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Why the NDP's climate change policy is dumber than two sacks of hammers

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kropotkin1951
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Joined: Jun 6 2002
And the demand curve for affordable public transit goes up. Revenue neutral plans don't let you build the alternate infrastructure to replace the beater you bought for $500 and are keeping running with haywire.

Stephen Gordon
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Joined: Oct 27 2003
Public transit is a provincial responsibility. Unless it wants to pick a jurisdictional fight with the provinces, there's not much point in a federal party making plans they can't execute.

kropotkin1951
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Joined: Jun 6 2002
Bullshit!!!!!!!

Federal governments have been providing funding in provincial areas for at least 6 decades. I can imagine a provincial government saying no way we will not accept federal money for our infrastructure needs. What a load!!!


Pogo
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Joined: Aug 19 2002
The infrastructure program already provides transportation money. I see no problems with the feds coming up with a green transportation program that supports provincial transportation initiatives.

Stephen Gordon
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Joined: Oct 27 2003
Hee. You should visit Quebec sometime.

kropotkin1951
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Joined: Jun 6 2002
Gee I haven't ever seen Quebec refuse the money only insist that they get their own special program for their share. Have you seen different?

Pogo
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Joined: Aug 19 2002
quote:Originally posted by Stephen Gordon:

Could you [b]please make this point to your fellow dippers? I keep making the exact same point (Demand curves slope down!!!), and all I get is blank looks.[/b]

I don't dispute this. I do think that any plan needs to look at providing green relief, not just relief.


Frustrated Mess
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Joined: Feb 23 2005
quote: So much for prices having no effect on consumption.

You're not suggesting I have implied otherwise/
quote:
And yes, it is lower income people taking the hit in the US. In Canada, less so because they already ride the bus.

But with all those poorer Americans giving up their cars, where will they live and how will they get around?

quote: “It’s like an ebbing of this suburban tide,” said Joe Cortright, an economist at the consulting group Impresa Inc. in Portland, Ore. “There’s going to be this kind of reversal of desirability. Typically, Americans have felt the periphery was most desirable, and now there’s going to be a reversion to the center.”

In a recent study, Mr. Cortright found that house prices in the urban centers of Chicago, Los Angeles, Pittsburgh, Portland and Tampa have fared significantly better than those in the suburbs. So-called exurbs — communities sprouting on the distant edges of metropolitan areas — have suffered worst of all, Mr. Cortright found.

Basic household arithmetic appears to be furthering the trend: In 2003, the average suburban household spent $1,422 a year on gasoline, according to the Bureau of Labor Statistics. By April of this year — when gas prices were about $3.60 a gallon— the same household was spending $3,196 a year, more than doubling consumption in dollar terms in less than five years.


NYT

So the wealthier will move back to the cities with short commutes and transit and the poor will be pushed out to McMansionville and without the means to travel.

But let's talk about some more about income distribution.


Stephen Gordon
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Joined: Oct 27 2003
Excellent idea. Here is what the Liberals are saying (48-page pdf):

quote:Introducing a new, universal child tax benefit worth $350 per child, per year, on top of all existing child benefits. This will provide direct financial assistance to Canadian families whether or not they pay significant income taxes.
We will replace the Conservatives’ regressive, small, poorly designed $1,000 employment credit with a $1,850 refundable employment credit targeted at those Canadians who earn less than $50,000 per year. This will put up to $250 back into the pockets of those working Canadians who need it most.
We will enrich the Working Income Tax Benefit, which supplements the earnings of low-income workers, above the level legislated by the Conservatives. We will encourage work by having this benefit available on the first dollar earned, which is $3,000 sooner than the Conservative plan. And we will ensure that it benefits more families by phasing it out more slowly.
To support lower-income Canadians with disabilities we will make the Disability Tax Credit refundable, ensuring that low-income individuals who are disabled are able to benefit from the Green Shift.

Here is what the NDP is saying:

quote:For low-income Canadians, we need comprehensive tax changes and credits to ensure no Canadian is left behind as we undertake this great national effort.

Looks like the NDP has thought real hard about the issue.


Bookish Agrarian
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Joined: Nov 26 2004
Oh, but I thought we could only talk about the problems with the NDP climate change plan. That was your admonsihment to me above. You are a piece of propagadizing work.

Why is it no matter what happens, as soon as an economist gets caught not know what they are talking about. Which is rather frequent they stop and say - oh look over there it is a giraffe with a lolipop.

And as if that is all the NDP has ever said about child care. The NDP was fighting for universal childcare before Liberals even started breaking promises on it.


Stephen Gordon
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Joined: Oct 27 2003
quote:Originally posted by Bookish Agrarian:
You are a piece of propagadizing work.

Just saving this. Personal attacks are frowned upon on babble, you know.


Bookish Agrarian
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Joined: Nov 26 2004
Really, that's a personal attack? Funny, I thought it was an observation as to what you have been up to in this thread. A personal attack would be if I called you a Liberal shill or hack, or a bad name, or said something unkind about your puppy.

What I wrote was an observation of someone who is clearly only trying to proselytize a particular partisan point of view. Seems to me I have every right to call you on it when you said I was not to talk about anything but the satanic NDP plan on climate change and then switched gears yourself to take a partisan pot-shot on childcare of all things.

Save to your heart's content. In fact save this too.


Lard Tunderin Jeezus
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Joined: Aug 27 2001
I see no attack; only an observation made by many over the past couple of years.

Stephen Gordon
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Joined: Oct 27 2003
Hah!

kropotkin1951
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Joined: Jun 6 2002
quote:Originally posted by Stephen Gordon:

Could you [b]please make this point to your fellow dippers? I keep making the exact same point (Demand curves slope down!!!), and all I get is blank looks.[/b]

I let it pass but really I thought your low shot at all the NDP supporters on this board was just rude. I support some of the NDP MP's completely and others not so much the same goes for policy. If you haven't noticed the same pattern is apparent in many posters here. Lumping all of us together in a disparaging manner is something to let slide, but really my kids wouldn't bother with a line that went; "I've saved it and I'm going to tell Mom." Oh and one of my degrees is in political studies and your comment about the federal provincial jurisdiction, presuming you were serious, shows a very serious deficit in understanding how our government has actually worked since WWII

But I have to forgive you because you are an economist and therefore always work in lala land. "First you envision a free market" How's the search for the invisible hand going. Rome's soothsayers were as accurate as your "science" seems to be in predicting the economic outcomes of complex problems.


Stephen Gordon
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Joined: Oct 27 2003
Yeah, yeah, yeah. Because in any policy debate, the real issue is whether or not I'm a jerk.

kropotkin1951
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Joined: Jun 6 2002
LOL

Back to the issue of who's ox will be gored and who should one trust to protect those outside the elite. The reality is we need government action to build green infrastructure first otherwise the poor and not so rich get hammered. The NDP has been pushing for infrastructure upgrades loud and clear and that is the step that needs taking now not sometime later. And if as a society we were really serious about the planetary effects of carbon we would immediately stop all subsidies to the tar sands and at minimum halt any further expansion.


Aristotleded24
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Joined: May 24 2005
quote:Originally posted by kropotkin1951:
Federal governments have been providing funding in provincial areas for at least 6 decades. I can imagine a provincial government saying no way we will not accept federal money for our infrastructure needs. What a load!!!

Canada has one of the worst records for federal funding of public transportation, even worse than the US.


Stephen Gordon
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Joined: Oct 27 2003
There are three questions that need to be answered by policy makers:

1) What will be the effect on ghg emissions? No party can answer this with any certainty (okay, the CPC can; their answer is 'none'). We're doing Star Trek here.

2) What will be the effect on prices that consumers pay? The Liberals have a pretty good answer for that (pp 27-28 of their handbook thingy). The NDP appears to have moved on from its original, indefensible answer ('none'), but it hasn't yet figured out what it will actually be.

3) How will we protect low-income households? The Liberals have worked out their answer. But since the NDP's initial position was that it wouldn't have to protect low-income households, it's behind the curve.


kropotkin1951
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Joined: Jun 6 2002
quote:Originally posted by Stephen Gordon:
There are three questions that need to be answered by policy makers:
A typical economists view of the world. Decide on a limited number of questions in this case three and then on the basis of that limited outlook make policy decisions. Lets say I am not convinced that this time the economists numbers will turn out to be accurate and no external forces will come into play that make the soothsayers predictions not come true. This is about climate change policy and it starts with some of the things I pointed out above.

Stephen Gordon
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Joined: Oct 27 2003
Notwithstanding, I'm still interested in the answers to those questions. You can add others to that list if you wish.

kropotkin1951
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Joined: Jun 6 2002
quote:Originally posted by Aristotleded24:

Canada has one of the worst records for federal funding of public transportation, even worse than the US.

You are absolutely right on that score but in other areas like health care we have had various funding formulae over the years. We need infrastructure and we need it now. We should be announcing money is available to buy new bus and trains and provinces are invited to make proposals. I mean real money not a few hundred million.

kropotkin1951
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Joined: Jun 6 2002
quote:Originally posted by Stephen Gordon:
Notwithstanding, I'm still interested in the answers to those questions. You can add others to that list if you wish.
Actually you answered them yourself so I just presume those are your RIGHT answers so why play.

Stephen Gordon
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Joined: Oct 27 2003
I meant you could add other questions. Thoigh offering other answers is okay, too.

Bookish Agrarian
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Joined: Nov 26 2004
quote:How will we protect low-income households? The Liberals have worked out their answer. But since the NDP's initial position was that it wouldn't have to protect low-income households, it's behind the curve.

More horsepiss for my grampa's old bucket. Thank goodness it is a big 10 gallon one.
The Liberal plan does not protect low-income households. Sure they say it does, but that is just plain old lala land bs. It does not, will not and can not under a tax regime. Never, never, never. Get it. The tax and grabbers can go on and on about how they will pass on the savings, but it can not happen under their plan. Never. Ever. Ever.
It takes actual real dollars to purchase better technology. You can't make that money out of the air. A recent study in Toronto should that many of the most vulnerable in our society are paying close to 77 per cent of their income just to keep a roof over their head. The Liberal plan will just siphon money away from the most vulnerable, rural people and those of fairly modest means.
You can repeat the same clap trap over and over again but that doesn't make it true. If that worked I would be 6 4 with the body of a Greek god.


kropotkin1951
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Joined: Jun 6 2002
Don't worry I prayed to the Invisible Hand last night and I had a vision that said the Liberals have changed they aren't going to run from the Green side and rule from the corporate elite side this time.

Trust me it will all right; look the economists agree it must be true. Somebody pass me a chicken I think I need to read the entrails to think of more questions.l


500_Apples
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Joined: Jun 3 2006
One thing that perplexes me about this board is the mythology that the Canada has a vastly superior public transit than the USA. Having seen the systems in Seattle, Boston, Chicago, Madison and Columbus I'd say they're all better than the unreliable and overcrowded one in Montreal.

Admittedly Vancouver's was rather good when I was there. They also used double lenth buses, electric lines, and allowed people to attach their bikes to the front of the bus. In Montreal public transit is a pork barrel project for Bombardier and Nova bus.


Jerry West
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Joined: Oct 9 2001
quote:
500_apples
Someone need to have the courage to propose a carbon tax on consumers, to raise the cost of gas, to admit that we are all part of the problem.

Except using taxes is not a very precise way to approach the problem. The major emphasis must be on a hard cap mercilessly enforced.

quote:
John K
if you can think of a practical way to place hard caps on small emitters such as residential households,

Ration fuel and put huge surcharges on hydro usage above a set minimum usage. And don't export the hydro power that is made available as domestic use drops.

quote:
TemporalHominid:
I'd like to see something like a carbon tax implemented; if it runs on fossil fuels TAX it to the max.

The problem with taxes is that they are only as effective as people's willingness to pay them or not. They guarantee no set level of reduction in use and favour the rich over the rest of us.

A fairer system would be to limit the amount of fuel that could be sold in any time period, and set up a system so that everyone was able to get a fair share at an affordable price.

quote:
jrootham:
So much for prices having no effect on consumption.

I don't think it is a question of whether prices would have an effect on consumption or not, but on how much of an effect. What is the surer way to reach a target: set the target with a cap, and/or limit supply, or guess at what price demand will drop to that point?

[ 26 June 2008: Message edited by: Jerry West ]

[ 26 June 2008: Message edited by: Jerry West ]


500_Apples
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Joined: Jun 3 2006
quote:Originally posted by Jerry West:
Except using taxes is not a very precise way to approach the problem.

Who cares if it's more feasible and effective?


KenS
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Joined: Aug 6 2001
Those predictions from Rubin about the decline in cars and mileage just go to show what an enormous pricing sledgehammer it takes to have a very modest decline in consumption.

He's talking $7 a gallon in the US, $2 litre in Canada. Leading to a 10-15% decline in miles driven... with Canada at he low end of that range.

That would be a 300% price increase is several years, on top of a 40% increase in vehicle cost, salted with a financial crisis that hits consumers.

And all of that impact inlarge measure because transportation costs were a very high percentage of expenses for median and below incomes before the steep increases began. That meant there just is not room for a doubling of that expense category in the household budget.

Home heating costs have not risen as much, yet... although they have in Atlantic Canada where oil heat is dominant. Zero drop in sonsumption so far, and you can bet it isn't going to drop as much as miles driven.

Extrapolate that across all products consumed, and across the economy... and thats a damned huge pricing sledghammer that would be required to get those degree of reductions we need in every sector of the economy- not just in personal vehicles where the degree of drop coming is determined by the unique degree of pain the majority of households will feel.


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