point of no return. Now they shall reap the inability to borrow without looking bad.

I know one thing I'm going to do ASAP is pay off my credit cards and pray the NDP wins so they'll possibly be moved to cancel all outstanding student loan debt. [img]tongue.gif" border="0[/img]

[ 07 October 2008: Message edited by: DrConway ]


Doug
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Joined: Apr 17 2001
Looks like more tanking markets this morning.

quote:Global markets continued to plunge Wednesday as credit fears intensified, selling snowballed and authorities around the world scrambled to find ways to contain the crisis.

The UK government announced a rescue package for banks under which at least 200 billion pounds ($350 billion) will be made available to financial institutions, plagued by bad debts and a crisis of confidence.

But it is unclear what can soothe investors. Sellers drove the Nikkei down 9.4 percent, its biggest one-day percentage fall since the crash of October 1987.

Markets in Tokyo and Hong Kong plummeted 5 percent to 7 percent, and Jakarta tumbled 9 percent, after another gloomy session on Wall Street that saw the Dow Jones industrial average notch its biggest five-day points fall ever.

European markets opened sharply lower, with Germany's DAX down 2.7 percent, the French CAC 40 falling nearly 4 percent and the FTSE 100 2.3 percent lower.

http://www.cnbc.com/id/27078725


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